scholarly journals The Use of Auto-Regressive Distributed Lag Method in Investigating The Impact of Interest Rate on Foreign Direct Investment in Yemen for the Period 1990-2018

2020 ◽  
Vol 26 (123) ◽  
pp. 145-157
Author(s):  
Saif Sallam Alhakimi
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Fdi Inflows ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Auto Regressive ◽  
The Impact

 Foreign direct investment has seen increasing interest worldwide, especially in developing economies. However, statistics have shown that Yemen received fluctuating FDI inflows during the period under study. Against this background, this research seeks to determine the relationship and impact of interest rates on FDI flows. The study also found other determinants that greatly affected FDI inflows in Yemen for the period 1990-2018. Study data collected from the World Bank and International Monetary Fund databases. It also ensured that the time series were made balanced and interconnected, and then the Auto Regressive Distributed Lag method used in the analysis. The results showed that the interest rates and inflation rate harmed FDI flows and, therefore, could not be used for policymaking purposes. The research also discovered that GDP growth and trade openness are the main determinants of foreign direct investment in Yemen. Trade openness policies should be encouraged, and GDP growth facilitated if the economy is to achieve long-term FDI flows. Purpose –The purpose of the paper is to discover the impact of interest rate on foreign direct investment with a combination of the exchange rate, inflation, gross domestic product, and trade openness. Design/methodology/approach – The paper implements the Auto Regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL)-Bounds testing approach to analyze maintaining the time series properties in terms of stationarity. Findings – The results indicate that there is a long-run equilibrium between the Foreign Direct Investment and the explanatory variables. Furthermore, the significant factors influencing, positively, FDI in Yemen are Growth domestic product, Exchange rate, and Trade openness. In contrast, both the Interest rate and Inflation rate have a substantial negative impact on Foreign Direct Investment. Practical implications – Policymakers in Yemen advised reconsidering many of the general state policies, including investment policies, financial and administrative governance, and monetary policy that focuses on maintaining an adequate interest rate and reduce the rate of inflation. Originality/value – As for the case of Yemen, this the first study empirically explores the impact of interest rate and the foreign direct investment using the Auto Regressive Distributed Lag method aiming for more reliable results.

scholarly journals Impact of Macro Economic Variables on Return on Assets of Textile Industry of Pakistan

2020 ◽  
Vol 5 (6) ◽  
Author(s):  
Irfan Ullah ◽  
Humaira Noreen ◽  
Zia Ur Rehman ◽  
Naveed Shinwari
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Financial Stability ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Future Research ◽  
Return On Assets ◽  
The Impact

The aim of this study was to find the impact of Inflation rate, Interest rate, Foreign direct investment, Trade openness and Exchange rate on Return of assets of textile weaving sector of Pakistan during the period of 1997 to 2019. The Dependent variable was Return on Assets while Inflation rate, Interest rate, Foreign direct investment, Trade openness and Exchange rate were independent variables, Data for the study was obtained from secondary sources like World Development Indicator, Pakistan Stock exchange and financial stability review issued by State Bank of Pakistan during 1997 to 2019. ROA were collected from Annual reports of the selected textile businesses (weaving sector). The results of Co-integration indicated the long run relationship among the variables. However, inflation rate, interest rate and exchange rate have positive and significant impact on return on Assets of textile weaving sector of Pakistan, on the other hand Foreign direct investment and Trade openness have insignificant effect on Return on assets of textile weaving sector of Pakistan. This paper is limited to linear framework some results may be sensitive to non-linearities, a non-linear frame work should be included in future research.

scholarly journals Causal Links between Trade Openness and Foreign Direct Investment in Romania

2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (3) ◽  
pp. 90
Author(s):  
Malsha Mayoshi Rathnayaka Mudiyanselage ◽  
Gheorghe Epuran ◽  
Bianca Tescașiu
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Test Procedure ◽  
Real Effective Exchange Rate ◽  
Foreign Direct Investments ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Fdi Inflows ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Long Run

In this increasingly globalized era, foreign direct investments are considered to be one of the most important sources of external financing for all countries. This paper investigates the causal relationship between trade openness and foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows in Romania during the period 1997–2019. Throughout this study, Trade Openness is the main independent variable, and Gross Domestic Product (GDP), Real Effective Exchange Rate (EXR), Inflation (INF), and Education (EDU) act as control variables for investigating the relationships between trade openness (TOP) and FDI inflow in Romania. The Auto Regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) Bounds test procedure was adopted to achieve the above-mentioned objective. Trade openness has negative and statistically significant long-run and short-run relationships with FDI inflows in Romania throughout the period. Trade openness negatively affects the FDI inflow, which suggest that the higher the level of openness is, the less likely it is that FDI will be attracted in the long run. The result of the Granger causality test indicated that Romania has a unidirectional relationship between trade openness and FDI. It also showed that the direction of causality ran from FDI to trade openness.

scholarly journals Trade openness and foreign direct investment in Africa

2014 ◽  
Vol 9 (3) ◽  
pp. 355-370 ◽  
Author(s):  
T Kandiero ◽  
M Chitiga
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Empirical Work ◽  
African Countries ◽  
Fdi Inflows ◽  
Services Sector ◽  
Openness To Trade ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Poor Infrastructure

Africa’s share of foreign direct investment (FDI) has lagged behind other regions in the world, despite a sharp increase in FDI inflows to the region in 2001. Factors contributing to this circumstance include perceptions of high corruption, weak governance and poor infrastructure. The motivation of this paper is to investigate the impact of openness to trade on the FDI inflow to Africa. In addition to economy-wide trade openness, we also analyse the impact on FDI of openness in manufactured goods, primary commodities and services. The empirical work uses cross-country data from selected African countries observed over four periods: 1980-1985, 1985-1990, 1990- 1995 and 1995-2001. We find that the FDI to GDP ratio responds well to increased openness in the whole economy and in the services sector in particular.

scholarly journals The Macroeconomic Determinants and the Impact of Sanctions on FDI in Iran: A Case Study

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mehdi Rasouli Ghahroudi ◽  
Li chy Chong
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Macroeconomic Factors ◽  
Fdi Inflows ◽  
Macroeconomic Determinants ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Moderating Role

In this paper, we examine the impact of the macroeconomic determinants of foreign direct investment inflows. We also investigate the moderating role of sanctions in FDI inflows into Iran. The empirical results reveal that macro determinants such as infrastructure, exchange rate, inflation rate, investment return, and governance have a long-run impact on FDI inflows in Iran. Our findings also show that GDP growth rate and trade openness have no significant effect on FDI. Our results indicate that sanctions do not have a significant moderating role in the relationship between macroeconomic factors and foreign direct investment. Surprisingly, international sanctions have a positive relationship with FDI inflows in Iran. Furthermore, sanction has a positive impact on inflation rate and exchange rate in Iran. Finally, our findings show that sanctions have had a significant impact on Iran's economic growth in recent years due to increasing the severity level of sanctions.

scholarly journals Studying Determinants of Foreign Direct Investment in Nigeria: An Empirical Investigation

2020 ◽  
pp. 73-84
Author(s):  
Ibeinmo Friday Cookey ◽  
Francis Ariayefa Eniekezimene
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
The Other ◽  
Annual Data ◽  
Other Hand ◽  
Determinants Of Fdi

This research paper investigated the determinants of foreign direct investment inflow into the Nigerian economy. This is because Nigeria at present is still characterized by low economic growth, which has created other macro-economic problems like inflation, low export, unemployment, unfavorable exchange rate, balance of payment disequilibrium, etc. The study adopted the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL/Bounds testing) econometric tool to examine the determinants of foreign direct investment (FDI) in the Nigerian economy. Data for the analysis are annual data covering the period 1981-2019, obtained from the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) Statistical Bulletin several issues. The study used inflation rate (INFR), interest rate (INTR), exchange rate (EXR) and trade openness (TOPN) as independent variables. While foreign Direct Investment (FDI) was used as the dependent variable. The result indicates that exchange rate (EXR) and trade openness (TOPN) are all positive determinants of FDI in the Nigerian economy as their corresponding coefficients are positive. The result further shows that for the Nigerian economy to attract FDI significantly by one percent, exchange rate and trade openness will increase by 0.18 and 5.00 percent respectively. On the other hand, inflation rate (INFR), and interest rate (INTR) are negative determinants of foreign direct investment in Nigeria. Meaning that, an attempt to increase either of these variables would result to a decline in foreign direct investment in the country and vice versa. We therefore conclude that both EXR and TOPN had a positive and significant impact on the FDI inflow to the Nigerian economy, and are therefore adjudged positive determinants of FDI inflow into the Nigerian economy within the period 1981-2019. INFR and INTR on the other hand maintained their negative influence on FDI inflow to the Nigerian Economy, hence, are negative determinants of FDI inflow into the Nigerian economy within the period 1981-2019. Finally, we recommend that government should sustain its drive for import substitutions which will encourage export, expand its bilateral trade ties with developed economies so as to woo FDI inflows. Also, government through it monetary authorities should reduce inflation and interest rates. This will help to woo FDI inflow into the Nigerian economy.

scholarly journals Impact of Taxation on Foreign Direct Investment: Empirical Evidence from Pakistan

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 10-18
Author(s):  
Muhammad Nouman Shafiq ◽  
Liu Hua ◽  
Muhammad Azhar Bhatti ◽  
Seemab Gillani
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Developing Economies ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Vital Role ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Fdi Inflows ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
The Government

Foreign direct investment plays a vital role in promoting economic growth, especially for developing economies. It causes improvement in the different sectors such as education, healthcare, manufacturing industries, and creates more jobs. The speed of FDI inflows has been increasing in Pakistan each year. In order to attract more FDI, many countries try to reframe their tax policies by introducing different tax incentives such as tax holidays, investment allowances, exemptions, deductions etc. The purpose of the present paper is to find the implication of taxation in the decision of FDI inflows in Pakistan. Time series data is used spanning over 1985 to 2020. The data was obtained from two sources: the “World Development Indicator” (WDI) and “Economic Survey of Pakistan”. “Auto-Regressive Distributed Lag” (ARDL) and “Error Correction Model” (ECM) techniques are used for empirical analysis. The study concludes that low taxes motivate foreign investors' investment contribution and the long-run relationship between taxes and FDI in Pakistan. Other control variables, including GDP growth, trade openness and exchange rate, positively impact FDI. It is suggested that decision-makers should direct policies to reduce the taxes to welcome FDI in Pakistan. In this regard, the government needs to reconsider its priorities while making policies favouring FDI.

scholarly journals The Effect of Monetary Policy on Foreign Trade in Nigeria

2020 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-8
Author(s):  
Ashamu Sikiru O.
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Foreign Trade ◽  
Error Correction ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
The Impact

This research work investigated the impact of monetary policy on foreign trade in Nigeria during the period 1981 to 2017. The research made use of secondary data which are collected from the Central Bank of Nigeria, Statistical Bulletin (2017). The model obtained from the result represents a Error Correction Model (ECM) which relates the dependent variable (Net Import) to several predictor variables Money Supply, Interest Rate, Exchange Rate, Foreign Direct Investment and Trade Openness. From the findings of the study, the error correction term (speed of adjustment towards equilibrium) value of -0.53581 is significant at 5% and implies that there is a long run causality running from monetary policy   activities measures of foreign trade. However, only all the variable was used in the study was significant at 5% level of significance. This implies that monetary policy in Nigeria has a positive influence on foreign trade within the period, except for interest rate that has a negative coefficient and not significant. In conclusion, these intermediate variables of monetary, the exchange rate arguably have a huge impact on the economy because of its effect on the value of local currency, domestic inflation, macroeconomic credibility, capital flows and financial stability. Increased exchange rate directly affects the prices of imported commodities and an increase in the price of imported goods and services contributes directly to increase in inflation. Based on the analysis, the study concluded that there is significance relationship between money supply and net import in Nigeria and also that there is relationship between foreign direct investment and net import in Nigeria. The study also shows that there is relationship between trade openness and net import in Nigeria.

Is Democracy Necessary for Foreign Direct Investment Inflows in India?

2021 ◽  
pp. 001946622110624
Author(s):  
Ishfaq Hamid ◽  
Pabitra Kumar Jena
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Civil Rights ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Civil Liberty ◽  
Civil Liberties ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
National Income ◽  
Annual Data ◽  
Fdi Inflows ◽  
The Impact

India has developed a positive attitude towards the foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows during the last five years and made several changes in the market conditions, enhanced civil rights and liberties to attract more FDI inflows. This study examines the impact of democracy on FDI inflows in India by employing an autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model. For the said purpose, the study uses the annual data from 1980–2017. The findings demonstrate that the democratic setup does not induce FDI inflows in the short run, but there is a positive and significant impact of democracy in the long run. Furthermore, it confirms that gross national income per capita; trade openness, political rights, and civil liberties are significant and positive determinants of FDI inflows in India. Based on findings, this study recommends that India nurture democratic values, property rights security, and values of civil liberty & freedom to appeal for more foreign investment inflows into India progressively. JEL Codes: D73, C22, F14

scholarly journals FAKTOR PENENTU FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT DI ASEAN-7; ANALISIS DATA PANEL, 2000-2012

Media Ekonomi ◽  
2014 ◽  
Vol 22 (1) ◽  
pp. 97
Author(s):  
Astrid Mutiara Ruth ◽  
Syofriza Syofyan
Keyword(s):  
Developing Countries ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Panel Data Analysis ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Depreciation Rate ◽  
The Past ◽  
Partial Analysis

<p>The number of <em>Foreign Direct Investment</em> (FDI) in Asia, especially in ASEAN, has been increasing drastically over the past few decades. FDI is one of the sources of investment that is really important, mainly for developing countries.</p><p>This research aims to investigate what factors that determine FDI in ASEAN, during 2000-2012. ASEAN-7 (Indonesia, Singapore, Thailand, Malaysia, Vietnam, Laos, and Filipina) are the object of this research. This research is divided into two main parts. The first part is discussed about the determinant factors of FDI in ASEAN generally, and the second part is the partial analysis in each country, so it is expected to formulate the appropriate policy according to each condition.</p><p>By using panel data analysis and STATA 11 as the software, it is seen that generally, factors determine FDI in ASEAN are the growth of GDP, interest rate, inflation rate, and trade openness. For Indonesia, FDI is influenced by the growth of GDP and inflation rate. The growth of GDP also affects FDI in Singapore, together with interest rate, <em>trade openness</em>, and depreciation rate of SGD, while, inflation rate and <em>trade openness</em> affect FDI in Thailand<em>.</em> In Malaysia, FDI is affected by the growth of GDP, inflation rate, and also <em>trade openness.</em></p><p>It is <em>trade openness</em> and depreciation rate that affect FDI in Vietnam. Meanwhile, in Laos, the growth of GDP and interest rate are factors determine FDI, and only inflation rate that influence FDI in Filipina.</p><p> </p>

Effects of Infrastructure Development on Foreign Direct Investment in Kenya

2016 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 93-110 ◽  
Author(s):  
Carol Teresa Wekesa ◽  
Nelson H. Wawire ◽  
George Kosimbei
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Transport Infrastructure ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Infrastructure Development ◽  
Fdi Inflows ◽  
Year 2000 ◽  
Quality Infrastructure

Kenya’s foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows as a percentage of GDP have been increasing negligibly over the last 4 years, increasing from 0.4 per cent in 2010 to 0.9 per cent in 2013. And yet evidence shows that quality infrastructure lowers the cost of doing business and thus attracts FDI. Kenya has visible signs of infrastructure inadequacy and inefficiencies despite the fact that since the year 2000, there has been increased budgetary allocation to the infrastructure sector. This study, therefore, sought to determine the effects of transport, energy, communication and water and waste infrastructure development on FDI inflows in Kenya. The study used annual time series data sourced from Central Bank of Kenya, World Bank and the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD). Using multiple regression analysis, it was established that improved transport infrastructure, communication infrastructure, water and waste infrastructure, exchange rate, economic growth and trade openness are important determinants of FDI inflows into Kenya. Hence, for Kenya to attract more FDI, continued infrastructural development is key since quality infrastructure affords investors a conducive investment climate in which to operate.

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