scholarly journals Bus Travel Time Reliability Incorporating Stop Waiting Time and In-vehicle Travel Time with AVL Data

Author(s):  
Zixu Zhuang ◽  
Zhanhong Cheng ◽  
Jia Yao ◽  
Jian Wang ◽  
Shi An

Abstract Improving bus operation quality can attract more commuters to use bus transit, and therefore reduces the share of car and alleviates traffic congestion. One important index of bus operation quality is the bus travel time reliability, which in this paper is defined to be the probability when the sum of bus stop waiting time and in-vehicle travel time is less than a certain threshold. We formulate the bus travel time reliability by the convolution of independent events’ probabilities, and elaborate the calculation method using Automatic Vehicle Location (AVL) data. Next, the No.63 Bus Line in Harbin City is used to test the applicability of the proposed method, and analyze the influence factors of the bus travel time reliability. The numerical results show that factors such as weather, workday, departure time, travel distance, and the distance from the boarding stop to the bus departure station will significantly affect the travel time reliability. At last, some general conclusions and future research are summarized.

Author(s):  
Jiayu Zhong ◽  
Xin Ye ◽  
Ke Wang ◽  
Dongjin Li

With the rapid development of mobility services, e-hailing service have been highly prevalent and e-hailing travel has become a part of daily life in many cities in China. At the same time, travelers’ mode choice behaviors have been influenced to some degree by different factors, and in this paper, a web-based retrospective survey initially conducted in Shanghai, China is used to analyze the extent to which various factors are influencing mode choice behaviors. Then, a multinomial-logit-based mode choice model is developed to incorporate the e-hailing auto mode as a new travel mode for non-work trips. The developed model can help to identify influential factors and quantify their impact on mode choice probabilities. The developed model involves a variety of explanatory variables including e-hailing/taxi fare, bus travel time, rail station access/egress distance, trip distance, car in-vehicle travel time as well as travelers’ socioeconomic and demographic characteristics, etc. The model indicates that the e-hailing fare, travel companions and some travelers’ characteristics (e.g., age, income, etc.) are significant factors influencing the choice of e-hailing mode. The alternative-specific constant in the e-hailing utility equation is adjusted to match the observed market share of the e-hailing mode. Based on the developed model, elasticities of LOS attributes are computed and discussed. The research methods used in this paper have the potential to be applied to investigate travel behavior changes under the influence of emerging travel modes. The research findings can aid in evaluating policies to manage e-hailing services and improve their levels of services.


Author(s):  
Abhishek Jha ◽  

This study covers the freight vehicle, which clears the custom clearance process for Kathmandu and transports the same goods to Kathmandu from Birgunj. In this study average travel time for freight vehicles from Birgunj to Nagdhunga has been studied, along with the factors affecting the travel time from Birgunj to Nagdhunga. License plate monitoring method of the freight vehicles was done to find the average travel time and a questionnaire survey was done to identify the factors affecting travel time of the freight vehicle. The travel time from Birgunj to Nagdhunga is different for different types of, vehicle and good. The fastest average travel time is of fixed container of 40 feet size with 23.2 hours and longest average time is for fixed container of 20 feet size with 28.95 hours. The average travel time for non-degradable goods is 26.5 hours and for degradable goods is 22.38 hours. Major factors affecting the travel time are traffic congestion along the route, bad road condition along the route and hilly road with sharp bends, turns and grade.


Author(s):  
Zhen-Liang Ma ◽  
Luis Ferreira ◽  
Mahmoud Mesbah ◽  
Ahmad Tavassoli Hojati

Travel time reliability is an important aspect of bus service quality. Despite a significant body of research on private vehicle reliability, little attention has been paid to bus travel time reliability at the stop-to-stop link level on different types of roads. This study aims to identify and quantify the underlying determinants of bus travel time reliability on links of different road types with the use of supply and demand data from automatic vehicle location and smart card systems collected in Brisbane, Australia. Three general bus-related models were developed with respect to the main concerns of travelers and planners: average travel time, buffer time, and coefficient of variation of travel time. Five groups of alternative models were developed to account for variations caused by different road types, including arterial road, motorway, busway, and central business district. Seemingly unrelated regression equations estimation were applied to account for cross-equation correlations across regression models in each group. Three main categories of unreliability contributory factors were identified and tested in this study, namely, planning, operational, and environmental. Model results provided insights into these factors that affect bus travel time and its variability. The most important predictors were found to be the recurrent congestion index, traffic signals, and passenger demand at stops. Results could be used to target specific strategies aimed at reducing unreliability on different types of roads.


Author(s):  
Claire E. McKnight ◽  
Herbert S. Levinson ◽  
Kaan Ozbay ◽  
Camille Kamga ◽  
Robert E. Paaswell

2011 ◽  
Vol 186 ◽  
pp. 556-559
Author(s):  
Lian Xue ◽  
Dan Jie Zhao ◽  
Gui Mei Liu

The development of the city's public transport system has an indispensable role to alleviate the pressure of urban roads. Bus travel time reliability is an important evaluation index of the bus operation service level. The simulation of bus travel time helps us understand the reliability of bus running time. In this paper, we use Monte Carlo stochastic simulation method to calculate the reliability of bus travel time. On this basis, we establish a model of the reliability of public transportation systems to research the reliability of bus travel time.


2021 ◽  
Vol 25 (Special) ◽  
pp. 3-157-3-164
Author(s):  
Rania M. Ahmed ◽  
◽  
Zainab A. Alkaissi ◽  
Ruba Y. Hussain ◽  
◽  
...  

Estimating travel time and measuring speed are critical for increasing the efficiency and safety of traffic road networks. This study presents an investigation of arterial travel time estimation for vital routes in Baghdad city. These estimations including speeds, stops, and delays were computed via GPS device and compared to those currently used to quantify congestion and travel time reliability. The study involved a 45-day survey of private vehicles in Baghdad utilizing a Global Positioning System (GPS) probe to collect data on traffic performance metrics for analysis in a GIS context. It was found that the proposed travel time performance measures show definite differences in estimates of peak-hour travel time as compared with weekend travel time. Route (1) from Bayaa intersection - Bab Al-Mutham intersection (through highway) produced a travel time of 165 minutes and 136 minutes for Bayaa intersection - Bab Al-Mutham intersection (through downtown). The travel speed of routes 1 and 2 are observed near 25 kmph which is below the local speed limit of 70 kmph. The maximum travel time of routes 1 and 2 are 71 minutes and 37 minutes, respectively. While delay time was observed 45 and 20 minutes due to traffic congestion on route 1 and 2, respectively. The majority of vehicles are capable of traveling at normal speeds, with relatively few exceeding them.


2014 ◽  
Vol 641-642 ◽  
pp. 745-752
Author(s):  
Jian Bo Zheng ◽  
Jing Wen Guo

The development of high-speed railway construction and operation greatly shorten people's travel time, however, the demand of people on travel time reliability becomes more and more prominent, so train dispatching plans are becoming more and more important. This paper defines probabilistic conflicts between trains, analyses probabilistic conflict influence factors and comes up with a method for predicting probabilistic resource conflicts between trains. The method aims to improve the accuracy of train conflict prediction, provide more reliable basis to solve train conflicts and develop more efficient train dispatching plans.


Author(s):  
Piotr Olszewski ◽  
Tomasz Dybicz ◽  
Kazimierz Jamroz ◽  
Wojciech Kustra ◽  
Aleksandra Romanowska

Probe vehicle data (also known as “floating car data”) can be used to analyze travel time reliability of an existing road corridor in order to determine where, when, and how often traffic congestion occurs at particular road segments. The aim of the study is to find the best reliability performance measures for assessing congestion frequency and severity based on probe data. Pilot surveys conducted on A2 motorway in Poland confirm the usefulness and reasonable accuracy of probe data for measuring speed variation in both congested and free-flowing traffic. Historical probe vehicle data and traditional traffic counts from Polish S6 expressway were used to analyze travel time reliability on its 24 road sections. Travel time indexes and reliability ratings for the whole year 2016 were calculated to identify segments with lower reliability and higher expected delay. It is concluded that unlike the HCM-6 method, travel times obtained from probe data should be averaged in 1-hour intervals. Delay index is proposed as a new reliability indicator for road segments. Delay map diagrams are recommended for showing how the congestion spots move in space and with time of day.


2018 ◽  
Vol 147 ◽  
pp. 02001 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nursyamsu Hidayat

Yogyakarta, one of the middle cities in Indonesia, has been developing BRT system named Trans Jogja to reduce growth of motorization. However, the performance tends to decrease year by year, therefore the system and management upgrading must be carried out continuously to restore public trust. This research tries to investigate public satisfaction, their expectation, and some attributes considered important based on public’s perspective using IPA method that can be used as useful information systems to evaluate service quality by prioritizing or focusing on areas where improvement is needed. The results reveal that decision maker must focus and allocate their resources to improve Trans Jogja system on the following attributes: a) keep punctuality, b) shorten waiting time in the bus stop, c) improve bus comfort, d) provide safety for child passenger, e) improve bus stop comfort, f) create new bus route to enlarge accessibility, and g) shorten bus travel time.


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