scholarly journals QUADRANT ANALYSIS OF TOTAL FERTILITY RATE AND CONTRACEPTIVE PREVALENCE RATE OF DISTRICT AND CITY IN EAST JAVA

2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 87
Author(s):  
Kiki Adi Mutiari ◽  
Kuntoro Kuntoro

One of the indicators determine the wellness of Family Planning Program is the high number of participants enrolling, or commonly known as the Contraceptive Prevalence Rate (CPR) and the number of children born known as the Total Fertility Rate (TFR) of a maximum of 2 children. There are several regions in East Java where the situation of TFR and CPR does not show the ideal conditions. This shows that there are problems in the current family planning program. This research was conducted to map districts and cities in East Java based on TFR and CPR data respectively in quadrant form. This type of research is on-reactive research which utilizes secondary data from Indonesia - National Socio-Economic Survey in 2015. The research method used is recapitulating data and classifying districts and cities in the form of quadrants by comparing to data on achievement of TFR and CPR in East Java using SPSS. The results of the study have mapped districts and cities in East Java which are described in quadrant form. The regions that need major attention from the government are regions in quadrants I and II. Quadrant III is included in an abnormal condition and quadrant IV is a quadrant that has an area where TFR and CPR conditions are ideal. The conclusions of this study are the areas in quadrant I, namely: Sampang (district), Blitar (city), Blitar (district), Tulungagung (district), Ponorogo (district), Madiun (city), and Pasuruan (city) are the priority in getting the FP program improvements. The advice that can be given is to evaluate the ongoing family planning program to find out the factors that cause the TFR and CPR conditions are not in line with government expectations.

2021 ◽  
Vol 4 ◽  
pp. 160
Author(s):  
Kristin Bietsch ◽  
Ali Arbaji ◽  
Jennifer Mason ◽  
Rebecca Rosenberg ◽  
Malak Al Ouri

Background: Between the two most recent Population and Family Health Surveys, Jordan saw a dramatic decline in the Total Fertility Rate (TFR) from 3.5 to 2.7 in 5.5 years.  Over the same period, modern contraceptive use also declined, from 61.2% to 51.8% among married women.  This decrease in both TFR and the contraceptive prevalence rate (CPR) diverges from the typical relationship seen between these two factors whereby historically as CPR increases, TFR decreases.  This paper explores this unique pattern using multiple methodologies.  Methods: First, we validate the survey data using nationally collected data on fertility and contraceptive distribution.  Second, we look to changes that have historically influenced changes in CPR and TFR, including changes in ideal family size and wanted fertility rates. Third, we explore proximate determinants and other influences on fertility and changes in contraception, examining the changes in the method mix and unmet need; marriage patterns, including the demographics of the married population, spousal separation, and time since last sex; postpartum insusceptibility; infecundity, both primary and secondary; and abortion, to see if any have shifted significantly enough to allow for fertility to decline with less contraceptive use. Results: We find that the decline in fertility in Jordan was driven by a reduction in mistimed or unwanted pregnancies and there was a significant increase in the share of reproductive aged women who are infecund. We also concluded that the changes in fertility and contraceptive use are driven by changes in Jordanian nationals, not by the growing Syrian refugee population. Conclusions: Jordan is not the only country to be experiencing a shift in the typical relationship between CPR and TFR.  Results can inform both future approaches for family planning programs and our expectations regarding what kind of change our family planning investments might buy.


2020 ◽  
Vol 4 ◽  
pp. 160
Author(s):  
Kristin Bietsch ◽  
Ali Arbaji ◽  
Jennifer Mason ◽  
Rebecca Rosenberg ◽  
Malak Al Ouri

Background: Between the two most recent Population and Family Health Surveys, Jordan saw a dramatic decline in the Total Fertility Rate (TFR) from 3.5 to 2.7 in 5.5 years.  Over the same period, modern contraceptive use also declined, from 61.2% to 51.8% among married women.  This decrease in both TFR and the contraceptive prevalence rate (CPR) diverges from the typical relationship seen between these two factors whereby historically as CPR increases, TFR decreases.  This paper explores this unique pattern using multiple methodologies.  Methods: First, we validate the survey data using nationally collected data on fertility and contraceptive distribution.  Second, we look to changes that have historically influenced changes in CPR and TFR, including changes in ideal family size and wanted fertility rates. Third, we explore proximate determinants and other influences on fertility and changes in contraception, examining the changes in the method mix and unmet need; marriage patterns, including the demographics of the married population, spousal separation, and time since last sex; postpartum insusceptibility; infecundity, both primary and secondary; and abortion, to see if any have shifted significantly enough to allow for fertility to decline with less contraceptive use. Results: We find that the decline in fertility in Jordan was driven by a reduction in mistimed or unwanted pregnancies and there was a significant increase in the share of reproductive aged women who are infecund. We also concluded that the changes in fertility and contraceptive use are driven by changes in Jordanian nationals, not by the growing Syrian refugee population. Conclusions: Jordan is not the only country to be experiencing a shift in the typical relationship between CPR and TFR.  Results can inform both future approaches for family planning programs and our expectations regarding what kind of change our family planning investments might buy.


2019 ◽  
Vol 3 ◽  
pp. 1541
Author(s):  
Khaing Nwe Tin ◽  
Jessica Williamson ◽  
Emily Sonneveldt

Background: Although Myanmar has made good progress in family planning by increased contraceptive prevalence rate (CPR) from 41% in 2007 to 52.2% in 2016, it remains lower than the target of 60% by 2020. There are also huge disparities sub-nationally, ranging from 25% to 60%. While there is a strong need to monitor the progress of family planning program regularly at the national and sub-national level, Myanmar has limited surveys, data quality and methodological issues in its Health Management Information System (HMIS), and a scattered rollout of the Logistic Management Information System (LMIS). Methods: To identify viable options for annual monitoring, four data sources: modelled contraceptive prevalence rate for modern methods (mCPR) estimates from Track20’s  Family Planning Estimation Tool (FPET); method-specific prevalence from the  2015-16 Myanmar Demographic and Health Survey (DHS); mCPR estimates and method prevalence from  HMIS and estimates of modern method use (EMU) based on commodity consumption data from LMIS, were used to compare for the years 2015-2017. Estimates of mCPR from HMIS were tested for accuracy based on whether they fell within the 95% confidence interval of mCPR estimates from the FPET for the corresponding years. EMU from LMIS was also tested for those years and States/Regions where available. Results: For annual tracking of mCPR, direct estimates of HMIS were considered; they were much higher than those of the DHS survey and were not matched by FPET results, except in Chin and Kayin. To monitor the method mix, HMIS data can be used as these are similar pattern with DHS in both national and State/Regional level except Chin and Kayin. LMIS could be used in annual tracking when there are high reporting rates and valid information of consumption. Conclusions: Track20’s FPET is the method of choice to get valid information for annual monitoring of family planning program.


2007 ◽  
Vol 34 (2) ◽  
pp. 179 ◽  
Author(s):  
Akbar Aghajanian ◽  
Amir H. Mehryar ◽  
Bahram Delavar ◽  
Shahla Kazemipour ◽  
Hassan Eini Zinab

Since its establishment in 1989, the family planning program of Iran has taken great strides in raising contraceptive prevalence rate and reducing fertility. The most recent national survey conducted in 2000 indicated a contraceptive prevalence rate of 74 and a TFR of 2.0 for the country as whole. This paper reviews the latest data on the extent of use of withdrawal by Iranian couples and identifies the social and demographic characteristics of women relying on this method. It is shown that women using this traditional method are more likely to be urban, come from the more developed provinces, and have higher levels of education. The experience of unintended pregnancy among withdrawal user is not more than the women who use modern contraceptives such as the pill.


2018 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 11-16
Author(s):  
Andan Firmansyah

Kabupaten Polewali Mandar merupakan Daerah Tertinggal tahun 2015-2019 berdasarkan PP no. 131 tahun 2015 dan berdasarkan data susenas 2015, Sulawesi barat berada pada kuadran 2, dimana tingkat CPR (contraceptive prevalence rate) rendah dan TFR (total fertility rate) tinggi. tujuan penelitian iniialah untuk mengetahui pengaruh pendampingan dan penyuluhan (PENYU) mahasiswa KKN terhadap Perubahan Perilaku PUS Ber-KB di Kecamatan Alu Kabupaten Polewali Mandar. Penelitian ini termasuk Quasi Eksperimental research. Penelitian ini akan dilaksanakan di Kecamatan Allu Kabupaten Polewali Mandar di dua desa yaitu desa Mombi sebagai tempat perlakuan, dan desa Pao-Pao sebagai tempat Kontrol Hasil Penelitian Menilai adanya perbedaan antara perlakuan dan control dengan uji t tidak berpasangan dengan menscoring semua hasil perhitungan variabel pengetahuan, sikap dan prilaku dengan hasil ada perbedaan yang signifikan perubahan pengetahuan. antara kelompok kasus dan kontrol melalui keterlibatan mahasiswa KKN melalui pendekatan pendampingan dan penyuluhan (penyu) pada PUS. Dengan nilai p value = 0,005. Ada perbedaan perubahan sikap dengan nilai p value = 0,001. Ada perbedaan perubahan perilaku dengan nilai p value = 0,013. Menilai adanya pengaruh antara vaiabel penelitian dengan uji Chi-Square didapatkan Adanya pengaruh antara pendampingan dan penyuyluhan (Penyu) mahasiswa KKN terhadapa perubahan pengetahuan, sikap dan prilaku PUS di kecamatan alu yaitu pengetahuan dengan p value 0,005, sikap dengan p value 0,000 dan prilaku dengan nilai p value 0,000.


2020 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 48-60
Author(s):  
Istiqomatul Fajriyah Yuliati ◽  
Pardomuan Sihombing

Tujuan dari penelitian ini adalah untuk menganalisis pola hubungan Total Fertility Rate (TFR) dengan Contraceptive Prevalence Rate (CPR). Analisis yang sering digunakan untuk pemodelan adalah analisis regresi. Analisis regresi menurut pendekatannya dapat dibedakan menjadi dua, parametrik dan nonparametrik. Metode regresi nonparametrik yang sering digunakan adalah regresi kernel dan spline. Pada penelitian ini untuk regresi kernel yang digunakan adalah regresi kernel dengan metode penaksir Nadaraya-Watson (NWE) dan penaksir polinomial lokal (LPE), sedangkan untuk regresi spline yang digunakan adalah smoothing spline dan b-splines. Hasil pengepasan kurva (fitting curve) menunjukkan bahwa model regresi nonparametrik terbaik adalah model regresi b-splines dengan degree 2 dan jumlah knot 5. Hal ini dikarenakan model regresi b-splines memiliki kurva yang halus dan terlihat lebih mengikuti sebaran data dibandingkan kurva model regresi lainnya. Model regresi b-splines terpilih memiliki nilai koefisien determinasi R2 sebesar 76.86%, artinya besarnya variasi variabel TFR yang dijelaskan oleh model regresi b-splines sebesar 76.86%, sedangkan sisanya 23.14% dijelaskan oleh variabel lainnya yang tidak dimasukkan ke dalam model.


2009 ◽  
Vol 3 (5) ◽  
pp. 206
Author(s):  
Sariana Sistri

Indonesia merupakan negara dengan jumlah penduduk terbesar keempat di dunia setelah Republik Rakyat Cina, India dan Amerika Serikat. Pada periode 2000-2002, penduduk Indonesia meningkat 1,25% atau 7,3 juta setiap tahun, sehingga pada tahun 2002 jumlah penduduk Indonesia menjadi sekitar 215 juta jiwa. Berdasarkan data SDKI, Total Fertility Rate (TFR) tahun 1997 (2,8) dan 2003 (2,6), dalam kurun waktu dua dasawarsa. Contraceptive Prevalence Rate (CPR), di Indonesia, pada 1977 (26) meningkatan dua kali lipat pada tahun 1997 (57) Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui kelangsungan pemakaian kontrasepsi sejak pertama kali pemakaian pada periode 1997-2002, berikut berbagai faktor yang berhubungan. Desain penelitian yang digunakan adalah kohort retrospektif, dengan analisis survival, regresi cox. Sumber data yang digunakan adalah data sekunder SDKI 2002-2003, dengan jumlah sampel 5.072 kepala keluarga. Dari penelitian ini didapatkan lama kelangsungan pemakaian kontrasepsi pada periode 1997-2002 di Indonesia sejak pertama kali pakai hingga pemakaian 72 bulan adalah 50,32%. Faktor-faktor yang berhubungan dengan kelangsungan pengunaan kontrasepsi adalah tingkat pendidikan ibu dan status pekerjaan ibu.Kata kunci: Kelangsungan penggunaan kontrasepsi, determinanAbstractIt has been known that Indonesia is the fourth largest population in the world, after People Republic of China, India, and United States. At the year of 2002, Indonesia total population is about 215 million, with a growth rate between 2000 and 2002 is about 1.25% meaning that there is about 7.3 million people every year. The success of the Family Planning Program is recognized by its indicators, namely Total Fertility Rate (TFR) and Contraceptive Prevalence Rate (CPR). The TFR at SDKI 1997 was 2.8 and in SDKI 2003 was 2.6. While CPR, in two decades has increased double fold from 26 in 1977 to 57 in 1997. The study is carried out in order to know the length of continuation on contraceptive use since the first time of using, in the period of 1997-2002 and related factors. The design is cross sectional with retrospective cohort, using survival analysis technique. Data is secondary data of SDKI 2002-2003 on 5,072 samples. The results of the study showed that contraceptive continuation since it first use until 72 months follow up period is 50.32%. Factors related to the continuation are level of education and occupation of the mother.Keywords: Contraceptive use, determinant


2020 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 35-47
Author(s):  
Ni Luh Putu Yayang Septia Ningsih ◽  
Dwi Cahyo Firmansyah ◽  
Fathin Nadillah ◽  
Firza Refo Adi Pratama

Total Fertility Rate (TFR) merupakan salah satu indikator untuk melihat pertumbuhan penduduk di suatu daerah. Sedangkan tinggi rendahnya TFR disuatu daerah selalu berhubungan dengan Contraceptive Prevalence Rate (CPR), yaitu ukuran untuk melihat persentase pengguna alat kontrasepsi Pasangan Usia Subur (PUS). Di Indonesia, provinsi dengan TFR tertinggi yaitu Provinsi Nusa Tenggara Timur dan provinsi dengan TFR terendah yaitu Provinsi Jawa Timur. Oleh sebab itu, peneliti tertarik untuk meneliti mengenai faktor-faktor sosial demografi yang memengaruhi penggunaan alat kontrasepsi di kedua provinsi yang memiliki TFR tertinggi dan terendah tersebut lalu membandingkan hasilnya. Analisis yang digunakan yaitu analisis inferensia dengan regresi logistik biner dan analisis deskriptif. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa faktor-faktor sosial demografi yang berpengaruh signifikan terhadap penggunaan kontrasepsi pada wanita usia subur (WUS) di Provinsi Nusa Tenggara Timur adalah usia, status perkawinan, pendidikan terakhir dan jumlah anak yang pernah dilahirkan. Sedangkan faktor-faktor sosial demografi yang berpengaruh signifikan terhadap penggunaan kontrasepsi pada wanita usia subur (WUS) di Provinsi Jawa Timur adalah usia, status perkawinan, pendidikan terakhir, status pekerjaan dan jumlah anak yang pernah dilahirkan. Secara umum, sebagian besar wanita usia subur (WUS) yang menggunakan alat kontrasepsi di kedua provinsi tersebut adalah wanita usia subur (WUS) yang berumur 35-39 tahun, berstatus kawin, bekerja disektor pertanian, memiliki anak lebih dari dua, serta pendidikan tertinggi yang ditamatkan adalah SD/sederajat. Dengan kata lain, tidak terdapat perbedaan karakteristik diantara kedua provinsi dengan TFR tertinggi dan terendah tersebut.


2019 ◽  
Vol 3 ◽  
pp. 1541
Author(s):  
Khaing Nwe Tin ◽  
Jessica Williamson ◽  
Emily Sonneveldt

Background: Although Myanmar has made good progress in family planning by increased contraceptive prevalence rate (CPR) from 41% in 2007 to 52.2% in 2016, it remains lower than the target of 60% by 2020. There are also huge disparities sub-nationally, ranging from 25% to 60%. While there is a strong need to monitor the progress of family planning program regularly at the national and sub-national level, Myanmar has limited surveys, data quality and methodological issues in its Health Management Information System (HMIS), and a scattered rollout of the Logistic Management Information System (LMIS). Methods: To identify viable options for annual monitoring, four data sources: modelled contraceptive prevalence rate for modern methods (mCPR) estimates from Track20’s  Family Planning Estimation Tool (FPET); method-specific prevalence from the  2015-16 Myanmar Demographic and Health Survey (DHS); mCPR estimates and method prevalence from  HMIS and estimates of modern method use (EMU) based on commodity consumption data from LMIS, were compared for the years 2015-2017. Estimates of mCPR from HMIS were tested for accuracy based on whether they fell within the 95% confidence interval of mCPR estimates from the FPET for the corresponding years. EMU from LMIS was also tested for those years and states/regions where available. Results: For annual tracking of mCPR, direct estimates of HMIS were considered carefully, as they were much higher than those of the DHS survey and were not matched by FPET results, except in Chin and Kayin. To monitor the method mix, HMIS data can be used as these are similar pattern with DHS in both national and State/Regional level except Chin and Kayin. LMIS could be used in annual tracking when there are high reporting rates and valid information of consumption. Conclusions: Track20’s FPET is the method of choice to get valid information for annual monitoring of family planning program.


2019 ◽  
Vol 3 ◽  
pp. 1541
Author(s):  
Khaing Nwe Tin ◽  
Jessica Williamson ◽  
Emily Sonneveldt

Background: Although Myanmar has made good progress in family planning by increased contraceptive prevalence rate (CPR) from 41% in 2007 to 52.2% in 2016, it remains lower than the target of 60% by 2020. There are also huge disparities sub-nationally, ranging from 25% to 60%. While there is a strong need to monitor the progress of family planning program regularly at the national and sub-national level, Myanmar has limited surveys, data quality and methodological issues in its Health Management Information System (HMIS), and a scattered rollout of the Logistic Management Information System (LMIS). Methods: To identify viable options for annual monitoring, four data sources: modelled contraceptive prevalence rate for modern methods (mCPR) estimates from Track20’s  Family Planning Estimation Tool (FPET); method-specific prevalence from the  2015-16 Myanmar Demographic and Health Survey (DHS); mCPR estimates and method prevalence from  HMIS and estimates of modern method use (EMU) based on commodity consumption data from LMIS, were used to compare for the years 2015-2017. Estimates of mCPR from HMIS were tested for accuracy based on whether they fell within the 95% confidence interval of mCPR estimates from the FPET for the corresponding years. EMU from LMIS was also tested for those years and states/regions where available. Results: For annual tracking of mCPR, direct estimates of HMIS were considered; they were much higher than those of the DHS survey and were not matched by FPET results, except in Chin and Kayin. To monitor the method mix, HMIS data can be used as these are similar pattern with DHS in both national and State/Regional level except Chin and Kayin. LMIS could be used in annual tracking when there are high reporting rates and valid information of consumption. Conclusions: Track20’s FPET is the method of choice to get valid information for annual monitoring of family planning program.


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