scholarly journals Application of Panel Data Models to Exchange Rates’ Modeling for Scandinavian and Central and Eastern European Countries

2009 ◽  
Vol 9 (0) ◽  
pp. 51
Author(s):  
Dorota Górecka ◽  
Dominik Śliwicki
Keyword(s):  
Panel Data ◽  
Exchange Rates ◽  
Data Models ◽  
European Countries ◽  
Panel Data Models ◽  
Eastern European ◽  
Eastern European Countries

scholarly journals Spatiotemporal Econometrics Models for Old Age Mortality in Europe

Mathematics ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (9) ◽  
pp. 1061
Author(s):  
Patricia Carracedo ◽  
Ana Debón
Keyword(s):  
Panel Data ◽  
Goodness Of Fit ◽  
Population Aging ◽  
European Population ◽  
Data Models ◽  
European Countries ◽  
Mortality Data ◽  
Panel Data Models ◽  
Estimation Of Parameters ◽  
Advantages And Disadvantages

In the past decade, panel data models using time-series observations of several geographical units have become popular due to the availability of software able to implement them. The aim of this study is an updated comparison of estimation techniques between the implementations of spatiotemporal panel data models across MATLAB and R softwares in order to fit real mortality data. The case study used concerns the male and female mortality of the aged population of European countries. Mortality is quantified with the Comparative Mortality Figure, which is the most suitable statistic for comparing mortality by sex over space when detailed specific mortality is available for each studied population. The spatial dependence between the 26 European countries and their neighbors during 1995–2012 was confirmed through the Global Moran Index and the spatiotemporal panel data models. For this reason, it can be said that mortality in European population aging not only depends on differences in the health systems, which are subject to national discretion but also on supra-national developments. Finally, we conclude that although both programs seem similar, there are some differences in the estimation of parameters and goodness of fit measures being more reliable MATLAB. These differences have been justified by detailing the advantages and disadvantages of using each of them.

scholarly journals The impact of real exchange rates on price competitiveness in Eastern European countries

2020 ◽  
Vol 19 (1) ◽  
pp. 45-55
Author(s):  
Nadiia Proskurnina ◽  
Jürgen Kähler ◽  
Rosario Cervantes-Martinez
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rates ◽  
Real Exchange Rates ◽  
European Countries ◽  
Eastern European ◽  
The European Union ◽  
Local Exchange ◽  
Developed Economies ◽  
Countries In Transition ◽  
Eastern European Countries ◽  
The Impact

The subject of this paper is empirical research on studies of exchange rates in Eastern European countries, such as Albania, Bulgaria, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Belarus, Czech Republic, Estonia, Croatia, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania, Moldova, (North) Macedonia, Montenegro, Poland, Romania, Serbia, Slovakia, and Slovenia, in order verify the validity of theories that explain these changes. This research aims to explain the mixed evidence of the Balassa-Samuelson effect in Ukraine, taking into account the intentions of Ukraine to become a member of the European Union. Unlike previous works, the attention is shifted to a review of empirical evidence and the identification of main factors that limit the ability to verify the theory. The main conclusion is that all the currencies studied underwent substantial real appreciations during the study period. Thus, it can be concluded that an adequate monetary policy in countries under study is very important, given that local exchange markets are not sustainable enough and the volatility of exchange operations is higher than in countries with developed economies. However, the Balassa-Samuelson Hypothesis (BSH) can explain the impact of the real exchange rate due to changes in productivity in countries in transition.

scholarly journals Effective Exchange Rates in Central and Eastern European Countries: Cyclicality and Relationship with Macroeconomic Fundamentals

2015 ◽  
Vol 15 (2) ◽  
pp. 157-177 ◽  
Author(s):  
Daniel Stavárek ◽  
Cynthia Miglietti
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Exchange Rates ◽  
Flexible Exchange Rate ◽  
European Countries ◽  
Eastern European ◽  
Macroeconomic Fundamentals ◽  
Effective Exchange ◽  
Exchange Rate Arrangements ◽  
Eastern European Countries

Abstract This paper examines the evolution of effective exchange rates in nine Central and Eastern European countries in terms of development trends, volatility and cyclicality. Consequently, it provides direct empirical evidence on the nature of the relationship between effective exchange rates and selected macroeconomic fundamentals, addressing a key precondition of numerous exchange rate determination models and theories that attempt to explain the role of exchange rates in the economy. The results suggest that flexible exchange rate arrangements are reflected in both nominal and real effective exchange rates having higher volatility and variability. Furthermore, the results provide mixed evidence in terms of intensity, direction and cyclicality, but show a weak correlation between exchange rates and fundamentals. Sufficiently high coefficients are found only for money supply. Consequently, using fundamentals for the determination of exchange rates and using the exchange rate to explain economic development may be of limited use for the countries analyzed.

MODELLING THE SLOW MEAN-REVERSION OF THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN EUROPEAN COUNTRIES' REAL EXCHANGE RATES*

2007 ◽  
Vol 76 (1) ◽  
pp. 21-43 ◽  
Author(s):  
GILLES DUFRENOT ◽  
ELISABETH GRIMAUD ◽  
EUGÉNIE LATIL ◽  
VALERIE MIGNON
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rates ◽  
Real Exchange Rates ◽  
Mean Reversion ◽  
European Countries ◽  
Eastern European ◽  
Eastern European Countries

scholarly journals PERSISTENCE OF REAL EXCHANGE RATES IN THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN EUROPEAN COUNTRIES

2016 ◽  
Vol 17 (3) ◽  
pp. 381-396
Author(s):  
Ahmad Zubaidi BAHARUMSHAH ◽  
Siew-Voon SOON ◽  
Stilianos FOUNTAS ◽  
Nurul Sima MOHAMAD SHARIFF
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rates ◽  
Confidence Intervals ◽  
Purchasing Power Parity ◽  
Structural Breaks ◽  
Real Exchange Rates ◽  
European Countries ◽  
Purchasing Power ◽  
Eastern European ◽  
Power Parity ◽  
Eastern European Countries

We investigate the mean reversion in real exchange rates for Central and Eastern European countries. We use point and confidence interval estimates from the Phillips et al.’s (2001) local-persistent model as our preferred measures of the persistence of real exchange rates. We find that the adjustment to purchasing power parity is more rapid after accounting for structural breaks, with half-life deviation from parity below 18 months, which is consistent with the explanation based on nominal rigidities. The estimated narrow confidence intervals for the half-lives invalidate the purchasing power parity puzzle for transition and some core European Union countries. The novelty of our results lies in the finding of strong evidence for purchasing power parity as the local-persistent model produces shorter half-lives and much narrower corresponding confidence intervals than those obtained by standard Dickey-Fuller and local-to-unity models. Our evidence for PPP suggests that the transition countries have maintained their long-run competitiveness against their trading partners.

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