scholarly journals National Early Warning Score 2 and laboratory predictors correlate with clinical deterioration in hospitalized patients with COVID-19

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gulsah Tuncer ◽  
Serkan Surme ◽  
Osman F Bayramlar ◽  
Hatice K Karanalbant ◽  
Betul Copur ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Early Warning ◽  
Odds Ratio ◽  
Hospitalized Patients ◽  
Clinical Deterioration ◽  
Early Warning Score ◽  
Hospital Death ◽  
Laboratory Parameters ◽  
Neutrophil Lymphocyte Ratio ◽  
Lymphocyte Ratio ◽  
National Early Warning Score

Aim: We aimed to determine the prognostic values of the National Early Warning Score 2 (NEWS2) and laboratory parameters during the first week of COVID-19. Materials & methods: All adult patients who were hospitalized for confirmed COVID-19 between 11 March and 11 May 2020 were retrospectively included. Results: Overall, 611 patients were included. Our results showed that NEWS2, procalcitonin, neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio and albumin at D0, D3, D5 and D7 were the best predictors for clinical deterioration defined as a composite of ICU admission during hospitalization or in-hospital death. Procalcitonin had the highest odds ratio for clinical deterioration on all days. Conclusion: This study provides a list of several laboratory parameters correlated with NEWS2 and potential predictors for clinical deterioration in patients with COVID-19.

scholarly journals NEWS2 and laboratory predictors correlated with clinical deterioration in hospitalised patients with COVID-19

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gulsah Tuncer ◽  
Serkan Surme ◽  
Osman Faruk Bayramlar ◽  
Hatice Kubra Karanalbant ◽  
Betul Copur ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Operating Characteristic ◽  
Univariate Analysis ◽  
Clinical Deterioration ◽  
Dynamic Monitoring ◽  
Hospital Death ◽  
Univariate Logistic Regression Analysis ◽  
Laboratory Parameters ◽  
Neutrophil Lymphocyte Ratio ◽  
Lymphocyte Ratio ◽  
Hospitalised Patients

ABSTRACTBackgroundWe aimed to determine prognostic values of NEWS2 and laboratory parameters during the first week of COVID-19.MethodsAll adult patients who were hospitalized for a confirmed COVID-19 between the 11th of March and the 11th of May 2020 were retrospectively included. To evaluate the factors in prognosis which are admission to intensive care unit (ICU) and in-hospital death, univariate logistic regression analysis was performed at admission (D0), at day-3 (D3), day-5 (D5), and day-7 (D7). Additionally, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analyses were performed.ResultsOverall, 611 patients were included. Clinical deterioration was observed in 79 (12.9%) patients during hospitalisation, 36 (5.9%) during the first three days, 54 (8.8%) during the first five days, and 62 (10.1%) during the first week of hospitalisation. Our results showed that NEWS2, procalcitonin, neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio (NLR), and albumin were the best predictors for clinical deterioration at D0, D3, D5, and D7. Procalcitonin had the highest odds ratio for clinical deterioration on all days in univariate analysis. ROC analyses showed that NEWS2 at D7, procalcitonin at D5, albumin at D7, and NLR at D5 had highest AUC values. Additionally, we detected a strong correlation between NEWS2 and laboratory parameters including neutrophil, lymphocyte, NLR, platelet/lymphocyte ratio, CRP, procalcitonin, ferritin, and urea on all days.ConclusionThis study provides a list of several laboratory parameters correlated with NEWS2 and potential predictors for ICU admission or in-hospital death during the clinical course of COVID-19. Dynamic monitoring of NEWS2 and laboratory parameters is vital for improving clinical outcomes.

scholarly journals The Prognostic Accuracy of National Early Warning Score 2 on Predicting Clinical Deterioration for Patients With COVID-19: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

2021 ◽  
Vol 8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kai Zhang ◽  
Xing Zhang ◽  
Wenyun Ding ◽  
Nanxia Xuan ◽  
Baoping Tian ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Early Warning ◽  
Clinical Deterioration ◽  
Early Warning Score ◽  
Cochrane Library ◽  
Hospital Death ◽  
Likelihood Ratios ◽  
Prognostic Accuracy ◽  
National Early Warning Score ◽  
Sensitivity Specificity ◽  
Sensitive Method

Background: During the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, the National Early Warning Score 2 (NEWS2) is recommended for the risk stratification of COVID-19 patients, but little is known about its ability to detect severe cases. Therefore, our purpose is to assess the prognostic accuracy of NEWS2 on predicting clinical deterioration for patients with COVID-19.Methods: We searched PubMed, Embase, Scopus, and the Cochrane Library from December 2019 to March 2021. Clinical deterioration was defined as the need for intensive respiratory support, admission to the intensive care unit, or in-hospital death. Sensitivity, specificity, and likelihood ratios were pooled by using the bivariate random-effects model. Overall prognostic performance was summarized by using the area under the curve (AUC). We performed subgroup analyses to assess the prognostic accuracy of NEWS2 in different conditions.Results: Eighteen studies with 6,922 participants were included. The NEWS2 of five or more was commonly used for predicting clinical deterioration. The pooled sensitivity, specificity, and AUC were 0.82, 0.67, and 0.82, respectively. Benefitting from adding a new SpO2 scoring scale for patients with hypercapnic respiratory failure, the NEWS2 showed better sensitivity (0.82 vs. 0.75) and discrimination (0.82 vs. 0.76) than the original NEWS. In addition, the NEWS2 was a sensitive method (sensitivity: 0.88) for predicting short-term deterioration within 72 h.Conclusions: The NEWS2 had moderate sensitivity and specificity in predicting the deterioration of patients with COVID-19. Our results support the use of NEWS2 monitoring as a sensitive method to initially assess COVID-19 patients at hospital admission, although it has a relatively high false-trigger rate. Our findings indicated that the development of enhanced or modified NEWS may be necessary.

scholarly journals Impact of the level of sickness on higher mortality in emergency medical admissions to hospital at weekends

2017 ◽  
Vol 22 (4) ◽  
pp. 236-242 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohammed Mohammed ◽  
Muhammad Faisal ◽  
Donald Richardson ◽  
Robin Howes ◽  
Kevin Beatson ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Early Warning ◽  
Odds Ratio ◽  
Vital Signs ◽  
Early Warning Score ◽  
Emergency Admissions ◽  
Clinical Assessments ◽  
Admission Time ◽  
Emergency Medical ◽  
Acute Hospitals ◽  
National Early Warning Score

Objective Routine administrative data have been used to show that patients admitted to hospitals over the weekend appear to have a higher mortality compared to weekday admissions. Such data do not take the severity of sickness of a patient on admission into account. Our aim was to incorporate a standardized vital signs physiological-based measure of sickness known as the National Early Warning Score to investigate if weekend admissions are: sicker as measured by their index National Early Warning Score; have an increased mortality; and experience longer delays in the recording of their index National Early Warning Score. Methods We extracted details of all adult emergency medical admissions during 2014 from hospital databases and linked these with electronic National Early Warning Score data in four acute hospitals. We analysed 47,117 emergency admissions after excluding 1657 records, where National Early Warning Score was missing or the first (index) National Early Warning Score was recorded outside ±24 h of the admission time. Results Emergency medical admissions at the weekend had higher index National Early Warning Score (weekend: 2.53 vs. weekday: 2.30, p < 0.001) with a higher mortality (weekend: 706/11,332 6.23% vs. weekday: 2039/35,785 5.70%; odds ratio = 1.10, 95% CI 1.01 to 1.20, p = 0.04) which was no longer seen after adjusting for the index National Early Warning Score (odds ratio = 0.99, 95% CI 0.90 to 1.09, p = 0.87). Index National Early Warning Score was recorded sooner (−0.45 h, 95% CI −0.52 to −0.38, p < 0.001) for weekend admissions. Conclusions Emergency medical admissions at the weekend with electronic National Early Warning Score recorded within 24 h are sicker, have earlier clinical assessments, and after adjusting for the severity of their sickness, do not appear to have a higher mortality compared to weekday admissions. A larger definitive study to confirm these findings is needed.

scholarly journals Comparison of Systemic Immune-Inflammation Index (SII), Early Warning Score (ANDC) and Prognostic Nutritional Index (PNI) in Hospitalized Patients with Malignancy, and Their Influence on Mortality from COVID-19

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Muge Bilge ◽  
Isil Kibar Akilli ◽  
Aylia Yesilova ◽  
Kadriye Kart Yasar
Keyword(s):  
Early Warning ◽  
Prognostic Significance ◽  
Prognostic Nutritional Index ◽  
Biological Indicators ◽  
Early Warning Score ◽  
Hospital Death ◽  
Lymphocyte Ratio ◽  
Nutritional Index ◽  
Mortality Ratio ◽  
Immune Inflammation

Abstract Introduction: COVID-19 pandemic is a serious cause of increased mortality in patients having malignancy. Therefore, to help predict the clinical progression of those patients with COVID-19 who have multiple comorbidities as cancer, we need various indices whose parameters we can easily measure and rapidly calculate. We evaluated several biological indicators based on inflammation and/or nutritional status, such as systemic immune-inflammation index (SII), early warning score (ANDC) and prognostic nutritional index (PNI) in hospitalized COVID-19 patients with and without malignancies for a prognostic significance. Methodology: This is a retrospective and observational study on 186 patients with SARS-CoV-2, who were diagnosed with COVID-19 by real-time PCR testing and hospitalized due to COVID-19 pneumonia. 75 patients had various malignancies, and the rest (111), having a similar age and comorbidity profile based on propensity score matching, had no malignancy. Results: None of the measures as neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet to lymphocyte ratio (MLR), monocyte to lymphocyte ratio (PLR), SII, PNI or ANDC was found to be significantly different between two groups. Mortality ratio was found to be significantly higher in malignancy group (17,3%). Odds ratio for the mortality, OR:2,39 (%95 CI:1,80 -3,16) was found to be significantly higher for the malignancy group, even though the duration of hospitalization was statistically similar for both groups. PNI was found to be significantly lower for deceased patients compared with survivors in the malignancy group. Contrarily, ANDC was found to be significantly higher for deceased patients in the malignancy group. Conclusions: PNI and ANDC have independent predictive power on determining the in-hospital death in COVID-19 malignancy cases. It is suggested that ANDC seems to be a more sensitive score than SII in COVID-19 cases with malignancies.

scholarly journals National early warning score (NEWS) and the new alternative SpO2 scale during rapid response team reviews: a prospective observational study

2019 ◽  
Vol 27 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Joonas Tirkkonen ◽  
Sari Karlsson ◽  
Markus B. Skrifvars
Keyword(s):  
Observational Study ◽  
Early Warning ◽  
Prospective Observational Study ◽  
Rapid Response Team ◽  
Rapid Response ◽  
Early Warning Score ◽  
Hospital Death ◽  
Hospital Patient ◽  
Response Team ◽  
National Early Warning Score

Abstract Background The national early warning score (NEWS) enables early detection of in-hospital patient deterioration and timely activation of hospital’s rapid response team (RRT). NEWS was updated in 2017 to include a separate SpO2 scale for those patients with type II respiratory failure (T2RF). In this study we investigated whether NEWS with and without the new SpO2 scale for the T2RF patients is associated with immediate and in-hospital patient outcomes among the patients actually attended by the RRT. Methods We conducted a two-year prospective observational study including all adult RRT patients without limitations of medical treatment (LOMT) in a large Finnish university associated tertiary level hospital. According to the first vital signs measured by the RRT, we calculated NEWSs for the RRT patients and further utilized the new SpO2 scale for the patients with confirmed T2RF. We used multivariate logistic regression and area under the receiver operating characteristic analyses to test NEWS’s accuracy to predict two distinct outcomes: RRT patient’s I) immediate need for intensive care and/or new LOMT and 2) in-hospital death or discharge with cerebral performance category >2 and/or LOMT. Results The final cohort consisted of 886 RRT patients attended for the first time during their hospitalization. Most common reasons for RRT activation were respiratory (343, 39%) and circulatory (226, 26%) problems. Cohort’s median (Q1, Q3) NEWS at RRT arrival was 8 (5, 10) and remained unchanged if the new SpO2 scale was applied for the 104 patients with confirmed T2RF. Higher NEWS was independently associated with both immediate (OR 1.28; 95% CI 1.22–1.35) and in-hospital (1.15; 1.10–1.21) adverse outcomes. Further, NEWS had fair discrimination for both the immediate (AUROC 0.73; 0.69–0.77) and in-hospital (0.68; 0.64–0.72) outcomes. Utilizing the new SpO2 scale for the patients with confirmed T2RF did not improve the discrimination capability (0.73; 0.69–0.76 and 0.68; 0.64–0.71) for these outcomes, respectively. Conclusions We found that in patients attended by a RRT, the NEWS predicts patient’s hospital outcome with moderate accuracy. We did not find any improvement using the new SpO2 scale in T2RF patients.

scholarly journals Comparison of systemic immune-inflammation index (SII), early warning score (ANDC) and prognostic nutritional index (PNI) in hospitalized patients with malignancy, and their influence on mortality from COVID-19

2021 ◽  
Vol 16 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Muge Bilge ◽  
Isil Kibar Akilli ◽  
Ekrem Bilal Karaayvaz ◽  
Aylia Yesilova ◽  
Kadriye Kart Yasar
Keyword(s):  
Early Warning ◽  
Prognostic Significance ◽  
Prognostic Nutritional Index ◽  
Biological Indicators ◽  
Early Warning Score ◽  
Hospital Death ◽  
Lymphocyte Ratio ◽  
Nutritional Index ◽  
Duration Of Hospitalization ◽  
Immune Inflammation

Abstract Introduction We evaluated several biological indicators based on inflammation and/or nutritional status, such as systemic immune-inflammation index (SII), early warning score (ANDC) and prognostic nutritional index (PNI) in hospitalized COVID-19 patients with and without malignancies for a prognostic significance. Methodology This is a retrospective and observational study on 186 patients with SARS-CoV-2, who were diagnosed with COVID-19 by real-time PCR testing and hospitalized due to COVID-19 pneumonia. 75 patients had various malignancies, and the rest (111), having a similar age and comorbidity profile based on propensity score matching, had no malignancy. Results None of the measures as neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio, platelet to lymphocyte ratio, monocyte to lymphocyte ratio, SII, PNI or ANDC was found to be significantly different between two groups. Odds ratio for the mortality, OR 2.39 (%95 CI 1.80–3.16) was found to be significantly higher for the malignancy group, even though the duration of hospitalization was statistically similar for both groups. PNI was found to be significantly lower for deceased patients compared with survivors in the malignancy group. Contrarily, ANDC was found to be significantly higher for deceased patients in the malignancy group. Conclusions PNI and ANDC have independent predictive power on determining the in-hospital death in COVID-19 malignancy cases. It is suggested that ANDC seems to be a more sensitive score than SII in COVID-19 cases with malignancies.

scholarly journals National Early Warning Score (NEWS) at ICU discharge can predict early clinical deterioration after ICU transfer

2018 ◽  
Vol 43 ◽  
pp. 225-229 ◽  
Author(s):  
Supattra Uppanisakorn ◽  
Rungsun Bhurayanontachai ◽  
Jaruwan Boonyarat ◽  
Julawan Kaewpradit
Keyword(s):  
Early Warning ◽  
Clinical Deterioration ◽  
Early Warning Score ◽  
Icu Discharge ◽  
Icu Transfer ◽  
National Early Warning Score
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