FOOT AND MOUTH DISEASE AS A ZOONOTIC EMERGING DISEASE OF LIVESTOCK WITH SPECIAL REFERENCE TO ITS PUBLIC HEALTH HAZARDS IN EGYPT (A REVIEW ARTICLE)

2016 ◽  
Vol 17 (2) ◽  
pp. 1-10
Author(s):  
A. MOHAMED AMRO ◽  
H. N. EL-GOHARY ADEL
Keyword(s):  
Public Health ◽  
Special Reference ◽  
Foot And Mouth Disease ◽  
Review Article ◽  
Emerging Disease ◽  
Mouth Disease ◽  
Health Hazards ◽  
Foot And Mouth ◽  
Public Health Hazards

scholarly journals Forecasting incidence of hand, foot and mouth disease using BP neural networks in Jiangsu province, China

2019 ◽  
Vol 19 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Wendong Liu ◽  
Changjun Bao ◽  
Yuping Zhou ◽  
Hong Ji ◽  
Ying Wu ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Public Health ◽  
Neural Networks ◽  
Meteorological Factors ◽  
Arima Model ◽  
Foot And Mouth Disease ◽  
Public Health Problem ◽  
Mouth Disease ◽  
Jiangsu Province ◽  
Foot And Mouth ◽  
Bp Model

Abstract Background Hand, foot and mouth disease (HFMD) is a rising public health problem and has attracted considerable attention worldwide. The purpose of this study was to develop an optimal model with meteorological factors to predict the epidemic of HFMD. Methods Two types of methods, back propagation neural networks (BP) and auto-regressive integrated moving average (ARIMA), were employed to develop forecasting models, based on the monthly HFMD incidences and meteorological factors during 2009–2016 in Jiangsu province, China. Root mean square error (RMSE) and mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) were employed to select model and evaluate the performance of the models. Results Four models were constructed. The multivariate BP model was constructed using the HFMD incidences lagged from 1 to 4 months, mean temperature, rainfall and their one order lagged terms as inputs. The other BP model was fitted just using the lagged HFMD incidences as inputs. The univariate ARIMA model was specified as ARIMA (1,0,1)(1,1,0)12 (AIC = 1132.12, BIC = 1440.43). And the multivariate ARIMAX with one order lagged temperature as external predictor was fitted based on this ARIMA model (AIC = 1132.37, BIC = 1142.76). The multivariate BP model performed the best in both model fitting stage and prospective forecasting stage, with a MAPE no more than 20%. The performance of the multivariate ARIMAX model was similar to that of the univariate ARIMA model. Both performed much worse than the two BP models, with a high MAPE near to 40%. Conclusion The multivariate BP model effectively integrated the autocorrelation of the HFMD incidence series. Meanwhile, it also comprehensively combined the climatic variables and their hysteresis effects. The introduction of the climate terms significantly improved the prediction accuracy of the BP model. This model could be an ideal method to predict the epidemic level of HFMD, which is of great importance for the public health authorities.

Hand-foot-and-mouth disease and weather factors in Guangzhou, southern China

2013 ◽  
Vol 142 (8) ◽  
pp. 1741-1750 ◽  
Author(s):  
T. LI ◽  
Z. YANG ◽  
B. DI ◽  
M. WANG
Keyword(s):  
Public Health ◽  
Negative Binomial ◽  
Southern China ◽  
Foot And Mouth Disease ◽  
Incidence Rates ◽  
Mouth Disease ◽  
Control Measures ◽  
High Morbidity ◽  
Weather Factors ◽  
Foot And Mouth

SUMMARYHand-foot-and-mouth disease (HFMD) is becoming one of the common airborne and contact transmission diseases in Guangzhou, southern China, leading public health authorities to be concerned about its increased incidence. In this study, we aimed to examine the effect of weather patterns on the incidence of HFMD in the subtropical city of Guangzhou for the period 2009–2012, and assist public health prevention and control measures. A negative binomial multivariable regression was used to identify the relationship between meteorological variables and HFMD. During the study period, a total of 166 770 HFMD-confirmed cases were reported, of which 11 died, yielding a fatality rate of 0·66/10 000. Annual incidence rates from 2009 to 2012 were 132·44, 311·40, 402·76, and 468·59/1 000 00 respectively. Each 1°C rise in temperature corresponded to an increase of 9·38% (95% CI 8·17–10·51) in the weekly number of HFMD cases, while a 1 hPa rise in atmospheric pressure corresponded to a decrease in the number of cases by 6·80% (95% CI −6·99 to −6·65), having an opposite effect. Similarly, a 1% rise in relative humidity corresponded to an increase of 0·67% or 0·51%, a 1 m/h rise in wind velocity corresponded to an increase of 4·01% or 2·65%, and a 1 day addition in the number of windy days corresponded to an increase of 24·73% or 25·87%, in the weekly number of HFMD cases, depending on the variables considered in the model. Our findings revealed that the epidemic status of HFMD in Guangzhou is characterized by high morbidity but low fatality. Weather factors had a significant influence on occurrence and transmission of HFMD.

scholarly journals Differential diagnosis of vesicular stomatitis and foot-and-mouth disease. Examination of virus samples from Mexico with special reference to complement fixation

1949 ◽  
Vol 47 (4) ◽  
pp. 384-389 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. B. Brooksby
Keyword(s):  
Differential Diagnosis ◽  
Special Reference ◽  
Complement Fixation Test ◽  
Complement Fixation ◽  
Foot And Mouth Disease ◽  
Mouth Disease ◽  
The Other ◽  
Practical Applications ◽  
Foot And Mouth ◽  
Vesicular Stomatitis

The usefulness of the complement-fixation test in differential diagnosis between vesicular stomatitis and foot-and-mouth disease has been demonstrated on two ‘field’ specimens of virus from Mexico. Examples are given of the practical applications of the other methods for this differential diagnosis.

EFFECTS OF PUBLIC HEALTH INTERVENTIONS IN REDUCING TRANSMISSION OF HAND, FOOT, AND MOUTH DISEASE

2011 ◽  
Vol 30 (5) ◽  
pp. 432-435 ◽  
Author(s):  
Edmond Ma ◽  
Simon Wong ◽  
Christine Wong ◽  
Shuk Kwan Chuang ◽  
Thomas Tsang
Keyword(s):  
Public Health ◽  
Foot And Mouth Disease ◽  
Mouth Disease ◽  
Health Interventions ◽  
Public Health Interventions ◽  
Foot And Mouth

scholarly journals Vesicular Diseases in Livestock with Special Reference to Foot and Mouth Disease

2017 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 417-422
Author(s):  
Rakesh Kumar ◽  
Venketaramireddy Balena ◽  
Shailesh Patel
Keyword(s):  
Special Reference ◽  
Foot And Mouth Disease ◽  
Mouth Disease ◽  
Foot And Mouth

scholarly journals Isolating Asian enterovirus 71 subgenogroup C4 in two Austrian clinical samples from 2004

2008 ◽  
Vol 13 (28) ◽  
Author(s):  
H. P. Huemer ◽  
B Ortner ◽  
C-W Huang ◽  
D Schmid ◽  
I Mutz ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Public Health ◽  
Pulmonary Oedema ◽  
Mainland China ◽  
Enterovirus 71 ◽  
Foot And Mouth Disease ◽  
Neurological Complications ◽  
Mouth Disease ◽  
Clinical Samples ◽  
Foot And Mouth ◽  
Enterovirus Type

Hamaguchi et al. recently reported on the on the occurrence of enterovirus type 71 (EV71) subgenogroup C4 in Japan [1]. According to the authors, this strain may have emerged in mainland China and in Taiwan. EV71 subgenogroup C4 has recently gained public health interest following reports of an ongoing outbreak in China and Vietnam in 2008: In June 2008, more than 176,000 cases of hand, foot and mouth disease (HFMD) were reported in China alone, and at least 24 deaths have been attributed to EV71 [2,3]. In the largest and most severe EV71-associated HFMD outbreak in Taiwan in 1998, 405 children had severe neurological complications and/or pulmonary oedema; 78 children died [4].

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document