scholarly journals Application of Soft Compiting Techniques in River Flow Modeling in The Case of Euphrates-Tigres Basin

Author(s):  
Hüseyin DALKILIC ◽  
Pijush SAMUI ◽  
SEFA YEŞİLYURT

River stream estimation is a subject matter that needs constant research and development since it is all-important in the management of water resources, meeting the water demand, irrigation and agricultural activities, and providing distant signal in unwanted situations such as floods. Unfortunately, a universal technique has not been found yet although many techniques have been used for estimation and modelling. This has made it necessary to develop different techniques and/ or to make comparisons between techniques and to determine the most accurate method for the parameters used. In this study, using the 1981-2010 flow data of 14 stations located across Euphrates-Tigris basin, evaluations have been made through Adaptive-Network Based Fuzzy Inference Systems (ANFIS), Support Vector Regression (SVR-SVMR) techniques, and the newly used Gauss Process Regression (GPR), Extreme Learning Machine (ELM) and Emotional Neural Network (ENN) artificial intelligence techniques, and through rank analysis, it is aimed to find out which technique gives better results and to overcome some problems in traditional methods. Although all models work well, the sequence with regards to the comparison outcomes of the techniques obtained from rank analysis was observed to be ELM, GPR, ENN, SVM, ANFIS respectively. In addition, stream values were used in the whole study, these values were examined within 3 different combinations and it was observed that the best result was found in the combination of [input]Q(t-3),Q(t-2),Q(t-1)/[output]Q(t). Keywords: River Flow Modelling; ANFIS; SVM; GPR; ELM; ENN

2009 ◽  
Vol 11 (3-4) ◽  
pp. 202-210 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alexandra P. Jacquin ◽  
Asaad Y. Shamseldin

This paper provides a general overview about the use of fuzzy inference systems in the important field of river flow forecasting. It discusses the overall operation of the main two types of fuzzy inference systems, namely Mamdani and Takagi–Sugeno–Kang fuzzy inference systems, and the critical issues related to their application. A literature review of existing studies dealing with the use of fuzzy inference systems in river flow forecasting models is presented, followed by some recommendations for future research areas. This review shows that fuzzy inference systems can be used as effective tools for river flow forecasting, even though their application is rather limited in comparison to the popularity of neural networks models. In addition to this, it was found that there are several unresolved issues requiring further attention before more clear guidelines for the application of fuzzy inference systems can be given.


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