EXPERT ANALYSIS AND METHOD OF RISK ASSESSMENT IN THE TRANSPORT OF DANGEROUS GOODS

2016 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 254-258
Author(s):  
Кондратов ◽  
S. Kondratov ◽  
Новиков ◽  
A. Novikov
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Risk Analysis ◽  
Experimental Determination ◽  
Functional Model ◽  
Dangerous Goods ◽  
Expert Analysis ◽  
Transport Of Dangerous Goods ◽  
Methodological Aspects

The article deals with the methodological aspects of risk analysis for the carriage of dangerous goods by road, in the system «man - machine - environment - the goods». A functional model of risk in the transport of dangerous goods. Analyzed the main methods of risk assessment in the system «M-M-E-G». The possibility of experimental determination of dominant parameters.

A Tool for GIS Based Risk Analysis for Transportation of Dangerous Goods on Road (the RAGISADR)

2016 ◽  
pp. 394-415 ◽  
Author(s):  
Serhan Karabulut ◽  
Ebru V. Ocalir-Akunal
Keyword(s):  
Risk Analysis ◽  
Evaluation Criteria ◽  
Analysis Model ◽  
Analytic Hierarchy ◽  
The Road ◽  
Dangerous Goods ◽  
International Regulations ◽  
Transport Of Dangerous Goods ◽  
Environmental Risk Analysis ◽  
Hierarchy Process

In this study, an environmental risk analysis model is developed as a decision support system (the RAGISADR) in order to assess environmental risks for transportation of dangerous goods. Transport of dangerous goods needs to be regulated to prevent accidents. Moving dangerous goods by road is governed by international regulations. GIS are used to quantify the factors on each link in the network that contribute to each of the evaluation criteria for a possible route. The Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) is used to assign weights to factors. The priority weights of each environmental criteria is calculated by using Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) before risk models are implemented in the road network of Izmir-Manisa-Aydin-Mugla-Denizli (Aegean Region of Turkey). The most convenient route according to the criteria set is determined. The results give decision maker the possibility to choose the best alternative among possible routes according to certain criteria.

A Tool for GIS Based Risk Analysis for Transportation of Dangerous Goods on Road (the RAGISADR)

2016 ◽  
pp. 752-772
Author(s):  
Serhan Karabulut ◽  
Ebru V. Ocalir-Akunal
Keyword(s):  
Risk Analysis ◽  
Evaluation Criteria ◽  
Analysis Model ◽  
Analytic Hierarchy ◽  
The Road ◽  
Dangerous Goods ◽  
International Regulations ◽  
Transport Of Dangerous Goods ◽  
Environmental Risk Analysis ◽  
Hierarchy Process

In this study, an environmental risk analysis model is developed as a decision support system (the RAGISADR) in order to assess environmental risks for transportation of dangerous goods. Transport of dangerous goods needs to be regulated to prevent accidents. Moving dangerous goods by road is governed by international regulations. GIS are used to quantify the factors on each link in the network that contribute to each of the evaluation criteria for a possible route. The Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) is used to assign weights to factors. The priority weights of each environmental criteria is calculated by using Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) before risk models are implemented in the road network of Izmir-Manisa-Aydin-Mugla-Denizli (Aegean Region of Turkey). The most convenient route according to the criteria set is determined. The results give decision maker the possibility to choose the best alternative among possible routes according to certain criteria.

scholarly journals Commercial Vehicles Incapacity Risk Analysis in the Transport Company

2019 ◽  
Vol 49 (4) ◽  
pp. 321-340
Author(s):  
Andrzej Niewczas ◽  
Łukasz Mórawski ◽  
Ewa Dębicka ◽  
Anna Borucka
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Risk Analysis ◽  
Transport System ◽  
Operational Research ◽  
Risk Model ◽  
Assessment Model ◽  
Risk Assessment Model ◽  
Commercial Vehicles ◽  
Selection Of

Abstract A proposal was presented to assess the incapacity risk of commercial vehicles performing transport tasks under market conditions. The risk assessment model in the form of cost was used, which is based on the determination of operational efficiency, referring the probable costs of ensuring the reliability of the transport system to the estimated threshold income. It includes costs: incidental repairs, unplanned downtime and resulting from the presumed loss of client’s trust. Operational research were carried out on a group of several dozen vehicles, registering their operational states during several years of use. The results of the research confirmed the suitability of the incapacity risk model for predicting potential expenses for guarantee the vehicle’s continuity of running in the company and to verify the selection of the vehicle brand and the period of use.

scholarly journals Road Transport of Dangerous Goods in Poland – Risk Analysis

2019 ◽  
Vol 31 (5) ◽  
pp. 559-568
Author(s):  
Monika Madej ◽  
Michał Pająk
Keyword(s):  
Risk Analysis ◽  
Road Transport ◽  
Time Of Day ◽  
Road Accident ◽  
The Road ◽  
Consequence Analysis ◽  
Dangerous Goods ◽  
Likelihood Analysis ◽  
Transport Of Dangerous Goods ◽  
Gis Software

The paper presents the methodology for the risk analysis of the road transport of dangerous goods. The risk analysis includes the societal risk for communities living or staying within a radius of six kilometres from all national roads in Poland. The GIS software was employed to make this analysis. The prepared matrix has included the product of the likelihood of a road accident involving explosive dangerous goods and the consequences for communities living in the abovementioned area. The likelihood analysis was developed for explosive and toxic dangerous goods. The consequence analysis was based on the population density, according to which a respective number of people was assigned to each building, depending on the time of day (daytime, nighttime). Each stage of the analysis was presented in the form of a map. In total, two variants of the likelihood analysis, four variants of the consequence analysis and four variants of risk analysis have been developed. All analyses have been developed for the entire country.

Assessing the risks associated with the transport of dangerous goods by truck and rail using the RISKMOD model

1989 ◽  
Vol 16 (3) ◽  
pp. 326-334 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Van Aerde ◽  
J. Shortreed ◽  
A. M. Stewart ◽  
M. Matthews
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Fault Tree Analysis ◽  
Damage Threshold ◽  
Assessment Model ◽  
Total Risk ◽  
Damage Models ◽  
Dangerous Goods ◽  
Risk Cost ◽  
Transport Of Dangerous Goods ◽  
The Impact

To provide an objective tool for assessing the risks involved in the transport of dangerous goods, a model called RISKMOD-I was developed for Transport Canada by the Institute for Risk Research. The model implements the computational aspects of a comprehensive risk assessment methodology which addresses both the quantitative and qualitative aspects of dangerous goods releases following a transport incident. This paper describes the model's implementation, data requirements, and outputs.The risk assessment model consists of an analysis of link-specific accident rates and a fault tree analysis to determine the probability of a dangerous good release of a particular type. In parallel, a series of commodity-specified damage models compute the impact areas associated with representative sizes and types of releases. The impact areas for each damage threshold are then multiplied by the population density and property exposure along each link to determine the total risk associated with a dangerous goods shipment that uses the link. This estimate of total risk can optimally be further converted into a risk cost value in monetary terms and summarized for the entire route. Both the risk and risk cost estimates are intended to be used in conjunction with other subjective analyses and performance measures to provide a comprehensive decision-making aid for risk managers. Key words: dangerous goods transport, truck and rail accidents, risk analysis.

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