scholarly journals Nomograms to Predict the Prognosis in Locally Advanced Oral Squamous Cell Carcinoma After Curative Resection

Author(s):  
Zhiliang Nie ◽  
Pengcheng Zhao ◽  
Yishan Shang ◽  
Bo Sun

Abstract Background: Oral squamous cell carcinoma (OSCC), the dominant histologic type of oral cancer. Locally advanced OSCC remains a major therapeutic challenge. Our study aimed to develop and validate nomograms predicting survival prognosis in patients with locally advanced oral squamous cell carcinoma (OSCC) after curative resection. Methods: A total of 269 consecutive patients with primary OSCC who received curative resection between September 2007 and March 2020 were retrospectively enrolled in our study. Patients were randomly assigned to the training cohort (n=201) or the validation cohort (n=68). Multivariate Cox regression analyses were conducted to determine independent prognostic factors for overall survival (OS) and cancer specific survival (CSS) in the training set, which were used for the construction of nomogram models estimating 3-, and 5-year OS and CSS. We also evaluated the nomograms using concordance indices (c-index), calibration curves, and decision curve analyses (DCA), and compared those with the AJCC 8th staging system. The results were externally validated in the validation cohort.Results: Age, Kaplan-Feinstein (KFI) index, pT, the number of positive nodes and systemic inflammatory index (SII) were significant prognostic predictors for OS and CSS. The OS nomogram had c-index values of 0.712 in the training set and 0.697 in the validation set, while the CSS nomograms had c-index values of 0.709 in the training set and 0.675 in the validation set. These data were superior to those of AJCC 8th staging system, suggesting high discriminative ability of the nomograms. Calibration curves exhibited good agreement between observed and predicted survival. DCA curves indicated the nomograms were with potential clinical usefulness. These results were validated in the validation set.Conclusions: The novel nomograms incorporating clinically available characteristics for OS and CSS prediction were developed in the locally advanced OSCC patients after curative surgery. Validation revealed good discrimination and calibration, indicating the clinical utility of the nomograms in the individualized prognosis prediction of locally advanced OSCC after curative surgery.

BMC Cancer ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhiliang Nie ◽  
Pengcheng Zhao ◽  
Yishan Shang ◽  
Bo Sun

Abstract Background Oral squamous cell carcinoma (OSCC) is the dominant histologic type of oral cancer. Locally advanced OSCC remains a major therapeutic challenge. Our study aimed to develop and validate nomograms predicting survival prognosis in patients with locally advanced oral squamous cell carcinoma (OSCC) after curative resection. Methods A total of 269 consecutive patients with primary OSCC who received curative resection between September 2007 and March 2020 were retrospectively enrolled in our study. Patients were randomly assigned to the training cohort (n = 201) or the validation cohort (n = 68). Multivariate Cox regression analyses were conducted to determine independent prognostic factors for overall survival (OS) and cancer specific survival (CSS) in the training set, which were used to develop nomogram models estimating 3-, and 5-year OS and CSS. We also evaluated the nomograms using concordance indices (c-index), calibration curves, and decision curve analyses (DCA), and compared those with the AJCC 8th staging system. The results were externally validated in the validation cohort. Results Age, Kaplan-Feinstein (KFI) index, pT, the number of positive nodes and systemic inflammatory index (SII) were significant prognostic predictors for OS and CSS. The OS nomogram had c-index values of 0.712 in the training set and 0.697 in the validation set, while the CSS nomogram exhibited c-index values of 0.709 in the training set and 0.675 in the validation set. These data were superior to those of AJCC 8th staging system, suggesting high discriminative ability of the nomograms. Calibration curves exhibited good agreement between observed and predicted survival. DCA curves indicated the nomograms were with potential clinical usefulness. These results were validated in the validation set. Conclusions The novel nomograms incorporating clinically available characteristics for OS and CSS prediction were developed in the locally advanced OSCC patients after curative surgery. Validation revealed good discrimination and calibration, indicating the clinical utility of the nomograms in the individualized prognosis prediction of locally advanced OSCC after curative surgery.


2021 ◽  
Vol 39 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. 6052-6052
Author(s):  
Lai-Ping Zhong ◽  
Wu-tong Ju ◽  
Rong-hui Xia ◽  
Qi Zhu ◽  
Guopei Zhu ◽  
...  

6052 Background: In patients with locally advanced oral squamous cell carcinoma (LAOSCC), major pathologic response (MPR) to induction therapy may translate into improved survival. The induction therapy using chemo-free drugs, such as the combination of anti-PD1 and anti-VEGFR drugs, has not been well issued in LAOSCC. Methods: A prospective single arm trial (NCT04393506) has been performed to evaluate the induction therapy of anti-PD1 and anti-VEGFR protocol in LAOSCC patients at clinical stage III and IVA. The patients received three cycles of intravenous Camrelizumab (PD-1 antibody, 200mg) on d1, d15, d29; and oral Apatinib (anti-VEGFR inhibitor, 250mg) daily, initiating on d1, ending on the 5th day before surgery. Radical surgery was planned on d42-d45. Post-operative radiotherapy was planned within 1.5 months after surgery, based on clinical and pathological stage. The primary endpoints were MPR and safety; primary tumors were assessed for the percentage of residual viable tumor that was identified on HE staining, and tumors with no more than 10% viable tumor cells were considered as MPR. This study has been approved by institutional ethics committee at Ninth People’s Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine. Results: From April to December 2020, 21 patients were enrolled in this trial, and one patient withdraw from the trial at the beginning of treatment. The induction therapy was well-tolerated with no grade 3-4 toxicity or serve induction therapy-related AEs. One patient required surgery delay for 7 days due to unexplainable cTnI elevation. One patient put off Camrelizumab for 14 days due to grade 2 thrombocytopenia. One patient suspended Apatinib for 21 days due to grade 2 Hyperbilirubinemia. The induction therapy did not effect on the subsequent standard treatment. MPR rate was 40% (8/20), including 5% (1/20) pCR. Radiological evaluation of response to induction therapy showed 3 PR, 10 SD, 5 PD and 2 NA. Weak correlation was found between pathologic and radiological evaluation on induction therapy. Combined positive score (CPS) of PD-L1 expression in biopsy was evaluated in 19 patients; all 4 patients with CPS≥ 20 had MPR, 3 out of 11 patients with 1≤CPS < 20 had MPR, and 1 out of 4 patients with CPS < 1 had MPR. Conclusions: The chemo-free protocol of induction therapy using Camrelizumab and Apatinib is safe and well-tolerated for the patients with LAOSCC. The MPR rate is much higher using the anti-PD1 and anti-VEGFR protocol than the traditional induction chemotherapy protocol in LAOSCC. Clinical trial information: NCT04393506.


2012 ◽  
Vol 30 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. 5593-5593
Author(s):  
Lai-ping Zhong ◽  
Chen-ping Zhang ◽  
Zhi-yuan Zhang ◽  
Guo-xin Ren ◽  
Wei Guo ◽  
...  

5593 Background: The role of induction chemotherapy in locally advanced and resectable oral squamous cell carcinoma has not been well issued. Methods: A prospective, open label, parallel, and interventional randomized control trail has been performed to evaluate the induction chemotherapy of TPF protocol in resectable oral squamous cell carcinoma (OSCC) patients at clinical stage III and IVA. The patients received two cycles of TPF induction chemotherapy (75 mg/m2 docetaxel d1, 75mg/m2 cisplatin d1, and 750mg/m2 5-fluorouracil d1-5) followed by radical surgery and post-operative radiotherapy with a dose from 54 to 66 Gy (the experimental group) or surgery and post-operative radiotherapy (the control group). Post-surgical pathologic examination was performed to determine a positive response or negative response. A positive response was defined as absence of any tumor cells (pathologic complete response) or presence of scattered foci of a few tumor cells (minimal residual disease with <10% viable tumor cells). The primary endpoint is the survival rate; the secondary endpoint is the local control and safety. This study has been approved by institutional ethics committee at Ninth People's Hospital, School of Medicine, Shanghai Jiao Tong University. Survival analysis was conducted with the Kaplan-Meier method. Results: 256 patients were enrolled in this trail and 224 patients (111 in experiment group and 113 in control group) finished the whole treatment protocol. After a median follow-up of 21 months (ranging 6-43 m). The pathologic positive response rate was 29.7% (33/111), and negative response rate was 70.3% (78/111). The patients with positive response had a better disease free survival (38.5±2.1m, 95%CI 34.4-42.6m, P=0.003) compared with those with negative response (24.6±2.1m, 95%CI 20.6-28.7m) and control group (31.0±1.6m, 95%CI 27.9-34.1m). The toxicity of induction chemotherapy could be tolerated. Conclusions: Pathologic positive response to TPF induction chemotherapy could benefit the patients with locally advanced and resectable OSCC. However, further long-term follow-up is needed to confirm the benefit on survival and local control.


2019 ◽  
Vol 72 (5-6) ◽  
pp. 165-170
Author(s):  
Ivana Mijatov ◽  
Sasa Mijatov

Introduction. Oral squamous cell carcinoma is the sixth most common carcinoma in the world. Annually, it accounts for 5% of all newly discovered cancers. The most important prognostic factor is the stage of the disease. The tumor, node, and metastasis staging system has been the cornerstone for clinical classification of oral squamous cell carcinoma. Material and Methods. The study included 65 patients with oral squamous cell carcinoma who underwent surgery at the Clinic of Maxillofacial Surgery of the Clinical Center of Vojvodina in Novi Sad. The tumor, node, and metastasis status was determined according to 7th and 8th edition of the tumor, node, and metastasis classification. Results. Statistical differences between the 7th and 8th edition of tumor, node, and metastasis classification were examined. There was also a change in the nodal status; in 20% of patients there was a transition from N1 to N2, as a result of a more precise definition of nodal status in patients with oral carcinoma. Conclusion. This research has pointed out the significance of tumor size as a predictive factor in oral squamous cell carcinoma, which indicates the importance of its local control (for surgical and radiological treatment). The 8th edition of the tumor, node, and metastasis classification for oral cavity cancers made a significant shift by clearly defining depth of tumor invasion into the tumor status.


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