Statistical Testing of Business-Cycle Theories: II; Business Cycles in the United States of America, 1919-32.

1941 ◽  
Vol 51 (202/203) ◽  
pp. 293 ◽  
Author(s):  
E. Rothbarth ◽  
J. Tinbergen
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Business Cycles ◽  
Business Cycle ◽  
United States Of America ◽  
The United States ◽  
Statistical Testing

scholarly journals A Comparison of Business Cycles Synchronization in the Euro Area and Some Potential Monetary Unions

2015 ◽  
Vol 63 (4) ◽  
pp. 1277-1285 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stanislav Kappel
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Business Cycles ◽  
Business Cycle ◽  
Euro Area ◽  
United States Of America ◽  
The United States ◽  
Monetary Unions ◽  
Demand And Supply ◽  
Supply Shocks ◽  
High Degree

Synchronization of business cycle is one of the main criteria for creation of a monetary union. With increasing synchronization of business cycle, a probability of occurrence of demand and supply shocks, which are asymmetric, decreases. The aim of this contribution is to evaluate synchronicity of business cycle in the euro area and some potential monetary unions. There are MERCOSUR (i.e. Argentina, Brazil, Paraguay, Uruguay and Venezuela), NAFTA (Canada, Mexico and the United States of America). For this aim, correlation analysis and two indexes of cyclical components of GDP are used. The cyclical components of GDP are obtained due to the Hodrick-Prescott filter. The results indicate a high degree of business cycles synchronization among states of the euro area (especially in countries of so called core of the euro area) and states of NAFTA. In opposite, a lower degree of business cycles synchronization was reached among states of MERCOSUR. According to the criterion of business cycle synchronization, NAFTA is more appropriate candidate than MERCOSUR for creation monetary area.

scholarly journals How the Distribution of After-Tax Income Changed Over the 1990s Business Cycle: A Comparison of the United States, Great Britain, Germany and Japan

2008 ◽  
pp. 87
Author(s):  
Richard V. Burkhauser ◽  
Takashi Oshio ◽  
Ludmila Rovba
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Great Britain ◽  
Business Cycles ◽  
Business Cycle ◽  
Density Estimation ◽  
Kernel Density ◽  
The United States ◽  
The Right ◽  
Older Populations ◽  
Entire Distribution

Using kernel density estimation we find that over the 1990s business cycles in the United States and Great Britain the entire distribution of after-tax (disposable) income moved to the right while inequality declined. In contrast, Germany and Japan experienced less growth, a rise in inequality, and a decline in the middle mass of their distributions, that spread mostly to the right, much like in the United States over its 1980s business cycle. Inequality fell within the older populations of all four countries; inequality also fell within the younger populations of the United States and Great Britain, but it rose substantially in Germany and Japan.

The Overall Effect of the Business Cycle on Crime

2012 ◽  
Vol 13 (4) ◽  
pp. 436-446 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shawn Bushway ◽  
Matthew Phillips ◽  
Philip J. Cook
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Business Cycles ◽  
Business Cycle ◽  
The United States ◽  
Economic Conditions ◽  
Motor Vehicles ◽  
Relative Importance ◽  
Statistical Association ◽  
The Business Cycle ◽  
Using Data

Abstract This paper analyses the 13 business cycles since 1933 to provide evidence on the old question of whether recessions cause crime. Using data from the United States, we find that recessions are consistently associated with an uptick in burglary and robbery, and a reduction in theft of motor vehicles. There is no statistical association with homicide. These patterns are suggestive of the relative importance of the various channels by which economic conditions influence crime.

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