scholarly journals Policy Implications Of The War In Iraq And Its Influence On The Global Market: A Public Affairs Perspective

2011 ◽  
Vol 5 (10) ◽  
Author(s):  
Michael O. Adams ◽  
Gbolahan S. Osho
Keyword(s):  
Global Market ◽  
Public Affairs ◽  
Policy Implications ◽  
Iraqi War ◽  
War In Iraq ◽  
Trading Partners ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Ultimate Outcome ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The U.S

United States coalition force invaded Iraq after months of failed negotiation with the United Nation Security Council and the Iraqi government. Many of the nations that opposed the invasion were important trading partners with the U.S. As such, global trade relationships have been damaged in the short run. This paper examines the impact of Iraqi war on the global market economy. The global market performance was sluggish in the weeks preceding the war and including the cessation of the war in Iraq. This was due to uncertainty in the price of oil and the ultimate outcome of the war. However, markets rebounded as oil prices normalized due to the quick overthrow of Baghdad. Furthermore, the U.S. dollar had been steadily weakening against the Euro in the months preceding the war. Therefore, a successful completion of the Iraq war will help prevent further devaluation of the dollar.

scholarly journals The Caribbean and its Linkages with the World

2019 ◽  
Vol 2019 (256) ◽  
Author(s):  
Mauricio Vargas ◽  
Daniela Hess
Keyword(s):  
Global Economy ◽  
Caribbean Region ◽  
Financial Variables ◽  
The World ◽  
Trading Partners ◽  
Global Var ◽  
The Caribbean ◽  
Using Data ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The U.S

Using data from 1980-2017, this paper estimates a Global VAR (GVAR) model taylored for the Caribbean region which includes its major trading partners, representing altogether around 60 percent of the global economy. We provide stilyzed facts of the main interrelations between the Caribbean region and the rest of the world, and then we quantify the impact of external shocks on Caribbean countries through the application of two case studies: i) a change in the international price of oil, and ii) an increase in the U.S. GDP. We confirmed that Caribbean countries are highly exposed to external factors, and that a fall in oil prices and an increase in the U.S. GDP have a positive and large impact on most of them after controlling for financial variables, exchange rate fluctuations and overall price changes. The results from the model help to disentangle effects from various channels that interact at the same time, such as flows of tourists, trade of goods, and changes in economic conditions in the largest economies of the globe.

Implications of  the U.S.–China Trade War  for  Taiwan

2020 ◽  
Vol 19 (1) ◽  
pp. 61-81
Author(s):  
Wen-jen Hsieh
Keyword(s):  
Negative Impact ◽  
The United States ◽  
Policy Implications ◽  
High Tech ◽  
Chinese Market ◽  
Economic Relationships ◽  
China Trade ◽  
Trade War ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The U.S

The ongoing U.S.-China trade war and ensuing high-tech conflicts are regarded as Taiwan's most crucial opportunity to slow down its progressively increasing economic dependence on China. The impact of the U.S.–China trade tensions on Taiwan are important to analyze because of Taiwan's relatively unique political and economic relationships with the United States and China, especially since the latter views Taiwan as its “breakaway province.” The regression results indicate that Taiwan's outward investment to China is significantly affected by Taiwan's lagged investment and exports to China, and the gap in the economic growth rates between Taiwan and China. Policy implications are provided for Taiwan to alleviate its economic dependency on the Chinese market and the negative impact from the U.S.-China trade war.

Health Care Public Sector Share and the U.S. Life Expectancy Lag: A Country-level Longitudinal Study

2018 ◽  
Vol 48 (2) ◽  
pp. 328-348 ◽  
Author(s):  
Megan M. Reynolds
Keyword(s):  
Health Care ◽  
Political Economy ◽  
Public Sector ◽  
Life Expectancy ◽  
Policy Implications ◽  
The Political ◽  
Life Expectancy At Birth ◽  
Political Economy Of Health ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The U.S

Growing research on the political economy of health has begun to emphasize sociopolitical influences on cross-national differences in population health above and beyond economic growth. While this research investigates the impact of overall public health spending as a share of GDP (“health care effort”), it has for the most part overlooked the distribution of health care spending across the public and private spheres (“public sector share”). I evaluate the relative contributions of health care effort, public sector share, and GDP to the large and growing disadvantage in U.S. life expectancy at birth relative to peer nations. I do so using fixed effects models with data from 16 wealthy democratic nations between 1960 and 2010. Results indicate that public sector share has a beneficial effect on longevity net of the effect of health care effort and that this effect is nonlinear, decreasing in magnitude as levels rise. Moreover, public sector share is a more powerful predictor of life expectancy at birth than GDP per capita. This study contributes to discussions around the political economy of health, the growth consensus, and the American lag in life expectancy. Policy implications vis-à-vis the U.S. Affordable Care Act are discussed.

scholarly journals An attribution analysis of soybean price volatility in China: global market connectedness or energy market transmission?

2020 ◽  
pp. 1-12
Author(s):  
Youwang Zhang ◽  
Chongguang Li ◽  
Yuanyuan Xu ◽  
Jian Li
Keyword(s):  
Price Volatility ◽  
Global Market ◽  
Energy Price ◽  
Policy Makers ◽  
Market Participants ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Soybean Price ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Pass Through ◽  
The Impact

This study examines the impact of international soybean price and energy price on Chinese soybean price. Applied to monthly data over the period of 2007-2017, results show that both international soybean price and energy price have significant impacts on Chinese soybean price, while the impact from global soybean market tends to be more profound. First, we find that in the long run the cumulative pass-through elasticity of Chinese soybean price to international soybean price is greater than the elasticity to international energy price. Second, in the short run, international soybean price shocks transmit more quickly to Chinese soybean price. Our results shed new light on the determinants of soybean price volatility in China, and provide meaningful implications on the price risk management for market participants and policy makers.

scholarly journals Evidence of Economic Policy Uncertainty and COVID-19 Pandemic on Global Stock Returns

2022 ◽  
Vol 15 (1) ◽  
pp. 28
Author(s):  
Thomas Chinan Chiang
Keyword(s):  
Economic Policy ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Stock Return ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Global Market ◽  
Policy Uncertainty ◽  
Economic Policy Uncertainty ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Global Stock ◽  
The U.S

This paper examines the impact of changes in economic policy uncertainty (EPU) and COVID-19 shock on stock returns. Tests of 16 global stock market indices, using monthly data from January 1990 to August 2021, suggest a negative relation between the stock return and a country’s EPU. Evidence suggests that a rise in the U.S. EPU causes not only a decline in a country’s stock return, but also a negative spillover effect on the global market; however, we cannot find a comparable negative effect from global EPU to U.S. stocks. Evidence suggests that the COVID-19 pandemic has a negative impact that significantly affects stock return worldwide. This study also finds an indirect COVID-19 impact that runs through a change in domestic EPU and, in turn, affects stock return. Evidence shows significant COVID-19 effects that change relative stock returns between the U.S. and global markets, creating a decoupling phenomenon.

scholarly journals The impact of Mexican competition on the U.S. strawberry industry

2017 ◽  
Vol 20 (4) ◽  
pp. 591-604 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dong Hee Suh ◽  
Zhengfei Guan ◽  
Hayk Khachatryan
Keyword(s):  
Policy Implications ◽  
Demand System ◽  
Market Prices ◽  
National Market ◽  
Strawberry Industry ◽  
Simulation Results ◽  
Inverse Demand ◽  
Industry Policy ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The U.S

This paper models the U.S. strawberry market and examines how increasing imports from Mexico affect the prices and shipment values of California and Florida winter strawberries. The Synthetic Inverse Demand System is used to quantify the impact of Mexican shipments on the prices of strawberries. The estimation results indicate that market prices are responsive to supply from each of the three sources, suggesting an integrated, competitive national market. The simulation results suggest that rapidly growing Mexican shipments will cause large losses to the U.S. strawberry industry, posing challenges to the sustainability and survival of the industry, particularly that of the Florida industry. Policy implications and recommendations for the industry are discussed.

Macroeconomic performance under evolutionary dynamics of employee profit-sharing

2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (4) ◽  
pp. 589-615
Author(s):  
Gilberto Tadeu Lima ◽  
Jaylson Jair da Silveira
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Evolutionary Dynamics ◽  
Capacity Utilization ◽  
Profit Sharing ◽  
Policy Implications ◽  
Macroeconomic Performance ◽  
Employee Compensation ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Impact

This paper investigates the impact on capacity utilization and economic growth as variables driven by effective demand of income distribution featuring the possibility of profit-sharing with workers. Firms choose to compensate workers with either a base wage or a share of profits on top of this base wage. In accordance with robust empirical evidence, workers in sharing firms have higher productivity than workers in non-sharing firms. The distribution of employee compensation strategies and labor productivity across firms is evolutionarily time-varying. Two major results carrying relevant theoretical and policy implications are obtained. First, heterogeneity in employee compensation strategies across firms (and therefore earnings inequality across workers) may emerge as a long-run equilibrium outcome. Second, beyond the short run, a higher fraction of profit-sharing firms may result in either higher or lower rates of capacity utilization and economic growth.

Voting in Open Economies

2007 ◽  
Vol 40 (3) ◽  
pp. 283-306 ◽  
Author(s):  
Timothy Hellwig ◽  
David Samuels
Keyword(s):  
Market Integration ◽  
Open Economies ◽  
Global Market ◽  
Policy Implications ◽  
Set Covering ◽  
Policy Outcomes ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Electoral Accountability ◽  
Scant Attention ◽  
The Impact

What are the electoral consequences of global market integration? Although recent discussions of politics and markets have much to say on globalization’s implications for policy outcomes, the impact of market integration on representative democracy has received scant attention. This article addresses this omission. We extend the globalization literature to develop two competing hypotheses regarding the influence of open economies on electoral accountability. Predictions are tested using a new data set covering elections from 75 countries over 27 years. Results support a government constraint hypothesis: Exposure to the world economy weakens connections between economic performance and support for political incumbents. By redirecting concerns from the policy implications of globalization and toward its electoral consequences, findings highlight the influence of voter perceptions and of vote-seeking politicians in the politics of globalization.

scholarly journals Brexit and the UK Automotive Industry

2017 ◽  
Vol 242 ◽  
pp. R51-R59 ◽  
Author(s):  
David Bailey ◽  
Lisa De Propris
Keyword(s):  
Automotive Industry ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Policy Implications ◽  
The Past ◽  
Eu Membership ◽  
Manufacturing Sectors ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Uk ◽  
Star Performers ◽  
The Impact

The UK's automotive industry has been one of the ‘star performers’ of the UK economy in recent years – unlike most other manufacturing sectors. Output has increased by over 60 per cent since 2010 and there has been over £8 billion worth of investment in the industry in the past five years. The industry supports some 800,000 jobs in the UK. It is seen as having benefitted from EU membership. So what might Brexit mean for the UK automotive sector, and its workers? This paper considers short-run impacts, before turning to the impact of uncertainty on foreign direct investment inflows and then the nature of a possible trading relationship. Some brief reflections on policy implications round off the paper.

scholarly journals Inflating Away the Public Debt? An Empirical Assessment

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jens Hilscher ◽  
Alon Raviv ◽  
Ricardo Reis
Keyword(s):  
Public Debt ◽  
New Method ◽  
Inflation Dynamics ◽  
The Real ◽  
The Public ◽  
Empirical Assessment ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Real Value ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The U.S

Abstract This paper proposes a new method for measuring the impact of inflation on the real value of public debt. The distribution of debt debasement is based on two inputs: the distribution of privately held nominal debt by maturity, for which we provide new estimates, and the distribution of risk-adjusted inflation dynamics, for which we provide a novel copula estimator using options data. We find that inflation by itself is unlikely to lower the U.S. fiscal burden significantly because debt is concentrated at short maturities and perceived inflation shocks have little short-run persistence and are small.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document