scholarly journals THE ROLE OF POLITICAL STABILITY IN FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT ATTRACTION: CROSS-COUNTRY ANALYSIS

2020 ◽  
Vol 1 ◽  
pp. 76-83
Author(s):  
Rogneda Groznykh ◽  
Oleg Mariev ◽  
Sergey Plotnikov ◽  
Maria Fominykh

This study is devoted to the evaluation and scrutiny of political stability as a determinant of foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows to different countries. The primary objective of the research is to estimate the impact and influence of various indicators of political stability on foreign direct investment inflows. The analysis is delivered based on a database on cross-country FDI inflows of 66 FDI-importer countries and 98 FDI-exporter countries, in the period between 2001-2018. This article uses the assumption that the impact of political stability might be different for both the groups of developed and developing countries. As the developed economies have higher political stability, they tend to attract larger amounts of foreign direct investment compared to developing economies, where the political situation can be less stable. Furthermore, the estimation applies the gravity approach, while the main method used for the econometric calculations is the Pseudo Poisson Maximum Likelihood (PPML) regression. The outcome revealed that in most cases the indicators of political stability had a positive impact on the foreign direct investment inflows. However, the results are not constant for all groups of countries. Therefore, if a developed country is an importer of investment, then most of the indicators of political stability become significant and have a positive influence on the foreign direct investment. At the same time, if the importer is a developing country, then for the investor-developed economy, political stability becomes a significant factor. Similarly, if the FDI-exporter is a developing economy, then determinants of political stability are insignificant. Based on these results, possible recommendations for refined government policies can be suggested.

2019 ◽  
Vol 7 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rogneda Groznykh ◽  
Igor Drapkin ◽  
Oleg Mariev

This research paper is devoted to analysis of various institutional factors as determinants of foreign direct investment (further – FDI) inflows to different countries. The objective of the research is to estimate the effect of institutions on FDI inflows. The analysis is provided on a database of cross-country FDI inflows on 72 countries FDI-importers and 112 countries FDI-exporters in the period from 2001 to 2016. It is supposed in the paper that the impact of institutional factors might be different for the groups of developed and developing countries; since developed economies have higher institutional indicators, they tend to attract larger amounts of foreign direct investment compared to developing economies, where institutional development is at the lower level. The estimation is based on the gravity approach, which considers the positive effects of countries’ GDP and the negative effect of the distance between them. The main method used for the econometric estimation is the Pseudo Poisson Maximum Likelihood (PPML) regression, which is considered to be one of the adequate methods for estimating such data. During the research the problems of zero-observations and correlation between institutional indicators are solved. The results have shown that higher quality of institutions tends to attract more foreign direct investment to a country. Thus, institutions in developed countries have positive and significant impact on FDI attraction. At the same time, the analysis of developing countries has shown that some institutions have less significant influence on the FDI inflows. Based on the results of the research, possible recommendations for government policy on institutional improvement can be suggested.


2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (4) ◽  
pp. 68-81
Author(s):  
Mahnaz muhammad Ali ◽  
Mariam Abbas Soharwardi ◽  
Rozina Sadiq

Developing economies have different cultural and economic characteristics, but they often experience similar levels of corruption. At one side developing economies are facing the issue of corruption; on the other hand, they are a potential recipient of FDI. The present study used the data of 31 developing Asian economies from 2000 to 2017 to determine the impact of host country’s level of corruption on inward FDI. System GMM technique is applied for empirical investigation since the problem of endogeneity and heteroscedasticity are found in the models. Results reveal that corruption has a positive and statistically significant impact on inward FDI; corruption also has a positive impact on FDI inflows to GDP ratio for the panel countries. Hence the results of the study endorse the grease the wheel hypothesis of corruption. It is concluded countries should focus their resources to create business friendly environment instead to focus on anti-corruption policies only.   


2021 ◽  
Vol 17 (4) ◽  
pp. 1390-1404
Author(s):  
R.I. Vasilyeva ◽  
◽  
O.S. Mariev ◽  

Stable political environment and prominent development of political institutions increase foreign direct investment flows by providing lower risks for investors. However, this impact can vary according to the development of the country. This study aims to investigate the impact of various indicators of political stability on foreign direct investment attraction for different economies distinguished by their development level. Our database includes 66 FDI-recipient countries and 98 FDI-investing countries for the period from 2001 to 2018. By applying the gravity approach and Poisson Pseudo Maximum Likelihood method with instrumental variables (IV PPML), we model bilateral FDI flows, incorporating variables reflecting various aspects of political stability formed by the principal components analysis. Interestingly, we found mixed results regarding the impact of political stability on FDI flows. In particular, political stability indicators were found to be insignificant, when analysing the bilateral FDI flows for the group of developed economies. We obtained similar result for the group of developing economies. However, political stability variables significantly influence FDI flows for countries with different development level, confirming the hypothesis that countries’ development affects bilateral FDI flows. Besides, we discover the significant difference between developed and developing countries referring to FDI-investors. Based on the obtained results, we highlight a few policy implications for developing and developed economies.


Author(s):  
Wajiha Manzoor ◽  
Nabeel Safdar

This study focused on the relationship of environment, energy used and foreign direct investment inflows on exports of selective SAARC countries including Pakistan , Bangladesh , India , Sri Lanka and Nepal from 1980-2018. The results revealed that environment has significant positive impact on exports. Energy has also positive impact on exports except Pakistan and Nepal where results showed negative relationship. The FDI inflow in India and Sri Lanka has not significant impact on exports while other three countries has significant impact on exports of those countries. Overall environment, energy used and foreign direct investment inflows have positive impact on export while controlling the impact of inflation, GDP growth, reserves and domestic credit to private sector in SAARC countries.


Author(s):  
Mehdi Rasouli Ghahroudi ◽  
Li chy Chong

In this paper, we examine the impact of the macroeconomic determinants of foreign direct investment inflows. We also investigate the moderating role of sanctions in FDI inflows into Iran. The empirical results reveal that macro determinants such as infrastructure, exchange rate, inflation rate, investment return, and governance have a long-run impact on FDI inflows in Iran. Our findings also show that GDP growth rate and trade openness have no significant effect on FDI. Our results indicate that sanctions do not have a significant moderating role in the relationship between macroeconomic factors and foreign direct investment. Surprisingly, international sanctions have a positive relationship with FDI inflows in Iran. Furthermore, sanction has a positive impact on inflation rate and exchange rate in Iran. Finally, our findings show that sanctions have had a significant impact on Iran's economic growth in recent years due to increasing the severity level of sanctions.


2011 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 18-23 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ahmad Jafari Samimi ◽  
Reza Moghaddasi . ◽  
Khosro Azizi .

The purpose of the present paper is to investigate the impact of Political stability on foreign direct investment (FDI) revenues in Organization of Islamic Conference (OIC) countries. To do so, we have concentrated on a sample of 16 countries for which the necessary data were available for the period 2002-2009. We have used a panel data regression analysis. Our empirical results indicate that Population, openness and gross domestic product (GDP) have positive impact on FDI, whereas Political Stability has a detrimental effect on FDI in OIC countries.


Author(s):  
Khun Sokang

The foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows are often seen as an important catalyst for economic growth in developing countries. This study aims to investigate the impact of FDI on the economic growth of Cambodia by utilizing the time series data throughout 2006-2016. The correlation matrix and multiple regression analysis techniques were used to analyze the collected data. The results of the study reveal that FDI has a positive impact on the economic growth of Cambodia. The study recommends that government should bring reforms in the domestic market to attract more FDI in Cambodia.


2017 ◽  
Vol 18 (2) ◽  
pp. 135-157 ◽  
Author(s):  
Manmohan Agarwal ◽  
Pragya Atri ◽  
Srikanta Kundu

It is widely proclaimed that capital account liberalization would immensely benefit developing economies because once capital controls are lifted, developing economies create a potential for movement of capital. And, this free movement of capital could possibly increase growth thereby lifting millions out of poverty. India has been gradually liberalizing since the 1980s and throughout more capital inflows were observed compared to outflows. Also, the composition of capital flows has been changing since the 1980s–with Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) inflows rising steadily post-1991compared to portfolio and debt flows. However, since 2000, FDI outflows from India were also witnessed. In this paper we empirically test the impact of FDI flows on poverty in India for 1980–2011. To provide a correct perspective to India’s performance we also analyze the link between FDI flows and poverty for SAARC countries. For a better understanding of how FDI flows impact poverty, we analyze the outflows and inflows separately. The results show both similarities and contrasts in the behaviour of India in comparison with the other SAARC countries.


2016 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 111 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohd Nayyer Rahman

<p class="ber"><span lang="EN-GB">Transfer of capital from one country to another has been unrestricted in the present era of globalisation. The capital transfer may take one form or the other. One of the forms of capital transfer is Foreign Direct Investment Inflows (FDI Inflows) and it is an integral determinant of Capital for developing countries. FDI means the investment of funds by a foreign entity (particularly a Transnational or Multinational Company) by creating new equity base in host or home economy or vice versa. As FDI Inflow is a macroeconomic variable, it is represented in the balance sheet of the country known as Balance of Payments (BOP). The balance of payments of a country is a systematic record of all economic transactions between the residents of the reporting country and residents of foreign countries during a given period of time. To identify the happenings in the international payments, a record of the transactions between countries is necessary. The record of such transactions is made in the balance of payments account. The paper aims to measure the impact of FDI Inflows on Capital Account of India’s BOP. The time period for the study is 1991-1992 to 2014-15. </span></p>


2020 ◽  
Vol 38 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Abdelkader Nassour ◽  
Saliha Meftah ◽  
Sajid Hussain Mirani

The current political uncertainty, economic problems, permanent religious conflicts, and crisis continue to frustrate investors and hold back potential stabilization. This paper investigates the impact of Political risk on Foreign Direct Investment inflows in three selected MENA countries (Algeria Turkey and Arabia-Saudi) during the period (1984-2017) using the Panel Data model. The Hausman Test confirms that the random effects model is a more appropriate technique for this model to explain the effect of Political Risk on FDI inflows. The results of our study show that: Democratic Accountability and Investment Profile, Law Order have a significant positive impact on FDI inflow. Besides that, another interesting finding of the research is the significant negative relationship between the Military in Politics and FDI. These results are important for policymakers to implement a strategy that would ensure the reduction of the level of political instability related by the indicators of the Corruption and the Military in Politics, in the aim to increase the inflows of FDI in these three selected countries of MENA. Furthermore, the results give a more comprehensive picture for the foreign investors that these selected countries of MENA can be the best host for their investments.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document