scholarly journals Subglacial sedimentary basins focus key vulnerabilities of the Antarctic ice-sheet

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lu Li ◽  
Alan Aitken ◽  
Mark Lindsay ◽  
Bernd Kulessa
Keyword(s):  
Mass Loss ◽  
Discharge Rate ◽  
Water Discharge ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Sedimentary Basins ◽  
Heat Fluxes ◽  
Supervised Machine Learning ◽  
Ice Streams ◽  
Dynamic Mass ◽  
Basal Sliding

Abstract Antarctica preserves Earth’s largest ice sheet which, in response to climate warming, may lose ice mass and raise sea level by several metres. The ice-sheet bed exerts critical controls on dynamic mass loss through feedbacks between water and heat fluxes, topographic forcing and basal sliding. Here we show that through hydrogeological processes, sedimentary basins amplify critical feedbacks that are known to impact ice-sheet retreat dynamics. We create a high-resolution subglacial bedrock classification for Antarctica by applying a supervised machine learning method to geophysical data, revealing the distribution of sedimentary basins. Sedimentary basins are found in the upper reaches of Antarctica’s most rapidly changing ice streams, including Thwaites and Pine Island Glaciers. Hydro-mechanical numerical modelling reveals that where sedimentary basins exist, water discharge rate scales with the rate of ice unloading and the resulting hydrological instabilities are likely to amplify further retreat and unloading. These results indicate that the presence of a sedimentary bed in the catchment focuses instabilities that increase the vulnerability of the ice streams to rapid retreat and enhanced dynamic mass loss.

scholarly journals The Dynamics of Ice-Sheet Outlets

1985 ◽  
Vol 31 (108) ◽  
pp. 99-107 ◽  
Author(s):  
N. F. Mcintyre
Keyword(s):  
Landsat Imagery ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Ice Streams ◽  
Ice Flow ◽  
Ice Shelves ◽  
Surface Slopes ◽  
Basal Sliding ◽  
Subglacial Topography ◽  
Flow Through ◽  
Pressure Melting

AbstractA comparison of data from aircraft altimetry, Landsat imagery, and radia echo-sounding has shown characteristic surface topographies associated with sheet and stream flow. The transition between the two is abrupt and occurs at a step in the subglacial topography. This marks the onset of basal sliding and high velocities caused by subglacial water; it results in crevassed amphitheatre-like basins round the head of outlet glaciers. It is also the zone of maximum driving stress beyond which values decline rapidly as velocities increase. This abrupt transition appears to be topographically controlled since basal temperatures are at the pressure-melting point well inland of the change in regime. The Marie Byrd Land ice streams exhibit qualitative differences from other ice-sheet outlets, however; the change to lower driving stresses is much more gradual and occurs several hundred kilometres inland. Such ice streams have particularly low surface slopes and appear in form and flow regime to resemble confined ice shelves rather than grounded ice. The repeated association of the transition to rapid sliding with a distinct subglacial feature implies a stabilizing effect on discharge through outlet glaciers. Acceleration of the ice is pinned to a subglacial step and propagation of high velocities inland of this feature seems improbable. Rapid ice flow through subglacial trenches may also ensure a relatively permanent trough through accentuation of the feature by erosion. This is concentrated towards the heads of outlet glaciers up-stream of the region where significant basal decoupling occurs. This may be a mechanism for the overdeepening of fjords at their inland ends and the development of very steep fjord headwalls.

scholarly journals Simulations of the Greenland ice sheet 100 years into the future with the full Stokes model Elmer/Ice

2012 ◽  
Vol 58 (209) ◽  
pp. 427-440 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hakime Seddik ◽  
Ralf Greve ◽  
Thomas Zwinger ◽  
Fabien Gillet-Chaulet ◽  
Olivier Gagliardini
Keyword(s):  
Global Warming ◽  
Sea Level Rise ◽  
Sea Level ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Greenland Ice Sheet ◽  
Ice Streams ◽  
Simulation Code ◽  
Dynamic Scenario ◽  
The Future ◽  
Basal Sliding

AbstractIt is likely that climate change will have a significant impact on the mass balance of the Greenland ice sheet, contributing to future sea-level rise. Here we present the implementation of the full Stokes model Elmer/Ice for the Greenland ice sheet, which includes a mesh refinement technique in order to resolve fast-flowing ice streams and outlet glaciers. We discuss simulations 100 years into the future, forced by scenarios defined by the SeaRISE (Sea-level Response to Ice Sheet Evolution) community effort. For comparison, the same experiments are also run with the shallow-ice model SICOPOLIS (SImulation COde for POLythermal Ice Sheets). We find that Elmer/Ice is ~43% more sensitive (exhibits a larger loss of ice-sheet volume relative to the control run) than SICOPOLIS for the ice-dynamic scenario (doubled basal sliding), but ~61 % less sensitive for the direct global warming scenario (based on the A1 B moderate-emission scenario for greenhouse gases). The scenario with combined A1B global warming and doubled basal sliding forcing produces a Greenland contribution to sea-level rise of ~15cm for Elmer/Ice and ~12cm for SICOPOLIS over the next 100 years.

scholarly journals A balanced water layer concept for subglacial hydrology in large scale ice sheet models

2012 ◽  
Vol 6 (6) ◽  
pp. 5225-5253 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. Goeller ◽  
M. Thoma ◽  
K. Grosfeld ◽  
H. Miller
Keyword(s):  
Large Scale ◽  
Water Flux ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Water Layer ◽  
Ice Streams ◽  
Ice Dynamics ◽  
Continental Scale ◽  
Basal Sliding ◽  
Subglacial Lakes ◽  
Layer Concept

Abstract. There is currently no doubt about the existence of a wide-spread hydrological network under the Antarctic ice sheet, which lubricates the ice base and thus leads to increased ice velocities. Consequently, ice models should incorporate basal hydrology to obtain meaningful results for future ice dynamics and their contribution to global sea level rise. Here, we introduce the balanced water layer concept, covering two prominent subglacial hydrological features for ice sheet modeling on a continental scale: the evolution of subglacial lakes and balance water fluxes. We couple it to the thermomechanical ice-flow model RIMBAY and apply it to a synthetic model domain inspired by the Gamburtsev Mountains, Antarctica. In our experiments we demonstrate the dynamic generation of subglacial lakes and their impact on the velocity field of the overlaying ice sheet, resulting in a negative ice mass balance. Furthermore, we introduce an elementary parametrization of the water flux–basal sliding coupling and reveal the predominance of the ice loss through the resulting ice streams against the stabilizing influence of less hydrologically active areas. We point out, that established balance flux schemes quantify these effects only partially as their ability to store subglacial water is lacking.

scholarly journals The role of history and strength of the oceanic forcing in sea-level projections from Antarctica with the Parallel Ice Sheet Model

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ronja Reese ◽  
Anders Levermann ◽  
Torsten Albrecht ◽  
Hélène Seroussi ◽  
Ricarda Winkelmann
Keyword(s):  
Mass Loss ◽  
Sea Level ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Ocean Warming ◽  
Ice Streams ◽  
Antarctic Ice Sheet ◽  
Median Response ◽  
Ice Shelves ◽  
Order Of Magnitude ◽  
The Antarctic

<p>Mass loss from the Antarctic Ice Sheet constitutes the largest uncertainty in projections of future sea-level rise. Ocean-driven melting underneath the floating ice shelves and subsequent acceleration of the inland ice streams is the major reason for currently observed mass loss from Antarctica and is expected to become more important in the future. Here we show that for projections of future mass loss from the Antarctic Ice Sheet, it is essential (1) to better constrain the sensitivity of sub-shelf melt rates to ocean warming, and (2) to include the historic trajectory of the ice sheet. In particular, we find that while the ice-sheet response in simulations using the Parallel Ice Sheet Model is comparable to the median response of models in three Antarctic Ice Sheet Intercomparison projects – initMIP, LARMIP-2 and ISMIP6 – conducted with a range of ice-sheet models, the projected 21st century sea-level contribution differs significantly depending on these two factors. For the highest emission scenario RCP8.5, this leads to projected ice loss ranging from 1.4 to 4.3 cm of sea-level equivalent in the ISMIP6 simulations where the sub-shelf melt sensitivity is comparably low, opposed to a likely range of 9.2 to 35.9 cm using the exact same initial setup, but emulated from the LARMIP-2 experiments with a higher melt sensitivity based on oceanographic studies. Furthermore, using two initial states, one with and one without a previous historic simulation from 1850 to 2014, we show that while differences between the ice-sheet configurations in 2015 are marginal, the historic simulation increases the susceptibility of the ice sheet to ocean warming, thereby increasing mass loss from 2015 to 2100 by about 50%. Our results emphasize that the uncertainty that arises from the forcing is of the same order of magnitude as the ice-dynamic response for future sea-level projections.</p>

scholarly journals The role of history and strength of the oceanic forcing in sea-level projections from Antarctica with the Parallel Ice Sheet Model

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ronja Reese ◽  
Anders Levermann ◽  
Torsten Albrecht ◽  
Hélène Seroussi ◽  
Ricarda Winkelmann
Keyword(s):  
Mass Loss ◽  
Sea Level ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Ocean Warming ◽  
Ice Streams ◽  
Antarctic Ice Sheet ◽  
Median Response ◽  
Ice Shelves ◽  
Order Of Magnitude ◽  
The Antarctic

Abstract. Mass loss from the Antarctic Ice Sheet constitutes the largest uncertainty in projections of future sea-level rise. Ocean-driven melting underneath the floating ice shelves and subsequent acceleration of the inland ice streams is the major reason for currently observed mass loss from Antarctica and is expected to become more important in the future. Here we show that for projections of future mass loss from the Antarctic Ice Sheet, it is essential (1) to better constrain the sensitivity of sub-shelf melt rates to ocean warming, and (2) to include the historic trajectory of the ice sheet. In particular, we find that while the ice-sheet response in simulations using the Parallel Ice Sheet Model is comparable to the median response of models in three Antarctic Ice Sheet Intercomparison projects – initMIP, LARMIP-2 and ISMIP6 – conducted with a range of ice-sheet models, the projected 21st century sea-level contribution differs significantly depending on these two factors. For the highest emission scenario RCP8.5, this leads to projected ice loss ranging from 1.4 to 4.0 cm of sea-level equivalent in the ISMIP6 simulations where the sub-shelf melt sensitivity is comparably low, opposed to a likely range of 9.2 to 35.9 cm using the exact same initial setup, but emulated from the LARMIP-2 experiments with a higher melt sensitivity based on oceanographic studies. Furthermore, using two initial states, one with and one without a previous historic simulation from 1850 to 2014, we show that while differences between the ice-sheet configurations in 2015 are marginal, the historic simulation increases the susceptibility of the ice sheet to ocean warming, thereby increasing mass loss from 2015 to 2100 by about 50 %. Our results emphasize that the uncertainty that arises from the forcing is of the same order of magnitude as the ice-dynamic response for future sea-level projections.

scholarly journals The Dynamics of Ice-Sheet Outlets

1985 ◽  
Vol 31 (108) ◽  
pp. 99-107 ◽  
Author(s):  
N. F. Mcintyre
Keyword(s):  
Landsat Imagery ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Ice Streams ◽  
Ice Flow ◽  
Ice Shelves ◽  
Surface Slopes ◽  
Basal Sliding ◽  
Subglacial Topography ◽  
Flow Through ◽  
Pressure Melting

AbstractA comparison of data from aircraft altimetry, Landsat imagery, and radia echo-sounding has shown characteristic surface topographies associated with sheet and stream flow. The transition between the two is abrupt and occurs at a step in the subglacial topography. This marks the onset of basal sliding and high velocities caused by subglacial water; it results in crevassed amphitheatre-like basins round the head of outlet glaciers. It is also the zone of maximum driving stress beyond which values decline rapidly as velocities increase. This abrupt transition appears to be topographically controlled since basal temperatures are at the pressure-melting point well inland of the change in regime. The Marie Byrd Land ice streams exhibit qualitative differences from other ice-sheet outlets, however; the change to lower driving stresses is much more gradual and occurs several hundred kilometres inland. Such ice streams have particularly low surface slopes and appear in form and flow regime to resemble confined ice shelves rather than grounded ice. The repeated association of the transition to rapid sliding with a distinct subglacial feature implies a stabilizing effect on discharge through outlet glaciers. Acceleration of the ice is pinned to a subglacial step and propagation of high velocities inland of this feature seems improbable. Rapid ice flow through subglacial trenches may also ensure a relatively permanent trough through accentuation of the feature by erosion. This is concentrated towards the heads of outlet glaciers up-stream of the region where significant basal decoupling occurs. This may be a mechanism for the overdeepening of fjords at their inland ends and the development of very steep fjord headwalls.

scholarly journals Ice sheet flow with thermally activated sliding. Part 1: the role of advection

2019 ◽  
Vol 475 (2230) ◽  
pp. 20190410 ◽  
Author(s):  
E. Mantelli ◽  
M. Haseloff ◽  
C. Schoof
Keyword(s):  
Melting Point ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Companion Paper ◽  
Ice Streams ◽  
Thermally Activated ◽  
Bed Temperature ◽  
Basal Sliding ◽  
Fast Motion ◽  
The Stability

Flow organization into systems of fast-moving ice streams is a well-known feature of ice sheets. Fast motion is frequently the result of sliding at the base of the ice sheet. Here, we consider how this basal sliding is first initiated as the result of changes in bed temperature. We show that an abrupt sliding onset at the melting point, with no sliding possible below that temperature, leads to rapid drawdown of cold ice and refreezing as the result of the increased temperature gradient within the ice, and demonstrate that this result holds regardless of the mechanical model used to describe the flow of ice. Using this as a motivation, we then consider the possibility of a region of ‘subtemperate sliding’ in which sliding at reduced velocities occurs in a narrow range of temperatures just below the melting point. We confirm that this prevents the rapid drawdown of ice and refreezing of the bed, and construct a simple numerical method for computing steady-state ice sheet profiles that include a subtemperate region. The stability of such an ice sheet is analysed in a companion paper.

scholarly journals A balanced water layer concept for subglacial hydrology in large-scale ice sheet models

2013 ◽  
Vol 7 (4) ◽  
pp. 1095-1106 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. Goeller ◽  
M. Thoma ◽  
K. Grosfeld ◽  
H. Miller
Keyword(s):  
Large Scale ◽  
Water Flux ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Water Layer ◽  
Ice Streams ◽  
Ice Dynamics ◽  
Continental Scale ◽  
Basal Sliding ◽  
Subglacial Lakes ◽  
Layer Concept

Abstract. There is currently no doubt about the existence of a widespread hydrological network under the Antarctic Ice Sheet, which lubricates the ice base and thus leads to increased ice velocities. Consequently, ice models should incorporate basal hydrology to obtain meaningful results for future ice dynamics and their contribution to global sea level rise. Here, we introduce the balanced water layer concept, covering two prominent subglacial hydrological features for ice sheet modeling on a continental scale: the evolution of subglacial lakes and balance water fluxes. We couple it to the thermomechanical ice-flow model RIMBAY and apply it to a synthetic model domain. In our experiments we demonstrate the dynamic generation of subglacial lakes and their impact on the velocity field of the overlaying ice sheet, resulting in a negative ice mass balance. Furthermore, we introduce an elementary parametrization of the water flux–basal sliding coupling and reveal the predominance of the ice loss through the resulting ice streams against the stabilizing influence of less hydrologically active areas. We point out that established balance flux schemes quantify these effects only partially as their ability to store subglacial water is lacking.

scholarly journals Model investigations of inland migration of fast-flowing outlet glaciers and ice streams

2008 ◽  
Vol 54 (184) ◽  
pp. 49-60 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stephen F. Price ◽  
Howard Conway ◽  
Edwin D. Waddington ◽  
Robert A. Bindschadler
Keyword(s):  
Positive Feedback ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Upstream Migration ◽  
Longitudinal Stress ◽  
Ice Streams ◽  
Stress Gradients ◽  
Basal Sliding ◽  
Fast Flow ◽  
Frictional Melting ◽  
Over Time

AbstractRecent observations of increased discharge through fast-flowing outlet glaciers and ice streams motivate questions concerning the inland migration of regions of fast flow, which could increase drawdown of the ice-sheet interior. To investigate one process that could lead to inland migration we conduct experiments with a two-dimensional, full-stress, transient ice-flow model. An initial steady state is perturbed by initiating a jump in sliding speed over a fraction of the model domain. As a result, longitudinal-stress gradients increase frictional melting upstream from the slow-to-fast sliding transition, and a positive feedback between longitudinal-stress gradients, basal meltwater production and basal sliding causes the sliding transition to migrate upstream over time. The distance and speed of migration depend on the magnitude of the perturbation and on the degree of non-linearity assumed in the link between basal stress and basal sliding: larger perturbations and/or higher degrees of non-linearity lead to farther and faster upstream migration. Migration of the sliding transition causes the ice sheet to thin over time and this change in geometry limits the effects of the positive feedback, ultimately serving to impede continued upstream migration.

scholarly journals Comparison of hybrid schemes for the combination of shallow approximations in numerical simulations of the Antarctic Ice Sheet

2017 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 247-265 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jorge Bernales ◽  
Irina Rogozhina ◽  
Ralf Greve ◽  
Maik Thomas
Keyword(s):  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Force Balance ◽  
Iterative Technique ◽  
Ice Streams ◽  
Ice Dynamics ◽  
Antarctic Ice Sheet ◽  
Hybrid Schemes ◽  
Basal Sliding ◽  
Calibration Techniques ◽  
The Antarctic

Abstract. The shallow ice approximation (SIA) is commonly used in ice-sheet models to simplify the force balance equations within the ice. However, the SIA cannot adequately reproduce the dynamics of the fast flowing ice streams usually found at the margins of ice sheets. To overcome this limitation, recent studies have introduced heuristic hybrid combinations of the SIA and the shelfy stream approximation. Here, we implement four different hybrid schemes into a model of the Antarctic Ice Sheet in order to compare their performance under present-day conditions. For each scheme, the model is calibrated using an iterative technique to infer the spatial variability in basal sliding parameters. Model results are validated against topographic and velocity data. Our analysis shows that the iterative technique compensates for the differences between the schemes, producing similar ice-sheet configurations through quantitatively different results of the sliding coefficient calibration. Despite this we observe a robust agreement in the reconstructed patterns of basal sliding parameters. We exchange the calibrated sliding parameter distributions between the schemes to demonstrate that the results of the model calibration cannot be straightforwardly transferred to models based on different approximations of ice dynamics. However, easily adaptable calibration techniques for the potential distribution of basal sliding coefficients can be implemented into ice models to overcome such incompatibility, as shown in this study.

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