Use of radiographic progression to predict overall survival in men with castration-refractory prostate cancer.

2012 ◽  
Vol 30 (5_suppl) ◽  
pp. 254-254
Author(s):  
Kazumi Kamoi ◽  
Koji Okihara ◽  
Natsuki Takaha ◽  
Tsuyoshi Iwata ◽  
Akihiro Kawauchi ◽  
...  

254 Background: The purpose of this study was to analyze prognostic factors to predict overall survival in patients with castration-refractory prostate cancer (CRPC). Methods: A total of 68 patients with CRPC treated by secondary hormonal therapy (dexamethasone) and/or chemotherapy including docetaxel were analyzed. Primary endpoint was survival after PSA relapse. PSA relapse was defined as 3 consecutive PSA increase and serum PSA more than 4 ng/ml. Factors analyzed to predict survival were initial PSA value, initial clinical stage, pathological tumor grade (WHO grade), time to PSA relapse, nadir PSA value, time to nadir PSA, age at PSA relapse, PSA value at relapse, radiographic progression revealed by bone scan or CT scan, and bone pain. Univariate and multivariate analysis were performed using Cox regression hazard model. Results: Univariate analysis revealed nadir PSA value, time to nadir PSA, PSA value at relapse, radiographic progression revealed by bone scan or CT scan, and bone pain were significant predictors (p<0.05). Multivariate analysis revealed only radiographic progression was the independent predictor for survival after PSA relapse (p=0.039). Median survival time was 63.5 and 23.5 months in patients with (n=39) and without (n=29) radiographic progression, respectively (log-rank p=0.0002). Median survival time in 39 patients with radiographic progression in bone (n=31), lymph nodes (n=6), visceral lesion (n=3), and local lesion (n=4) were 23.5, 5, 2, and 12.5 months, respectively. Conclusions: For patients with PSA relapse after hormonal therapy, the finding of radiographic progression was the only independent factor to predict overall survival.

2017 ◽  
Vol 35 (6_suppl) ◽  
pp. 178-178
Author(s):  
Sarah Lindgren Belal ◽  
May Sadik ◽  
Reza Kaboteh ◽  
Nezar Hasani ◽  
Olof Enqvist ◽  
...  

178 Background: Bone Scan Index (BSI) derived from 2D whole-body bone scans is considered an imaging biomarker of bone metastases burden carrying prognostic information. Sodium fluoride (NaF) PET/CT is more sensitive than bone scan in detecting bone changes due to metastases. We aimed to develop a semi-quantitative PET index similar to the BSI for NaF PET/CT imaging and to study its relationship to BSI and overall survival in patients with prostate cancer. Methods: NaF PET/CT and bone scans were analyzed in 48 patients (aged 53-92 years) with prostate cancer. Thoracic and lumbar spines, sacrum, pelvis, ribs, scapulae, clavicles, and sternum were automatically segmented from the CT images, representing approximately 1/3 of the total skeletal volume. Hotspots in the PET images, within the segmented parts in the CT images, were visually classified and hotspots interpreted as metastases were included in the analysis. The PET index was defined as the quotient obtained as the hotspot volume from the PET images divided by the segmented bone tissue volume from the CT images. BSI was automatically calculated using EXINIboneBSI. Results: The correlation between the PET index and BSI was r2= 0.54. The median BSI was 0.39 (IQR 0.08-2.05). The patients with a BSI ≥ 0.39 had a significantly shorter median survival time than patients with a BSI < 0.39 (2.3 years vs. not reached after 5 years). BSI was significantly associated with overall survival (HR 1.13, 95% CI 1.13 to 1.41; p < 0.001), and the C-index was 0.68. The median PET index was 0.53 (IQR 0.02-2.62). The patients with a PET index ≥ 0.53 had a significantly shorter median survival time than patients with a PET index < 0.53 (2.5 years vs. not reached after 5 years). The PET index was significantly associated with overall survival (HR 1.18, 95% CI 1.01 to 1.30; p < 0.001) and C-index was 0.68. Conclusions: PET index based on NaF PET/CT images was correlated to BSI and significantly associated with overall survival in patients with prostate cancer. Further studies are needed to evaluate the clinical value of this novel 3D PET index as a possible future imaging biomarker.


2012 ◽  
Vol 30 (5_suppl) ◽  
pp. 85-85
Author(s):  
Kazumi Kamoi ◽  
Koji Okihara ◽  
Natsuki Takaha ◽  
Tsuyoshi Iwata ◽  
Akihiro Kawauchi ◽  
...  

85 Background: The purpose of this study was to analyze skeletal events unrelated to bone metastasis in men with castration-refractory prostate cancer (CRPC). Methods: A total of 68 patients with CRPC treated by secondary hormonal therapy (dexamethasone) and/or chemotherapy including docetaxel were analyzed. Primary endpoint was skeletal related events (SREs) after PSA relapse. PSA relapse was defined as 3 consecutive PSA increase and serum PSA more than 4 ng/ml. Zoledronic acid was given for 31 patients with radiographic bone progression from the initiation of docetaxel-based treatment. For 37 patients without radiographic bone progression, no bone targeted agents or radioisotopes were administered during the observation period. Results: During median observation period of 17.5 months (range 1 to 76 months), SREs were observed in 17 of 68 patients (25%). In patients with bone progression, SREs was observed in 8 of 37 (22%) patients, whereas 9 of 31 (29%) patients without radiographic bone progression experienced SREs unrelated to bone metastasis. All patients without radiographic progression had been treated by oral steroids (dexamethasone), which might be related to osteoporotic change in these cases. Conclusions: For CRPC patients without radiographic bone progression, caution needs to be paid for SRE unrelated to bone metastasis. The administration of steroids may cause osteoporotic change, thus preventive administration of anti-osteoporotic agents would be mandatory.


2018 ◽  
Vol 36 (6_suppl) ◽  
pp. 216-216 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shuko Yoneyama ◽  
Yasuhide Miyoshi ◽  
Sohgo Tsutsumi ◽  
Takashi Kawahara ◽  
Yusuke Hattori ◽  
...  

216 Background: The objective of this study was to evaluate the bone scan index (BSI) as a prognostic biomarker for overall survival (OS) among patients treated with radium-223 (Ra-223) for bone metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC). Methods: We retrospectively identified 42 men who had been treated with Ra-223 for bone metastatic CRPC between 2012 and 2017 and investigated correlations between the baseline clinical factors of age, time to CRPC, previous use of docetaxel, PSA, Gleason score, alkaline phosphatase (ALP), and BSI and OS by multivariate analysis using the Cox proportional hazard model. We also analyzed the correlations between OS and absolute BSI value or BSI change from baseline after 12 weeks of treatment. Continuous variables were classified as dichotomous. Results: The median age, PSA, and time to CRPC were 75.5 years, 42.8 ng/mL, and 11.2 months, respectively. The median observation period was 11.7 months. Twenty-five (59.5 %) of the 42 patients had completed six cycles of Ra-223 treatment. Twenty-two patients (52.4 %) had died, including 20 (47.6 %) of cancer, by the time of analysis. The median OS in the entire cohort was 20.7 months. Multivariate analysis also showed that only BSI (≥1.5 vs. < 1.5, HR 3.72, 95% CI 1.17–11.79, p = 0.026) was significantly correlated with OS. The BSI had decreased in 16 (51.6%) of the 31 patients who had undergone bone scans after 12 weeks of treatment . Multivariate analysis showed that absolute BSI value after 12 weeks treatment was significantly correlated with OS (BSI (≥2.0 vs. < 2.0%, HR 13.07, 95% CI 2.61–65.53, p = 0.002). No correlation was found between BSI change from baseline after 12 weeks and OS. Conclusions: According to multivariate analysis, both baseline BSI and PSA were significant prognostic factors for OS among men treated with Ra-223. Absolute BSI value after 12 weeks of Ra-223 treatment was also found to be an independent prognostic factor for OS.


2013 ◽  
Vol 31 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. 5091-5091
Author(s):  
S Scott Sutton ◽  
Gowtham A Rao ◽  
LeAnn B. Norris ◽  
James Hardin ◽  
Sandip M. Prasad ◽  
...  

5091 Background: Prostate cancer patients with locally advanced /metastatic disease have a poor prognosis and although hormonal therapy can induce long-term remission, development of hormone-resistant prostate cancer (HRPC) is inevitable. The goal of this study is to evaluate overall survival in HRPC patients with different transition of care in the Veterans Affairs (VA) system. We hypothesized that prostate cancer patients with late referral to medical oncologists were more likely to have decreased overall survival. Methods: This is a retrospective, observational analysis of patients enrolled in the Veterans Health Administration system from October 2003 to March 2011. Patients were followed from initial evaluation and treatment by urology until an endpoint of death or the end of the study period. VA patients with a diagnosis of HRPC were identified; prostate specific antigen (PSA), medical and pharmacy records were collected. HRPC was defined as PSA doubling after treatment with hormonal therapy. Transition of care was defined as two encounters with the medical oncology service and at least one encounter was a medical oncologist. Three cohorts were created: patients transitioned to oncology before HRPC, those transitioned to oncology after HRPC, and patients who were never transitioned to oncology. Primary outcome was overall survival (OS). The Charlson score was utilized for comorbidity assessment. Statistical analysis was conducted using chi square test for categorical variables. Results: Total number of patients evaluated was 8,281; 2,168 in transition before HRPC (tbHRPC) cohort, 2,052 in transition after HRPC (taHRPC), and 4,061 patients that never transitioned (tnHPRC). The mean ages for the respective cohorts were: 69.35, 69.69, and 71.64. The Charlson comorbidity scores were 3.79 (tbHRPC), 3.06 (taHRPC), and 3.14 (tnHRPC); p-values < 0.05. Mortality rates among the cohorts were 57% tbHRPC, 69% taHRPC, and 62% tnHRPC; p-values <0.001. PSA doubling within 10 months were: 57% tbHRPC, 60% taHRPC, and 54% tnHRPC; p-values < 0.05. Conclusions: Overall survival was improved among prostate cancer patients that transitioned to oncology before becoming HRPC.


2015 ◽  
Vol 33 (7_suppl) ◽  
pp. 179-179
Author(s):  
Matthew S. Brown ◽  
Hyun J. Kim ◽  
Gregory H. Chu ◽  
Martin Allen-Auerbach ◽  
Cheryce Fischer ◽  
...  

179 Background: Bone Scan Lesion Area (BSLA) is a biomarker that can be computed semi-automatically from whole-body scintigraphic imaging as a measure of overall bone tumor burden. Initial development and validation, including correlation with outcomes, was performed in trial cohorts from a single drug treatment with controls in subjects with metastatic castrate-resistant prostate cancer (CRPC). A 30% increase/decrease in BSLA was defined as progression/response on bone scan. We hypothesize that, when applied to an independent treatment trial cohort with a different mechanism of drug action, baseline BSLA and Week 12 change post-treatment are predictive of a subject's overall survival. Methods: From an anonymized imaging research database a cohort of 198 CRPC subjects was identified who enrolled in a treatment trial (127 treated, 71 placebo). This cohort was independent of those used for biomarker development and initial validation, and involved a different mechanism of drug action. Subjects underwent standard of care whole-body bone scintigraphy with 99mTc-Methyl diphosphonate (99mTc-MDP). BSLA was calculated at baseline and response at Week 12. Multivariate Cox regression was used to test whether (1) baseline BSLA, and (2) early changes in BSLA (12 weeks post treatment) were predictive of overall survival. Results: BSLA < 2000 mm2 at baseline was a prognostic factor (HR=0.6; p=0.003) and predictive of longer survival (HR=0.4; p<0.001). Subjects without PD by BSLA at Week 12 had significantly longer survival than subjects with PD: median 170 days vs. 186 days in the placebo group and 260 days vs. 392 days in the treatment group. The overall survival rates between non-PD and PD subjects were statistically different (HR=0.64, p=0.007). Conclusions: BSLA is calculated semi-automatically from bone scans and provides a quantitative and objective treatment response assessment. Baseline BSLA and early changes post treatment were found to be predictive of overall survival in patients with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer. BSLA has now been demonstrated to be an early surrogate outcome for overall survival in different drug treatments.


2017 ◽  
Vol 35 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. 5082-5082
Author(s):  
Adeel Kaiser ◽  
Soren Bentzen ◽  
Minhaj Siddiqui ◽  
Michael J Naslund ◽  
Young Kwok ◽  
...  

5082 Background: The impact of initial local therapy selection on survival for high risk prostate cancer (PCa) patients remains uncertain. We sought to assess this effect, while limiting competing causes of death, through the examination of a younger PCa patient cohort within the National Cancer Database. Methods: We evaluated the overall survival (OS) of men under 60 with high risk PCa receiving either radiation therapy (RT) or radical prostatectomy (RP). All men in this age group were treated between 2004 and 2013, harbored cN0M0 disease, and presented with Gleason Scores (GS) of 8 to 10. The RT group included patients who received external beam radiation (EBRT) alone or EBRT in combination with brachytherapy (BT). Overall survival and covariates were evaluated using multivariable Cox regression analysis. Results: A total of 16,944 patients met inclusion criteria of which 12,155 underwent RP and 4,789 received RT as initial therapy. 82.5% of RT patients received hormonal therapy, and the median dose was 77.4 Gy. In the RP group, 17.2% of patients received postoperative radiation, and 87% of these cases received a dose exceeding 64.80 Gy. The RP group had a higher proportion of cases with Charlson-Deyo comorbidity score > 0 (15.2% v. 11.2%, p < 0.000001). At a median follow-up of 50 months (0 - 131 months), RP was associated with improved OS in comparison to RT (hazard ratio = 0.52; 95% CI (0.47, 0.58); p < 0.000001). The estimated 8-year OS (±1 standard error of the estimate) was 85.1±0.7% and 74.9±0.7%, after RP and RT, respectively. This benefit remained present when adjusting for age, year of treatment, race, comorbidity score, Gleason score, T stage, hormonal therapy, chemotherapy, form of radiation, PSA, or insurance status. Conclusions: Compared to RT, initial treatment of men under 60 with high risk PCa with RP results in a large, statistically significant improvement in overall survival that remains consistent over time and remains significant in a multivariable model adjusting for known prognostic variables. These results are limited by the retrospective nature of the database analysis, and the lack of cancer specific survival information.


2017 ◽  
Vol 35 (6_suppl) ◽  
pp. e562-e562
Author(s):  
Naoki Fujita ◽  
Takuya Koie ◽  
Hayato Yamamoto ◽  
Atsushi Imai ◽  
Yuki Tobisawa ◽  
...  

e562 Background: We estimated the natural history and predictive factors of oncological outcomes in patients with prostate cancer (PCa) after radical prostatectomy (RP). Methods: In this retrospective study, we reviewed the clinical and pathological records of 1083 PCa patients who underwent RP and bilateral pelvic lymphadenectomy with or without neoadjuvant therapy between July 1996 and December 2014 at Hirosaki University. All patients were followed-up by assessing serum prostate-specific antigen (PSA) and testosterone levels every 3 months for 5 years and every 6 months thereafter. The endpoint was the oncological outcomes after surgery. Univariate analyses were performed using the Kaplan-Meier and log-rank methods, and the multivariate analysis was performed using a Cox proportional hazard model. Results: The 5-year and 10-year overall survival rates were 98.5 % and 92.0 %, respectively. At the end of the study, 226 patients (20.8%) showed biochemical recurrence and 28 patients (2.6%) had developed castration-resistant Pca (CRPC). The patients with CRPC were significantly poor prognosis compared with those without CRPC (P < 0.01). On multivariate analysis, although preoperative variables were no significant differences, only CRPC was significantly associated with OS. Conclusions: RP was shown to provide excellent long-term survival with OS at 10 years. In addition, a small proportion of the patients treated with RP had CRPC and died of Pca within 10 years. Development to castration resistant status may have critical impact on OS.


2017 ◽  
Vol 35 (6_suppl) ◽  
pp. 242-242 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gustavo Jankilevich ◽  
Luciana Gennari ◽  
Matias Salazar ◽  
Claudio Graziano ◽  
Eduardo Saravia ◽  
...  

242 Background: Tumor stage, Gleason score, PSA, Performance Status have been identified as important predictors of survival in prostate cancer. The Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) is a validated score used to stratify patients according to comorbidities. To evaluate the prognostic role of CCI in patients with CPRC. Methods: A retrospective study based on an analysis of medical records of 212 patients with CRPC treated at Durand Hospital between 2010-2015. The CCI was calculated for each patient and a correlation with overall survival was performed. Statistical analysis included univariate analysis and multivariate analysis (Cox regression). Patients were stratified according CCI ≤ 7.6 or ≥ 7.6. Survival analysis was performed using the Kaplan-Meier curve. Results: We analyzed records of 212 patients with prostate cancer, of which 59 were resistant to castration. Median age 69 years, the PFS with androgen blockade was 32.4 months. Patients with CPRC 54% perform chemotherapy as first-line treatment of castration resistance and 46% performed treatment of hormonal manipulation (Enzalutamide or Abiraterone Acetate). Median overall survival of patients with CCI < 7.6 was 75 months versus 62 months for those with CCI > 7.6 HR: 1.19 (1.03 to 1.36) p: 0.01. In multivariate analysis the ICC was an independent predictor of mortality in these patients HR: 1.23 (1.03 to 1.48) p: 0.02. (Table 1) CCI ≤ 7,6 was predictor to subsequent lines in CPRC setting. Gleason score, PS were independent predictors of survival. Conclusions: Based on our results we can consider the CCI as an independent predictor of survival in CPRC patients. CCI could be an useful tool useful to select patients in clinical trial and community settings. [Table: see text]


2018 ◽  
Vol 36 (6_suppl) ◽  
pp. 190-190
Author(s):  
Ulka N. Vaishampayan ◽  
Lance K. Heilbrun ◽  
Paul Monk ◽  
Sheela Tejwani ◽  
Guru Sonpavde ◽  
...  

190 Background: Addition of abiraterone or docetaxel has overall survival (OS) benefit in metastatic hormone sensitive prostate cancer (mHSPC). The clinical outcomes with early enzalutamide in mHSPC are unknown. We compared the combinations of enzalutamide (Arm A) or bicalutamide (Arm B) each with LHRH analogue therapy in mHSPC. Methods: The primary endpoint was PSA nadir < 4 ng/ml after 7 months of therapy, as this has been recognized as a powerful surrogate for overall survival (OS) outcomes. A minimum of 29 African American (AA) patients were required to be enrolled to evaluate the effect of race on the primary endpoint. Secondary endpoints were toxicities, biochemical and radiologic progression free survival (PFS), and OS. Stratification was by presence of bone pain and race; AA or other. PSA was monitored monthly for first 7 months and then every 3 months. The target sample size was 82 evaluable patients but the study was stopped when early abiraterone showed OS benefit in mHSPC. Metastatic site biopsies were mandatory pretherapy and optional post therapy. Results: 71 men; 29 black, 41 white and 1 Asian were enrolled. The median age was 67 years (range 46-87 years) and median baseline PSA was 56.3 ng/ml in Arm A (4.2-10,431 ng/ml) and 60 (4.9-12,030 ng/ml) in Arm B. 27 pts (38.5%) had bone pain and 13 had visceral metastases. No seizures were noted in either arm. Grade 3+ AE’s on Arm A were: Hypertension (13%), infection (7%), and Snycope (7%) and on Arm B were: Hypertension (21%), Fatigue (7%), and Hematuria (7%). By intent to treat PSA nadir < 4ng/ml at month 7 was achieved in 96.3% pts in arm A and 66.7% pts in arm B and in 71.7% of AA men and 89.7% of Caucasians. The 6-month PSA remission duration rates after month 7 on Arms A and B were 86% and 79%, respectively. 53 (75%) biopsy samples had tumor tissue available. Tmprss2-Erg fusion gene expression and androgen biosynthetic enzyme levels were determined in metastatic biopsies and will be correlated with clinical endpoints. Conclusions: Early enzalutamide use in mHSPC has the potential to improve PSA remission rates and subsequently improve PFS and OS outcomes. Clinical trial information: NCT02058706.


2020 ◽  
Vol 38 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. e17507-e17507
Author(s):  
Vipal P. Durkal ◽  
Nicholas George Nickols ◽  
Matthew Rettig

e17507 Background: Prostate cancer commonly metastasizes to the bone and is associated with reduced survival, pathologic fractures and bone pain. The assessment of bone lesions is made with the technetium Tc99m(99mTc) bone scan, which relies on the subjective interpretation of radiologists and has a wide interobserver variability. There is an unmet need for a more objective and quantifiable measurement tool. Progenics Pharmaceuticals has introduced an automated bone scan index (aBSI), which employs artificial intelligence to quantify skeletal tumor burden. The automated bone scan index has been prospectively validated and is reproducible in large Phase III studies. The aBSI was validated by our study in the Veteran population at the West LA VA Medical Center. Methods: The first positive technetium 99 Tc99m bone scans of veterans diagnosed with metastatic, castration-sensitive prostate cancer were evaluated. Since 2011, a total of 107 evaluable patient bone scans were studied (n = 107). Patients with visceral metastases were excluded to evaluate only those with skeletal metastases. An automated bone scan index (aBSI) was generated for each scan using the Progenics Pharmaceuticals’ artificial intelligence platform. Multivariate analysis of aBSI with overall survival, prostate cancer specific survival, time from diagnosis to first positive bone scan, age at diagnosis, ethnicity, and Gleason score was assessed. Results: The study demonstrated a wide range of aBSI values (Range 0-16.84). Values calculated above the Median aBSI value (1.0) were prognostic for Overall Survival (p = 0.0009) and Prostate Cancer-Specific Survival (p = 0.0011). Patients in the highest quartile of aBSI values (range 5.2-16.84) showed a statistically significant Prostate Cancer-Specific Mortality (p = 0.0300) when compared to the lowest two quartiles (Range 0-1.07). The time from diagnosis to the first positive Tc99m bone scan statistically correlated with aBSI values (p = 0.0016). Multivariate analysis using Cox regression was utilized in the final statistical analysis of prostate cancer-specific mortality and overall survival. Conclusions: The automated Bone Scan Index provides a quantifiable and validated artificial intelligence biomarker to address an unmet need among metastatic prostate cancer patients. This tool was validated among Veterans, a pertinent population that is commonly affected by metastatic prostate cancer.


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