scholarly journals Integrated predictive model for prostatic cancer using clinical, laboratory and ultrasound data

2016 ◽  
Vol 43 (6) ◽  
pp. 430-437
Author(s):  
GUSTAVO DAVID LUDWIG ◽  
HENRIQUE PERES ROCHA ◽  
LÚCIO JOSÉ BOTELHO ◽  
MAIARA BRUSCO FREITAS

ABSTRACT Objective: to develop a predictive model to estimate the probability of prostate cancer prior to biopsy. Methods: from September 2009 to January 2014, 445 men underwent prostate biopsy in a radiology service. We excluded from the study patients with diseases that could compromise the data analysis, who had undergone prostatic resection or used 5-alpha-reductase inhibitors. Thus, we selected 412 patients. Variables included in the model were age, prostate specific antigen (PSA), digital rectal examination, prostate volume and abnormal sonographic findings. We constructed Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curves and calculated the areas under the curve, as well as the model's Positive Predictive Value (PPV) . Results: of the 412 men, 155 (37.62%) had prostate cancer (PC). The mean age was 63.8 years and the median PSA was 7.22ng/ml. In addition, 21.6% and 20.6% of patients had abnormalities on digital rectal examination and image suggestive of cancer by ultrasound, respectively. The median prostate volume and PSA density were 45.15cm3 and 0.15ng/ml/cm3, respectively. Univariate and multivariate analyses showed that only five studied risk factors are predictors of PC in the study (p<0.05). The PSA density was excluded from the model (p=0.314). The area under the ROC curve for PC prediction was 0.86. The PPV was 48.08% for 95%sensitivity and 52.37% for 90% sensitivity. Conclusion: the results indicate that clinical, laboratory and ultrasound data, besides easily obtained, can better stratify the risk of patients undergoing prostate biopsy.

Medicina ◽  
2007 ◽  
Vol 43 (4) ◽  
pp. 285 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kęstutis Vaičiūnas ◽  
Stasys Auškalnis ◽  
Aivaras Matjošaitis ◽  
Darius Trumbeckas ◽  
Mindaugas Jievaltas

The aim of this study was to evaluate the relevance of prostate gland volume, transitional zone volume, and transitional zone index for the detection of prostate cancer by the first sextant biopsy. Material and methods. A total of 121 men with high risk of prostate cancer were included in our study (prostate-specific antigen level higher than 4 ng/mL and/or pathological digital rectal examination). We consulted the patients in Outpatient Department of Kaunas University of Medicine Hospital during 2003–2006. Total prostate volume and transition zone volume were measured, and all patients underwent transrectal ultrasoundguided sextant biopsy of the prostate. According to histological results of prostate biopsy, patients were divided into two groups: benign group (benign prostate hyperplasia and high-grade intraepithelial neoplasia) and prostate cancer group. Statistical analysis was made by SPSS (Statistical Package for Social Sciences) 12.0.1 for Windows. Results. After histological examination, prostate cancer was detected in 20.7% of patients (n=25). Prostate cancer was found in 24.6% of patients with a total prostate volume of less than 60 cm3 and only in 8.2% of patients with a total prostate volume greater than 60 cm3 (P=0.026). Prostate cancer was found in 27.1% of patients with transition zone volume smaller than 30 cm3 and only in 7.5% of patients with transition zone volume greater than 30 cm3 (P=0.007). A statistically significant difference was found when patients were divided into the groups according to transition zone index: when transition zone index was lower than 0.45, prostate cancer was detected in 37.1% of patients, and when transition zone index was higher than 0.45, prostate cancer was observed in 9.1% of patients (P=0.001). The possibility to detect prostate cancer was 5.9 times higher in patients with transition zone index lower than 0.45. Conclusions. Prostate cancer detection rate by first sextant prostate biopsy in patients with elevated prostate-specific antigen level and/or pathological digital rectal examination was higher when total prostate volume was less than 60 cm3, transition zone was less than 30 cm3, and transition zone index was less than 0.45.


2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Igor Yusim ◽  
Muhammad Krenawi ◽  
Elad Mazor ◽  
Victor Novack ◽  
Nicola J. Mabjeesh

AbstractThe purpose of this study was to assess the predictive value of prostate specific antigen density (PSAD) for detection of clinically significant prostate cancer in men undergoing systematic transrectal ultrasound (TRUS)-guided prostate biopsy. We retrospectively analyzed data of men who underwent TRUS-guided prostate biopsy because of elevated PSA (≤ 20 ng/ml) or abnormal digital rectal examination. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis to compare PSA and PSAD performance and chi-square automatic interaction detector methodologies were used to identify predictors of clinically significant cancer (Gleason score ≥ 7 or international society of urological pathology grade group ≥ 2). Nine-hundred and ninety-two consecutive men with a median age of 66 years (IQR 61–71) were included in the study. Median PSAD was 0.10 ng/ml2 (IQR 0.10–0.22). Prostate adenocarcinoma was diagnosed in 338 men (34%). Clinically significant prostate adenocarcinoma was diagnosed in 167 patients (50% of all cancers and 17% of the whole cohort). The AUC to predict clinically significant prostate cancer was 0.64 for PSA and 0.78 for PSAD (P < 0.001). The highest Youden's index for PSAD was at 0.20 ng/ml2 with 70% sensitivity and 79% specificity for the diagnosis of clinically significant cancer. Men with PSAD < 0.09 ng/ml2 had only 4% chance of having clinically significant disease. The detection rate of clinically significant prostate cancer in patients with PSAD between 0.09 and 0.19 ng/ml2 was significantly higher when prostate volume was less than 33 ml. In conclusion, PSAD was a better predictor than PSA alone of clinically significant prostate cancer in patients undergoing TRUS-guided biopsy. Patients with PSAD below 0.09 ng/ml2 were unlikely to harbor clinically significant prostate cancer. Combining PSAD in the gray zone (0.09–0.19) with prostate volume below 33 ml adds diagnostic value of clinically significant prostate cancer.


2011 ◽  
Vol 29 (7_suppl) ◽  
pp. 203-203
Author(s):  
P. Sooriakumaran ◽  
M. John ◽  
J. Bektic ◽  
G. Bartsch ◽  
M. Herman ◽  
...  

203 Background: There are no published nomograms that predict prostate cancer in a screened population. We describe three nomograms that predict for prostate cancer on biopsy derived from a large screening population. Methods: Patients from the Tyrol screening study of known age, total prostate-specific antigen (tPSA), digital rectal examination (DRE), prostate volume, and percent free PSA (%fPSA), and who underwent an initial prostate biopsy from January 1992 to June 2004, were included (n=2271). Multivariable logistic regression models were used to develop the biopsy positivity predictive nomograms: nomogram 1- age, DRE, tPSA; nomogram 2- age, DRE, tPSA, prostate volume; nomogram 3- age, DRE, tPSA, prostate volume, %fPSA. The predictive accuracy of the models was assessed in terms of discrimination and calibration. External validation of the nomograms was performed by comparison with a urologically referred population of patients who underwent prostate biopsy (n=599). Results: All three nomograms discriminated well between biopsy positive and biopsy negative patients for both the screening and urologically referred cohorts (nomogram 3 better than nomogram 2 better than nomogram 1). All three nomograms were well calibrated internally, but the nomograms under-predicted the probability of a positive biopsy in the urologically referred cohort. Conclusions: Our nomogram based on age, total PSA, and DRE has a good predictive ability to differentiate between screened patients that will show cancer on initial prostate biopsy and those that will not. Adding prostate volume and percent free PSA improves this predictive power further. All three nomograms under-predict prostate cancer in a urologically referred cohort. These simple nomograms may be of value in counseling screened men with raised PSA and/or abnormal DRE regarding the need for biopsy. No significant financial relationships to disclose.


2005 ◽  
Vol 72 (4) ◽  
pp. 440-442
Author(s):  
A. Galuffo ◽  
V. Serretta ◽  
L. Di Gregorio ◽  
F. Scuto ◽  
V. Bertolino ◽  
...  

Subclinical infections of the prostate can increase the prostate-specific antigen (PSA) values in patients with normal digital rectal examination. This study aimed to evaluate the role of short-term antimicrobial therapy in reducing the PSA value in patients as candidates for transrectal biopsy. Fifty-eight patients with negative digital rectal examination and PSA values between 4 and 20 ng/mL were included in the study. Antibiotics were administered to all patients for 3 weeks, and the PSA was reassessed 10 days after the end of the treatment. Patients were subsequently submitted to prostate biopsy. A reduction in PSA was detected in 34 patients (59%). Mean percentage reduction was 32%. In only six patients (10%) did the PSA return to normal levels. Prostate biopsy revealed prostate cancer in 26 patients (45%). Prostate cancer was not detected in patients with PSA levels above 4 ng/mL. Prostate biopsy can be avoided only in a small number of patients showing the normalization of PSA levels after short-term antimicrobial therapy. These patients should be strictly monitored with frequent PSA determinations.


2013 ◽  
Vol 7 (1-2) ◽  
pp. 82 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stavros Sfoungaristos ◽  
Petros Perimenis

Background: Focal hemiablative therapy for prostate cancer is a new treatment alternative. Unilateral and unifocal disease are its main limitations. The aim of this study was to identify the epidemiological, clinical and pathological parameters that may predict unilateral disease in patients diagnosed with prostate cancer.Methods: We performed a retrospective analysis of patients at our institution between January 2005 and January 2011. Only patients with unilateral disease in prostate biopsy were part of the study. The analysis included age, preoperative prostate-specific antigen (PSA) and its density, prostate volume, biopsy first and second Gleason pattern and Gleason summary, number of biopsy cores, percentage of cancer in biopsy material and the presence of high grade prostatic intraepithelial neoplasia. Their role as potential predictors was evaluated by univariate and multivariate analysis.Results: A total of 161 patients had unilateral disease after prostate biopsy. A significant correlation was found between prostate volume, PSA density and percentage of cancer in biopsy material and the presence of unilateral disease in the surgical specimen. These are the same factors significant in the univariate analysis. The results of the multivariate analysis demonstrated that PSA density (p = 0.015) and percentage of cancer in biopsy material (p = 0.028) are the most significant predictors.Interpretation: Our results demonstrate that PSA density and the percentage of cancer in biopsy cores are significant predictorsfor prostate cancer unilaterality and should be considered for theselection of hemiablative focal therapy candidates.


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