scholarly journals MEMORY RESPONSE OF CAPITAL MARKET PERFORMANCE TO INTEREST RATES ANNOUNCEMENT: ATHEORETICAL EVIDENCE IN NIGERIA

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (10) ◽  
pp. 857-866
Author(s):  
Suoye Igoni ◽  
◽  
Peter Onigah ◽  
Valentine Ike Olisekebe ◽  
◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Capital Market ◽  
Market Performance ◽  
Market Capitalization ◽  
Memory Response ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Market Rate ◽  
Long Run ◽  
The Capital Market

Despite the management of interest rates by the monetary policy authorities over these years, the performance of the capital market has not been impressive in Nigeria. The study analyzed the memory response of the capital market performance to interest rates announcement in Nigeria. The study used monetary policy rate, and deposit market rate as against market capitalization. The study sourced data from the Central Bank of Nigeria Statistical Bulletin between 1985 and 2020. The study adopted the Augmented Dickey-Fuller, and the Autoregressive Distributed Lag for the analysis. The findings showed that, deposit money rate was stationery at levels, while monetary policy rate, and market capitalization were at first differences, and no long run co-integrating equation. The theoretical evidence from the Error correction test findings revealed that, interest rates announcement did not constitute significant variables on the memory of the Nigerian capital market performance. Regular monitory and downward review of interest rates by the Nigerian monetary policy committee were recommended.

scholarly journals Capital Market and Economic Growth in Nigeria: An Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) Bounds Testing Approach

2021 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Panan Danladi Gwaison ◽  
Livinus Nkuri Maimako ◽  
Pokyes Shekara Mwolchet
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Capital Market ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Fair Trading ◽  
Market Capitalization ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Autoregressive Distributed Lag ◽  
Long Run ◽  
The Capital Market

The role of the capital market in the growth and development of any economy need not be over-emphasized. The capital market is a complex institution and mechanisms through which economic units desirous to invest their surplus fund, interact directly or through financial intermediaries with those who wish to procure funds for their businesses. The Nigerian capital market started operations in mid-1961 with eight stocks and equities; with about seven United Kingdom (UK) firms quoted on the Nigerian Stock Exchange (NSE) which had, at the same time, dual quotations on the London Stock Exchange. This study examined the impact of the capital market on economic growth in Nigeria from 1981 to 2018. The expo facto research design was adopted for this study. The time-series data for the study were sourced from CBN statistical bulletin. Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) was used with the aid of e-view 10 software. The ARDL Bounds test revealed the existence of a long-run relationship among the variables. The result revealed that market capitalization has positive and insignificant effects on economic growth both in the short and long run. There is unidirectional causality among the variables.  The study recommended that regulatory authorities should restore confidence in the market by ensuring transparency and fair trading dealings and transactions in the market to enhance economic growth. There should be an improvement in the moribund market capitalization, by encouraging more foreign investors to participate in the market, maintain a state of the art technology like automated trading and settlement practices, electronic fund clearance, and eliminate physical transfer of shares.

IMPACT OF MONETARY POLICY TARGETS ON CAPITAL MARKET DEVELOPMENT IN NIGERIA

2021 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 85-95
Author(s):  
Abdulkarim Musa ◽  
◽  
Uwaleke Uche ◽  
Nwala Nneka ◽  
◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Capital Market ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Market Development ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Impact

This study empirically examines the impact of monetary policy targetson capital market development in Nigeria from 1986-2018. Time series data and econometric tools were used to test for the stationarity and causality effect. The Auto-Regressive Distributed Lag Model (ARDL) and Error Correction Model (ECM) techniques were used to examine the short-run and long-run impact and relationship between Monetary Policy and Capital Market Development in Nigeria. The study revealed that both in the long run and short run Exchange Rate (EXCHR), Inflation Rate (INFR), and Interest Rate in Nigeria (INTR)were negatively related to Capital Market Development (CAMKTD) in Nigeria and they were statistically insignificant in explaining changes in Capital Market Development (CAMKTD) in Nigeria. On the other hand, inthe long run, Money Supply was positively related to Capital Market Development (CAMKTD) in Nigeria and was statistically significant at a 5% level significant while Money Supply (M2) was positively related to Capital Market Development (CAMKTD) in Nigeria both in the long run and short-run and was statistically significant at 5% level of significance. Therefore, the study recommends that government should improve the efficiency and effectiveness of the money supply in Nigeria since it was statistically significant in determining the improvement of Capital Market Development (CAMKTD) in Nigeria.

Monetary Policy and Nigeria's Trade Balance, 1980-2018

2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 129-138
Author(s):  
Musa Abdullahi Sakanko ◽  
Kanang Amos Akims
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Trade Balance ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Policy Instruments ◽  
Flexible Exchange Rate ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Long Run

Several countries have integrated monetary easement into their foreign policy to faucet the gains from trade thereby, assuring that market forces determine monetary policy instruments such as interest rate and exchange rate. It is on this note and this paper empirically evaluate the effect of monetary policy on Nigeria's trade balance using the Autoregressive Distributed Lag Model on the time series data spanning from 1980 to 2018. The findings reveal that monetary policy tools of real interest and effective exchange rate have a long-run co-integration relationship and significant adverse effects on Nigeria's trade balance both in the short-run and long-run. Thus, the paper concludes that monetary policy is a veritable tool through which Nigeria can maintain a favorable trade balance. Therefore, policymakers should step on measures that will maintain low-interest rates to sustain a flexible exchange rate and remove all rigidities associated with the international payment system.JEL Classification: C22, E52, F13How to Cite:Sakanko, M. A., & Akims, K. A. (2021). Monetary Policy and Nigeria’s Trade Balance, 1980-2018. Signifikan: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi, 10(1), 129-138. https://doi.org/10.15408/sjie.v10i1.18132.

scholarly journals Model Pengaruh Kinerja Ekonomi Dan Kinerja Pasar Uang Terhadap Kinerja Bursa Efek Indonesia

2008 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Efraim Ferdinan Giri
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Linear Function ◽  
Capital Market ◽  
Market Performance ◽  
Function Model ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Log Linear ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The Capital Market

Based on rule of thumb, economic growth will influence the capital market performance and financial market performance will affect the capital market performance. We use the Error correction model approach to analysis between variable. TARCH approach is employed, based on the ‘identification through heteroscedasticity’ technique, to estimate the impact of a change in the growth and kurs variable to IHSG. This study indicates that economic growth is not affect IHSG statistically significant in the short run, but positive statistically significant in the long run. This study show that increasing in $US exchange rate will lessening capital market performance. Additional analysis in this research shows the linear function model more proper than log-linear function model to predict this relationship.

scholarly journals Capital market and economic growth in Malaysia: the role of ṣukūk and other sub-components

2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Yan-Ling Tan ◽  
Roslina Mohamad Shafi
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Capital Market ◽  
Market Liquidity ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Stock Market Development ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Long Run ◽  
The Capital Market

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to explore the effects of the capital market on economic growth by considering the role of ṣukūk (Islamic investment certificates) and other capital market sub-components in Malaysia between 1998 and 2018. Design/methodology/approach The empirical investigation is based on the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) cointegration bounds test. Findings The results reveal the prevalence of a long-run equilibrium relationship between capital market variables and economic growth. As expected, bond market components (ṣukūk and conventional bonds) have a positive, albeit insignificant influence on economic growth. In contrast, in the long-term, stock market development – regardless of the indicator used on economic growth – is shown to have a significant and positive effect. The study suggests that stock market sub-components affect Malaysia’s economic growth the most. Research limitations/implications The primary limitation of this study is that only corporate ṣukūk were considered, while government ṣukūk were excluded from the estimation due to a lack of requisite information, resources and data. Practical implications A strategic framework should be established, especially in pricing efficiencies. Furthermore, there is a need to create more awareness on the benefits of ṣukūk investment among conventional bond investors, including retail investors. Thus, there will be more players in the ṣukūk market, and this will help to improve market liquidity. Originality/value Apart from conventional capital market sub-components, this study takes into account ṣukūk as a sub-component in the capital market on economic growth using the ARDL framework. Also, this study particularly concentrates on the world’s largest ṣukūk issuer, Malaysia, rather than focusing on other ṣukūk-issuing countries.

scholarly journals Monetary Policies and the Achievement of Bank Profit Objective

2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (2) ◽  
pp. 201-220
Author(s):  
Alexander Ehimare Omankhanlen ◽  
Noah Ilori ◽  
Areghan Isibor ◽  
Lawrence Uchenna Okoye
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Policy Instruments ◽  
Bank Profitability ◽  
Monetary Policies ◽  
Correction Model ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Auto Regressive

Abstract This study examined the nexus between monetary policy and the achievement of a bank’s profit objective. There have been lots of arguments about the benefits of monetary policy implementation on deposit money bank’s operations, since the policies have been seen to impact on their performance. This study was carried out to establish the influence of variables like Liquidity Ratio, Interest and Money supply (M2), which are used as monetary policy instruments, on deposit money bank profitability objective. The study covers the period from 2002-2019. The Auto Regressive Distributed Lag and Error correction model were adopted in the analysis of the data. The study revealed that there was a positive long run relationship between Liquidity Ratio and deposit money bank’s profitability; there also existed a negative long run relationship between interest rate and deposit money bank profitability; lastly, there existed a positive long run relationship between Money Supply (M2) and deposit money bank’s profitability. Based on the findings, monetary authorities should put in place measures for Liquidity ratio, interest rates and M2 implementation to aid deposit money banks operations in the achievement of their profit objective.

scholarly journals FOREIGN PORTFOLIO INVESTMENT AND CAPITAL MARKET DEVELOPMENT IN NIGERIA

2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 52-65
Author(s):  
Oladotun Mabinuori ◽  
◽  
Bibiana Njogo ◽  
Oladele Jaiyeoba ◽  
◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Central Bank ◽  
Capital Market ◽  
Market Performance ◽  
Portfolio Investment ◽  
Foreign Portfolio Investment ◽  
Market Capitalization ◽  
The Capital Market ◽  
Stock Market Capitalization

The poor performance of Nigeria’s stock market is a source of concern and has generated contentious debates among the stakeholders in the Nigerian Stock Exchange Market (NSE). This study investigates the impact of foreign portfolio investment on the performance of the stock market in Nigeria for the period of 30years (1989-2018). Secondary and time-series data were used and the variables such as; stock market capitalization proxy for capital market performance, portfolio investment, exchange rate and inflation rate were sourced from the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) statistical bulletin, 2019 To avoid spurious results, unit-root test and regression analysis were used as the tools of data analysis. Findings show that all the predictors have no significant impact on stock market capitalization except the exchange rate that is statistically significant at 5% critical value. However, the f-statistic results (18.83660) indicate that the combine variables have a significant impact on stock market performance in Nigeria. It was therefore concluded that foreign portfolio investment if properly encouraged serve as a Potent variaable for enhancing the performance of the stock market in Nigeria. The study recommends that, there is a need for the government through the central bank of Nigeria to implement a policies that will increase the level and size of market capitalization in the capital market. Such an increase in the capital market will provide the necessary funds for investors for further investments thereby increasing productivity in Nigeria.

Divestiture and Its Market Reaction in a Consolidating Industry: The Global Brewing Industry

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-21
Author(s):  
Ludwig Erl ◽  
Florian Kiesel
Keyword(s):  
Mergers And Acquisitions ◽  
Capital Market ◽  
Market Reaction ◽  
Market Performance ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Brewing Industry ◽  
Efficiency Gains ◽  
Market Values ◽  
Jel Classifications ◽  
The Capital Market

Abstract This study provides a perspective on the market performance of divestitures in the global brewing industry. In 2018, the five largest players accounted for 60% of the global beer volume. We analyze to what extent the capital market values divestitures in an industry where players usually seek efficiency gains and growth through mergers and acquisitions. Based on a sample of 61 divestiture intent announcements in the period from 1999–2018, this study shows that publicly listed brewing groups experience significant positive abnormal returns of about 1.4%. We measure the influential effect of success determinants concerning the underlying industry, the divested business, the divestiture structure, and the divestor itself. (JEL Classifications: G14, G34, L25, Q14)

scholarly journals Mobile Money Use: The Impact of Macroeconomic Policy and Regulation

Economies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 51
Author(s):  
Lorna Katusiime
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Financial Innovation ◽  
Macroeconomic Policy ◽  
Mobile Money ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Distributed Lag Model ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Impact

This paper examines the effects of macroeconomic policy and regulatory environment on mobile money usage. Specifically, we develop an autoregressive distributed lag model to investigate the effect of key macroeconomic variables and mobile money tax on mobile money usage in Uganda. Using monthly data spanning the period March 2009 to September 2020, we find that in the short run, mobile money usage is positively affected by inflation while financial innovation, exchange rate, interest rates and mobile money tax negatively affect mobile money usage in Uganda. In the long run, mobile money usage is positively affected by economic activity, inflation and the COVID-19 pandemic crisis while mobile money customer balances, interest rate, exchange rate, financial innovation and mobile money tax negatively affect mobile money usage.

scholarly journals The Innovation of Government Bonds in the Growth of an Emergent Capital Market

2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 103
Author(s):  
Cordelia Onyinyechi Omodero ◽  
Philip Olasupo Alege
Keyword(s):  
Capital Market ◽  
Research Work ◽  
Government Bonds ◽  
Market Capitalization ◽  
Market Growth ◽  
Explanatory Variables ◽  
The Government ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Total Market ◽  
The Capital Market

The growth of an emerging capital market is necessary and requires all available resources and inputs from various sources to realize this objective. Several debates on government bonds’ contribution to Nigeria’s capital market developmental growth have ensued but have not triggered comprehensive studies in this area. The present research work seeks to close the breach by probing the impact of government bonds on developing the capital market in Nigeria from 2003–2019. We employ total market capitalization as the response variable to proxy the capital market, while various government bonds serve as the independent variables. The inflation rate moderates the predictor components. The research uses multiple regression technique to assess the explanatory variables’ impact on the total market capitalization. At the same time, diagnostic tests help guarantee the normality of the regression model’s data distribution and appropriateness. The findings reveal that the Federal Government of Nigeria’s (FGN) bond is statistically significant and positive in influencing Nigeria’s capital market growth. The other predictor variables are not found significant in this study. The study suggests that the Government should improve on the government bonds’ coupon, while still upholding the none default norm in paying interest and refunding principal to investors when due.

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