Predictors of Juvenile Survival in Birds

2013 ◽  
Vol 78 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-55 ◽  
Author(s):  
Terri J. Maness ◽  
David J. Anderson
Keyword(s):  
2004 ◽  
Vol 119 (2) ◽  
pp. 279-285 ◽  
Author(s):  
Maureen R. McClung ◽  
Philip J. Seddon ◽  
M. Massaro ◽  
A.N. Setiawan

The Condor ◽  
2009 ◽  
Vol 111 (3) ◽  
pp. 433-441 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kyle W. Morrison ◽  
J. Mark Hipfner ◽  
Carina Gjerdrum ◽  
David J. Green

2012 ◽  
Vol 43 (3) ◽  
pp. 280-288 ◽  
Author(s):  
Walter H. Piper ◽  
Jason S. Grear ◽  
Michael W. Meyer

PLoS ONE ◽  
2013 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. e56059 ◽  
Author(s):  
Matthew I. McKim-Louder ◽  
Jeffrey P. Hoover ◽  
Thomas J. Benson ◽  
Wendy M. Schelsky

1998 ◽  
Vol 29 (3) ◽  
pp. 241 ◽  
Author(s):  
Thor Harald Ringsby ◽  
Bernt-Erik Saether ◽  
Erling Johan Solberg

PeerJ ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 ◽  
pp. e12404
Author(s):  
Frédéric Barraquand ◽  
Ólafur K. Nielsen

Knowledge of survival rates and their potential covariation with environmental drivers, for both adults and juveniles, is paramount to forecast the population dynamics of long-lived animals. Long-lived bird and mammal populations are indeed very sensitive to change in survival rates, especially that of adults. Here we report the first survival estimates for the Icelandic gyrfalcon (Falco rusticolus) obtained by capture-mark-recapture methods. We use a mark-recapture-recovery model combining live and dead encounters into a unified analysis, in a Bayesian framework. Annual survival was estimated at 0.83 for adults and 0.40 for juveniles. Positive effects of main prey density on juvenile survival (5% increase in survival from min to max density) were possible though not likely. Weather effects on juvenile survival were even less likely. The variability in observed lifespan suggests that adult birds could suffer from human-induced alteration of survival rates.


The Auk ◽  
2003 ◽  
Vol 120 (4) ◽  
pp. 1188-1194
Author(s):  
Thomas Gardali ◽  
Daniel C. Barton ◽  
Jennifer D. White ◽  
Geoffrey R. Geupel

Abstract We estimated annual rates of survival for juvenile and adult Swainson's Thrushes (Catharus ustulatus) using capture-recapture analyses from 22 years of mist-neting data in coastal California (n= 2,651 individual captures). Our apparent survival estimate was 56% for adults and 25% for juveniles. We are the first to estimate an annual juvenile survival rate for a Neotropical migrant using capture-recapture probability estimates. Like most estimates of annual survival, we could not distinguish between dispersal away from our study area (which is likely high for juveniles) and mortality. Hence, survival is underestimated. However, our juvenile survival estimate did not include the period from fledging to independence, a time when mortality can be high. Many researchers have assumed juvenile survival to be half that of adult survival in population models (e.g. source-sink). Our juvenile to adult survival ratio was 45% (95% CI = 27 to 65%). We caution researchers from simply assuming that juvenile survival approximates half of adult survival when modeling populations and suggest using a range of values. Using a range of values is prudent because of the potential for annual variation, site-specific variation, and especially because estimates are imprecise or completely lacking.


2004 ◽  
Vol 35 (4) ◽  
pp. 316-326 ◽  
Author(s):  
William P. Brown ◽  
Roland R. Roth

1989 ◽  
Vol 46 (8) ◽  
pp. 1428-1436 ◽  
Author(s):  
Andrew W. Trites

Three methods for estimating the survival rate of juvenile northern fur seals (Callorhinus ursinus) are developed from the earlier works of Chapman, Smith and Polacheck and Lander. Each of the methods I propose divides the estimated number of males alive at 2 yr of age by the estimated number of pups born in their year class. The number of surviving juveniles are reconstructed by back calculation using the number of males killed during the commercial harvest and the subsequent counts of bulls. The three methods differ in their assumptions concerning subadult survival and escapement from the harvest, although all produce similar estimates when applied to the St. Paul Island fur seals. These new estimates of juvenile survival (1950–80) are strongly correlated with the ratio of cohort kill to pup production and with estimates from the currently-used Lander procedure. This is because the harvest morality of males is large compared with natural morality. The new methods perform acceptably over a wider class of data than Lander's. Their greatest advantage over current procedures is that they provide a better insight into the reliability of the survival estimates they produce.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document