scholarly journals Determination of design load combination and load factors on the basis of limit state probabilities.

1987 ◽  
pp. 301-310
Author(s):  
Masanobu SHINOZUKA ◽  
Masakuni KUBO
Author(s):  
M. Liu ◽  
C. Cross

Design load factor structural reliability analysis is critical for pipeline postlay OOS design to mitigate global UHB for a trenched and buried subsea pipeline configuration operating at elevated temperature and pressure. During the detailed engineering phase it is necessary to evaluate and define any measure available to be finalised for UHB mitigation such as deep trenching selection, enhanced blanket or spot rockdumping. In order account for inherent uncertainties in the design variables, a pre-emptive SRA is normally performed for the probabilistic UHB design load factors prior to pipeline installation according to the typical trench imperfection statistics and some specified survey accuracy. As per the current practice the semi-analytical universal design curve method is used in the limit state for design load factor predictions. The SRA results will be updated once the OOS survey data become available. A rockdump schedule can then be established by FEA incorporating appropriate safety or load factors to address uncertainties in the design parameters and as-built pipeline OOS survey measurement accuracy. This paper examines the UHB model uncertainties in the load factor and backfill cover assessment with a view to improving the SRA OOS analysis. Sources of uncertainties and variability in the UHB design are discussed first. Some disparity and inconsistency arising between the SRA and FEA models for the limit state are considered. Alternative UHB models are investigated by taking Timoshenko shear stiffness and associated deformation with pipe-soil interactions into consideration. A comparison is made with the conventional universal design curve method, the improved model and FE modelling to demonstrate the findings and conclusions. Of these, the pipe-soil interaction and its representation in the SRA limit state assessment are identified as a significant factor.


Author(s):  
Eric Brehm ◽  
Robert Hertle ◽  
Markus Wetzel

In common structural design, random variables, such as material strength or loads, are represented by fixed numbers defined in design codes. This is also referred to as deterministic design. Addressing the random character of these variables directly, the probabilistic design procedure allows the determination of the probability of exceeding a defined limit state. This probability is referred to as failure probability. From there, the structural reliability, representing the survival probability, can be determined. Structural reliability thus is a property of a structure or structural member, depending on the relevant limit states, failure modes and basic variables. This is the basis for the determination of partial safety factors which are, for sake of a simpler design, applied within deterministic design procedures. In addition to the basic variables in terms of material and loads, further basic variables representing the structural model have to be considered. These depend strongly on the experience of the design engineer and the level of detailing of the model. However, in the clear majority of cases [1] failure does not occur due to unexpectedly high or low values of loads or material strength. The most common reasons for failure are human errors in design and execution. This paper will provide practical examples of original designs affected by human error and will assess the impact on structural reliability.


2009 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 44-49 ◽  
Author(s):  
Libor Puklický ◽  
Zdeněk Kala

The paper deals with the fuzzy analysis of the ultimate limit state of a steel strut with an encased web in compression. The first part of the paper lists presumptions required for the determination of the theoretical load carrying capacity for the column. Stresses in the concrete and steel sections are determined according to the principles of elasticity. The ultimate limit state is given as the limit stress attained in the most stressed section of either the steel or concrete section. A general extended principle, which takes into account the epistemic uncertainty of input parameters, was utilized for the conducted analysis.


2019 ◽  
Vol 105 ◽  
pp. 76-84
Author(s):  
NADEŽDA LANGOVÁ ◽  
PAVOL JOŠČÁK

Mechanical Properties of Confirmat Screws Corner Joints Made of Native Wood and Wood-Based Composites. The aim of this investigation was to design and determine the mechanical properties of confirmat screws corner joints made of native wood and wood-based composites. The objective of the study was to ascertain the stiffness and load carrying capacity of joints that differed in the diameter and length of confirmat type screw, as well as in the kind of materials. The results include statistical processing of measured and calculated data, and evaluation of the influence of selected factors on mechanical properties. The results are applied to the calculation of the characteristic values of the properties and to the determination of the equations for their calculation for other values of the selected factors. The characteristic values are used for the evaluation of the joints according to the limit state method.


2015 ◽  
Vol 61 (3) ◽  
pp. 133-147 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. Dudzik ◽  
U. Radoń

AbstractThe study deals with stability and dynamic problems in bar structures using a probabilistic approach. Structural design parameters are defined as deterministic values and also as random variables, which are not correlated. The criterion of structural failure is expressed by the condition of non-exceeding the admissible load multiplier and condition of non-exceeding the admissible vertical displacement. The Hasofer-Lind index was used as a reliability measure. The primary research tool is the FORM method. In order to verify the correctness of the calculations Monte Carlo and Importance Sampling methods were used. The sensitivity of the reliability index to the random variables was defined. The limit state function is not an explicit function of random variables. This dependence was determined using a numerical procedure, e.g. the finite element methods. The paper aims to present the communication between the STAND reliability analysis program and the KRATA and MES3D external FE programs.


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