scholarly journals Advanced Time Series Forecasting Methods

Author(s):  
Malek Sarhani ◽  
Abdellatif El Afia

Reliable prediction of future demand is needed to better manage and optimize supply chains. However, a difficulty of forecasting demand arises due to the fact that heterogeneous factors may affect it. Analyzing such data by using classical time series forecasting methods will fail to capture such dependency of factors. This chapter addresses these problems by examining the use of feature selection in forecasting using support vector regression while eliminating the calendar effect using X13-ARIMA-SEATS. The approach is investigated in three different case studies.


2015 ◽  
Vol 2015 ◽  
pp. 1-2 ◽  
Author(s):  
Erol Egrioglu ◽  
Mehdi Khashei ◽  
Cagdas Hakan Aladag ◽  
I. Burhan Turksen ◽  
Ufuk Yolcu

Energies ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (10) ◽  
pp. 2578 ◽  
Author(s):  
Neeraj Dhanraj Bokde ◽  
Zaher Mundher Yaseen ◽  
Gorm Bruun Andersen

This paper introduces an R package ForecastTB that can be used to compare the accuracy of different forecasting methods as related to the characteristics of a time series dataset. The ForecastTB is a plug-and-play structured module, and several forecasting methods can be included with simple instructions. The proposed test-bench is not limited to the default forecasting and error metric functions, and users are able to append, remove, or choose the desired methods as per requirements. Besides, several plotting functions and statistical performance metrics are provided to visualize the comparative performance and accuracy of different forecasting methods. Furthermore, this paper presents real application examples with natural time series datasets (i.e., wind speed and solar radiation) to exhibit the features of the ForecastTB package to evaluate forecasting comparison analysis as affected by the characteristics of a dataset. Modeling results indicated the applicability and robustness of the proposed R package ForecastTB for time series forecasting.


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