scholarly journals The Macroeconomic Determinants and the Impact of Sanctions on FDI in Iran: A Case Study

Author(s):  
Mehdi Rasouli Ghahroudi ◽  
Li chy Chong

In this paper, we examine the impact of the macroeconomic determinants of foreign direct investment inflows. We also investigate the moderating role of sanctions in FDI inflows into Iran. The empirical results reveal that macro determinants such as infrastructure, exchange rate, inflation rate, investment return, and governance have a long-run impact on FDI inflows in Iran. Our findings also show that GDP growth rate and trade openness have no significant effect on FDI. Our results indicate that sanctions do not have a significant moderating role in the relationship between macroeconomic factors and foreign direct investment. Surprisingly, international sanctions have a positive relationship with FDI inflows in Iran. Furthermore, sanction has a positive impact on inflation rate and exchange rate in Iran. Finally, our findings show that sanctions have had a significant impact on Iran's economic growth in recent years due to increasing the severity level of sanctions.

2020 ◽  
Vol 34 (1) ◽  
pp. 15-34
Author(s):  
Mehdi Rasouli Ghahroudi ◽  
Li Choy Chong

AbstractWe examine the impact of the macroeconomic determinants of foreign direct investment inflows. We also investigate the moderating role of sanctions in FDI inflows into Iran. The results reveal that macro determinants such as infrastructure, exchange rate, inflation rate, investment return, and governance have a long-run effect on FDI inflows in Iran. Our findings also show that GDP growth rate and trade openness have no significant effect on FDI. Our results indicate that sanctions do not have a significant moderating role in the relationship between macroeconomic factors and FDI. Surprisingly, international sanctions have a positive relationship with FDI inflows in Iran. Furthermore, sanctions have a positive impact on the inflation rate and exchange rate in Iran. Finally, our findings show that sanctions have had a significant impact on Iran’s economic growth in recent years due to increasing the severity level of sanctions.


Author(s):  
Mehdi Rasouli Ghahroudi ◽  
Li choy Chong

In this paper, we investigate the role of sanctions in the relationship between macroeconomic determinants and foreign direct investment inflows. We also investigate the moderating role of sanctions in FDI inflows into Iran. The empirical results reveal that macro determinants such as infrastructure, exchange rate, inflation rate, investment return, and governance have a long-run impact on FDI inflows in Iran. Our findings also show that GDP growth rate and trade openness have no significant effect on FDI. Our results indicate that sanctions do not have a significant moderating role in the relationship between macroeconomic factors and foreign direct investment. Surprisingly, international sanctions have a positive relationship with FDI inflows in Iran. Furthermore, sanction has a positive impact on the inflation rate and exchange rate in Iran. Finally, our findings show that sanctions have had a significant impact on Iran's economic growth in recent years due to increasing the severity level of sanctions.


2020 ◽  
Vol 26 (123) ◽  
pp. 145-157
Author(s):  
Saif Sallam Alhakimi

 Foreign direct investment has seen increasing interest worldwide, especially in developing economies. However, statistics have shown that Yemen received fluctuating FDI inflows during the period under study. Against this background, this research seeks to determine the relationship and impact of interest rates on FDI flows. The study also found other determinants that greatly affected FDI inflows in Yemen for the period 1990-2018. Study data collected from the World Bank and International Monetary Fund databases. It also ensured that the time series were made balanced and interconnected, and then the Auto Regressive Distributed Lag method used in the analysis. The results showed that the interest rates and inflation rate harmed FDI flows and, therefore, could not be used for policymaking purposes. The research also discovered that GDP growth and trade openness are the main determinants of foreign direct investment in Yemen. Trade openness policies should be encouraged, and GDP growth facilitated if the economy is to achieve long-term FDI flows. Purpose –The purpose of the paper is to discover the impact of interest rate on foreign direct investment with a combination of the exchange rate, inflation, gross domestic product, and trade openness. Design/methodology/approach – The paper implements the Auto Regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL)-Bounds testing approach to analyze maintaining the time series properties in terms of stationarity. Findings – The results indicate that there is a long-run equilibrium between the Foreign Direct Investment and the explanatory variables. Furthermore, the significant factors influencing, positively, FDI in Yemen are Growth domestic product, Exchange rate, and Trade openness. In contrast, both the Interest rate and Inflation rate have a substantial negative impact on Foreign Direct Investment. Practical implications – Policymakers in Yemen advised reconsidering many of the general state policies, including investment policies, financial and administrative governance, and monetary policy that focuses on maintaining an adequate interest rate and reduce the rate of inflation. Originality/value – As for the case of Yemen, this the first study empirically explores the impact of interest rate and the foreign direct investment using the Auto Regressive Distributed Lag method aiming for more reliable results.


Author(s):  
Irfan Ullah ◽  
Humaira Noreen ◽  
Zia Ur Rehman ◽  
Naveed Shinwari

The aim of this study was to find the impact of Inflation rate, Interest rate, Foreign direct investment, Trade openness and Exchange rate on Return of assets of textile weaving sector of Pakistan during the period of 1997 to 2019. The Dependent variable was Return on Assets while Inflation rate, Interest rate, Foreign direct investment, Trade openness and Exchange rate were independent variables, Data for the study was obtained from secondary sources like World Development Indicator, Pakistan Stock exchange and financial stability review issued by State Bank of Pakistan during 1997 to 2019. ROA were collected from Annual reports of the selected textile businesses (weaving sector). The results of Co-integration indicated the long run relationship among the variables. However, inflation rate, interest rate and exchange rate have positive and significant impact on return on Assets of textile weaving sector of Pakistan, on the other hand Foreign direct investment and Trade openness have insignificant effect on Return on assets of textile weaving sector of Pakistan. This paper is limited to linear framework some results may be sensitive to non-linearities, a non-linear frame work should be included in future research.


2016 ◽  
Vol 6 (2) ◽  
pp. 186-198
Author(s):  
Siraj-ul-Hassan Reshi

Foreign direct investment (FDI) is often seen as an important catalyst for economicgrowth in the developing countries. It affects the economic growth by stimulating domestic investment, increasing human capital formation and by facilitating the technology transfer in the host countries. The main purpose of this paper is to investigate the impact of FDI determinants on FDI inflows in India from the period 1991-2009.The relationship between FDI inflow and its determinants have been analyzed by using the regression analysis and other variables that affect FDI inflows in India such as Developmental expenditure ratio, fiscal deficit ratio, exchange rate and other economic determinant such as GDP as the possible explanatory variables of foreign direct investment inflows in India. The expected results of the study are positive and statistically significant. Regarding the impact of various determinants on FDI in flows empirically, it has beenfound that all the variables except exchange rate have positively and significantly affecting FDI inflows i.e. increase in GDP, Developmental expenditure, foreign exchange reserves, increased the FDI inflows.


TEME ◽  
2019 ◽  
pp. 1237 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jelena Andrašić ◽  
Vera Mirović ◽  
Branimir Kalaš

Foreign direct investment has a significant role in Southeastern European countries. The aim of the paper is reflected in assessing the character and nature of the relationship between macroeconomic factors and foreign direct investment in Southeastern European countries. Further, the subject of paper includes the examination of the impact of selected macroeconomic variables on foreign direct investment in six countries for the period from 2000 to 2012. The selected countries are Albania, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Macedonia, Romania and Serbia. The research includes an examination impact of market size, national competitiveness and employment on foreign direct investment. By using the Hausman test, it was confirmed that the fixed effect model is an appropriate model in panel analysis. Based on the result, it determined the positive impact of market size, while the industry's share of GDP and employment have a negative impact on this variable. Also, the results confirmed that only the market size of the countries significantly affected on the flow of foreign direct investment in Southeastern European countries.


2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Ebenezer Bugri Anarfo ◽  
Abel Mawuko Agoba ◽  
Yakubu Awudu Sare ◽  
Daniel Komla Gameti

Purpose This study aims to investigate the impact of energy access on foreign direct investment (FDI) in an emerging market. Design/methodology/approach The study uses the two-stage least square instrumental variables estimation approach to compute the parameters of the model to account for any potential endogeneity and time persistence in energy access. Findings The results show that energy access significantly influences FDI inflows in Ghana. The results of the study also revealed that natural resources and macroeconomic variables such as real interest rate, gross domestic product growth rate are significant determinants of FDI inflows in Ghana. Practical implications The practical implication of this study is that there is a need for energy sector policy reforms in Ghana that would guarantee a secured and continued supply of energy to enhance energy access to boost FDI. Ghana should aim for a cost-effective, stable and environmentally friendly source of energy as an alternative to hydro energy as the main source of its power generation to promote FDI. Also, Ghana should initiate and implement policies aimed at creating an enabling and stable macroeconomic environment, as macroeconomic factors in this study are found to be drivers of FDI. Originality/value This study provides firsthand information on energy access and FDI from the Ghanaian perspective.


2021 ◽  
Vol 6 (3) ◽  
pp. 173-175
Author(s):  
Md. Fazlul Huq Khan

This paper investigates the impact of inflation, nominal exchange rate, foreign direct investment, and unexpected event shock on the economic growth of Bangladesh by using the time series data from 1990 through 2020. Augmented Dickey-Fuller and Phillips-Perron Unit Root Test used to identify unit-roots existence and check the stationary of variables. The Ordinary Least Squares method is applied to determine the relationship between the dependent variable and independent variables. The results revealed that the exchange rate and foreign direct investment have significantly affected the country's economic growth. Inflation, FDI, and exchange rate positive impact, whereas unexpected events like Covid-19, natural disasters, etc., negatively affect the economic development of Bangladesh. The study can be helpful for the policy makers to identify, formulate and implement the effect policies for the economic growth of the country.


2020 ◽  
Vol 1 ◽  
pp. 76-83
Author(s):  
Rogneda Groznykh ◽  
Oleg Mariev ◽  
Sergey Plotnikov ◽  
Maria Fominykh

This study is devoted to the evaluation and scrutiny of political stability as a determinant of foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows to different countries. The primary objective of the research is to estimate the impact and influence of various indicators of political stability on foreign direct investment inflows. The analysis is delivered based on a database on cross-country FDI inflows of 66 FDI-importer countries and 98 FDI-exporter countries, in the period between 2001-2018. This article uses the assumption that the impact of political stability might be different for both the groups of developed and developing countries. As the developed economies have higher political stability, they tend to attract larger amounts of foreign direct investment compared to developing economies, where the political situation can be less stable. Furthermore, the estimation applies the gravity approach, while the main method used for the econometric calculations is the Pseudo Poisson Maximum Likelihood (PPML) regression. The outcome revealed that in most cases the indicators of political stability had a positive impact on the foreign direct investment inflows. However, the results are not constant for all groups of countries. Therefore, if a developed country is an importer of investment, then most of the indicators of political stability become significant and have a positive influence on the foreign direct investment. At the same time, if the importer is a developing country, then for the investor-developed economy, political stability becomes a significant factor. Similarly, if the FDI-exporter is a developing economy, then determinants of political stability are insignificant. Based on these results, possible recommendations for refined government policies can be suggested.


2015 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 584-590 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nor Asma Ahmad ◽  
Normaz Wana Ismail ◽  
NurHaiza Nordin

FDI is an important contributor to the development and the transformation of the Malaysian economy, particularly in establishing new industries, enhancing production capacity, employment, trade and technological capability. This study aims to investigate the role of infrastructure on FDI in Malaysia from 1980 to 2013. Time series Malaysian data is used to capture the impact of infrastructure on FDI through ARDL method. The results revealed that besides GDP and exchange rate, infrastructure also had positive impact on FDI in Malaysia. The findings suggest that the reduction of business cost through improvement of infrastructure helped to increase competitiveness in attracting FDI.


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