scholarly journals A novel framework for prediction of dam deformation based on extreme learning machine and Lévy flight bat algorithm

Author(s):  
Youliang Chen ◽  
Xiangjun Zhang ◽  
Hamed Karimian ◽  
Gang Xiao ◽  
Jinsong Huang

Abstract Dam deformation monitoring and prediction are crucial for evaluating the safety of reservoirs. There are several elements that influence dam deformation. However, the mixed effects of these elements are not always linear. Oppose to a single-kernel extreme learning machine, which suffers from poor generalization performance and instability, in this study, we proposed an improved bat algorithm for dam deformation prediction based on a hybrid-kernel extreme learning machine. To improve the learning ability of the global kernel and the generalization ability of the local kernel, we combined the global kernel function (polynomial kernel function) and local kernel function (Gaussian kernel function). Moreover, a Lévy flight bat optimization algorithm (LBA) was proposed to overcome the shortages of bat algorithms. The results showed that our model outperformed other models. This proves that our proposed algorithm and methods can be used in dam deformation monitoring and prediction in different projects and regions.

Author(s):  
Renxiong Liu

Objective: Lithium-ion batteries are important components used in electric automobiles (EVs), fuel cell EVs and other hybrid EVs. Therefore, it is greatly important to discover its remaining useful life (RUL). Methods: In this paper, a battery RUL prediction approach using multiple kernel extreme learning machine (MKELM) is presented. The MKELM’s kernel keeps diversified by consisting multiple kernel functions including Gaussian kernel function, Polynomial kernel function and Sigmoid kernel function, and every kernel function’s weight and parameter are optimized through differential evolution (DE) algorithm. Results : Battery capacity data measured from NASA Ames Prognostics Center are used to demonstrate the prediction procedure of the proposed approach, and the MKELM is compared with other commonly used prediction methods in terms of absolute error, relative accuracy and mean square error. Conclusion: The prediction results prove that the MKELM approach can accurately predict the battery RUL. Furthermore, a compare experiment is executed to validate that the MKELM method is better than other prediction methods in terms of prediction accuracy.


Mathematics ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (14) ◽  
pp. 1645
Author(s):  
Haoran Zhao ◽  
Sen Guo

The accurate prediction of electricity-heat-cooling-gas loads on the demand side in the integrated energy system (IES) can provide significant reference for multiple energy planning and stable operation of the IES. This paper combines the multi-task learning (MTL) method, the Bootstrap method, the improved Salp Swarm Algorithm (ISSA) and the multi-kernel extreme learning machine (MKELM) method to establish the uncertain interval prediction model of electricity-heat-cooling-gas loads. The ISSA introduces the dynamic inertia weight and chaotic local searching mechanism into the basic SSA to improve the searching speed and avoid falling into local optimum. The MKELM model is established by combining the RBF kernel function and the Poly kernel function to integrate the superior learning ability and generalization ability of the two functions. Based on the established model, weather, calendar information, social–economic factors, and historical load are selected as the input variables. Through empirical analysis and comparison discussion, we can obtain: (1) the prediction results of workday are better than those on holiday. (2) The Bootstrap-ISSA-MKELM based on the MTL method has superior performance than that based on the STL method. (3) Through comparing discussion, we discover the established uncertain interval prediction model has the superior performance in combined electricity-heat-cooling-gas loads prediction.


2017 ◽  
Vol 50 (1) ◽  
pp. 8109-8114
Author(s):  
Shuo Zhang ◽  
YangQuan Chen ◽  
Yongguang Yu

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