Patient-specific meta-analysis of 3 validation studies of the 12-gene colon cancer recurrence score assay for recurrence risk assessment after surgery with or without 5FU and oxaliplatin.

2021 ◽  
Vol 39 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. 3599-3599
Author(s):  
Greg Yothers ◽  
Alan P. Venook ◽  
Takeharu Yamanaka ◽  
Yan Lin ◽  
Michael Crager ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Colon Cancer ◽  
Meta Analysis ◽  
Recurrence Score ◽  
Recurrence Risk ◽  
Current Medical ◽  
Stage Ii ◽  
Patient Specific ◽  
Risk Estimates ◽  
Oxaliplatin Treatment ◽  
Current Medical Practice

3599 Background: The 12-gene Oncotype DX Colon Recurrence Score assay is a clinically validated genomic assay that evaluates recurrence risks in stage II and stage III colon cancer patients independent of clinical-pathologic features. Improved colon cancer care has reduced recurrence rates since the late 1990’s. Methods: Pre-specified patient-specific meta-analysis methods were used to estimate 1-, 3- and 5-year recurrence risk combining the 12-gene colon recurrence score (RS) validation studies CALGB 9581, NSABP C-07 and SUNRISE. Cox models had effects for RS result, number of nodes examined (<12 or ≥ 12), T-stage, MMR status, and stage (II, IIIAB or IIIC). Baseline cumulative hazard estimates used the latest two studies to reflect current medical practice. Estimates for surgery, surgery+5FU and surgery+5FU+oxaliplatin treatment were provided by integrating stage-specific 5FU hazard ratios from a meta-analysis of the QUASAR study (2007) and a pooled analysis of NSABP studies (Wilkinson 2010), and oxaliplatin treatment effect estimates from NSABP C-07. Recurrence risk with 5FU alone was not estimated for MMR-deficient patients due to expected lack of 5FU efficacy in these patients (Sargent 2010). Results: In the overall population of 2,179 patients, 55%, 32% and 13% were Stage II, IIIA/B and IIIC, 63% had ≥12 nodes examined, 90% were T3, and 88% were MMR proficient. Median RS result was 31 (IQR 23–39). RS result and each clinical-pathologic factor contributed independent prognostic information (meta-analysis Wald tests, all p<.001). Risk estimates are generally lower than previous RS report risk estimates. For patients with pathological stage II, T3, MMR-proficient tumors with ≥12 nodes examined, approximately 40% are expected to have 5-year recurrence risk ≤10% with surgery alone based on the distribution of RS results. The table shows example 5-year recurrence risk estimates for specific RS results and clinical-pathologic characteristics. Conclusions: The new recurrence risk estimates provide more patient-specific information reflecting more current medical practice than previous reports using RS result, allowing better, more individualized treatment decisions.[Table: see text]

scholarly journals Validation of the 12-Gene Colon Cancer Recurrence Score in NSABP C-07 As a Predictor of Recurrence in Patients With Stage II and III Colon Cancer Treated With Fluorouracil and Leucovorin (FU/LV) and FU/LV Plus Oxaliplatin

2013 ◽  
Vol 31 (36) ◽  
pp. 4512-4519 ◽  
Author(s):  
Greg Yothers ◽  
Michael J. O'Connell ◽  
Mark Lee ◽  
Margarita Lopatin ◽  
Kim M. Clark-Langone ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Colon Cancer ◽  
Adjuvant Therapy ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Cancer Recurrence ◽  
Recurrence Score ◽  
Recurrence Risk ◽  
Stage Ii ◽  
Stage Iii ◽  
Treatment Benefit ◽  
Stage Ii Colon Cancer

Purpose Accurate assessments of recurrence risk and absolute treatment benefit are needed to inform colon cancer adjuvant therapy. The 12-gene Recurrence Score assay has been validated in patients with stage II colon cancer from the Cancer and Leukemia Group B 9581 and Quick and Simple and Reliable (QUASAR) trials. We conducted an independent, prospectively designed clinical validation study of Recurrence Score, with prespecified end points and analysis plan, in archival specimens from patients with stage II and III colon cancer randomly assigned to fluorouracil (FU) or FU plus oxaliplatin in National Surgical Adjuvant Breast and Bowel Project C-07. Methods Recurrence Score was assessed in 892 fixed, paraffin-embedded tumor specimens (randomly selected 50% of patients with tissue). Data were analyzed by Cox regression adjusting for stage and treatment. Results Continuous Recurrence Score predicted recurrence (hazard ratio for a 25-unit increase in score, 1.96; 95% CI, 1.50 to 2.55; P < .001), as well as disease-free and overall survival (both P < .001). Recurrence Score predicted recurrence risk (P = .001) after adjustment for stage, mismatch repair, nodes examined, grade, and treatment. Recurrence Score did not have significant interaction with stage (P = .90) or age (P = .76). Relative benefit of oxaliplatin was similar across the range of Recurrence Score (interaction P = .48); accordingly, absolute benefit of oxaliplatin increased with higher scores, most notably in patients with stage II and IIIA/B disease. Conclusion The 12-gene Recurrence Score predicts recurrence risk in stage II and stage III colon cancer and provides additional information beyond conventional clinical and pathologic factors. Incorporating Recurrence Score into the clinical context may better inform adjuvant therapy decisions in stage III as well as stage II colon cancer.

Validation of the 12-gene colon cancer recurrence score (RS) in NSABP C07 as a predictor of recurrence in stage II and III colon cancer patients treated with 5FU/LV (FU) and 5FU/LV+oxaliplatin (FU+Ox).

2012 ◽  
Vol 30 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. 3512-3512 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michael O'Connell ◽  
Mark Lee ◽  
Margarita Lopatin ◽  
Greg Yothers ◽  
Kim Clark-Langone ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Colon Cancer ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Cox Model ◽  
Disease Free Survival ◽  
Recurrence Score ◽  
Recurrence Risk ◽  
Stage Ii ◽  
Rt Pcr ◽  
Relative Benefit ◽  
Stage Ii Colon Cancer

3512 Background: Standardized clinical tools which accurately quantify recurrence risk are needed for optimal adjuvant treatment of colon cancer. The 12-gene RS has been validated in stage II colon cancer pts from QUASAR and CALGB 9581. We conducted a large prospectively-designed clinical validation study of RS, w/ pre-specified endpoints, methods, and analysis plan, in stage II and III colon cancer pts randomized to FU or FU+Ox in NSABP C-07. Methods: 50% of C-07 pts w/ tissue were randomly selected, stratified on stage (AJCC 6th) and recurrence. Gene expression was quantitated by RT-PCR on 25 µm manually microdissected fixed colon tumor tissue. Data were analyzed by Cox regression controlling for stage and treatment (TRT). Results: RT-PCR was successful in 892/921 pts (97%): 449 FU, 443 FU + Ox; 264 st II, 409 st IIIA/B, 219 st IIIC. The primary endpoint was met: RS predicted recurrence (HR/25 units=1.96, 95% CI 1.50-2.55 p<.001). RS also predicted disease-free survival (p<.001) and overall survival (p<.001). RS predicted recurrence (p=.001) independent of T and N stage, MMR, nodes examined, grade, and TRT. Predefined high RS group (26% of pts) had higher recurrence risk than low RS group (39% of pts): HR=2.11, p<.001. Cox model 5 yr recurrence risk (95%CI) in FU treated pts by RS group (low, int, high): st II 9% (6-13%), 13% (8-17%), 18% (12-25%); st IIIA/B 21% (16-26%), 29% (24-34%), 38% (30-46%); st IIIC 40% (32-48%), 51% (43-59%), 64% (55-74%). RS did not have significant interaction w/ stage (p=0.90) or age (p=0.76). Relative benefit of Ox was similar across range of RS (interaction p=0.48); accordingly, in Cox model and Kaplan-Meier analyses, absolute benefit of Ox increased w/ higher RS. Conclusions: RS predicts recurrence risk in stage II and III colon cancer, capturing underlying biology and providing risk information beyond conventional factors. RS is not predictive of relative benefit of Ox added to adjuvant FU but enables better discrimination of absolute Ox benefit as a function of risk. Incorporating RS into the clinical context may better inform adjuvant therapy decisions for pts w/ stage III as well as stage II colon cancer.

Validation Study of a Quantitative Multigene Reverse Transcriptase–Polymerase Chain Reaction Assay for Assessment of Recurrence Risk in Patients With Stage II Colon Cancer

2011 ◽  
Vol 29 (35) ◽  
pp. 4611-4619 ◽  
Author(s):  
Richard G. Gray ◽  
Philip Quirke ◽  
Kelly Handley ◽  
Margarita Lopatin ◽  
Laura Magill ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Gene Expression ◽  
Colon Cancer ◽  
Recurrence Score ◽  
Recurrence Risk ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Stage Ii ◽  
Treatment Benefit ◽  
Risk Of Recurrence ◽  
T Stage ◽  
Stage Ii Colon Cancer

Purpose We developed quantitative gene expression assays to assess recurrence risk and benefits from chemotherapy in patients with stage II colon cancer. Patients and Methods We sought validation by using RNA extracted from fixed paraffin-embedded primary colon tumor blocks from 1,436 patients with stage II colon cancer in the QUASAR (Quick and Simple and Reliable) study of adjuvant fluoropyrimidine chemotherapy versus surgery alone. A recurrence score (RS) and a treatment score (TS) were calculated from gene expression levels of 13 cancer-related genes (n = 7 recurrence genes and n = 6 treatment benefit genes) and from five reference genes with prespecified algorithms. Cox proportional hazards regression models and log-rank methods were used to analyze the relationship between the RS and risk of recurrence in patients treated with surgery alone and between TS and benefits of chemotherapy. Results Risk of recurrence was significantly associated with RS (hazard ratio [HR] per interquartile range, 1.38; 95% CI, 1.11 to 1.74; P = .004). Recurrence risks at 3 years were 12%, 18%, and 22% for predefined low, intermediate, and high recurrence risk groups, respectively. T stage (HR, 1.94; P < .001) and mismatch repair (MMR) status (HR, 0.31; P < .001) were the strongest histopathologic prognostic factors. The continuous RS was associated with risk of recurrence (P = .006) beyond these and other covariates. There was no trend for increased benefit from chemotherapy at higher TS (P = .95). Conclusion The continuous 12-gene RS has been validated in a prospective study for assessment of recurrence risk in patients with stage II colon cancer after surgery and provides prognostic value that complements T stage and MMR. The TS was not predictive of chemotherapy benefit.

Prospective multicenter study of the impact of the 12-gene assay recurrence score on adjuvant chemotherapy treatment recommendations for stage II/III colon cancer in the post-IDEA era: SUNRISE-Decision Impact study.

2018 ◽  
Vol 36 (4_suppl) ◽  
pp. TPS868-TPS868
Author(s):  
Takeharu Yamanaka ◽  
Takeo Sato ◽  
Sayoko Nakashima ◽  
Takayuki Yoshino
Keyword(s):  
Colon Cancer ◽  
Adjuvant Chemotherapy ◽  
Recurrence Score ◽  
Recurrence Risk ◽  
Treatment Recommendations ◽  
Stage Ii ◽  
Stage Iii ◽  
Treatment Recommendation ◽  
Gene Assay ◽  
The Impact

TPS868 Background: The results of IDEA collaboration study in ASCO 2017 suggested that adjusting the duration of adjuvant chemotherapy (CTx) for stage III colon cancer may be possible according to patient’s risk (T and N factors) and treatment regimen (FOLFOX and CAPOX) in order to balance the benefit and neurotoxicity of oxaliplatin-based CTx. The 12-Gene Assay Recurrence Score (12-gene RS), known as Oncotype DX, has been validated to predict the recurrence risk of stage II/III colon cancer patients through several studies, including our SUNRISE study (J Clin Oncol, 2016), and thus to personalize adjuvant CTx taking account of individual recurrence risk. The objective of this SUNRISE-DI study is to determine the impact of the 12-gene RS on adjuvant CTx treatment recommendations, including the decision for the duration of oxaliplatin-based CTx in stage III patients as well as that for oxaliplatin-based CTx versus 5FU-based monotherapy in stage II/III patients. This study enables us to evaluate how physicians employ the IDEA collaboration results combined with the 12-gene RS to determine the regimen. Methods: Patients who have a curatively resected Stage II/IIIA/IIIB colon cancer, an age of more than 20, and an ECOG PS of 0-1 are eligible. Treating physicians will formulate a treatment recommendation and complete a pre-assay questionnaire, and the 12-gene assay will be performed. Following receipt of the RS result, the treatment recommendation will be revised and a post-assay questionnaire completed. The primary endpoint is the proportion of changes in treatment recommendations between pre- and post-assay across all patients. Secondary endpoints include the proportion of changes by stage; the proportion of changes in the duration of oxaliplatin-based CTx (3 months vs 6 months); the proportion switched to observation only, 5-FU mono, or 5-FU plus oxaliplatin; and changes in expressed physician confidence level. The enrollment target is 200 patients with stage IIIA/IIIB and 100 patients with stage II from 15 centers in Japan. Clinical trial registry number: UMIN000028784

A quantitative multigene RT-PCR assay for prediction of recurrence in stage II colon cancer: Selection of the genes in four large studies and results of the independent, prospectively designed QUASAR validation study

2009 ◽  
Vol 27 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. 4000-4000 ◽  
Author(s):  
D. Kerr ◽  
R. Gray ◽  
P. Quirke ◽  
D. Watson ◽  
G. Yothers ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Colon Cancer ◽  
Validation Study ◽  
Recurrence Score ◽  
Recurrence Risk ◽  
Stage Ii ◽  
Cancer Tissue ◽  
Development Studies ◽  
Rt Pcr ◽  
Total N ◽  
Stage Ii Colon Cancer

4000 Background: New clinical tools are needed to improve risk assessment and treatment decisions in stage II colon cancer. Four development studies [Surgery (Sx) alone: NSABP C-01/C-02 (n=270) and CCF study (n=765); Sx+5FU/LV: NSABP C-04 (n=308) and C-06 (n=508)] were performed to select the genes for prediction of recurrence and 5FU/LV benefit. To determine clinical utility of the prespecified assay, we performed a large, independent, prospectively designed, clinical validation study in stage II colon cancer pts from the QUASAR trial. Methods: Gene expression was quantitated by RT-PCR from 30 μm manually microdissected fixed paraffin-embedded primary colon cancer tissue. Recurrence-free interval (RFI), disease-free survival (DFS), and overall survival (OS) were analyzed using Cox regression. Results: Combined analysis of the four development studies (total n=1,851; 761 candidate genes) identified 48 genes significantly associated with recurrence risk and 66 genes predictive of 5FU/LV benefit. Multivariate analysis, in the context of stage, grade, nodes examined, and MSI status, yielded 18 genes (7 prognostic genes, 6 predictive genes, 5 reference genes) and separate prognostic recurrence score (RS) and predictive treatment score (TS) algorithms. In the QUASAR validation study, tumor blocks were collected for 68% of pts; 1,490 pts with blocks had stage II colon cancer and RT-PCR was successful in 1,436 eligible pts (711 Sx, 725 Sx+5FU/LV). Median FU=6.6 yrs. In the primary analysis of RFI in pts following Sx, the RS predicted recurrence risk (HR/25 units=1.58, 95% CI 1.15–2.15; p=0.004). The RS also predicted DFS (p=0.01) and OS (p=0.04). Recurrence risk increased monotonically with increasing RS. In multivariate analyses, RS retained prognostic significance (p=0.008) independent of mismatch repair (MMR), T stage, nodes examined, grade, and lymphovascular invasion. MMR deficiency (HR=0.31, 95% CI 0.15–0.63; p<0.001) and T4 stage (HR=1.94, 95% CI 1.35–2.79; p=0.005), together ∼25% of pts, also were independently prognostic. 5FU/LV benefit was significant (p<0.001). However, TS was not validated as a predictor of 5FU/LV benefit (interaction p=0.19). Conclusions: The colon cancer recurrence score is a validated, independent predictor of individualized recurrence risk for stage II colon cancer patients following surgery. [Table: see text]

Impact of the Recurrence Score (RS) result and mismatch repair status (MMR) on agreement between oncologists (MDs) for stage II colon cancer (CC) recurrence risk (RR) assessment: A novel clinical utility endpoint for prognostic markers.

2013 ◽  
Vol 31 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. e14569-e14569
Author(s):  
Robin Katie Kelley ◽  
Margarita Lopatin ◽  
Jimmy Hwang ◽  
Michael Crager ◽  
Adrienne A Brenner ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Colon Cancer ◽  
Clinical Utility ◽  
Clinical Decision Making ◽  
Linear Models ◽  
Prognostic Markers ◽  
Recurrence Score ◽  
Clinical Decision ◽  
Recurrence Risk ◽  
Stage Ii

e14569 Background: Appropriate use of prognostic and predictive markers depends on quality of evidence for clinical utility in addition to clinical validity. In stage II CC, RR assessment is based traditionally on clinicopathologic factors (CP) with limited clinical validation and varies substantially across providers. We hypothesized that the validated Oncotype DX Colon Cancer RS and MMR tests may impact clinical decision-making by decreasing variation in RR assessment across MDs. We conducted a survey to compare the level of MD agreement on stage II CC RR assessment using CP alone vs CP+RS+MMR (CP+). Methods: A clinical trial database was randomly sampled for 100 cases of stage II CC stratified on T-stage, MMR and RS groups. Anonymous internet surveys asked each MD to assess 3-year RR for 10 cases with CP and 10 different cases with CP+. MDs were divided into panels of 5; all members of each panel reviewed the same cases. Agreement in RR among MDs was assessed using within-panel mean squared difference in RR assessments and analyzed using generalized linear models. Results: 30 community (C) and 20 university-based (U) MDs (Assoc of Northern California Oncologists or NCCN, respectively) completed evaluable surveys April-June 2012. For C vs U, median years in practice were 5 and 2; prior use of RS 13% vs 25%; and routine MMR use 21% vs 55%. The standard deviation of the differences (SDD) in RR assessments for CP alone was high overall (7%), and greater for U vs C MDs (8.2% vs 6.4%). CP+ produced higher agreement in RR assessments vs CP for both C (p<.001) and U (p=0.04) MDs, with 23% and 20% proportional reduction in SDD. ForT3 MMR-proficient (P) patients (n=70), CP+ produced higher agreement in RR for both C (p<0.001) and U (p=0.01) MDs with 37% and 29% reduction in SDD. Conclusions: Addition of RS+MMR to CP significantly increased MD agreement on RR assessment in stage II CC, including T3 MMR-P patients. Agreement was higher among C than U MDs. MD agreement on stage II CC RR assessment and Tx decision-making warrants consideration as a novel endpoint for clinical utility of RS, MMR, and other prognostic markers.

12-Gene Recurrence Score Assay Stratifies the Recurrence Risk in Stage II/III Colon Cancer With Surgery Alone: The SUNRISE Study

2016 ◽  
Vol 34 (24) ◽  
pp. 2906-2913 ◽  
Author(s):  
Takeharu Yamanaka ◽  
Eiji Oki ◽  
Kentaro Yamazaki ◽  
Kensei Yamaguchi ◽  
Kei Muro ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Colon Cancer ◽  
Risk Group ◽  
Recurrence Score ◽  
Recurrence Risk ◽  
High Risk Group ◽  
Stage Ii ◽  
Stage Iii ◽  
Stage Iiia ◽  
Resected Stage ◽  
Stage Ii Colon Cancer

Purpose The 12-gene Recurrence Score assay has been validated in resected stage II colon cancer treated with or without chemotherapy and resected stage III disease treated with chemotherapy. This study evaluated the 12-gene Recurrence Score assay for stage II and III colon cancer without chemotherapy to reveal the natural course of recurrence risk in stage III disease. Methods A cohort-sampling design was used. From 1,487 consecutive patients with stage II to III disease who had surgery alone, 630 patients were sampled for inclusion with a 1:2 ratio of recurrence and nonrecurrence. Sampling was stratified by stage (II v III). The assay was performed on formalin-fixed, paraffin-embedded primary cancer tissue. Association of the Recurrence Score result with recurrence-free interval (RFI) was assessed by using weighted Cox proportional hazards regression. Results Overall, 597 of 630 patients were analyzable—247 patients had stage II, and 350 had stage III colon cancer. The continuous Recurrence Score was significantly associated with RFI after adjustment for disease stage (hazard ratio for a 25-unit increase in Recurrence Score, 2.05; 95% CI, 1.47 to 2.86; P < .001). With respect to prespecified subgroups, as defined by low (< 30), intermediate (30 to 40), and high (≥ 41) Recurrence Score risk groups, patients with stage II disease in the high-risk group had a 5-year risk of recurrence similar to patients with stage IIIA to IIIB disease in the low-risk group (19% v 20%), whereas patients with stage IIIA to IIIB disease in the high-risk group had a recurrence risk similar to that of patients with stage IIIC disease in the low-risk group (approximately 38%). Conclusion To our knowledge, this study provides the first validation of the 12-gene Recurrence Score assay in stage III colon cancer without chemotherapy and showed the heterogeneity of recurrence risks in stage III as well as in stage II colon cancer.

A Validation Study for Recurrence Risk Stratification of Stage II Colon Cancer Using the 55-Gene Classifier

Oncology ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 98 (8) ◽  
pp. 534-541
Author(s):  
Eiji Shinto ◽  
Eiji Oki ◽  
Mototsugu Shimokawa ◽  
Shigeki Yamaguchi ◽  
Megumi Ishiguro ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Colon Cancer ◽  
Risk Stratification ◽  
Validation Study ◽  
Recurrence Risk ◽  
Stage Ii ◽  
Stage Ii Colon Cancer
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