scholarly journals The relationship between trading volume and stock returns in the JSE securities exchange in South Africa

2012 ◽  
Vol 9 (4-2) ◽  
pp. 199-207
Author(s):  
Raphael Tabani Mpofu
Keyword(s):  
South Africa ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Significant Relationship ◽  
Trading Volume ◽  
Investment Decisions ◽  
Price Changes ◽  
Absolute Value ◽  
The Absolute ◽  
Trading Volumes ◽  
The Relationship

This study examines the relationship between trading volume and stock returns in the JSE Securities Exchange in South Africa. The study looked at the price and trading returns of the FTSE/JSE index from July 22, 1988 till June 11, 2012. The study revealed that stock returns are positively related to the contemporary change in trading volume. Further, it was found that past returns were not affected significantly by changes in trading volumes. The results present a significant relationship between trading volume and the absolute value of price changes. Autoregressive tests were used to explore whether return causes volume or volume causes return. The results suggest that volume is influenced by a lagged returns effect for the FTSE/JSE index. Therefore, return seems to contribute some information to investors when they make investment decisions.

scholarly journals The Effect of Volatility Expectations on Large Stock Price Changes

2018 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 94
Author(s):  
Andrey Kudryavtsev
Keyword(s):  
Stock Returns ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Trading Volume ◽  
Opposite Sign ◽  
Company Size ◽  
Price Changes ◽  
Price Reversal ◽  
Future Outcomes

<p><em>My study explores the effect of future volatility expectations, embedded in VIX index, on large daily stock price changes and on subsequent stock returns. Following both psychological and financial literature claiming that good (bad) mood may cause people to perceive positive (negative) future outcomes as more probable and that the changes in the value of VIX may be negatively correlated with contemporaneous investors’ mood, I hypothesize that if a major positive (negative) stock price move takes place on a day when the value of VIX falls (rises), then its magnitude may be amplified by positive (negative) investors’ mood, creating price overreaction to the initial company-specific shock, which may result in subsequent price reversal. In line with my hypothesis, I document that both positive and negative large price moves accompanied by the opposite-sign contemporaneous changes in VIX are followed by significant reversals on the next two trading days and over five- and twenty-day intervals following the event, the magnitude of the reversals increasing over longer post-event windows, while large stock price changes taking place on the days when the value of VIX moves in the same direction are followed by non-significant price drifts. The results remain robust after accounting for additional company (size, beta, historical volatility) and event-specific (stock’s return and trading volume on the event day) factors, and are stronger for small and volatile stocks.</em></p>

scholarly journals Are stock returns an inflation hedge for the UK? Evidence from a wavelet analysis using over three centuries of data

2018 ◽  
Vol 23 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Aviral Kumar Tiwari ◽  
Juncal Cunado ◽  
Rangan Gupta ◽  
Mark E. Wohar
Keyword(s):  
South Africa ◽  
Wavelet Analysis ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Time Period ◽  
Inflation Rates ◽  
The Us ◽  
Long Time ◽  
Time Periods ◽  
The Uk ◽  
The Relationship

Abstract This paper analyzes the relationship between stock returns and the inflation rates for the UK over a long time period (February 1790–February 2017) and at different frequencies, by employing a wavelet analysis. We also compare the results for the UK economy with those for the US and two developing countries (India and South Africa). Overall, our results tend to suggest that, while the relationship between stock returns and inflation rates varies across frequencies and time periods, there is no evidence of stock returns acting as an inflation hedge, irrespective of whether we look at the two developed or the two developing markets in our sample.

A new look at the meeting clustering effect

2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Ángel Pardo ◽  
Eddie Santandreu
Keyword(s):  
Stock Returns ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Relevant Information ◽  
Investor Attention ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Potential Link ◽  
Clustering Effect ◽  
Trading Volumes ◽  
The Relationship

PurposeThe study aims to test the existence of a meeting clustering effect in the Spanish Stock Exchange (SSE).Design/methodology/approachThis paper studies the relationship between the clustering of annual general meetings and stock returns in the SSE. A multivariate analysis is carried out in order to analyse the relationship between monthly returns and the clustering of general meetings in the SSE.FindingsThe authors show that meeting clustering exists and that some months exhibit significant and positive additional returns related to the holding of ordinary or extraordinary general meetings.Research limitations/implicationsThe authors have explored some possible explanations for the meeting clustering effect, such as a potential link with the “Halloween” effect or the presence of higher-than-normal levels of volatility, trading volumes or investor attention. However, none of these can explain the meeting clustering effect that emerges as a new anomaly in the SSE.Practical implicationsThe authors have documented significant and positive abnormal returns in some months that coincide with the holding of general meetings. Therefore, the holding of ordinary and/or extraordinary meetings in some months involves the release of relevant information for investors.Originality/valueThis study complements the financial literature because it is focused on the clustering of meetings and its effect on a stock market whose legal order is based on civil law. This fact allows us to shed new light on meeting clustering and its effect on other types of markets.

scholarly journals The Price-Trading Volume Relationship in the Brazilian Stock Market, the Impact of Stock Lending and a Role for Technical Analysis

2015 ◽  
Vol 13 (4) ◽  
pp. 631
Author(s):  
Antonio Zoratto Sanvicente ◽  
Antonio Zoratto Sanvicente ◽  
Antonio Zoratto Sanvicente
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Trading Volume ◽  
Price Change ◽  
Absolute Value ◽  
Daily Data ◽  
Volume Relationship ◽  
Current Price ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Positive Covariance

We examine the relationship between price and volume in the Brazilian stock market. It tests the “V-shaped relationship” developed by Karpoff (1987), identified in several empirical papers for the U.S. market. This is expressed by positive covariance between a stock’s market turnover and the absolute value of that stock’s price change in the same period. This would contradict the implication from weak market efficiency that current price would impound all information. We analyze daily data for 47 stocks covering the period from January 04, 2010 to June 28, 2013. The results indicate that the V-shaped relationship is significant.

scholarly journals Stock Returns and Trading Volume Relationship of the Nigerian Banking Sector: An Empirical Assessment

2011 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 5-13
Author(s):  
Ugwu Ugwu ◽  
Sule . ◽  
Kehinde Oluwatoyin . ◽  
Emerole . ◽  
Gideon Ahamuefula .
Keyword(s):  
Stock Returns ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Trading Volume ◽  
Stock Return ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Price Changes ◽  
Developed Markets ◽  
Daily Data ◽  
Volume Relationship ◽  
Nigerian Banking

This study assessed the relationship between stock returns and trading volume, using daily data of some Nigerian Banking Sector Stocks. It further checked for both the contemporaneous and causal relationship between stock return and trading volume utilizing data covering ten (10) companies from the Banking Sector. Six hundred and nineteen to seven hundred and six (619-706) observations for a period of thirty – six months (36) from 1st March, 2004 to 28th February, 2007, were empirically tested with the Granger-Causality tests. This determined if the Wall Street adage which says, “It takes volume to make prices” was true in the Nigerian Banking Sector. Using the daily data, we first found a negative relation between and absolute value of price changes (return) and price changes itself in the Nigerian Banking Stocks. However, the results from the Granger-Causality test failed to find strong evidence on stock price changes leading volume. This was contrary to evidence reported by study on developed markets but consistent with previous result from the Latin American Market which is an emerging market like that of Nigeria. In fact, in all the ten banks studied, volume seems to lead stock price changes. Thus, we concluded that these set of emerging markets with different institutions and information flows than the developed markets, do not present similar stock/return-volume relationship to the preponderance of studies employed U.S data. The implication of these results was that differences in institutions and information flows in the set of emerging markets are important enough to affect the valuation process of equity securities and warrant further analysis.

scholarly journals Effect Of Cultural Dimensions On Stock Exchange Investment Decisions In Iran

2012 ◽  
Vol 10 (12) ◽  
pp. 681
Author(s):  
Zahra Amirhosseini ◽  
Vivian O. Okere
Keyword(s):  
Significant Relationship ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Power Distance ◽  
Investment Decisions ◽  
Cultural Dimensions ◽  
Main Hypothesis ◽  
Geert Hofstede ◽  
Personal Investment ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The Relationship

The purpose of this study is to analyze the impact of cultural dimensions on personal investment decisions in the Tehran Stock Exchange. The cultural dimensions model was well established by Geert Hofstede (1980). This research tested a main hypothesis and four subsidiary hypotheses. The data was gathered through library methods and questionnaires. The results showed that the main hypothesis which examined whether there is a significant relationship between cultural dimensions and investment decisions in the Tehran stock exchange was confirmed. Subsidiary hypothesis about the relationship between two of Hofstedes cultural dimensions, Power Distance and Individualism, and investment decisions was not confirmed at a meaningful level. However other subsidiary hypothesis of the research based on the relationship between Masculinity and Uncertainty Avoidance and investment decisions was significant at a meaningful level and confirmed.

Heterogeneous beliefs and idiosyncratic volatility puzzle: evidence from China

2020 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Mao He ◽  
Juncheng Huang ◽  
Hongquan Zhu
Keyword(s):  
Stock Returns ◽  
Trading Volume ◽  
Factor Model ◽  
Heterogeneous Beliefs ◽  
Idiosyncratic Volatility ◽  
Chinese Stock Market ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Volatility Puzzle ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Idiosyncratic Volatility Puzzle

PurposeThe purpose of our study is to explore the “idiosyncratic volatility puzzle” in Chinese stock market from the perspective of investors' heterogeneous beliefs. To delve into the relationship between idiosyncratic volatility and investors' heterogeneous beliefs, and uncover the ability of heterogeneous beliefs, as well as to explain the “idiosyncratic volatility puzzle”, we construct our study as follows.Design/methodology/approachOur study adopts the unexpected trading volume as proxies of heterogeneity, the residual of Fama–French three-factor model as proxies of idiosyncratic volatility. Portfolio strategies and Fama–MacBeth regression are used to investigate the relationship between the two proxies and stock returns in Chinese A-share market.FindingsInvestors' heterogeneous beliefs, as an intermediary variable, are positively correlated with idiosyncratic volatility. Meanwhile, it could better demonstrate the negative correlation between the idiosyncratic volatility and future stock returns. It is one of the economic mechanisms linking idiosyncratic volatility to subsequent stock returns, which can account for 11.28% of the puzzle.Originality/valueThe findings indicate that idiosyncratic volatility is significantly and positively correlated with heterogeneous beliefs and that heterogeneous beliefs are effective intervening variables to explain the “idiosyncratic volatility puzzle”.

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