scholarly journals A deep-learning-based prediction of refractive error using photorefraction images captured by smartphone: Model Development and Validation Study. (Preprint)

10.2196/16225 ◽  
2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jaehyeong Chun ◽  
Youngjun Kim ◽  
Kyungyoon Shin ◽  
Sun Hyup Han ◽  
Sei Yeul Oh ◽  
...  
2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jaehyeong Chun ◽  
Youngjun Kim ◽  
Kyungyoon Shin ◽  
Sun Hyup Han ◽  
Sei Yeul Oh ◽  
...  

BACKGROUND Accurately predicting refractive error in children is crucial for detecting amblyopia, which can lead to permanent visual impairment, but is potentially curable if detected early. Various tools have been adopted to more easily screen a larger number of patients for amblyopia risk. OBJECTIVE For efficient screening, easy access to screening tools and an accurate prediction algorithm are the most important factors. In this study, we developed an automated deep-learning-based system to predict the range of refractive error in children (mean age: 4.32±1.87 years) using 305 eccentric photorefraction images captured with a smartphone. METHODS Photorefraction images were divided into seven classes according to their spherical values as measured by cycloplegic refraction. RESULTS The trained deep-learning models resulted in an overall accuracy of 81.6%, with the following accuracy for each refractive error class: 80.0% in ≤ -5.0 diopters (D), 77.8% in > -5.0 D and ≤ -3.0 D, 82.0% in > -3.0 D and ≤ -0.5 D, 83.3% in > -0.5 D and < +0.5 D, 82.8% in ≥ +0.5 D and < +3.0 D, 79.3% in ≥ +3.0 D and < +5.0 D, and 75.0% in ≥ +5.0 D. These results indicate that our deep-learning-based system performed sufficiently accurately. CONCLUSIONS This study demonstrated the potential for precise smartphone-based prediction systems for refractive error using deep learning and, further, yielded a robust collection of pediatric photorefraction images. CLINICALTRIAL


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Muhammad Faisal ◽  
Mohammed A Mohammed ◽  
Donald Richardson ◽  
Ewout W. Steyerberg ◽  
Massimo Fiori ◽  
...  

AbstractObjectivesTo consider the potential of the National Early Warning Score (NEWS2) for COVID-19 risk prediction on unplanned admission to hospital.DesignLogistic regression model development and validation study using a cohort of unplanned emergency medical admission to hospital.SettingYork Hospital (YH) as model development dataset and Scarborough Hospital (SH) as model validation dataset.ParticipantsUnplanned adult medical admissions discharged over 3 months (11 March 2020 to 13 June 2020) from two hospitals (YH for model development; SH for external model validation) based on admission NEWS2 electronically recorded within ±24 hours of admission. We used logistic regression modelling to predict the risk of COVID-19 using NEWS2 (Model M0’) versus enhanced cNEWS models which included age + sex (model M1’) + subcomponents (including diastolic blood pressure + oxygen flow rate + oxygen scale) of NEWS2 (model M2’). The ICD-10 code ‘U071’ was used to identify COVID-19 admissions. Model performance was evaluated according to discrimination (c statistic), calibration (graphically), and clinical usefulness at NEWS2 ≥5.ResultsThe prevalence of COVID-19 was higher in SH (11.0%=277/2520) than YH (8.7%=343/3924) with higher index NEWS2 (3.2 vs 2.8) but similar in-hospital mortality (8.4% vs 8.2%). The c-statistics for predicting COVID-19 for cNEWS models (M1’,M2’) was substantially better than NEWS2 alone (M0’) in development (M2’: 0.78 (95%CI 0.75-0.80) vs M0’ 0.71 (95%CI 0.68-0.74)) and validation datasets (M2’: 0.72 (95%CI 0.69-0.75) vs M0’ 0.65 (95%CI 0.61-0.68)). Model M2’ had better calibration than Model M0’ with improved sensitivity (M2’: 57% (95%CI 51%-63%) vs M0’ 44% (95%CI 38%-50%)) and similar specificity (M2’: 76% (95%CI 74%-78%) vs M0’ 75% (95%CI 73%-77%)) for validation dataset at NEWS2≥5.ConclusionsModel M2’ is reasonably accurate for predicting the on-admission risk of COVID-19. It may be clinically useful for an early warning system at the time of admission especially to triage large numbers of unplanned hospital admissions.


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