Model Fitting Comparison for the Risk Assessment of Weather Conditions in Electric Pole Based on IoT

2018 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 13-18 ◽  
Author(s):  
Saraswathi Sivamani ◽  
◽  
Kyungryong Cho ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Model Fitting ◽  
Weather Conditions

scholarly journals RISK FORECAST SYSTEM FOR MOORED SHIPS

2020 ◽  
pp. 37
Author(s):  
Liliana PINHEIRO ◽  
Conceicao FORTES ◽  
Maria Teresa REIS ◽  
Joao SANTOS ◽  
Carlos GUEDES SOARES
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Weather Conditions ◽  
Economic Losses ◽  
Forecast System ◽  
Mooring Forces ◽  
Risk Forecast

Port terminals downtimes lead to large economic losses and largely affect the port's overall competitiveness. In the majority of cases, port activities such as ships' approach maneuvers and loading/unloading operations, are conditioned or suspended, based solely on weather or wave forecasts. These forecasts do not always result in effective hazardous conditions for the ships. Additionally, moored ships often experience problems of excessive movements and mooring forces in apparent good weather conditions. If, instead, one could forecast the ships' movements and mooring forces, risk assessment would be much more accurate. This would allow selecting an appropriate reinforced mooring arrangement and thus minimizing effective terminal downtime. In this paper, the development of a risk forecast system for moored ships, that takes into account all of the moored ship's system, is detailed and an illustration on how it applies to real ports is presented.Recorded Presentation from the vICCE (YouTube Link): https://youtu.be/ugDN9Tqno3E

scholarly journals Microbial risk assessment for recreational use of the Chicago Area Waterway System

2011 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 169-186 ◽  
Author(s):  
G. Rijal ◽  
J. K. Tolson ◽  
C. Petropoulou ◽  
T. C. Granato ◽  
A. Glymph ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Environmental Protection Agency ◽  
Enteric Virus ◽  
Weather Conditions ◽  
The United States ◽  
Current Treatment ◽  
Microbial Risk Assessment ◽  
Microbial Risk ◽  
Chicago Area ◽  
Wet Weather

A microbial risk assessment was conducted to estimate the human health risks from incidental contact recreational activities such as canoeing, boating and fishing in the Chicago Area Waterway System (CAWS) receiving secondary treated, but non-disinfected, effluent from three municipal water reclamation plants. Actual concentrations of the pathogens (pathogenic E. coli [estimated], Giardia, Cryptosporidium, adenovirus, norovirus, enteric virus) detected from the waterway field data collection at locations upstream and downstream of the effluent outfall during dry and wet weather conditions within the recreation season were included in the risk assessment. The results under the current treatment scheme with no disinfection indicated that the total expected gastrointestinal illness (GI) rate per 1000 incidental contact recreational exposure events during combined weather (dry and wet) conditions ranged from 0.10 to 2.78 in the CAWS, which is below the eight illnesses per 1000 swimmers considered tolerable by the United States Environmental Protection Agency. Wet weather conditions contribute to elevated pathogen load to the CAWS; therefore this study determined that disinfecting the effluents of three major WRPs that discharge to the CAWS would result in an extremely small reduction in the aggregate recreation season risk to incidental contact recreators.

scholarly journals Combining operational models and data into a dynamic vessel risk assessment tool for coastal regions

2015 ◽  
Vol 12 (4) ◽  
pp. 1327-1388 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. Fernandes ◽  
F. Braunschweig ◽  
F. Lourenço ◽  
R. Neves
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Real Time ◽  
Oil Spill ◽  
Situational Awareness ◽  
Assessment Tool ◽  
Weather Conditions ◽  
Traffic Monitoring ◽  
Automatic Identification ◽  
Decision Support Model ◽  
Risk Levels

Abstract. The technological evolution in terms of computational capacity, data acquisition systems, numerical modelling and operational oceanography is supplying opportunities for designing and building holistic approaches and complex tools for newer and more efficient management (planning, prevention and response) of coastal water pollution risk events. A combined methodology to dynamically estimate time and space variable shoreline risk levels from ships has been developed, integrating numerical metocean forecasts and oil spill simulations with vessel tracking automatic identification systems (AIS). The risk rating combines the likelihood of an oil spill occurring from a vessel navigating in a study area – Portuguese Continental shelf – with the assessed consequences to the shoreline. The spill likelihood is based on dynamic marine weather conditions and statistical information from previous accidents. The shoreline consequences reflect the virtual spilled oil amount reaching shoreline and its environmental and socio-economic vulnerabilities. The oil reaching shoreline is quantified with an oil spill fate and behaviour model running multiple virtual spills from vessels along time. Shoreline risks can be computed in real-time or from previously obtained data. Results show the ability of the proposed methodology to estimate the risk properly sensitive to dynamic metocean conditions and to oil transport behaviour. The integration of meteo-oceanic + oil spill models with coastal vulnerability and AIS data in the quantification of risk enhances the maritime situational awareness and the decision support model, providing a more realistic approach in the assessment of shoreline impacts. The risk assessment from historical data can help finding typical risk patterns, "hot spots" or developing sensitivity analysis to specific conditions, whereas real time risk levels can be used in the prioritization of individual ships, geographical areas, strategic tug positioning and implementation of dynamic risk-based vessel traffic monitoring.

scholarly journals Development and Field Evaluation of a Spray Drift Risk Assessment Tool for Vineyard Spraying Application

Agriculture ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (8) ◽  
pp. 181 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bourodimos ◽  
Koutsiaras ◽  
Psiroukis ◽  
Balafoutis ◽  
Fountas
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Assessment Tool ◽  
Plant Protection ◽  
Weather Forecast ◽  
Field Evaluation ◽  
Weather Conditions ◽  
Plant Protection Products ◽  
Meteorological Conditions ◽  
Spray Drift ◽  
Evaluation Tool

Spray drift is one of the most important causes of pollution from plant protection products and it puts the health of the environment, animals, and humans at risk. There is; thus, an urgent need to develop measures for its reduction. Among the factors that affect spray drift are the weather conditions during application of spraying. The objective of this study was to develop and evaluate a spray drift evaluation tool based on an existing model by TOPPS-Prowadis to improve the process of plant protection products’ application and to mitigate spray drift for specific meteorological conditions in Greece that are determined, based on weather forecast, by reassessing the limits for wind speed and direction, temperature, and air relative humidity set in the tool. The new limits were tested by conducting experimental work in the vineyard of the Agricultural University of Athens with a trailed air-assisted sprayer for bush and tree crops, using the ISO 22866:2005 methodology. The results showed that the limits set are consistent with the values of the spray drift measured and follows the tool’s estimates of low, medium, and high risk of spray drift.

Deterministic Hazard Evaluation for Natural Gas Pipes Failure

2016 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohammad Pourgol Mohammad ◽  
Arash Mehrzad ◽  
Morteza Soleimani
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Sensitivity Analysis ◽  
Natural Gas ◽  
Weather Conditions ◽  
Hazard Evaluation ◽  
Gas Stations ◽  
Toxic Materials ◽  
Hot Weather ◽  
Accident Scenarios

Gas stations and distribution facilities in a city districts may result in accidents resulting injuries to people living in these districts. The exposure to released toxic materials is another hazard in gas pipes accidents. Therefore, the gas pipe lines demand special attention for the risk assessment. In this study, the gas pipe rupture is evaluated on accident scenarios. Fire concentration range has been analyzed for different scenarios for cold and hot weather conditions. Furthermore, the length of flame has been simulated based on releasing flammable materials with governed equations. For modeling, PHAST software is utilized for simulation of released material in environment by considering the atmosphere conditions. Sensitivity analysis is done by 10% increasing in important parameter of problem. As a case study, a gas station is used for assessment. Furthermore, the results are verified with some published studies.

scholarly journals Risk Assessment of Extreme Weather Conditions for Nuclear Power Plants at Tidal Rivers

2010 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
pp. 41-52 ◽  
Author(s):  
Heinz-Peter Berg ◽  
Matias Krauß
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Power Plant ◽  
Nuclear Power Plant ◽  
Water Level ◽  
Nuclear Power ◽  
Power Plants ◽  
Nuclear Power Plants ◽  
Weather Conditions ◽  
Extreme Weather ◽  
Tidal Rivers

Risk Assessment of Extreme Weather Conditions for Nuclear Power Plants at Tidal RiversThe effects of flooding on a nuclear power plant site may have a major bearing on the safety of the plant and may result in a common cause failure for safety related systems, such as the emergency power supply systems. For river sites with tidal influences, an extreme flood event - tide combined with storm water level set-up - must be assumed. A storm-tide must be covered with an exceeding frequency of 10-4/a. However, the risk assessment regarding the availability of systems and components of a nuclear power plant also includes the situation of extreme low water level of rivers, i. e. below the minimum water level necessary for the supply of the nuclear power plants with cooling water.

scholarly journals Challenges in Adaptation of Plant Disease Warning Systems to New Locations: Re-Appraisal of Billing's Integrated System for Predicting Fire Blight in a Warm Dry Environment

2007 ◽  
Vol 97 (9) ◽  
pp. 1036-1039 ◽  
Author(s):  
Eve Billing
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Plant Disease ◽  
Fire Blight ◽  
Weather Conditions ◽  
Integrated System ◽  
Warning Systems ◽  
New Locations ◽  
New Location

The purpose of this letter is to describe approaches and possible pitfalls when a fire blight model developed in one climatic area is evaluated in a new location where weather conditions are markedly different. A case is described where a modified form of Billing's integrated system, BIS95, which was developed in a cool moist climate, was tested in a country where weather is warmer and drier. Prior to this, some features of fire blight epidemiology, management, and risk assessment are outlined.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document