scholarly journals Mathematical analysis and optimal control interventions for sex structured syphilis model with three stages of infection and loss of immunity

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Abdulfatai Atte Momoh ◽  
Yusuf Bala ◽  
Dekera Jacob Washachi ◽  
Dione Déthié
Keyword(s):  
Reproduction Number ◽  
Nonlinear Ordinary Differential Equation ◽  
Backward Bifurcation ◽  
Asymptotically Stable ◽  
Infected Male ◽  
Globally Asymptotically Stable ◽  
Three Stages ◽  
Males And Females ◽  
The Stability ◽  
Stability Results

AbstractIn this study, we develop a nonlinear ordinary differential equation to study the dynamics of syphilis transmission incorporating controls, namely prevention and treatment of the infected males and females. We obtain syphilis-free equilibrium (SFE) and syphilis-present equilibrium (SPE). We obtain the basic reproduction number, which can be used to control the transmission of the disease, and thus establish the conditions for local and global stability of the syphilis-free equilibrium. The stability results show that the model is locally asymptotically stable if the Routh–Hurwitz criteria are satisfied and globally asymptotically stable. The bifurcation analysis result reveals that the model exhibits backward bifurcation. We adopted Pontryagin’s maximum principle to determine the optimality system for the syphilis model, which was solved numerically to show that syphilis transmission can be optimally best control using a combination of condoms usage and treatment in the primary stage of infection in both infected male and female populations.

scholarly journals Epidemic Model and Mathematical Study of Impact of Vaccination for the Control of Malware in Computer Network

2021 ◽  
pp. 72-96
Author(s):  
Titus Ifeanyi Chinebu ◽  
Ikechukwu Valentine Udegbe ◽  
Adanma Cecilia Eberendu
Keyword(s):  
Compartmental Model ◽  
Computer Network ◽  
Reproduction Number ◽  
Nonlinear Ordinary Differential Equation ◽  
Backward Bifurcation ◽  
Asymptotically Stable ◽  
Mathematical Study ◽  
Globally Asymptotically Stable ◽  
Bifurcation Phenomenon ◽  
Asymptotical Stable

Malware remains a significant threat to computer network.  In this paper, we consideredthe problem which computer malware cause to personal computers with its control by proposing a compartmental model SVEIRS (Susceptible Vaccinated-Exposed-infected-Recovered-Susceptible) for malware transmission in computer network using nonlinear ordinary differential equation. Through the analysis of the model, the basic reproduction number  were obtained, and the malware free equilibrium was proved to be locally asymptotical stable if  is less than unity and globally asymptotically stable if Ro is less than some threshold using a Lyapunov function. Also, the unique endemic equilibrium exists under certain conditions and the model underwent backward bifurcation phenomenon. To illustrate our theoretical analysis, some numerical simulation of the system was performed with RungeKutta fourth order (KR4) method in Mathlab. This was used in analyzing the behavior of different compartments of the model and the results showed that vaccination and treatment is very essential for malware control.

A mathematical analysis of a tuberculosis epidemic model with two treatments and exogenous re-infection

2020 ◽  
pp. 2050082
Author(s):  
Mehdi Lotfi ◽  
Azizeh Jabbari ◽  
Hossein Kheiri
Keyword(s):  
Mathematical Model ◽  
Asymptotic Stability ◽  
Stable Disease ◽  
Reproduction Number ◽  
Geometric Approach ◽  
Backward Bifurcation ◽  
Asymptotically Stable ◽  
Globally Asymptotically Stable ◽  
Bifurcation Phenomenon ◽  
Disease Free

In this paper, we propose a mathematical model of tuberculosis with two treatments and exogenous re-infection, in which the treatment is effective for a number of infectious individuals and it fails for some other infectious individuals who are being treated. We show that the model exhibits the phenomenon of backward bifurcation, where a stable disease-free equilibrium coexists with a stable endemic equilibria when the related basic reproduction number is less than unity. Also, it is shown that under certain conditions the model cannot exhibit backward bifurcation. Furthermore, it is shown in the absence of re-infection, the backward bifurcation phenomenon does not exist, in which the disease-free equilibrium of the model is globally asymptotically stable when the associated reproduction number is less than unity. The global asymptotic stability of the endemic equilibrium, when the associated reproduction number is greater than unity, is established using the geometric approach. Numerical simulations are presented to illustrate our main results.

scholarly journals Mathematical analysis of an age structured epidemic model with a quarantine class

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bedreddine AINSEBA ◽  
Tarik Touaoula ◽  
Zakia Sari
Keyword(s):  
Reproduction Number ◽  
Asymptotic Behavior Of Solutions ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Qualitative Behavior ◽  
Asymptotically Stable ◽  
Globally Asymptotically Stable ◽  
Age Structured ◽  
The Stability ◽  
The Impact

In this paper, an age structured epidemic Susceptible-Infected-Quarantined-Recovered-Infected (SIQRI) model is proposed, where we will focus on the role of individuals that leave their class of quarantine before being completely recovered and thus will participate again to the transmission of the disease. We investigate the asymptotic behavior of solutions by studying the stability of both trivial and positive equilibria. In order to see the impact of the different model parameters like the relapse rate on the qualitative behavior of our system, we firstly, give the explicit expression of the epidemic reproduction number $R_{0}.$ This number is a combination of the classical epidemic reproduction number for the SIQR model and a new epidemic reproduction number corresponding to the individuals infected by a relapsed person from the R-class. It is shown that, if $R_{0}\leq 1$, the disease free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable and becomes unstable for $R_{0}>1$. Secondly, while $R_{0}>1$, a suitable Lyapunov functional is constructed to prove that the unique endemic equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable on some subset $\Omega_{0}.$

scholarly journals Mathematical Modeling and Analysis of an Alcohol Drinking Model with the Influence of Alcohol Treatment Centers

2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bouchaib Khajji ◽  
Abderrahim Labzai ◽  
Omar Balatif ◽  
Mostafa Rachik
Keyword(s):  
Alcohol Drinking ◽  
Addiction Treatment ◽  
Reproduction Number ◽  
Dynamical Behavior ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Asymptotically Stable ◽  
Globally Asymptotically Stable ◽  
Modeling And Analysis ◽  
Private And Public ◽  
The Stability

In this paper, we present a continuous mathematical model PMHTrTpQ of alcohol drinking with the influence of private and public addiction treatment centers. We study the dynamical behavior of this model and we discuss the basic properties of the system and determine its basic reproduction number R0. We also study the sensitivity analysis of model parameters to know the parameters that have a high impact on the reproduction number R0. The stability analysis of the model shows that the system is locally as well as globally asymptotically stable at drinking-free equilibrium E0 when R0≤1. When R0>1, drinking present equilibrium E∗ exists and the system is locally as well as globally asymptotically stable at alcohol present equilibrium E∗.

scholarly journals On Oscillatory Pattern of Malaria Dynamics in a Population with Temporary Immunity

2007 ◽  
Vol 8 (3) ◽  
pp. 191-203 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. Tumwiine ◽  
J. Y. T. Mugisha ◽  
L. S. Luboobi
Keyword(s):  
Steady State ◽  
Basic Reproduction Number ◽  
Reproduction Number ◽  
Asymptotically Stable ◽  
Globally Asymptotically Stable ◽  
Oscillatory Pattern ◽  
The Stability ◽  
Disease Free ◽  
The Basic Reproduction Number ◽  
Temporary Immunity

We use a model to study the dynamics of malaria in the human and mosquito population to explain the stability patterns of malaria. The model results show that the disease-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable and occurs whenever the basic reproduction number,R0is less than unity. We also note that whenR0>1, the disease-free equilibrium is unstable and the endemic equilibrium is stable. Numerical simulations show that recoveries and temporary immunity keep the populations at oscillation patterns and eventually converge to a steady state.

STABILITY OF AN AGE-STRUCTURED SEIS EPIDEMIC MODEL WITH INFECTIVITY IN INCUBATIVE PERIOD

2010 ◽  
Vol 03 (03) ◽  
pp. 299-312 ◽  
Author(s):  
SHU-MIN GUO ◽  
XUE-ZHI LI ◽  
XIN-YU SONG
Keyword(s):  
Epidemic Model ◽  
Reproduction Number ◽  
Endemic Equilibrium ◽  
Stability Conditions ◽  
Asymptotically Stable ◽  
Globally Asymptotically Stable ◽  
Age Structured ◽  
The Stability ◽  
Disease Free ◽  
The Basic Reproduction Number

In this paper, an age-structured SEIS epidemic model with infectivity in incubative period is formulated and studied. The explicit expression of the basic reproduction number R0 is obtained. It is shown that the disease-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable if R0 < 1, at least one endemic equilibrium exists if R0 > 1. The stability conditions of endemic equilibrium are also given.

Assessing the impact of transmissibility on a cluster-based COVID-19 model in India

2021 ◽  
pp. 2141002
Author(s):  
Tanvi ◽  
Mohammad Sajid ◽  
Rajiv Aggarwal ◽  
Ashutosh Rajput
Keyword(s):  
Reproduction Number ◽  
Transmission Rate ◽  
Transmission Dynamics ◽  
Asymptotically Stable ◽  
Nonlinear Mathematical Model ◽  
Globally Asymptotically Stable ◽  
Number Formula ◽  
The Stability ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Disease Free

In this paper, we have proposed a nonlinear mathematical model of different classes of individuals for coronavirus (COVID-19). The model incorporates the effect of transmission and treatment on the occurrence of new infections. For the model, the basic reproduction number [Formula: see text] has been computed. Corresponding to the threshold quantity [Formula: see text], the stability of endemic and disease-free equilibrium (DFE) points are determined. For [Formula: see text], if the endemic equilibrium point exists, then it is locally asymptotically stable, whereas the DFE point is globally asymptotically stable for [Formula: see text] which implies the eradication of the disease. The effects of various parameters on the spread of COVID-19 are discussed in the segment of sensitivity analysis. The model is numerically simulated to understand the effect of reproduction number on the transmission dynamics of the disease COVID-19. From the numerical simulations, it is concluded that if the reproduction number for the coronavirus disease is reduced below unity by decreasing the transmission rate and detecting more number of infectives, then the epidemic can be eradicated from the population.

GLOBAL STABILITY IN A TUBERCULOSIS MODEL INCORPORATING TWO LATENT PERIODS

2009 ◽  
Vol 02 (03) ◽  
pp. 357-362 ◽  
Author(s):  
LUJU LIU
Keyword(s):  
Latent Period ◽  
Reproduction Number ◽  
Endemic Equilibrium ◽  
Asymptotically Stable ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Globally Asymptotically Stable ◽  
Tuberculosis Model ◽  
The Stability ◽  
Disease Free

A tuberculosis (TB) model with two latent periods, short-term latent period (E1) and long-term latent period (E2), and fast and slow progressions is analyzed. The stability of the unique endemic equilibrium of the model is proved. It turns out that the disease-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable if the basic reproduction number R0 ≤ 1, and the endemic equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable if R0 > 1.

scholarly journals Globale Stability in a Viral Infection Model with Beddington-DeAngelis Functional Response

2015 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 27-29
Author(s):  
Wang Zhanwei ◽  
He Xia
Keyword(s):  
Lyapunov Function ◽  
Viral Infection ◽  
Functional Response ◽  
Reproduction Number ◽  
Infection Model ◽  
Asymptotically Stable ◽  
Globally Asymptotically Stable ◽  
The Stability ◽  
Viral Infection Model ◽  
The Basic Reproduction Number

The stability of a mathematical model for viral infection with Beddington-DeAngelis functional response is considered in this paper. If the basic reproduction number R ≤1, by the Routh-Hurwitz criterion and Lyapunov function, the uninfected equilibrium E is globally asymptotically stable. Then, the global stability of the infected equilibrium E is obtained by the method of Lyapunov function

scholarly journals Mathematical Modelling on Double Quarantine Process in the Spread and Stability of Covid-19

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jangyadatta Behera ◽  
Aswin Kumar Rauta ◽  
Yerra Shankar Rao ◽  
Sairam Patnaik
Keyword(s):  
Basic Reproduction Number ◽  
Reproduction Number ◽  
Equilibrium Points ◽  
Endemic Equilibrium ◽  
Asymptotically Stable ◽  
Globally Asymptotically Stable ◽  
Analytical Result ◽  
The Stability ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Disease Free

Abstract In this paper, a mathematical model is proposed on the spread and control of corona virus disease2019 (COVID19) to ascertain the impact of pre quarantine for suspected individuals having travel history ,immigrants and new born cases in the susceptible class following the lockdown or shutdown rules and adopted the post quarantine process for infected class. Set of nonlinear ordinary differential equations (ODEs) are generated and parameters like natural mortality rate, rate of COVID-19 induced death, rate of immigrants, rate of transmission and recovery rate are integrated in the scheme. A detailed analysis of this model is conducted analytically and numerically. The local and global stability of the disease is discussed mathematically with the help of Basic Reproduction Number. The ODEs are solved numerically with the help of Runge-Kutta 4th order method and graphs are drawn using MATLAB software to validate the analytical result with numerical simulation. It is found that both results are in good agreement with the results available in the existing literatures. The stability analysis is performed for both disease free equilibrium and endemic equilibrium points. The theorems based on Routh-Hurwitz criteria and Lyapunov function are proved .It is found that the system is locally asymptotically stable at disease free and endemic equilibrium points for basic reproduction number less than one and globally asymptotically stable for basic reproduction number greater than one. Finding of this study suggest that COVID-19 would remain pandemic with the progress of time but would be stable in the long-term if the pre and post quarantine policy for asymptomatic and symptomatic individuals are implemented effectively followed by social distancing, lockdown and containment.

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