scholarly journals Prediction Of Amount Of Use Of Planning Family Contraception Equipment Using Monte Carlo Method (Case Study In Linggo Sari Baganti District)

2019 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Rani Yunima Astia ◽  
Julius Santony ◽  
Sumijan Sumijan
Keyword(s):  
Monte Carlo ◽  
Family Planning ◽  
Numerical Analysis ◽  
Monte Carlo Method ◽  
Married Couple ◽  
Random Numbers ◽  
Analysis Method ◽  
Numerical Analysis Method ◽  
The Monte Carlo Method

Family planning aims to minimize birth rates in Indonesia. To conduct socialization, it is carried out to existing fertile couples. Pus is a married couple whose wife is in the range of 15-49 years. Contraception itself consists of 2 periods, namely short and long. Where the pus can choose according to what they want, therefore there is often a lack of stock. Thus it is necessary to predict how many contraceptives are used with a method to be more efficient. The Monte Carlo method is used which is a numerical analysis method that involves a sample of random numbers. Where to use the previous year's data to get the predicted results of the next year in the form of numbers. After passing the simulation series the percentage results have been obtained with an average of over 80%.

scholarly journals A numerical analysis method for evaluating rod lenses using the Monte Carlo method

2010 ◽  
Vol 18 (26) ◽  
pp. 27016 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shuhei Yoshida ◽  
Shuma Horiuchi ◽  
Zenta Ushiyama ◽  
Manabu Yamamoto
Keyword(s):  
Monte Carlo ◽  
Numerical Analysis ◽  
Monte Carlo Method ◽  
Analysis Method ◽  
Numerical Analysis Method ◽  
The Monte Carlo Method

scholarly journals Prediksi Tingkat Penerimaan Lulusan Siswa Kejuruan dalam Dunia Usaha dan Industri Menggunakan Metode Monte Carlo

2020 ◽  
pp. 84-89
Author(s):  
Hasanatul Iftitah ◽  
Y Yuhandri
Keyword(s):  
Monte Carlo ◽  
Monte Carlo Method ◽  
Probability Distribution ◽  
Prediction Accuracy ◽  
Vocational School ◽  
Vocational Schools ◽  
Random Numbers ◽  
Vocational High School ◽  
The Monte Carlo Method ◽  
Academic Year

Vocational High School (SMK) Negeri 4 Kota Jambi is one of the favorite vocational schools in Jambi City which is also the only pure tourism vocational school in Jambi Province. SMK Negeri 4 Kota Jambi has several vocational majors, namely culinary, beauty, fashion and hospitality. In general, students who choose to attend vocational schools have the hope of being able to work immediately after graduating from school, they do not need to continue to study to be able to work. In this study, researchers will predict the level of acceptance of students from SMK Negeri 4 Kota Jambi in the business and industrial world using the Monte Carlo method. Monte Carlo is a method that can find values ​​that are close to the actual value of events that will occur based on the distribution of sampling data. The technique of this method is to select random numbers from the probability distribution to perform the simulation. The data used in this study is the data of students from SMK Negeri 4 Kota Jambi who worked from the 2015/2016 Academic Year to the 2018/2019 Academic Year. Furthermore, the data will be processed using the Monte Carlo method. The simulation will be implemented using PHP programming. The result of this research is the level of prediction accuracy of students of SMK Negeri 4 Kota Jambi who are accepted in the business and industrial world using the Monte Carlo method is 84%.

Reliability Analysis on Yuwangbian Slop Based on Monte-Carlo Simulation

2011 ◽  
Vol 250-253 ◽  
pp. 3934-3940
Author(s):  
Yi Fang Feng ◽  
Hua Zhi Zhang ◽  
Yu Wang ◽  
Qing Jun Zuo
Keyword(s):  
Monte Carlo ◽  
Monte Carlo Method ◽  
Reliability Analysis ◽  
Working Condition ◽  
Actual Condition ◽  
Stability Factor ◽  
Analysis Method ◽  
Loess Slope ◽  
The Monte Carlo Method ◽  
The Stability

Based on the Yuwangbian high loess slope, which is located in Xi'an Yanta District, the basic principle of Monte-Carlo method is presented. By means of geotechnical engineering and geotechnical environment emulation software Geostudio-slope/w and based on Morgenstern-Price slope stability analysis method, the reliability and stability of the slope are analyzed under different kinds of working condition. The stability factor, reliability index and failure probability under the corresponding working conditions has been obtained. The results coincide with the actual condition, which makes the Geostudio software combine with the Monte-Carlo method and provides reference for the reliability analysis of loess slope.

MONTE CARLO SIMULATIONS FOR THE RISK MANAGEMENT OF ENVIRONMENTAL POLLUTION

2010 ◽  
Vol 12 (01) ◽  
pp. 87-101
Author(s):  
OSAMA A. B. HASSAN
Keyword(s):  
Risk Management ◽  
Monte Carlo ◽  
Monte Carlo Method ◽  
Monte Carlo Simulations ◽  
Environmental Pollution ◽  
Human Health ◽  
Stochastic Models ◽  
Chemical Pollution ◽  
The Monte Carlo Method

This article attempts to adapt the Monte Carlo method to the quantitative risk management of environmental pollution. In this context, the feasibility of stochastic models to quantitatively evaluate the risk of chemical pollution is first discussed and then linked to a case study in which Monte Carlo simulations are applied. The objective of the case study is to develop a Monte Carlo scheme for evaluating the pollution in a lake environment. It is shown that the results can be of interest as they define the risk margins that are important to the sustainability of the ecosystem in general, and human health in particular. Moreover, assessing the environmental pollution with the help of the Monte Carlo method can be feasible and serve the purpose of investigating and controlling the environmental pollution, in the long and short terms.

scholarly journals Monte Carlo Methods and the Koksma-Hlawka Inequality

Mathematics ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 7 (8) ◽  
pp. 725
Author(s):  
Sergey Ermakov ◽  
Svetlana Leora
Keyword(s):  
Monte Carlo ◽  
Monte Carlo Method ◽  
Random Processes ◽  
Random Numbers ◽  
Average Order ◽  
New Approach ◽  
Average Value ◽  
Acceptable Accuracy ◽  
Cubature Formulas ◽  
The Monte Carlo Method

The solution of a wide class of applied problems can be represented as an integral over the trajectories of a random process. The process is usually modeled with the Monte Carlo method and the integral is estimated as the average value of a certain function on the trajectories of this process. Solving this problem with acceptable accuracy usually requires modeling a very large number of trajectories; therefore development of methods to improve the accuracy of such algorithms is extremely important. The paper discusses Monte Carlo method modifications that use some classical results of the theory of cubature formulas (quasi-random methods). A new approach to the derivation of the well known Koksma-Hlawka inequality is pointed out. It is shown that for high ( s > 5 ) dimensions of the integral, the asymptotic decrease of the error comparable to the asymptotic behavior of the Monte Carlo method, can be achieved only for a very large number of nodes N. It is shown that a special criterion can serve as a correct characteristic of the error decrease (average order of the error decrease). Using this criterion, it is possible to analyze the error for reasonable values of N and to compare various quasi-random sequences. Several numerical examples are given. Obtained results make it possible to formulate recommendations on the correct use of the quasi-random numbers when calculating integrals over the trajectories of random processes.

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