scholarly journals Neoclassical versus Kaldorian explanations of Southern Europe’s productivity slowdown

2017 ◽  
Vol 67 (s1) ◽  
pp. 113-135 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alberto Bagnai ◽  
Christian Alexander Mongeau Ospina
Keyword(s):  
Side Effects ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Financial Integration ◽  
Adam Smith ◽  
Panel Cointegration ◽  
Productivity Slowdown ◽  
Level Data ◽  
Low Interest Rates ◽  
Capital Misallocation ◽  
Industry Level Data

The productivity slowdown in European countries is among the major stylised facts of the last two decades. Several explanations have been proposed: some focus on demand-side effects, working through Kaldor’s second law of economic growth (also known as Verdoorn’s law), others on supply-side effects determined by a misallocation of the factors of production, caused either by labour market reforms or by perverse effects of financial integration (in Europe, related to the adoption of the euro). The latter explanation is put forward by some recent studies that stress how low interest rates brought about by the monetary union may have lowered productivity by inducing capital misallocation. The aim of this paper is to investigate the robustness of the latter empirical findings and to compare them with the alternative explanation offered by the post-Keynesian growth model, which instead emphasises the relation between foreign trade and productivity, along lines that go back to Adam Smith. To do so, we use a panel of industry-level data extracted from the EU KLEMS database, comparing these alternative explanations by panel cointegration techniques. The results shed some light on the role played by the single currency in the structural divergences among euro area member countries.

Corporate Money Demand

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiaodan Gao ◽  
Toni M Whited ◽  
Na Zhang
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rates ◽  
Money Demand ◽  
Firm Level ◽  
Nominal Interest Rates ◽  
Level Data ◽  
Low Interest Rates ◽  
Risk Free Rate ◽  
Risky Debt ◽  
Free Rate ◽  
Cash Demand

Abstract We document a hump-shaped relation between corporate cash and both real and nominal interest rates in both aggregate and firm-level data. We rationalize this result in a model where firms finance investment with cash and risky debt. The risky rate rises endogenously with the risk-free rate, spurring precautionary cash demand. Simultaneously, foregone interest lowers cash demand. The first mechanism dominates at low interest rates, and the second at high interest rates. The model matches several data moments and reproduces a nonmonotonic cash–interest relation. This nonmonotonicity implies that interest rates are unlikely to be behind the recent rise in corporate cash.

Remaking Retirement

2020 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rates ◽  
Older Workers ◽  
Older Persons ◽  
The United States ◽  
Older Population ◽  
The Past ◽  
Cost Of Education ◽  
The World ◽  
Low Interest Rates ◽  
Key Aspects

Around the world, people nearing and entering retirement are holding ever-greater levels of debt than in the past. This is not a benign situation, as many pre-retirees and retirees are stressed about their indebtedness. Moreover, this growth in debt among the older population may render retirees vulnerable to financial shocks, medical care bills, and changes in interest rates. Contributors to this volume explore key aspects of the rise in debt across older cohorts, drill down into the types of debt and reasons for debt incurred by the older population, and review policies to remedy some of the financial problems facing older persons, in the United States and elsewhere. The authors explore which groups are most affected by debt, and they also identify the factors causing this important increase in leverage at older ages. It is clear that the economic and market environments are influential when it comes to saving and debt. Access to easy borrowing, low interest rates, and the rising cost of education have had important impacts on how much people borrow, and how much debt they carry at older ages. In this environment, the capacity to manage debt is ever more important as older workers lack the opportunity to recover for mistakes.

scholarly journals Special Issue “Interplay between Financial and Actuarial Mathematics”

Risks ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (8) ◽  
pp. 139
Author(s):  
Corina Constantinescu ◽  
Julia Eisenberg
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Control Theory ◽  
Option Pricing ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Financial Mathematics ◽  
Special Issue ◽  
Actuarial Mathematics ◽  
Mortality Models ◽  
Low Interest Rates

The Special Issue aims to highlight the interaction between actuarial and financial mathematics, which, due to the recent low interest rates and implications of COVID-19, requires an interlace between actuarial and financial methods, along with control theory, machine learning, mortality models, option pricing, hedging, unit-linked contracts and drawdown analysis, among others [...]

Counter-cyclical public venture capital: Debt-funding as an anti-austerity innovation strategy

2017 ◽  
Vol 56 (3) ◽  
pp. 477-495 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alex Etzkowitz ◽  
Henry Etzkowitz
Keyword(s):  
Venture Capital ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Innovation Strategy ◽  
Productive Capacity ◽  
Knowledge Based ◽  
Low Interest Rates ◽  
The Usa ◽  
The Business Cycle ◽  
Smart Specialization ◽  
Private Venture

This article outlines a counter-cyclical innovation strategy to achieve prosperity, derived from an innovative project, the California Institute for Regenerative Medicine (CIRM). We identify an ‘innovation paradox’ in that the very point in the business cycle, when legislators are tempted to view austerity as a cure for economic downturns and to reduce innovation spend, is when an increase is most needed to create new industries and jobs and innovate out of recession or depression. It is both desirable and possible that policymakers resist the urge to capitulate to the innovation paradox. During periods that exhibit subdued inflation, elevated spare productive capacity, and low government borrowing rates, governments should increase their borrowings and use the proceeds to boost investment targeted towards innovation. We show how the State of California successfully utilized debt financing, traditionally reserved for physical infrastructure projects, to stimulate the development of intellectual infrastructure. Finally, we recommend a halt to European austerity policies and a ‘triple helix’ broadening of narrow ‘smart specialization’ policies that chase a private venture capital chimera. Europe should seize the present macroeconomic opportunity of low interest rates, borrow for innovation and be paid back manifold by ‘picking winners’, similarly to what the USA has been doing through DARPA (Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency) with GPS, as a response to Sputnik, the Internet and artificial intelligence, or the driverless car, formerly known as the ‘autonomous land vehicle’ in its military guise. Proactively targeted macroscopic investments in innovation are needed to solve the productivity/employment puzzle and foster the transition to a knowledge-based society.

scholarly journals When Low Interest Rates Cause Low Inflation

2015 ◽  
Vol 50 (6) ◽  
pp. 350-355 ◽  
Author(s):  
Markus Demary ◽  
Michael Hüther
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rates ◽  
Low Interest Rates

Australia budget keeps defence spending commitments

2021 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
South China Sea ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Fiscal Year ◽  
National Politics ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Defence Spending ◽  
Low Interest Rates ◽  
Defence Expenditure ◽  
Conducive Environment ◽  
Made In

Significance With an election due soon, the governing Liberal-National Coalition’s pledge to ring-fence the defence spending commitments made in 2016 was under some pressure. However, defence spending in fiscal year 2021/22 will grow by over 4% in real terms and stay above the symbolic level of 2% of GDP. Impacts Growing popular and bipartisan concern with Chinese aggression is a conducive environment for increased defence spending. Low interest rates and a stronger Australian dollar are also supporting sustained levels of defence expenditure. Washington may increase pressure on Australia to conduct freedom of navigation exercises in the South China Sea. Major business groups are concerned that increased criticism of China in national politics will produce yet more punitive backlash.

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