scholarly journals Pengaruh inflasi dan jumlah uang beredar terhadap nilai tukar rupiah dengan pendekatan model struktural VAR

2019 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 51-60
Author(s):  
Tuty Alawiyah ◽  
Haryadi Haryadi ◽  
Yohannes Vyn Amzar
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Central Bank ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Ordinary Least Square ◽  
Trend Data ◽  
Positive Effect ◽  
Policy Interest

The purpose of this study are, firstly to analyze exchange rate trends of rupiah, centtral bank policy rates, inflation and money supply in Indonesia from January 2019 to December 2019. Secondly, to analyzes the  effect of central bank policy rate, inflation and the money supply to the rupiah exchange rate in January 2013 – Desember 2018. The method used in this research are descriptive and quantitative analysis with trend analysis tools and multiple linier regression VAR models with the Ordinary Least Square (OLS). The  results of the study found that, the first trend data from the rupiah exchange rate variable of January 2019 period – December 2019 of IDR 15.145 US$, the central bank’s policy interest rate was 4.5 percent, inflation was 2.15 percent and the money supply was an average of Rp.5.966.9112,17 billion. Secondly, from the processed data it was found that central bank policy rates and the money supply has a positive effect on the rupiah exchange rate of January 2013 period – December 2018. While the inflation variable has a negative impact on the rupiah exchange rate of January 2013 period – December 2018. Keywords : Rupiah exchange rate, Central bank policy interest rate, Money supply

scholarly journals PENGARUH FAKTOR – FAKTOR EKONOMI TERHADAP INFLASI DI INDONESIA PASCA-KRISIS KEUANGAN

2017 ◽  
Vol 21 (2) ◽  
pp. 73-84
Author(s):  
Jechlien Melinda Reawaruw
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
The Government ◽  
Positive Effect

This study aimed to identify the influenceof Interest Rate, Money Supply, and Exchange Rate to inflationin Indonesia after Financial Crisis 2008 with quantitative approach and analyzed using OLS (Ordinary Least Square). Data Methods in this research used time series data in the period 2008:1 until 2015:2. The result of this research indicate that Interest Rate, Money Supply, and Exchange Rate simultaneously effect the inflationin Indonesia after Financial Crisis 2008. Interest Rate has a positive effect 2.755885%, Money Supply has a positive effect 1.28E-06%, and Exchange Rate have a negative effect 0.000841%. Bank Indonesia as an institution that is responsible for determining the inflatin target has a very important role and coordinate with the government in implementing fiscal policy and monetary policy appopriately.

scholarly journals Dampak Indikator Makro Ekonomi terhadap Dana Pihak Ketiga Perbankan Syariah

2017 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 103
Author(s):  
Saekhu Saekhu
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Linear Regression Analysis ◽  
Composite Index ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Islamic Banking ◽  
Ordinary Least Square ◽  
Macroeconomic Indicators

<p>This study was undertaken to analyze the effects of macroeconomic indicators (SBI interest rate, exchange rate, inflation, Indonesia Composite Index and GDP) to deposits liabilities of Islamic Banking in Indonesia. Analysis unit of this study is the Islamic Banking in Indonesia during the period 1998-2008. For the empirical analysis in this study it is used the data on aggregate time series of the monthly period from January 2003 to December 2010. Source data taken from publication of Bank Indonesia, in the form of Annual Report Bank Indonesia,  Indonesia Bank Monetary Statement Of Policy, Statistics Economic and Financial Indonesia, Islamic Banking Statistics (Statistik Perbankan Syariah/SPS) and publication report from Badan Pusat Statistik (BPS). This study uses Linear Regression analysis with Ordinary Least Square (OLS) method. The result show that macroeconomic indicators have impact on Funding (deposit liabilities) of Bank Syariah Mandiri, the SBI interest rate have negative impact, while exchange rate, inflation, Indonesia Composite Index and GDP have positive impact. Based on the same method, it shows that GDP has positive on Funding of Islamic Banking in Indonesia.</p><p class="IABSSS">Penelitian ini dilakukan untuk menganalisis dampak indikator makro ekonomi (suku bunga SBI, nilai tukar, inflasi, Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan Indonesia dan PDB) terhadap deposito (Dana Pihak Ketiga) Perbankan Syariah di Indonesia. Unit analisis penelitian ini adalah Perbankan Syariah di Indonesia selama periode 1998-2008. Analisis empiris dalam penelitian ini menggunakan data kumpulan waktu agregat periode bulanan dari Januari 2003 sampai Desember 2010. Sumber data diambil dari publikasi Bank Indonesia, berupa Laporan Tahunan Bank Indonesia, Laporan Kebijakan Moneter, Statistik Ekonomi dan Keuangan Indonesia/SEKI), Statistik Perbankan Syariah (SPS) dan laporan publikasi Badan Pusat Statistik (BPS). Penelitian ini menggunakan analisis Regresi Linier dengan metode <em>Ordinary Least Square</em> (OLS). Hasil menunjukkan bahwa indikator makro ekonomi berdampak pada pendanaan (deposito) Bank Syariah Mandiri, suku bunga SBI memiliki dampak negatif, sedangkan nilai tukar, inflasi, Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan Indonesia dan PDB berdampak positif. Berdasarkan metode yang sama, PDB positif terhadap Pendanaan Perbankan Syariah di Indonesia.</p>

scholarly journals The Factors Affecting Islamic Financing for Homeownership

2021 ◽  
pp. 48-54
Author(s):  
Neva Sunba Dena ◽  
◽  
Suhel Suhel ◽  
Imam Asngari ◽  
◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Household Income ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Islamic Banks ◽  
Significant Positive Effect ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Ordinary Least Square ◽  
Study Results ◽  
Positive Effect

Indonesia has a significant and growing shortfall of housing. Existing supply is in poor condition and demand is rising for new units. Meanwhile, people's purchasing power to buy a house is still relatively low. Government overcomes added stock housing availability by collaborating with private developers to help meet the demand for housing needs. Islamic banks can provide funds to buy houses for the community. This study analyzes the effect of third-party fund (TPF), margin of homeownership financing (PPR), inflation, and household income on Islamic financing for homeownership. The analytical model used in this research is the ordinary least square with the Error Correction Model (ECM) method. The Ordinary Least Square (OLS) method in this study is used to see the relationship between the short-term and long-term effects of the independent variables on the dependent variable. The analytical tool used in this research is Econometric Views (EViews 10 Standard Edition for Windows). The study results show that in the short term, the TPF, PPR margin, inflation, and household income variables have a significant positive effect on homeownership financing in Islamic banks in Indonesia. The long term TPF, inflation, and household income variables have a significant positive effect on homeownership financing in Islamic banks in Indonesia, but the variable of PPR margin has a significant negative impact on sharia financing for homeownership.

scholarly journals Pengaruh Makro Ekonomi Terhadap Profitabiltas Bank Umum Syariah di Indonesia Tahun 2014-2018

2019 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 72
Author(s):  
Wahyudin Priyono ◽  
Imanda Firmantyas Putri Pertiwi
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Financial Services ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Islamic Banks ◽  
Significant Positive Effect ◽  
Ordinary Least Square ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
Positive Effect ◽  
Variable Exchange

This study aims to analyze and identify the effects of inflation and rupiah exchange rates on profitability in Islamic banks in Indonesia with mudharabah deposit as the mediator. Using secondary data that are published by the central bank of Indonesia and financial services authority, the method used in this research is Ordinary Least Square. The result indicates the inflation variable, exchange rate, and mudharabah deposits simultaneously give a significant influence toward profitability (ROA) of the Sharia Commercial Bank in Indonesia. While partially, inflation and exchange rate have no significant effect on profitability (ROA). While mudharabah deposits have a significant positive effect on profitability (ROA). Inflation has a significant negative effect on mudharabah deposits and the exchange rate has a significant positive effect on mudharabah deposits. The path analysis result shows that the mudharabah deposit variable is unable to mediate the effect of inflation and te exchange rate to profitability (ROA)

scholarly journals Selected Macroeconomic Variables and Agricultural Sector in Nigeria

2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (06) ◽  
Author(s):  
James Ese Ighoroje ◽  
Catherine, Ogheneovo Orife
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Agricultural Sector ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Domestic Product ◽  
Agricultural Output ◽  
Macroeconomic Variables ◽  
Ex Post

The study investigated effect of selected macroeconomic variables on agricultural sector output in Nigeria from 1987 - 2019. Annual Agricultural Output (AAO) represented the dependent variable for the study while gross domestic product, interest rate, money supply, and exchange rate represented the explanatory variables. Ex-post factor research design was employed for the study. Augmented Dickey Fuller Unit Roots test and Ordinary Least Square (OLS) Regression techniques were used to analyze data collected. The empirical investigation showed that gross domestic product as well as money supply has a positive and significant effect on agricultural output, while interest rate and exchange rate exerted a negative and insignificant effect on agricultural output. From the study, selected macroeconomic variables have positive effect on agricultural output in Nigeria and this has tremendously contributed to the country's growth and development. The study recommends amongst other; that government should accelerate the rate of economic growth by investing heavily on the agricultural sector so as to boost domestic production and enhance exportation in order to stabilize exchange rate while curbing inflation; give incentives to banks extending agricultural loans by lowering the lending rate on agricultural loans to ease access to funds for agricultural investment.

scholarly journals Impact of inflation on economic growth: evidence from Nigeria

2020 ◽  
Vol 17 (2) ◽  
pp. 1-13 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anthony Olugbenga Adaramola ◽  
Oluwabunmi Dada
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Domestic Product ◽  
Government Consumption ◽  
Consumption Expenditures ◽  
Distributed Lag

In an attempt to examine the influence of inflation on the growth prospects of the Nigerian economy, the study employs the autoregressive distributed lag on the selected variables, i.e. real gross domestic product (GDP), inflation rate, interest rate, exchange rate, degree of economy`s openness, money supply, and government consumption expenditures for the period 1980–2018. The study findings indicate that inflation and real exchange rate exert a significant negative impact on economic growth, while interest rate and money supply indicate a positive and significant impact on economic growth. Other variables in the model depict no influence on the economic growth of Nigeria. The causality result shows the unidirectional relationships between interest rate, exchange rate, government consumption expenditures and gross domestic product. However, inflation and the degree of openness show no causal relationship with gross domestic product. As a result, the study recommends that a more pragmatic effort is needed by the monetary authorities to target the inflation vigorously to prevent its adverse effect by ensuring a tolerable rate that would stimulate the economic growth of Nigeria.

scholarly journals Economic Analysis Of The Determinants Of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) In Nigeria

2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 74-81 ◽  
Author(s):  
Emmanuel Oluwagbenga Adebayo ◽  
Suleiman Purokayo Gambiyo
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Negative Relationship ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Economic Policies ◽  
Macroeconomic Policies ◽  
Ordinary Least Square

The study examined the factors that determine Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) in Nigeria.  It assessed the extent to which exchange rate, interest rate, degree of trade openness affects foreign direct investment inflow to Nigeria.  The study used data from Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) Bulletin and World Bank (1981 - 2017).  The results were interpreted based on the Ordinary Least Square (OLS) method, apart from series of test statistics and some diagnostics on data was performed. The estimated linear regression model reveals that the degree of openness positively and significantly affect FDI. Exchange rate has a positive but non-significant relationship with FDI and interest rate has a negative relationship with FDI, but it is not statistically significant. The study therefore recommends that economic policies that allow free trade should be formulated since macroeconomic policies are important in stabilization, enhance standard growth and improvements in the standard of living as a result of improved and higher productivity.

scholarly journals Alleviating Poverty in Nigeria: Keynesian Vs Monetary Theory of Poverty

2020 ◽  
Vol 30 (1) ◽  
pp. 103-120
Author(s):  
Olukayode Emmanuel Maku ◽  
Afeez Taiwo Tella ◽  
Akinola Christopher Fagbohun
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Capital Expenditure ◽  
Vital Role ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Monetary Policies ◽  
Ordinary Least Square ◽  
Beta Coefficient ◽  
Policy Measures

AbstractThis study comparatively investigates the impacts of fiscal and monetary policies on poverty in Nigeria from 1986 to 2018. Using the Ordinary Least Square and Standardized or Beta Coefficient approach, we found that the Nigerian political system plays a vital role on a large number of its citizens living in extreme poverty. Other factors identified as the likely causes of poverty are insurgencies, terrorism, and low productivity among others. Also, monetary policy is more important in alleviating poverty than the fiscal policy which favored the monetary school arguments. Specifically, monetary measures like exchange rate and interest rate are more significant in alleviating poverty far more than inflation rate while fiscal measures proxy with government recurrent expenditure plays a more vital role in alleviating poverty in Nigeria than others like government capital expenditure and government recurrent expenditure. The study recommended that in the case of monetary measures, there is a need for Government through the Central Bank of Nigeria, to shift their attention towards key monetary policy measures like interest rate and exchange rate compare to other monetary measures.

scholarly journals EFFECT OF MONETARY POLICY ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN NIGERIA: AN EMPIRICAL INVESTIGATION

10.26458/1815 ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 18 (1) ◽  
pp. 123-140 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lawrence Olisaemeka UFOEZE ◽  
J. C ODIMGBE ◽  
V. N. EZEABALISI ◽  
Udoka Bernard ALAJEKWU
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Effect Of Monetary Policy ◽  
Positive Effect

The study investigated effect of monetary policy on economic growth in Nigeria. The natural log of the GDP was used as the dependent variables against the explanatory monetary policy variables: monetary policy rate, money supply, exchange rate, lending rate and investment. The time series data is the market controlled period covering 1986 to 2016. The study adopted an Ordinary Least Squared technique and also conducted the unit root and co-integration tests. The study showed that long run relationship exists among the variables. Also, the core finding of this study showed that monetary policy rate, interest rate, and investment have insignificant positive effect on economic growth in Nigeria. Money supply however has significant positive effect on growth in Nigeria. Exchange rate has significant negative effect on GDP in Nigeria. Money supply and investment granger cause economic growth, while economic growth causes interest rate in Nigeria. On the overall, monetary policy explain 98% of the changes in economic growth in Nigeria. Thus, the study concluded that monetary policy can be effectively used to control Nigerian economy and thus a veritable tool for price stability and improve output.

scholarly journals ANALISIS PENGARUH JUMLAH UANG BEREDAR (M1), SUKU BUNGA SBI, NILAI TUKAR SUKU BUNGA DEPOSITO TERHADAP TINGKAT INFLASI

Media Ekonomi ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 19 (3) ◽  
pp. 43
Author(s):  
Fadli Ferdiansyah
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Linear Regression ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Significant Positive Effect ◽  
Significant Negative Effect ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
Positive Effect

<p>Inflation is one of the effects of a prolonged economic crisis that hit the country. Inflation is a situation where there is an increase in general prices which continuesover the  long term. The purpose of this study was to determine the effect of the money supply, interrst rate, deposit interest rate and exchange rate (Rp/USD) of the inflation in 2006 – 2011.6 The result of this study suges that the suppy of money have no significant positive effect on inflation. SBI rate have positive and significant effect on inflation. Deposit have rate and no significant negative effect on inflation. Exchange Rate have no significant negative effect on inflation.</p><p>Keywords : Money Supply, Interest Rates, Deposit Interest Rates, Exchange Rate    (IDR /USD), Multiple  Linear Regression, Inflation</p>

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document