scholarly journals Analysis of S&P 500 stocks: Long-term vs short-term investment

Author(s):  
Thinh Kieu ◽  
Phong Luu ◽  
Brian Shon ◽  
Noah Yoon
2016 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 54
Author(s):  
Dian Yudo Palupi ◽  
Farida Ratna Dewi ◽  
R. Dikky Indrawan

Economic growth and public welfare are the reason of regional autonomy regulation policy (UU No 22 year 1999). The policy allows regional economic resources managed by regional government to achieve its goal. One of the regional government strategies is investment strategy, which in this case investing in banking industry. The purposes of the study are 1) to identify the investment regulation on regional government 2) to identify the Bank BJB business and investment environment 3) to identify the comparison of investment feasibility on Bank BJB versus other banks 4) to identify the position of Stock Share A series owned by XYZ at Bank BJB. The data collection methods are using structured interview, in depth interview, field survey and literature study. The analysis tools are using institutional analysis, SWOT analysis and financial analysis. Institutional analysis showed XYZ regional government investment management is limited to regulation as follow 1) long term capital (stock share) investment limited only at BUMD (e.g. Bank BJB) 2) short term investment e.g. saving and deposit is limited only at healthy and feasible bank, and government bond which has small risk exposure. The financial analysis also showed the increasing performance of BJB Earning per Share (EPS) and Return on Equity (ROE) from 2006 until 2010. The SWOT analysis support other analysis that BJB Bank position in financial industry is suitable for long term and short term investment for XYZ regional government. Base on explanation above, the conclusions are the autonomy regulation limited XYZ regional government to invest as shareholders in A series (stock share) or B series (stock share) at BJB Bank only, and for short term investment is limited only at healthy and feasible bank, and government bond which has small risk exposure.


2020 ◽  
Vol V (III) ◽  
pp. 23-31
Author(s):  
Muhammad Awais ◽  
Waqar Haider Hashmi ◽  
Adeel Mustafa

The aim of this study is to examine the phenomenon of framing as a cause of making wrong decisions while investing in Islamic stocks. Framing refers to the bias of people that describes the way they respond to a specific option as per its offer. After collecting primary data through interviews, including open-ended questions from the Pakistani stock market under the subjective or constructivist research paradigm, NVivo it is applied to get word cloud for appropriate analysis. The study finds that there are so many complexities and impurities that blindfold brokers and investors to differentiate between Shariah-compliant versus conventional stocks. This research can be further extended by differentiating between long-term and short-term investment horizons.


2021 ◽  
pp. 002224372110263
Author(s):  
Haewon Yoon ◽  
Yang Yang ◽  
Carey K. Morewedge

We propose a formal tuition myopia model of the decision-making process by which students evaluate the financial costs and returns of college. In simulations, surveys, and experiments, we find that even when student loans defer payment of attendance costs until after graduation—the same moment when students can begin earning a salary that reflects their degree—students psychologically realize the financial costs of college much earlier. This early cost realization frames a majority of choices between any pair of colleges as an intertemporal tradeoff between a smaller short-term investment with smaller long-term returns (a low cost-low return college; LC-LR) and a larger short-term investment with larger long-term returns (a high cost-high return college; HC-HR). While a rational model based on projected future cash flows most often favors the HC-HR college, our model predicts a preference for the LC-LR college among students who are financially impatient and in choice pairs where the equilibrium between LC-LR and HC-HR options is at a low discount rate threshold. Our model of a life-altering financial decision that affects millions of students each year offers valuable insights for universities, policymakers, and non-profit organizations advocating for students to treat higher education as an investment decision.


2019 ◽  
Vol 33 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-43 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nicolas Crouzet ◽  
Ian Dew-Becker ◽  
Charles G Nathanson

Abstract We study the effects of policies proposed to address “short-termism” in financial markets. We examine a noisy rational expectations model in which investors’ exposures and information about fundamentals endogenously vary across horizons. In this environment, taxing or outlawing short-term investment doesn’t negatively affect the information in prices about long-term fundamentals. However, such a policy reduces short- and long-term investors’ profits and utility. Changing policies about the release of short-term information can help long-term investors—an objective of some policy makers—at the expense of short-term investors. Doing so also makes prices less informative and increases costs of speculation. Received June 24, 2018; editorial decision February 19, 2019 by Editor Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh. Authors have furnished an Internet Appendix, which is available on the Oxford University Press Web site next to the link to the final published paper online.


2003 ◽  
Vol 93 (4) ◽  
pp. 1047-1074 ◽  
Author(s):  
Peter Diamond ◽  
John Geanakoplos

This paper explores the general-equilibrium impact of social security portfolio diversification into private securities, either through the trust fund or private accounts. The analysis depends critically on heterogeneities in saving, production, assets, and taxes. Limited diversification weakly increases interest rates, reduces the expected return on short-term investment (and the equity premium), decreases safe investment, increases risky investment, and increases a suitably weighted social welfare function. However, the effects on aggregate investment, long-term capital values, and the utility of young savers hinges on assumptions about technology. Aggregate investment and long-term asset values can move in opposite directions.


Author(s):  
Elizabeth Lucky Maretha Sitinjak ◽  
Kristiana Haryanti ◽  
Widuri Kurniasari ◽  
Yohanes Wisnu Djati Sasmito

Every individual investor has an error in making a decision to buy or sell shares. Mistakes in making predictions can be minimized by understanding his personality and the steps taken in getting better returns. This study uses Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP), secondary data, Focus Group Discussion (FGD), and stock simulations emphasizing the decision-making process when buying and selling shares. The initial AHP model gives the results of the target shares purchased, accounting information selected Price Book Value (PBV) that is undervalued, Return on Assets (ROA) around 10-20 percent, Return in Equity (ROE) around 20-40 percent, type of ownership Indonesian SOEs selected stocks for the long term, while short-term tend to be private, and use technical analysis by looking at the upward trend that is using moving average indicators, MA5 above MA20. As a result, individual stock investors who have only become stock investors for less than 1 year have stock returns of around 2-4 percent, already become investors, 1-3 years will get a return of around 10 percent, stock returns will rise again, long-term investments will be made. around 20 percent. The risk for short-term investment will be greater than the long-term investment. The DISC personality that fits this stage is precisionist.


2013 ◽  
Vol 215 ◽  
pp. 32-46
Author(s):  
Vu Tam Bang

This paper provides a simple theoretical framework on the restriction of short-term investments such as stocks, bonds, and other indirect investments while encouraging foreign direct investment (FDI) as a long-term investment. The theoretical results show that a developing country like Vietnam should maintain certain level of capital controls on short-term investments. The paper then provides an empirical study of the five ASEAN countries that are either in the negotiating process or willing to join the Trans-Pacific Economic Partnership with an emphasis on Vietnam. The empirical results show that FDI has positive effect on GDP per capita in these five countries as a group and as individual economies. In contrast, short-term investment has negative effect on GDP per capita in four economies with Singapore as the only exception.


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