Active Share and Emerging Market Equity Funds

2016 ◽  
Author(s):  
Aron A. Gottesman ◽  
Matthew R. Morey
Keyword(s):  
2021 ◽  
Vol 24 (2) ◽  
pp. 253-292
Author(s):  
Zhengzhen Tan ◽  
◽  
Siqi Zheng ◽  
Juan Palacios ◽  
Carl Hooks ◽  
...  

Our paper aims to examine the healthy building adoption patterns by first asking two critical questions that are relevant to the market conditions: What are healthy buildings? What is their financial value for tenants and owners? We then synthesize the existing academic and industry literature. We find some early evidence of a real estate price premium for specific indoor environment quality (IEQ) and design features. In terms of health-focused building certification systems (BCSs), no empirical and quantitative research has been done on the financial performance of healthy buildings, except for theoretical models. We then proceed to conduct interviews with executives of 15 real estate corporations across the globe to understand the perspectives of real estate owner operators and their strategies for this emerging market. The interviews results confirm that the scarcity of empirical evidence that links healthy building attributes to financial returns inhibits the adoption of healthy buildings in mainstream designs. Moreover, differences in the adoption patterns of healthy buildings are due to the building ownership structure at the firm level, tenants, end-users and building conditions. The strategies of firms in pursuing a healthy building range from risk mitigation to proactive pursuit of new growth opportunities. Private equity funds and real estate investment trust (REIT) firms tend to focus on risk mitigation, while direct real estate investment firms are more likely to carry out the latter to position themselves as a leader within the real estate industry.


2018 ◽  
Vol 17 (1) ◽  
pp. 130-158
Author(s):  
Giuseppe Galloppo ◽  
Mauro Aliano

In the branch of literature dealing with analysis of the consistency of management styles, this article investigates the relation between portfolio concentration and the performance of emerging market equity funds. Unlike previous studies, on global and US mutual fund, we focus on emerging markets equity, finding funds with higher levels of tracking error, display lower performance than funds with less diversified portfolios when we do not take into account specific concentration in holdings in different multifactor style. The explanatory power of local models that use local explanatory returns is recently investigated by De Groot, Pang and Swinkels (2012), Cakici, Fabozzi and Tan (2013) and Fama and French (2012). Following the same research line, the most remarkable finding of this article is that the fund-picking process, only based on the level of track error from a broad benchmark, can contribute to disappointing results when it is not also accompanied by information about the fund concentration in multiple market segment. According to the previous work, overall, we found that local factor market model provides quite good representation of local average returns for portfolios formed on size and style factors. The contribution of this research is two-fold. First, we examined emerging market funds from the perspective of active management and second, under the effect of strategies mentioned in Huij and Derwall (2011). Moreover, as additional analysis with respect to most of the previous papers, we also tested the effects of the crisis that we found to have not affected the main result.


Significance The rise in yields is stirring memories of the 2013 ‘taper tantrum’, which led to a dramatic decline in emerging market (EM) currencies and local bonds, prompting three years of net outflows from EM debt and equity funds. Investor fears of US tightening have risen with growth and inflation expectations. Impacts If the trade-weighted dollar index rises further, this will threaten EM currencies, especially those with large dollar-denominated debts. The Brent oil price has gained 70% since November to USD68 per barrel but further upside is limited, with no commodities ‘supercycle’ ahead. Recent moves fuel fears of the normally staid US bond market becoming volatile; stable ten-year Chinese yields are being seen as a haven.


Significance Following the meal, the Fed said Powell did not discuss monetary policy "except to stress that the path of policy will depend entirely on incoming economic information and what that means for the outlook". The futures market now sees a 75% chance that the interest rate will be unchanged in twelve months’ time, a substantial shift from late last year when at least two rate hikes were widely predicted for 2019. This shift is helping US equities to regain momentum. Impacts The flatter dollar this year is helping net inflows to emerging market bond and equity funds build momentum after large outflows in 2018. Further oil price upside may be limited; Venezuela’s small share of global output means sanctions will not greatly alter market dynamics. Mario Draghi’s ECB presidency ends in October; policy could be disrupted if European elections in May delay the succession process. US economic momentum is firmer than in the euro-area or Japan but less monetary policy divergence between them may help the euro and yen.


2013 ◽  
Vol 2 (4) ◽  
pp. 22-28
Author(s):  
Rousseau Lötter

The persistence of risk levels of local General Equity unit trusts is evaluated. Variations in absolute and market-adjusted returns are measured to determine whether investors can use historical risk as a proxy for future risk levels. The General Equity funds are fairly homogenous, and different funds should exhibit stable risk levels if the fund managers’ investment mandates and investment styles remain stable over time. The results indicate a degree of absolute and market-adjusted risk stability over time. The market-adjusted risk and return relationship remained stable through the 2008 global crises, indicating that, on average, the fund managers maintained their benchmark-related risk exposures. Both the absolute and market-adjusted results indicate no statistically significant relationship between risk and return for the 2000 to 2012 period.


Subject Emerging markets under strain from dollar rally. Significance The US Bureau of Labor Statistics reported on January 6 that average hourly earnings grew at the fastest pace since 2009 in December -- a further fillip to the ‘trumpflation trade’ that has gripped financial markets since the victory of Donald Trump in the US presidential election. Expectations of further Fed rate increases have driven the dollar index and the ten-year Treasury bond yield higher, straining emerging market (EM) assets. EM mutual equity funds have suffered a wave of uninterrupted outflows since Trump’s victory. The Mexican peso and the Turkish lira have plumbed record lows against the dollar. Impacts Many EMs are preparing to sell dollar-denominated debt in anticipation of higher borrowing costs, including Argentina, Brazil and Nigeria. Speculative bets against US Treasury bonds have risen to a record high amid expectations of higher US inflation and further rate hikes. The stock of negative-yielding government bonds stands at 10.8 trillion dollars, fuelling demand for higher-yielding securities. In April, the US Treasury’s next Foreign Exchange Report could label China a currency manipulator though the criteria would need to change.


Subject Monetary divergence Significance After reaching multi-year highs in the second half of 2017, euro-area manufacturing and services surveys are now signposting slower growth. Meanwhile, euro strength is dampening inflation pressures. Thus the ECB will be cautious in its plans to ‘normalise’ its ultra-loose monetary policy. Impacts The euro has gained 15% against the dollar over the past twelve months; growing divergence with US policy will fuel further strength. Further euro strength is likely to put more downward pressure on euro-area core inflation and could damage export competitiveness. Markets are likely to remain volatile; the S&P 500 equity index is experiencing its second-most volatile year outside a bear market. Investors’ appetite for ‘risk assets’ will remain strong; 65 billion dollars has gone into emerging market bond and equity funds in 2018.


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