scholarly journals Nomogram for predicting reoperation following internal fixation of nondisplaced femoral neck fractures in elderly patients

2021 ◽  
Vol 16 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Jian Zhu ◽  
Hongzhi Hu ◽  
Xiangtian Deng ◽  
Yiran Zhang ◽  
Xiaodong Cheng ◽  
...  

Abstract Objective We aimed to evaluate risk factors and develop a nomogram for reoperation after internal fixation of nondisplaced femoral neck fractures (FNFs) in elderly patients. Methods We conducted a retrospective study involving a total of 255 elderly patients who underwent closed reduction and internal fixation with cannulated screw system for nondisplaced FNFs between January 2016 and January 2019. We collected data on demographics, preoperative radiological parameters, surgery, serum biochemical markers, and postoperative rehabilitation. In addition, we performed univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses to determine independent risk factors for reoperation, and then developed a nomogram to assess the risks of reoperation. Besides, discriminative ability, calibration, and clinical usefulness of the nomogram were evaluated using the concordance index (C-index), the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, calibration curve and decision curve analysis (DCA), respectively. We employed bootstrap method to validate the performance of the developed nomogram. Results Our analysis showed that among the 255 patients, 28 (11.0%) underwent reoperation due to osteonecrosis of the femoral head (14 cases), mechanical failure (8 cases) or nonunion (6 cases). All of the 28 patients underwent conversion surgery to arthroplasty. The multivariate logistic regression analysis demonstrated that preoperative posterior tilt angle ≥ 20°, Pauwel’s III type, younger patients, preoperative elevated levels of alkaline phosphatase (ALP), preoperative hypoalbuminemia, and early postoperative weight-bearing were independent risk factors for reoperation. In addition, the C-index and the bootstrap value of the developed nomogram was 0.850 (95% CI = 0.803–0.913) and 0.811, respectively. Besides, the calibration curve showed good consistency between the actual diagnosed reoperation and the predicted probability, while the DCA indicated that the nomogram was clinically valuable. Conclusions Our analysis showed we successfully developed and validated a nomogram for personalized prediction of reoperation after internal fixation of nondisplaced FNFs in elderly patients. This model would help in individualized evaluation of the need for reoperation and inform strategies aimed at eliminating the need for the reoperation.

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Qiang Xu ◽  
Bin Zhang ◽  
Min Dai ◽  
Xuqiang Liu

Abstract Objective: Although a large number of clinical and animal experimental studies have explored factors affecting fracture healing, there are only a few examples of systematic research on these factors for limb fractures. The purpose of this study was to analyse the risk factors for limb fracture non-union in order to improve non-union prevention and early detection.Methods: A total of 223 patients with non-union after surgery for limb fractures performed at our institution from January 2005 to June 2017 were included as the case group, while a computer-generated random list was created to select 446 patients with successful bone healing who were treated during the same period as the control group, thus achieving a ratio of 1:2. The medical records of these patients were reviewed retrospectively. Age, sex, body mass index, obesity, smoking, alcohol, diabetes, hypertension, osteoporosis, fracture type, multiple fractures, non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs) use, delayed weight bearing, internal fixation failure, and infection data were analysed and compared between the two groups. A multivariate logistic regression model was constructed to determine relevant factors associated with non-union.Results: The multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that osteoporosis, open fractures, NSAIDs use, delayed weight bearing, failed internal fixation, and infection were independent risk factors for non-union after surgery for limb fractures.Conclusions: Osteoporosis, open fracture type, NSAIDs use, delayed weight bearing, failed internal fixation, and infection were found to be the main causes of bone non-union; clinicians should, therefore, take targeted measures to intervene in high-risk groups early.


2021 ◽  
Vol 8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kun Quan ◽  
Qiang Xu ◽  
Meisong Zhu ◽  
Xuqiang Liu ◽  
Min Dai

Objective: The purpose of this study was to analyze the risk factors for limb fracture non-union in order to improve non-union prevention and early detection.Methods: A total of 223 patients with non-union after surgery for limb fractures performed at our institution from January 2005 to June 2017 were included as the case group, while a computer-generated random list was created to select 446 patients with successful bone healing after surgery for limb fractures who were treated during the same period as the control group, thus achieving a ratio of 1:2. The medical records of these patients were reviewed retrospectively. Age, sex, body mass index, obesity, smoking, alcohol, diabetes, hypertension, osteoporosis, fracture type, multiple fractures, non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs) use, delayed weight bearing, internal fixation failure, and infection data were analyzed and compared between the two groups. A multivariate logistic regression model was constructed to determine relevant factors associated with non-union.Results: After comparison between two groups by univariate analysis and multivariate logistic regression, we found some risk factors associated that osteoporosis (odds ratio [OR] = 3.16, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 2.05–4.89, p < 0.001), open fracture (OR = 2.71, 95%CI: 1.72–4.27, p < 0.001), NSAIDs use (OR = 2.04, 95%CI: 1.24–3.37, p = 0.005), delayed weight bearing (OR = 1.72, 95%CI: 1.08–2.74, p = 0.023), failed internal fixation (OR = 5.93, 95%CI: 2.85–12.36, p < 0.001), and infection (OR = 6.77, 95%CI: 2.92–15.69, p < 0.001) were independent risk factors for non-union after surgery for limb fractures.Conclusions: Osteoporosis, open fracture type, NSAIDs use, delayed weight bearing, failed internal fixation, and infection were found to be the main causes of bone non-union; clinicians should, therefore, take targeted measures to intervene in high-risk groups early.


2021 ◽  
Vol 22 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Teng-Feng Zhuang ◽  
Song-Wei Huan ◽  
Si-Min Luo ◽  
Guo-Rong She ◽  
Wen-Rui Wu ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Performing postoperative laboratory tests following joint arthroplasty is a regular practice. However, the role of routine postoperative laboratory tests in primary hip arthroplasty is currently in doubt. This study aimed to assess the role of routine postoperative laboratory tests for femoral neck fractures in elderly patients who underwent hip hemiarthroplasty and to evaluate the risk factors for postoperative laboratory testing abnormalities and related interventions. Methods This retrospective study reviewed 735 consecutive patients with femoral neck fractures (FNFs) who underwent hip hemiarthroplasty at a single tertiary academic organization. Patient characteristic features and laboratory testing values were recorded. Logistic regression models were calculated to identify risk factors. Results A total of 321 elderly patients (> 75 years of age) were ultimately enrolled for analysis. Abnormal postoperative laboratory tests were found in 265 patients (82.6%). Only a minority of the included patients (7.5%) needed medical intervention to treat postoperative laboratory testing abnormalities. Multivariate logistic regression analysis reported that a higher Charlson comorbidity index (CCI) (P = 0.03), abnormal preoperative haemoglobin level (P < 0.01), higher intraoperative blood loss (P < 0.01) and less frequent tranexamic acid use (P = 0.05) were risk factors for abnormal postoperative laboratory tests. Furthermore, a higher CCI has been identified as a risk factor for patients needing clinical interventions related to laboratory abnormalities. Conclusions Because 92.5% of laboratory tests did not influence postoperative management, the authors suggest that routine laboratory tests after hip hemiarthroplasty for FNFs are less instructive for the majority of elderly patients. Nevertheless, for patients with identified risk factors, postoperative laboratory tests are still required to identify the abnormalities that need to be managed.


2021 ◽  
Vol 12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rui Yue ◽  
Minghui Yang ◽  
Xiaohui Deng ◽  
Ping Zhang

ObjectiveThis study aimed to determine the rate and risk factors of allogeneic red blood cell transfusions (ABT) after hemiarthroplasty (HA) in elderly patients with femoral neck fracture (FNF).MethodsThe subjects of the study were elderly patients (≥65 years old) who were admitted to the geriatric trauma orthopedics ward of Beijing Jishuitan Hospital between March 2018 and June 2019 for HA treatment due to an FNF. The perioperative data were collected retrospectively, and univariate and multivariate stepwise logistic regression analyses were performed to determine the post-operative ABT rate and its risk factors.ResultsThere were 445 patients in the study, of whom 177 (39.8%) received ABT after surgery. Multivariate stepwise logistic regression analysis showed that preoperative low hemoglobin (Hb), high intraoperative blood loss (IBL), advanced age, and a low body mass index (BMI) are independent risk factors of ABT after HA in elderly FNF patients.ConclusionABT after HA is a common phenomenon in elderly patients with FNF. Their post-operative ABT needs are related to preoperative low Hb, high IBL, advanced age, and low BMI. Therefore, ABT can be reduced by taking these factors into account. When the same patient had three risk factors (preoperative low hemoglobin, advanced age, and low BMI), the risk of ABT was very high (78.3%). Also, when patients have two risk factors of preoperative low hemoglobin and low BMI, the risk of ABT was also high (80.0%).


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rui Yue ◽  
Minghui Yang ◽  
Xiaohui Deng ◽  
Ping Zhang

Abstract Objective: To determine the rate and risk factors of allogeneic red blood cell transfusions (ABT) in elderly patients with femoral neck fracture (FNF) after hemiarthroplasty (HA). Methods: We conducted a study on elderly patients (≥65 years old) who were admitted to the geriatric trauma orthopedics ward of Beijing Jishuitan Hospital for HA treatment from March 2018 to February 2019 due to FNF. The perioperative data were collected retrospectively, and univariate and multivariate stepwise logistic regression analysis were performed to determine the postoperative ABT rate and its risk factors. Results: 343 patients were included in the study, of which 151 (44.0%) received ABT after surgery. Multivariate stepwise logistic regression analysis showed that preoperative low hemoglobin (Hb), high intraoperative blood loss (IBL), advanced age, and low body mass index (BMI) are independent risk factors of ABT after HA in elderly FNF patients. Conclusion: ABT after HA is a common phenomenon in elderly patients with FNF. Their postoperative ABT needs are related to preoperative low Hb, high IBL, advanced age, and low BMI. Therefore, ABT can be reduced from the above aspects.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tao Chang ◽  
Xigang Yan ◽  
Chao Zhao ◽  
Yufu Zhang ◽  
Bao Wang ◽  
...  

Abstract Background There are few studies on the development and effect of coagulopathy in patients with a traumatic brain injury (TBI) during the early post-operative period. We determined the risk factors and neurologic outcomes of in patients with a TBI and coagulopathy diagnosed by routine laboratory tests within 72 hours post-operatively. Methods The baseline characteristics, intra-operative management, and follow-up results of 462 patients with TBIs were obtained and retrospectively analyzed by multivariate logistic regression from January 2015 to June 2019. Coagulopathy was defined as an activated partial thromboplastin time > 40 seconds, international normalized ratio >1.4, or a platelet count < 100×109 /L.Results Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that the Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) at the time of admission, Injury Severity Score (ISS) at the time of admission, pupil mydriasis, duration of surgery, intra-operative blood loss, and intra-operative crystalloid resuscitation were independent risk factors for patients who developed a coagulopathy post-operatively. There were statistical differences in mortality (p = 0.049), the Glasgow Outcome Scale-Extended (GCS-E; p = 0.024), and the modified Rankin Scale (p = 0.043) between patients with and without coagulopathy 1 week after surgery. Coagulopathy within 72 h after surgery revealed a trend for higher mortality at 1 week (66.7%), 3 months (71.4%), and 6 months (76.2%). Furthermore, coagulopathy and contusion expansion in the early post-operative period were independent risk factors for TBI mortality after surgery. Intra-operative crystalloid resuscitation had a substantial diagnostic accuracy in predicting coagulopathy within 72 h post-operatively (area under the curve [AUC] = 0.972).Conclusion Coagulopathy within 72 h post-operatively in patients with a TBI predicted worse disease progression and unfavorable neurologic outcomes. Hence, we should take practical and reasonable measures to manage these risk factors, which may protect patients with a TBI from post-operative coagulopathy.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sufen Zhou ◽  
Hongyan Guo ◽  
Heng Liu ◽  
Mingqun Li

Abstract Background: This study aimed to investigate potential predictors, including cerebroplacental ratio (CPR), middle cerebral artery (MCA)/uterine artery pulsatility index (PI) ratio, for adverse perinatal outcome in pregnancies at term.Methods: This was an observational, prospective study of recruited pregnancies at term. An adverse perinatal outcome was set as the primary observational endpoint. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was plotted to investigate the predictive and cut-off values of risk factors for adverse perinatal outcome. Independent risk factors (maternal, neonatal, prenatal ultrasound and Doppler variables) for adverse perinatal outcome were evaluated by the univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses.Results: A total of 392 pregnancies at term were included and 19.4% of them had suffered adverse perinatal outcome. CPR (OR: 0.42, 95%CI: 0.20-0.93, P=0.032) and MCA/uterine artery PI ratio (OR: 0.25, 95%CI: 0.16-0.42, P=0.032) were two independent risk factors for adverse perinatal outcome by univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses.Conclusions: MCA/uterine artery PI ratio is a good predictor of adverse perinatal outcome in pregnancies at term.


2003 ◽  
Vol 17 (SUPPLEMENT) ◽  
pp. S17-S21 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jan Tidermark ◽  
Niklas Zethraeus ◽  
Olle Svensson ◽  
Hans Törnkvist ◽  
Sari Ponzer

2022 ◽  
Vol 23 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Sizheng Zhan ◽  
Wenyong Xie ◽  
Ming Yang ◽  
Dianying Zhang ◽  
Baoguo Jiang

Abstract Background Hip fracture is highly associated with disability and consequently, mortality in the elderly population. Postoperative acute kidney injury (AKI) is not unusual and is associated with considerable morbidity and mortality. We aimed to determine the incidences and potential risk factors for postoperative AKI in elderly patients with femoral neck fracture. Methods We retrospectively evaluated patients over 65 years of age who had been subjected to surgery for femoral neck fracture at Peking University People's Hospital from January 2015 to December 2019. Demographic characteristics and potential risk factors were collected. AKI was defined according to the Kidney Disease Improving Global Outcomes Guidelines (KDIGO). Results A total of 308 elderly patients with femoral neck fracture were included in the study. The overall incidence of postoperative AKI was 12% (37 cases). Through binary logistic regression analysis, adjusted for age, intraoperative blood loss and BMI, we identified that early postoperative albumin levels, hemoglobin changes and intraoperative hypotension are independent risk factors for postoperative AKI. The model considering the three factors can improve accuracy of predicting the possibility of developing AKI. The patients with AKI had a significantly higher mortality of 40.5% than those without AKI (24.0%, p < 0.001) Conclusion The incidence of postoperative AKI in elderly patients with femoral neck fracture was 12%. Independent risk factors for postoperative AKI included hemoglobin changes, early postoperative hypoalbuminemia and intraoperative hypotension. At the same time, postoperative AKI significantly increased mortality in elderly patients with femoral neck fracture. Taking multiple possible factors into consideration can better predict the possibility of elderly patients developing AKI after surgery.


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