Experimental 'Beauty Contest' Game and Simultaneous Decision-Making within Various Groups

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alexander Rymanov
Author(s):  
Alexander Rymanov

The paper examines experimental guessing “p-beauty contest” game. The objective of the study is to conduct an experimental study of simultaneous decision-making by subjects within various groups in the “p-beauty contest” guessing game, and to estimate the influence of various factors. The interac-tion of factors was evaluated. The contribution to this study extends the analysis of simultaneous de-cision-making by individuals within various groups to the conditions of the “p-beauty contest” game. The subjects simultaneously took decisions, while being part of a group of three subjects, and as part of a group of six subjects. The results from the experiment showed that the subjects make more ra-tional decisions, being in the larger group. The four-factor (a p-value, a group size, a period, and num-ber of subjects) experimental design shows that the Factors “p-value” and “Number of subjects” main effects were significant. Further, the Factor “p-value” by Factor “Group size,” the Factor “Group size” by Factor “Period,” the Factor “Group size” by Factor “Number of subjects,” and the Factor “Period” by Factor “Number of subjects” interactions were also significant.


2013 ◽  
Vol 38 (9) ◽  
pp. 1503-1511 ◽  
Author(s):  
Johannes Leder ◽  
Jan Alexander Häusser ◽  
Andreas Mojzisch

2018 ◽  
Vol 41 ◽  
Author(s):  
Patrick Simen ◽  
Fuat Balcı

AbstractRahnev & Denison (R&D) argue against normative theories and in favor of a more descriptive “standard observer model” of perceptual decision making. We agree with the authors in many respects, but we argue that optimality (specifically, reward-rate maximization) has proved demonstrably useful as a hypothesis, contrary to the authors’ claims.


2018 ◽  
Vol 41 ◽  
Author(s):  
David Danks

AbstractThe target article uses a mathematical framework derived from Bayesian decision making to demonstrate suboptimal decision making but then attributes psychological reality to the framework components. Rahnev & Denison's (R&D) positive proposal thus risks ignoring plausible psychological theories that could implement complex perceptual decision making. We must be careful not to slide from success with an analytical tool to the reality of the tool components.


2018 ◽  
Vol 41 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kevin Arceneaux

AbstractIntuitions guide decision-making, and looking to the evolutionary history of humans illuminates why some behavioral responses are more intuitive than others. Yet a place remains for cognitive processes to second-guess intuitive responses – that is, to be reflective – and individual differences abound in automatic, intuitive processing as well.


2014 ◽  
Vol 38 (01) ◽  
pp. 46
Author(s):  
David R. Shanks ◽  
Ben R. Newell

2014 ◽  
Vol 38 (01) ◽  
pp. 48
Author(s):  
David R. Shanks ◽  
Ben R. Newell

2020 ◽  
Vol 43 ◽  
Author(s):  
Valerie F. Reyna ◽  
David A. Broniatowski

Abstract Gilead et al. offer a thoughtful and much-needed treatment of abstraction. However, it fails to build on an extensive literature on abstraction, representational diversity, neurocognition, and psychopathology that provides important constraints and alternative evidence-based conceptions. We draw on conceptions in software engineering, socio-technical systems engineering, and a neurocognitive theory with abstract representations of gist at its core, fuzzy-trace theory.


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