18. Inequality and the Other Headwinds: Long-Run American Economic Growth Slows to a Crawl

2017 ◽  
pp. 605-640
Keyword(s):  
Author(s):  
Mohsen Mehrara ◽  
Amin Haghnejad ◽  
Jalal Dehnavi ◽  
Fereshteh Jandaghi Meybodi

Using panel techniques, this paper estimates the causality among economic growth, exports, and Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) inflows for developing countries over the period of 1980 to 2008. The study indicates that; firstly, there is strong evidence of bidirectional causality between economic growth and FDI inflows. Secondly, the exports-led growth hypothesis is supported by the finding of unidirectional causality running from exports to economic growth in both the short-run and the long-run. Thirdly, export is not Granger caused by economic growth and FDI inflow in either the short run or the long run. On the basis of the obtained results, it is recommended that outward-oriented strategies and policies of attracting FDI be pursued by developing countries to achieve higher rates of economic growth. On the other hand, the countries can increase FDI inflows by stimulating their economic growth.


Author(s):  
Jesper Rangvid

The chapter discusses theory and empirics regarding long-run economic growth. After reviewing the historical facts, the chapter discusses likely scenarios for long-run growth. The chapter also presents the arguments in a heated discussion where one side argues that growth will be tremendously high going forward, but the other argues future growth will be low. The chapter concludes that it does not seem likely that growth will be superhigh going forward. Will it be very low, then? In Advanced Economies, growth will probably be lower than the historical average, but in other parts of the world, growth will most likely be just fine.


ETIKONOMI ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 20 (1) ◽  
pp. 13-22
Author(s):  
Md. Qaiser Alam ◽  
Md. Shabbir Alam

The paper examines the response of poverty reduction based on financial development and economic growth in India. The ARDL and ECM based model techniques analyze the long-run and short-run relationship among the variables in the model. The long-run estimates depict that financial development and economic growth have not significantly impacted poverty reduction and, on the other hand, resulted in injecting inequality and becoming attended to wealthier sections of the society. The short-run estimates show that financial development and economic growth have successfully tried to reduce poverty in India. The results flash a long-run nature of poverty in India and need to designs and formulations of policies that should be instrumental in reducing poverty. Impulse Response Functions' application indicates that poverty reduction will act as a catalyst for further poverty reduction in India.JEL Classification: I32, B26, O40, R15How to Cite:Alam, M. Q., & Alam, M. S. (2021). Financial Development, Economic Growth, and Poverty Reduction in India. Etikonomi: Jurnal Ekonomi, 20(1), 13 – 22. https://doi.org/10.15408/etk.v20i1.18417.


2017 ◽  
Vol 13 (22) ◽  
pp. 70 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tafirenyika Sunde

This study examines the relationship between education expenditure and economic growth in Mauritius. The study employed the ARDL bounds testing methodology for the period 1976 to 2016. The study found that education expenditure Granger causes economic growth in Mauritius in the short run. In addition, the study also found that economic growth does not Granger cause education expenditure in Mauritius in the short run. However, in the long-run, the study found that there are long run relationships between education expenditure and economic growth in both equations; and this means that an increase in either of the variables will eventually lead to an increase in the other variable. The study, therefore, found support for the hypothesis that investment in education raises economic growth. This means that Mauritius has the potential to benefit from further investments in education in the future.


2021 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Suborna Barua ◽  
◽  
Mahmuda Akter ◽  

Bangladesh is considered a fast-growing emerging economy and the new Asian tiger. The increasing need for capital funds in Bangladesh is largely met by banks, mainly due to the country’s underdeveloped nature of the stock market. Bank financing is assumed to be influenced by monetary policies, particularly, by bank rates adopted each year by the central bank of Bangladesh. On the other hand, while some studies stress the need for strengthening the debt and equity securities markets to support Bangladesh’s fast economic growth, debates swirl about whether or to what extent the stock market contributes to economic growth in the country. To address the understanding gap, in this paper, we examine the impact of capital financing through equity initial public offerings (IPO) and bank rate on the economic growth of Bangladesh. We use annual data from 1981 to 2019 and employ an autoregressive distributive lag (ARDL) framework to examine the long-run and short-run impacts of IPO financing and bank rate on GDP growth rate. Our findings suggest the existence of a long-run cointegrating relationship between IPO financing, bank rate, and GDP growth. We find that IPO financing does not have a significant long-run impact but shows only a one-period short-run positive impact on economic growth. On the other hand, bank rate shows a long-run negative and a one-period short-run positive impact on economic growth. Findings overall suggest that IPO financing does not significantly contribute to long-run economic growth while giving only a temporary boost. Further, increases in bank rate - as one would expect - depress economic growth in the long-run, while generating herd behavior immediately. Our findings stress the need for encouraging more quality IPO issuances, increasing the issuance size, and ensuring proper utilization of the funds by IPO issuers to make the capital market a key driver of economic growth.


2018 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 66-77
Author(s):  
Hassan O. Ozekhome

Accumulation of human capital is critical to sustained economic growth in the long run, since it facilitates the efficient absorption of new capital developments, improves the speed of adaptation of entrepreneurs and generates innovation necessary for sustained economic growth. It is against this premise this study investigate the human-capital accumulation growth-nexus in Nigeria. Employing a dynamic approach, involving test for unit roots, and cointegration, and finally, the Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) estimation techniques on annual time series data, covering the period 1981 to 2016, sourced from the World Bank Development Indicators (WDI) and Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) Statistical Bulletin, the empirical findings reveal that human and physical capital accumulation significantly induce rapid and sustained economic growth in the long-run. The other variables- infrastructural development (measured by ICT infrastructure) and industrial output (a measure of industrialization) have positive but weak impacts on economic growth, on account of the weak infrastructural development, and low level of industrialization in Nigeria. Inflation rate (a measure of macroeconomic policy environment) on the other hand, is found to have a militating effect on economic growth. We recommend amongst others; sustained investments in human and physical capital accumulation, stable and coherent macroeconomic policies, particularly with respect to taming of domestic inflationary pressures, supportive institutional structures and aggressive industrialization-enhancing policies, in order to enhance sustained economic growth in Nigeria.


2012 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 123
Author(s):  
Doni Satria

The long run relationship between inflation and economic growth has been recognized by macroeconomist in the last three decades. For developing countries inflation effect on economic growth is more supply side phenomena than demand side or economic fluctuation (Basu, 2000). On the other hand stable and low inflation rate in the long run will promote higher output growth. I found significance two way causality between inflation and growth in Indonesia. The result has shown a non linier causality relationship from inflation to economic growth using Indonesian annual data from 1981 to 2010. The data reveals there is long run non linier relationship between inflation and growth.


Author(s):  
Ni Putu Nina Eka Lestari ◽  
Made Kembar Sri Budhi ◽  
I Ketut Sudama ◽  
Ni Nyoman Reni Suasih ◽  
I Nyoman Taun

Credit growth is one of the important indicators of the financial system that can drive the country economic growth, but on the other hand credit growth can also cause risks in the financial system due to the economic actors’ moral hazard. The purpose of this research is to analyze the credit procyclicality pattern and economic growth in Indonesia. In addition, this study aims to determine the relationship pattern between credit and some macroeconomic variables. The method used is VECM with quarterly time series data during 1998 until 2016. The analysis shows that credit growth and economic growth have positive causality. This shows pro-cyclicality between credit and economic growth in Indonesia. However, in the long run this pattern shows a downward trend although still positive and permanent, which means that excessive credit growth can also lead to a decline in economic growth.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hafiz M. Sohail ◽  
Zengfu Li ◽  
Muntasir Murshed ◽  
Alvarado Rafael ◽  
Haider Mahmood

Abstract Natural gas is an important energy resource that is used to produce the national output of Pakistan.On the other hand, since natural gas is a relatively cleaner energy resource compared to oil and coal, enhancing the level of natural gas use is believed to improve the environmental quality in Pakistan which, in turn, can be expected to enable the nation to sustain its economic performances. Hence, it is pertinent to assess the effects of natural gas consumption on the nation’s economic growth level.The main objective of this paper was to explore the asymmetric effects of natural gas consumption, controlling for financial development, on Pakistan's economic growth level over the 1965–2019 period. The results from the Augmented Dickey-Fuller, Phillips-Perron, and Zivot-Andrews unit root tests confirmed a mixed order of integration among the variables. Besides, the bounds test and Gregory-Hansen cointegration analysis revealed evidence of long-run associations between economic growth, natural gas consumption, and financial development. Moreover, the outcomes from the non-linear autoregressive distributed lag model showed thatin the short-run positive changes in the natural gas consumption levels increase economic growth in Pakistan. On the other hand, in the long-run, positive and negative changes in natural gas consumption levels increase and decrease the economic growth level, respectively, in the long-run. On the other hand, both positive and negative changes in the financial development level are found to reduce the economic growth level in the long-run. Furthermore, the Hacker-Hatemi-J causality analysis verifiedthat natural gas consumption influences the economic growth level in Pakistan; thus, the energy consumption-led growth phenomenon was unearthed. In line with these key findings, several policy level suggestions are put forward for Pakistan to boost its natural gas consumption figures in order to enhance its economic growth level in the future.


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