scholarly journals Prognosis of unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma: Comparison of seven staging systems (TNM, Okuda, BCLC, CLIP, CUPI, JIS, CIS) in a Chinese cohort.

2016 ◽  
Vol 34 (4_suppl) ◽  
pp. 305-305
Author(s):  
Feng JIN Zhang ◽  
JUN ZHI Shu ◽  
YI CHUN Xie ◽  
QI LI ◽  
Hong XI Jin ◽  
...  

305 Background: Many liver staging systems that include the tumor stage and the extent of liver function have been developed. However, Prognosis assessment for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remains controversial. In this study, the performances of 7 staging systems were compared in a cohort of patients with HCC who underwent non-surgical treatment. Methods: A total of 196 consecutive patients with HCC who underwent non-surgical treatment seen between January 1, 2004, and December 31, 2007, were included. Performances of TNM sixth edition, Okuda, Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC), Cancer of the Liver Italian Program (CLIP), Chinese University Prognostic Index (CUPI), Japan Integrated Staging (JIS), and China integrated score (CIS) have been compared and ranked using concordance index (c-index). Predictors of survival were identified using univariate and multivariate Cox model analyses. Results: The median survival time for the cohort was 7.6 months (95% CI 5.6-9.7). The independent predictors of survival were performance status (P <.001), serum sodium (P <.001), alkaline phosphatase (P <.001), tumor diameter greater than 5 cm (P =.001), portal vein invasion (P <.001), lymph node metastasis (P =.025), distant metastasis (P =.004). CUPI staging system had the best independent predictive power for survival when compared with the other six prognostic systems. Performance status and serum sodium improved the discriminatory ability of CUPI. Conclusions: In our selected patient population whose main etiology is hepatitis B, CUPI was the most suitable staging systems in predicting survival in patients with unresectable HCC. BCLC was the second top-ranking staging system. CLIP, JIS, CIS, and TNM sixth edition were not helpful in predicting survival outcome, and their use is not supported by our data. Clinical trial information: 1103-10.

2010 ◽  
Vol 28 (17) ◽  
pp. 2889-2895 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fidel-David Huitzil-Melendez ◽  
Marinela Capanu ◽  
Eileen M. O'Reilly ◽  
Austin Duffy ◽  
Bolorsukh Gansukh ◽  
...  

Purpose The purpose of cancer staging systems is to accurately predict patient prognosis. The outcome of advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) depends on both the cancer stage and the extent of liver dysfunction. Many staging systems that include both aspects have been developed. It remains unknown, however, which of these systems is optimal for predicting patient survival. Patients and Methods Patients with advanced HCC treated over a 5-year period at Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center were identified from an electronic medical record database. Patients with sufficient data for utilization in all staging systems were included. TNM sixth edition, Okuda, Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC), Cancer of the Liver Italian Program (CLIP), Chinese University Prognostic Index (CUPI), Japan Integrated Staging (JIS), and Groupe d'Etude et de Traitement du Carcinome Hepatocellulaire (GETCH) systems were ranked on the basis of their accuracy at predicting survival by using concordance index (c-index). Other independent prognostic variables were also identified. Results Overall, 187 eligible patients were identified and were staged by using the seven staging systems. CLIP, CUPI, and GETCH were the three top-ranking staging systems. BCLC and TNM sixth edition lacked any meaningful prognostic discrimination. Performance status, AST, abdominal pain, and esophageal varices improved the discriminatory ability of CLIP. Conclusion In our selected patient population, CLIP, CUPI, and GETCH were the most informative staging systems in predicting survival in patients with advanced HCC. Prospective validation is required to determine if they can be accurately used to stratify patients in clinical trials and to direct the appropriate need for systemic therapy versus best supportive care. BCLC and TNM sixth edition were not helpful in predicting survival outcome, and their use is not supported by our data.


2016 ◽  
Vol 34 (4_suppl) ◽  
pp. 347-347
Author(s):  
Ying-Fen Hong ◽  
Zhan-Hong Chen ◽  
Qu Lin ◽  
Min Dong ◽  
Xing Li ◽  
...  

347 Background: HBV infection is one of the main reasons for hepatocellular carcinoma(HCC). Patients with advanced HBV-associated HCC have poor prognosis. Life expectancy more than 3 months is one inclusion criteria for molecular targeted drugs in clinical trials. Prediction of 3-month OS and OS survival rate of advanced HCC patients is very important. A new prognostic system called PS-JIS system (proposed Performance Status combined Japan Integrated Staging system, variables and risk classification criteria are listed below) was established in 2015 and now we want to compare this new prognostic system and other three current staging systems in predicting the survival rate of patients with advanced HBV-associated HCC. Methods: From September 2008 to June 2010, 220 patients with advanced HCC who didn’t receive anti-cancer therapy recommended by NCCN guidelines were analyzed. Data were collected to classify patients according to CLIP (Cancer of the Liver Italian Program), PS-JIS, GETCH(Groupe d’étude et de Traitement du Carcinome Hepatocellulaire) and TNM staging system at diagnosis. OS and 3-month OS were the end points used in the analysis. Results: When predicting 3-month survival, ROC analysis show AUC of CLIP, PS-JIS, GETCH and TNM is 0.806, 0.761, 0.654 and 0.643. AUC of CLIP and PS-JIS is similar (P=0.1174), both significantly higher than the other two staging system (P<0.01). When predicting overall survival, likelihood ratio test show χ2 of CLIP, PS-JIS, GETCH and TNM is 74.00, 39.71, 23.09, 21.40. AIC of CLIP, PS-JIS, GETCH and TNM is 1601.46, 1635.80, 1655.06, 1654.77. The CLIP system has best performance in terms of discriminatory ability, homogeneity and monotonicity. Conclusions: The PS-JIS and CLIP systems were both the best score system in prediction of 3-month OS among the 4 systems and CLIP was still the best to predict OS analyzed for Chinese advanced HBV-associated HCC patients. [Table: see text]


2021 ◽  
Vol 39 (3_suppl) ◽  
pp. 317-317
Author(s):  
Kazufumi Kobayashi ◽  
Sadahisa Ogasawara ◽  
Aya Takahashi ◽  
Yuya Seko ◽  
Satoshi Tsuchiya ◽  
...  

317 Background: There have been considerable advances in systemic chemotherapy for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in recent times. Currently, four molecular target agents (MTA) are available for HCC treatment in Japan. Sequential therapy using multiple MTAs is being considered as the gold standard of treatment. However, the effectiveness of the treatment strategy transition for HCC remains unclear. The present study aimed to clarify the current practical use of MTAs and its effectiveness in HCC treatment. Methods: In this multicenter, retrospective study, we collected and analyzed the clinical data of 877 patients who underwent MTA therapy for HCC from June 2009 to March 2019 at several institutes in Japan. The patients were classified into 3 groups as per the period of initial MTA treatment beginning (period 1: 2009–2012, n = 267; period 2: 2013–2016, n = 352; period 3: 2017–2019, n = 258). These 3 periods were defined to have approximately same term. Period 3 means the era of multiple MTAs because of the approval of regorafenib in Japan in 2017. We assessed the patient characteristics, MTA use, and prognosis of the 3 groups. Results: The proportion of patients with advanced-stage HCC, defined according to the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer staging system, in each period was 70.1%, 66.5%, and 62.0% in period 1, 2, and 3, respectively. MTA use for intermediate stages increased with the passage of time ( p = 0.052). The proportion of multiple MTAs use was remarkably increased in the 3 groups (1.1%, 10.2%, and 42.6%, respectively, p < 0.0001). Child-Pugh score, proportion of macrovascular invasion, extrahepatic metastasis, and α-fetoprotein (AFP) ≥400 ng/mL showed no significant difference among the 3 groups. The median overall survival was 11.9 months for the entire cohort and 10.4, 11.3, and 15.2 months, for period 1, 2, and 3, respectively. It is noteworthy that the prognosis of patients with HCC improved over time ( p = 0.016). With respect to progression-free survival, the median value was 3.0 months for the entire cohort and 2.7, 2.8, and 4.7 months for period 1, 2, and 3, respectively ( p < 0.0001). The treatment duration was also prolonged with time (2.7, 3.2, and 6.6 months for period 1, 2, and 3, respectively; p < 0.0001). Multivariate analysis using Cox proportional hazard model showed that HCV infection, Child-Pugh score, performance status, α-fetoprotein ≥400 ng/mL, presence of macrovascular invasion, and period 3 for initial MTA introduction were independent prognostic factors. Conclusions: Sequential therapy with multiple MTAs has gained popularity with time and is considered to improve patient prognosis. The development of MTA therapy for HCC is expected to continue. Therefore, further studies are needed to help determine the appropriate drugs, the sequence of MTA use, and the precise transition time.


2021 ◽  
Vol 39 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. e16155-e16155
Author(s):  
Ting-Shi Su ◽  
Shi-Xiong Liang ◽  
Li-Qing Li ◽  
Qiu-Hua Liu ◽  
Xiao-Fei Zhu ◽  
...  

e16155 Background: External beam radiation therapy has been used as a palliative to radical treatment of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) depending on different tumor status, liver function and patient's general state of health. The existing models of HCC staging cannot perfectly predict the prognosis of radiotherapy. In this study, we aimed to set up a new staging system for radiotherapy-based treatment by incorporating bilirubin-albumin (ALBI) grade and tumor status for the prognostic classifications of HCC. Methods: This multicenter cohort study included 878 HCC patients who received radiotherapy-based treatment. A new staging system was established: stage I, solitary nodule without macrovascular invasion or 2-3 nodules with no more than 3.0 cm each other and PS 0-2 (Ia: ALBI-1 grade; Ib: ALBI-2 or 3 grade); stage II: 2-3 nodules with anyone more than 3.0 cm or ≥4 nodules and PS 0-2 (IIa: ALBI-1 grade; IIb: ALBI-2 grade); stage III: macrovascular invasion or regional lymph node metastasis or distant metastasis and PS 0-2 (IIIa: ALBI-1 grade; IIIb:ALBI-2 grade); stage IV: ALBI-3 grade without stage I patient or/and PS score 3-4. The new modified staging system and the existing staging systems, such as the BCLC, TNM, CNLC staging systems were used for prognostic analysis. All patients were separated into different stages and substages. The long-term overall survival outcomes and time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) were analyzed. Results: A training cohort of 595 patients underwent stereotactic body radiotherapy (SBRT) from 2011 to 2017 and an external validation cohort of 283 patients underwent intensity-modulated radiotherapy (IMRT) from 2000 to 2013 were included into establishing and validating the new staging system. In the training cohort, the median follow-up time was 55 months (range, 6–100 months), and the new staging system had a good discriminatory ability to separate patients into different stages with 4 notably different curves and substages with 7 notably different curves. BCLC staging could not differentiate stage 0 to A, and stage C to D in these selected patients. TNM staging could not completely distinguish stage IIIb to IV, but also stage Ia to Ib. CNLC staging could not differentiate among stage IIIa, IIIb, and IV. In the external validation, the median follow-up time was 95 months (range, 9–120 months), and the new staging system also had a good discriminatory ability to separate patients into different stages with 4 notably different curves and substages with 7 notably different curves. The new staging system had a better area under curve of time-dependent ROC than BCLC, TNM and CNLC staging in both SBRT and IMRT cohorts. Conclusions: The new modified (Su’s) staging system could provide a good discriminatory ability to separate patients into different stages and substages after radiotherapy treatment. It may be used to supplement the other HCC staging systems.


2013 ◽  
Vol 31 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. e15093-e15093
Author(s):  
Mabel Joey Teng ◽  
Ravindhi Lakmalee Nathavitharana ◽  
Richard Fox ◽  
Sarah Berhane ◽  
Anna Skowronska ◽  
...  

e15093 Background: Factors that influence prognosis in HCC are well-recognised. They include tumour size and number, the severity of liver dysfunction and the symptomology. Several staging systems combining a number of these factors offer an estimate of prognosis. Some concerned that these staging systems encompass factors that are inherently subjective, e.g. the extent of HCC in CLIP or the use of performance status in BCLC. This have led to the development BALAD score by Toyoda et al, using serum Bilirubin and Albumin and three biomarkers: alpha-fetoprotein-L3 (L3), Alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) and Des-gamma-carboxy prothrombin (DCP). This system was developed in a Japanese population which has mainly HCV-related HCC. Our aim was to develop an objective staging system using the three biomarkers for a western population and compared it to BALAD to assess its performance. Methods: 317 subjects with HCC were recruited from Birmingham, UK between 2007 and 2011. Blood samples were collected at the time of diagnosis. Liver, renal functions plus AFP, L3 and DCP were measured. L3 and DCP were measured by microchip capillary electrophoresis and liquid-phase binding assay on a uTASWako i30 auto analyzer (Wako Pure Chemical Industries Ltd, Japan). Results: Univariable and multivariable regression analyses were performed. Our scoring system (CRCTU score) was developed based on a flexible baseline hazard functions fitted using restricted cubic splines. Suitable fractional polynomials (FP) were used to explain relationship between the outcome and covariates. The level of discrimination achieved using the risk groups was assess by Harrell’s–C statistic. The CRCTU score permitted identification of 4 clearly distinct subgroups as indicated both graphically and by Harrell’s-C values. Both the CRCTU and BALAD scores return Harrell’s-C values of 0.7. Conclusions: We have shown that it is possible to use entirely objective markers to predict prognosis of HCC in a western population. Our model is comparable to the BALAD with the same variables included. However, our treatment of variables with FP is much more robust statistical technique for continuous variable as compared to having artificial categories that were seen in the BALAD system.


Author(s):  
Soumya Jogi ◽  
Radha Varanasi ◽  
Sravani S Bantu ◽  
Sudha Saduvala ◽  
Ashish Manne

Management of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is complicated. Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) staging system is widely used in risk stratifying HCC. It is different from anatomic staging (TNM) used in other cancers and is based on the liver function (Child-Pugh Score) and performance status at diagnosis along with tumor characteristics like size/number of primary, vascular invasion, and distant metastasis. Guidelines proposed by various liver societies help the treating physician select first-line therapy, but there are many limitations to them. Lack of reliable biomarkers that give objective information to monitor the response other than alpha-fetoprotein or radiological response is hurting the management strategies. There are no ideal predictors for recurrence and residual microscopic disease, especially after locoregional therapy (LRT) like surgical resection, ablation, transarterial chemoembolization (TACE), transarterial radioembolization (TARE), and stereotactic radiation therapy (SBRT). Also, there is no convincing evidence to use adjunct therapy along with LRT in localized HCC. There is a need to identify the subset of HCC that would benefit from peri-procedural therapy. Recommendations for treating advanced HCC with macrovascular invasion is not uniform across the guidelines. Some propose LRT (TACE and/or TARE) or recommend systemic therapy only like tyrosine-kinase inhibitors (TKI) or Immune-checkpoint inhibitors (ICI). A considerable portion of patients have poor liver function (Child-Pugh Score C) at diagnosis. In this era of medicine, we should give them options other than supportive care, but unfortunately, it is the preferred option. This population needs special attention in trials. In current practice, there only 2-3 classes of drugs available like TKI, ICI, and vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) inhibitors. There is a need to explore more classes of liver-friendly drugs in treating HCC, and the enrolment of patients in clinical trials must be advised in the guidelines.


PeerJ ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 7 ◽  
pp. e7942
Author(s):  
Junjie Kong ◽  
Tao Wang ◽  
Shu Shen ◽  
Zifei Zhang ◽  
Xianwei Yang ◽  
...  

Liver resection surgery is the most commonly used treatment strategy for patients diagnosed with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, there is still a chance for recurrence in these patients despite the survival benefits of this procedure. This study aimed to explore recurrence-related genes (RRGs) and establish a genomic-clinical nomogram for predicting postoperative recurrence in HCC patients. A total of 123 differently expressed genes and three RRGs (PZP, SPP2, and PRC1) were identified from online databases via Cox regression and LASSO logistic regression analyses and a gene-based risk model containing RRGs was then established. The Harrell’s concordance index (C-index), receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and calibration curves showed that the model performed well. Finally, a genomic-clinical nomogram incorporating the gene-based risk model, AJCC staging system, and Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status was constructed to predict the 1-, 2-, and 3-year recurrence-free survival rates (RFS) for HCC patients. The C-index, ROC analysis, and decision curve analysis were good indicators of the nomogram’s performance. In conclusion, we identified three reliable RRGs associated with the recurrence of cancer and constructed a nomogram that performed well in predicting RFS for HCC patients. These findings could enrich our understanding of the mechanisms for HCC recurrence, help surgeons predict patients’ prognosis, and promote HCC treatment.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document