scholarly journals Neo-deterministic seismic hazard maps of Kosovo

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Enrico Brandmayr ◽  
Vaccari Franco ◽  
Romanelli Fabio ◽  
Vlahovic Gordana ◽  
Panza Giuliano Francesco
Keyword(s):  
Seismic Hazard ◽  
Ground Motion ◽  
Seismic Hazard Assessment ◽  
Active Regions ◽  
Earthquake Hazard ◽  
Earthquake Ground Motion ◽  
Hazard Maps ◽  
Source Information ◽  
Deterministic Seismic Hazard ◽  
Traditional Construction

Kosovo is one of the most seismically active regions in Europe, lying within the Alpine-Mediterranean tectonic belt. Historical records for the region show several catastrophic earthquakes with epicentral intensity IX (MCS). However, due to Kosovo’s high population density, high prevalence of traditional construction, and insufficient enforcement of building codes, Kosovo is vulnerable to earthquake damage. In this study, we present earthquake hazard maps for bedrock conditions in Kosovo based on the well-known Neo-deterministic Seismic Hazard Assessment (NDSHA) method. NDSHA relies upon the fundamental physics of wave generation and propagation in complex geologic structures to generate realistic time series, used as input for the computation of several ground motion parameters, integrating the available knowledge of seismic history, seismogenic zones and morphostructural nodes. In accordance with continuum mechanics, the tensor nature of earthquake ground motion is preserved, producing realistic signals using structural models obtained by tomographic inversion and earthquake source information readily available in literature. Our maps are generally consistent with the observed intensity IX (MCS) and suggest that, in some instances, intensity X could be reached.

scholarly journals Neo-deterministic seismic hazard assessment of Corsica-Sardinia block

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Enrico Brandmayr ◽  
Franco Vaccari ◽  
Giuliano Francesco Panza
Keyword(s):  
Seismic Hazard ◽  
Ground Motion ◽  
Hazard Assessment ◽  
Seismic Hazard Assessment ◽  
Earthquake Ground Motion ◽  
Earthquake Catalog ◽  
Hazard Maps ◽  
Source Information ◽  
Deterministic Seismic Hazard ◽  
Seismogenic Nodes

AbstractThe Corsica-Sardinia lithospheric block is commonly considered as a region of very low seismicity and the scarce reported seismicity for the area has till now precluded the reliable assessment of its seismic hazard. The time-honored assumption has been recently questioned and the historical seismicity of Sardinia has been reevaluated. Even more, several seismogenic nodes capable of M5 + have been recognized in the Corsica-Sardinia block exploiting the morphostructural zonation technique, calibrated to earlier results obtained for the Iberian peninsula, which has structural lithospheric affinities with the Corsica-Sardinia block. All this allows now for the computation of reliable earthquake hazard maps at bedrock conditions exploiting the power of Neo Deterministic Seismic Hazard Assessment (NDSHA) evaluation. NDSHA relies upon the fundamental physics of wave generation and propagation in complex geologic structures and generates realistic time series from which several earthquake ground motion parameters can be readily extracted. NDSHA exploits in an optimized way all the available knowledge about lithospheric mechanical parameters, seismic history, seismogenic zones and nodes. In accordance with continuum mechanics, the tensor nature of earthquake ground motion is preserved computing realistic signals using structural models obtained by tomographic inversion and earthquake source information readily available in literature. The way to this approach has been open by studies focused on continental Italy and Sicily, where the agreement between hazard maps obtained using seismogenic zones, informed by earthquake catalog data, and the maps obtained using only seismogenic nodes are very good.

scholarly journals Selection of the appropriate methodology for the deterministic seismic hazard assessment on the territory of the Republic of Serbia

2006 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 41-50
Author(s):  
Borko Bulajic ◽  
Miodrag Manic
Keyword(s):  
Seismic Hazard ◽  
Ground Motion ◽  
Strong Earthquake ◽  
Hazard Analysis ◽  
Seismic Hazard Assessment ◽  
Earthquake Ground Motion ◽  
Time Histories ◽  
Deterministic Seismic Hazard ◽  
The Republic ◽  
Probabilistic Nature

This paper presents a discussion regarding the most common approaches to the deterministic seismic hazard analysis, as well as their relation with the probabilistic hazard analysis. Different methodologies for estimation of the strong earthquake ground motion at a site of interest on the territory of the Republic of Serbia are also discussed. When generation of the synthetic ground motion time histories on the territory of the Republic of Serbia is concerned, a method developed by Trifunac and his associates is suggested having in mind that this approach uses only those input parameters that can be easily and accurately defined while at the same time being able to model all properties of strong earthquake ground motion that are presently known as well as to consider the probabilistic nature of earthquake occurrence.

scholarly journals A review on the multi-criteria seismic hazard analysis of Ethiopia: with implications of infrastructural development

2021 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Alemayehu Ayele ◽  
Kifle Woldearegay ◽  
Matebie Meten
Keyword(s):  
Seismic Hazard ◽  
Ground Motion ◽  
Active Fault ◽  
Site Response ◽  
Seismic Hazard Assessment ◽  
Earthquake Ground Motion ◽  
Response Analysis ◽  
Ethiopian Rift ◽  
Rift System ◽  
Main Ethiopian Rift

AbstractEarthquake is a sudden release of energy due to faults. Natural calamities like earthquakes can neither be predicted nor prevented. However, the severity of the damages can be minimized by development of proper infrastructure which includes microzonation studies, appropriate construction procedures and earthquake resistant designs. The earthquake damaging effect depends on the source, path and site conditions. The earthquake ground motion is affected by topography (slope, hill, valley, canyon, ridge and basin effects), groundwater and surface hydrology. The seismic hazard damages are ground shaking, structural damage, retaining structure failures and lifeline hazards. The medium to large earthquake magnitude (< 6) reported in Ethiopia are controlled by the main Ethiopian rift System. The spatial and temporal variation of earthquake ground motion should be addressed using the following systematic methodology. The general approaches used to analyze damage of earthquake ground motions are probabilistic seismic hazard assessment (PSHA), deterministic seismic hazard assessment (DSHA) and dynamic site response analysis. PSHA considers all the scenarios of magnitude, distance and site conditions to estimate the intensity of ground motion distribution. Conversely, DSHA taken into account the worst case scenarios or maximum credible earthquake to estimate the intensity of seismic ground motion distribution. Furthermore, to design critical infrastructures, DSHA is more valuable than PSHA. The DSHA and PSHA ground motion distributions are estimated as a function of earthquake magnitude and distance using ground motion prediction equations (GMPEs) at top of the bedrock. Site response analysis performed to estimate the ground motion distributions at ground surface using dynamic properties of the soils such as shear wave velocity, density, modulus reduction, and material damping curves. Seismic hazard evaluation of Ethiopia shown that (i) amplification is occurred in the main Ethiopian Rift due to thick soil, (ii) the probability of earthquake recurrence due to active fault sources. The situation of active fault is oriented in the N-S direction. Ethiopia is involved in huge infrastructural development (including roads, industrial parks and railways), increasing population and agricultural activity in the main Ethiopian Rift system. In this activity, socio-economic development, earthquake and earthquake-generated ground failures need to be given attention in order to reduce losses from seismic hazards and create safe geo-environment.

DETERMINISTIC SEISMIC HAZARD ANALYSIS OF ANDAMAN AND NICOBAR ISLANDS

2013 ◽  
Vol 07 (04) ◽  
pp. 1350035
Author(s):  
N. P. KATARIA ◽  
M. SHRIKHANDE ◽  
J. D. DAS
Keyword(s):  
Seismic Hazard ◽  
Hazard Analysis ◽  
Tectonic Setting ◽  
Seismic Hazard Assessment ◽  
Active Regions ◽  
Seismogenic Zone ◽  
Ground Acceleration ◽  
Design Spectrum ◽  
Seismogenic Source ◽  
Deterministic Seismic Hazard

An important component of hazard mitigation is to estimate the future hazard for design calculations. In the present study, a deterministic seismic hazard assessment of Andaman and Nicobar region is carried out, which is one of the most seismically active regions of India. The study area is divided into seven seismogenic source zones based on seismicity and tectonic setting. For ground motion estimation at Andaman and Nicobar, for each seismogenic zone different attenuation relationship is used as per tectonic setting of that seismogenic zone. In order to generate the site specific design spectrum, final results are calculated in the form of peak ground acceleration (PGA) and 5%-damped pseudo-spectral acceleration (PSA) for 0.2 s and 1 s. Calculated results are compared with some earlier works for the studied area and the probable reasons for variations are discussed.

scholarly journals Probabilistic seismic hazard assessment in Greece – Part 3: Deaggregation

2010 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 51-59 ◽  
Author(s):  
G-A. Tselentis ◽  
L. Danciu
Keyword(s):  
Seismic Hazard ◽  
Peak Ground Acceleration ◽  
Seismic Hazard Assessment ◽  
Earthquake Hazard ◽  
Earthquake Magnitude ◽  
Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Assessment ◽  
Hazard Maps ◽  
Ground Acceleration ◽  
Dense Grid ◽  
Motion Parameters

Abstract. The present third part of the study, concerning the evaluation of earthquake hazard in Greece in terms of various ground motion parameters, deals with the deaggregation of the obtained results The seismic hazard maps presented for peak ground acceleration and spectral acceleration at 0.2 s and 1.0 s, with 10% probability of exceedance in 50 years, were deaggregated in order to quantify the dominant scenario. There are three basic components of each dominant scenario: earthquake magnitude (M), source-to-site distance (R) and epsilon (ε). We present deaggregation maps of mean and mode values of M-R-ε triplet showing the contribution to hazard over a dense grid.

Special Issue on Strong Ground Motion Prediction and Seismic Hazard Assessment

2013 ◽  
Vol 8 (5) ◽  
pp. 847-847
Author(s):  
Hiroyuki Fujiwara
Keyword(s):  
Seismic Hazard ◽  
Ground Motion ◽  
Hazard Assessment ◽  
Strong Ground Motion ◽  
Seismic Hazard Assessment ◽  
Hazard Maps ◽  
Special Issue ◽  
Strong Ground Motion Prediction ◽  
Large Earthquakes ◽  
Strong Ground

We have been conducting seismic hazard assessment for Japan under the guidance of the Headquarters for Earthquake Research Promotion of Japan since the 1995 Hyogo-ken Nanbu Earthquake, and have made National Seismic Hazard Maps for Japan for use in estimating strong ground motion caused by future earthquakes. This special issue reviews the results of these efforts. Such work includes the development of seismic hazard assessment methodology for Japan, highly accurate prediction techniques for strong seismic ground motion and modeling underground structures for evaluating strong ground motion. Related research on utilization initiatives and risk assessment based on hazard information has also been conducted. An open Web system – the Japan Seismic Hazard Information Station (J-SHIS) – has even been developed to provide information interactively. The 2011 Mw9.0 Great East Japan Earthquake was the largest such event recorded in the history of Japan. This megathrust earthquake was not considered in National Seismic Hazard Maps for Japan. But efforts toward revising seismic hazard assessment in Japan are progressing based on lessons learned from this earthquake. Hazard assessment is currently being reviewed in relation to the large earthquakes anticipated to occur in the near future based in the Sagami Trough and the Nankai Trough in the waters of offshore Japan. This assessment, which considers earthquakes larger than those assumed to have occurred in the past, is being reviewed as of this writing. In light of these pressing circumstances, studies are now being implemented to evaluate the long-period ground motion accompanying these large earthquakes. The knowledge that has been cultivated in Japan in terms of seismic hazard assessment has reached a high level, and it is important to expand such knowledge both internationally and domestically. This is just one of the reasons that efforts here in Japan are being made to help improve the level of seismic hazard assessment in the Asian region and throughout the entire world. It is expected that this special issue will help contribute to the further development of strong ground motion prediction and seismic hazard assessment now and in the future. Finally, I extend our sincere thanks to all of the contributors and reviewers involved with these articles.

Site, local, and regional earthquake ground motion characterization and application

2016 ◽  
Vol 20 (1) ◽  
pp. 34-50 ◽  
Author(s):  
HP Hong ◽  
TJ Liu
Keyword(s):  
Seismic Hazard ◽  
Ground Motion ◽  
Seismic Hazard Assessment ◽  
Hazard Model ◽  
Local Area ◽  
Earthquake Ground Motion ◽  
Seismic Loss ◽  
Motion Characterization ◽  
Motion Characteristics ◽  
A Site

A systematic overview and comparison is presented on the seismic hazard assessment based on the observations and seismic hazard model and the characteristics of earthquake ground motions for a site, a local area, and a region. It shows that the seismic hazard estimated by directly using the observations could differ from that evaluated using an adopted seismic hazard model. It indicates the importance to judiciously select the seismic hazard model, as well as to understand that historical records for a limited period may not fully reflect the seismic hazard. The comparison of the ground motion characteristics is focused on the variability of the ground motion measures, the coherency for record components in two orthogonal orientations, and the spatial correlation and spatial coherency. Procedures for simulating bidirectional excitations at a site and record components at multiple sites for a scenario seismic event are given. The application of the simulated record components to estimate the seismic loss for a portfolio of hypothetical buildings by considering a scenario event is shown, indicating the effectiveness of the presented methodology for seismic loss estimation.

scholarly journals Seismic Hazard Assessment for the Tianshui Urban Area, Gansu Province, China

2012 ◽  
Vol 2012 ◽  
pp. 1-10 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhenming Wang ◽  
David T. Butler ◽  
Edward W. Woolery ◽  
Lanmin Wang
Keyword(s):  
Seismic Hazard ◽  
Ground Motion ◽  
Seismic Design ◽  
Hazard Analysis ◽  
Seismic Hazard Assessment ◽  
Gansu Province ◽  
Mitigation Measures ◽  
Peak Ground Velocity ◽  
Ground Acceleration ◽  
Acceleration Time Histories

A scenario seismic hazard analysis was performed for the city of Tianshui. The scenario hazard analysis utilized the best available geologic and seismological information as well as composite source model (i.e., ground motion simulation) to derive ground motion hazards in terms of acceleration time histories, peak values (e.g., peak ground acceleration and peak ground velocity), and response spectra. This study confirms that Tianshui is facing significant seismic hazard, and certain mitigation measures, such as better seismic design for buildings and other structures, should be developed and implemented. This study shows that PGA of 0.3 g (equivalent to Chinese intensity VIII) should be considered for seismic design of general building and PGA of 0.4 g (equivalent to Chinese intensity IX) for seismic design of critical facility in Tianshui.

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