Optimization Fuzzy Inference System based Particle Swarm Optimization for Onset Prediction of the Rainy Season

2020 ◽  
pp. 61-70
Author(s):  
Noviandi Noviandi ◽  
Ahmad Ilham
Keyword(s):  
Particle Swarm Optimization ◽  
Fuzzy Inference System ◽  
Rainy Season ◽  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Sea Surface ◽  
Good Work ◽  
Swarm Optimization ◽  
Inference System ◽  
Coefficient Corrélation ◽  
The Relationship

Rainfall which is occurred in an area explain the Onset Rainy Season (ORS). ORS is a characteristic of the rainy season which is important to know, but the characteristics of the rain itself is very difficult to predict. We use the method of Fuzzy Inference System (FIS) to predict ORS. Unfortunately, FIS is weak to determine parameters so that influences the working FIS method. In this study, we use PSO to optimize parameter of the FIS method to increase perform of the FIS method for onset prediction of the rainy season with the predictor Sea Surface Temperature Nino 3.4 and Index Ocean Dipole. We used coefficient correlation to determine the relationship between two variables as predictors and RMSE as evaluate to all methods. The experiment result has shown that the work of FIS-PSO after optimizing produced the good work with the coefficient correlation = 0.57 and RMSE = 2.96 that is the smallest value that is better performance if compared with other methods. It can be concluded that the method proposed can increase the onset prediction of the rainy season.

scholarly journals Investigation on performance of particle swarm optimization (PSO) algorithm based fuzzy inference system (PSOFIS) in a combination of CFD modeling for prediction of fluid flow

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Meisam Babanezhad ◽  
Iman Behroyan ◽  
Ali Taghvaie Nakhjiri ◽  
Azam Marjani ◽  
Mashallah Rezakazemi ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Artificial Intelligence ◽  
Particle Swarm Optimization ◽  
Fuzzy Inference System ◽  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Bubble Column ◽  
Pso Algorithm ◽  
Cfd Modeling ◽  
Swarm Optimization ◽  
Inference System ◽  
Mesh Density

AbstractHerein, a reactor of bubble column type with non-equilibrium thermal condition between air and water is mechanistically modeled and simulated by the CFD technique. Moreover, the combination of the adaptive network (AN) trainer with the fuzzy inference system (FIS) as the artificial intelligence method calling ANFIS has already shown potential in the optimization of CFD approach. Although the artificial intelligence method of particle swarm optimization (PSO) algorithm based fuzzy inference system (PSOFIS) has a good background for optimizing the other fields of research, there are not any investigations on the cooperation of this method with the CFD. The PSOFIS can reduce all the difficulties and simplify the investigation by elimination of the additional CFD simulations. In fact, after achieving the best intelligence, all the predictions can be done by the PSOFIS instead of the massive computational efforts needed for CFD modeling. The first aim of this study is to develop the PSOFIS for use in the CFD approach application. The second one is to make a comparison between the PSOFIS and ANFIS for the accurate prediction of the CFD results. In the present study, the CFD data are learned by the PSOFIS for prediction of the water velocity inside the bubble column. The values of input numbers, swarm sizes, and inertia weights are investigated for the best intelligence. Once the best intelligence is achieved, there is no need to mesh refinement in the CFD domain. The mesh density can be increased, and the newer predictions can be done in an easier way by the PSOFIS with much less computational efforts. For a strong verification, the results of the PSOFIS in the prediction of the liquid velocity are compared with those of the ANFIS. It was shown that for the same fuzzy set parameters, the PSOFIS predictions are closer to the CFD in comparison with the ANFIS. The regression number (R) of the PSOFIS (0.98) was a little more than that of the ANFIS (0.97). The PSOFIS showed a powerful potential in mesh density increment from 9477 to 774,468 and accurate predictions for the new nodes independent of the CFD modeling.

scholarly journals A OPTIMIZATION TUNED ADAPTIVE NEURO-FUZZY INFERENCE SYSTEM FOR DAM DEFORMATION PREDICTION

2020 ◽  
Vol XLII-3/W10 ◽  
pp. 1207-1213
Author(s):  
X. Y. Zhang ◽  
B. Wei
Keyword(s):  
Particle Swarm Optimization ◽  
Fuzzy Inference System ◽  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Particle Swarm ◽  
Local Optimum ◽  
Swarm Optimization ◽  
Deformation Prediction ◽  
Inference System ◽  
Neuro Fuzzy ◽  
Dam Deformation

Abstract. The performance and stability of Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) depend on its network structure and preset parameter selection, and Particle Swarm Optimization-ANFIS (PSO-ANFIS) easily falls into the local optimum and is imprecise. A novel ANFIS algorithm tuned by Chaotic Particle Swarm Optimization (CPSO-ANFIS) is proposed to solve these problems. A chaotic ergodic algorithm is first used to improve the PSO and obtain a CPSO algorithm, and then the CPSO is used to optimize the parameters of ANFIS to avoid falling into the local optimum and improve the performance of ANFIS. Based on the deformation data from the Xiaolangdi Dam in China, three neural network algorithms, ANFIS, PSO-ANFIS, and CPSO-ANFIS, are used to establish the dam deformation prediction models after data preparation and selection of influencing factors for the dam deformation. The results are compared using evaluation indicators that show that CPSO-ANFIS is more accurate and stable than ANFIS and PSO-ANFIS both in predictive ability and in predicted results.

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