Using a GMDH-type neural network and ARIMA model to forecasting GDP in Algeria during the period of 1990-2019

Forecasting is a method to predict the future using data and the last information as a tool assists in planning to be effective. GMDH-Type (Group Method of Data Handling) artificial neural network (ANN) and Box-Jenkins method are among the know methods for time series forecasting of mathematical modeling. in the present study GMDH-type neural network and ARIMA method has been used to forecasted GDP in Algeria during the period 1990 to2019 (Time series of quarterly observations on Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is used). Root mean square error (RMSE) was used as performance indices to test the accuracy of the forecast. The empirical results for both models showed that the GMDH model is a powerful tool in forecasting GDP and it provides a promising technique in time series forecasting methods.

The rising security cooperation of turkey in Africa: an assessment from the military perspective

In a context where many eyes focus on the security and strategic cooperation between Turkey and the official Government of Libya, Ankara's military presence in this country, as much impressive as it may seem, does not reflect their broader partnership that is gradually being established in Africa at large. It is therefore surprising to see that so far no serious mainstream analysis has captured this dimension. This research paper thus answer the question how does Turkey use the security and military approaches to give more volume to its foreign policy towards Africa? At the core of these exchanges lays a network of security and military agreements concluded with more than twenty African countries. This partnership then extends through various training programs and defense industries’ cooperation. The Turkish military facility base in Somalia, the first of its kind in “Black Africa”, also remains a perfect example of projection and military proactivity in the new grammar of Turkey's foreign policy, and an answer to traditional westerns powers in Africa despite various challenges.

Theoretical aspects of developing a strategic plan for socio-economic development of rural areas

The article examines the stages of development and implementation of the strategic development plan of rural areas for the socio-economic development of rural areas. The importance of a strategic plan in the development of rural areas is well established. The criteria for the formation of the strategic plan mission, methods of developing strategic plan objectives, the process of selecting strategic plan objectives are studied. The development and implementation of the strategic plan of the rural area is based on the strategic partnership of the population, business and government, as well as the importance of introducing strategic management elements in the rural district administration in order to increase the efficiency of territorial administration.

Development of the digital economy and its impact on labour market

The article considers the effects of technology on the level and composition of employment. Technological progress, by increasing the productivity of factors of production, expands an economy’s production possibility frontier but also decreases the number of existing workplaces. So the aim of the paper to consider the opportunities to the positive impact of the ICT on the labour market.

Issues of application of international financial reporting standards in the Republic of Uzbekistan

This article highlights the importance of international financial reporting standards. As a result of the research, how the international financial reporting standards were applied were addressed.

Management analysis of cotton-fiber quality in cotton gining plants

This article focuses on the analysis of management of quality of cotton fiber on the ginning enterprises of Uzbekistan in the conditions of export-oriented economy.

Selection Process of Teaching Faculties in Tribhuvan University, Nepal

Selection is the prerequisite process of choosing the finest candidates from the pool to full fill the vacant posts in an organization. This paper aims to explore the selection process of teaching faculties at Tribhuvan University (TU) concerning Mathis et al. (2012) approach. For achieving this purpose, I employed socio-constructivism with a narrative inquiry, research design in this study. The information is collected from 2 informants via in-depth interviews and discussed with supporting the several kinds of literature. This study explores the application forms, selection test, interview, appointment, and placement as the selection process employed on TU. This selection process seems not adequate for TU for selecting the quality candidates to perform high work productivity and organizational effectiveness.

Principles of a Successful Social Life, In The Light of Islamic Teachings

Society means a group of people who are living together. People need society from birth to death. Without a collective life, man's deeds, intentions, and habits have no value. Islamic society is the name of a balanced and moderate life in which human intellect, customs, and social etiquette are determined in the light of divine revelation. This system is so comprehensive and all-encompassing that it covers all aspects and activities of life. Islam is a comprehensive, universal, complete code of conduct, and an ideal way of life It not only recognizes the collectiveness of human interaction. Rather, it helps in the development of the community and gives it natural principles that strengthen the community and provides good foundations for it and eliminates the factors that spoil it or make it limited and useless. The Principles of a successful social life in Islamic society seem to reflect the Islamic code of conduct and human nature. Islam is the only religion that advocates goodness and guarantees well-being. Islam gives us self-sacrifice, generosity, trust and honesty, service to the people, justice and fairness, forgiveness and kindness, good society and economy, good deeds, mutual unity, harmony, and brotherhood. Only by practicing the pure thoughts, beliefs, and unparalleled ideas of the religion of Islam, can a person live a prosperous life and he can feel real peace and lasting contentment in the moments of his life. A descriptive and analytical research methodology will be used in this study. It is concluded that for a prosperous social life it is necessary to abide by the injunction of Islamic principles, which provides a sound foundation for a successful social life here in the world and hereafter.

Behaviour of business class tax payers on tax compliance in Ethiopian revenue administration

Tax compliance issue is a major problem in revenue generation by the federal government in African countries. In Ethiopia, tax mobilization was also the lowest among sub-Saharan African countries and main purpose of the research is to identify the factors influencing the behavior of tax payer’s on tax compliance in Dessie town revenue authority. The target population of the study was Business Class people which denotes as category “A” tax payers of Dessie town and a Sample of 330 business was taken using stratified sampling followed by random sampling from each stratum from the total population of 1898. The taxpayers were stratified into trade (retailer and wholesaler), service sector and manufacturing (process) according to their field of work or business. The primary source of data was used to collect five point Likert scale data through questionnaire and partake 92.12% (304) as response rate from the sample size. The results exhibited that factors like tax knowledge, perception of tax payer’s fairness in tax system and equity, the influence of referral groups (friends, relatives) and probability of revenue authority audit and government spending on tax collection were influenced the tax payer’s behavior on voluntarily tax compliance. Finally, the revenue office has to ensure understanding of tax knowledge by the tax payer, maintain the transparency of the tax system and equity, collected tax has to be spend wisely by the Ministry of Finance and Economic Development for the welfare of the society and infrastructural development of the country.

Why Small and Medium Enterprises are left choiceless in adopting Strategic Management ethological (ethos) practices in Africa! A comprehensive study of selected small businesses across Africa

In highly competitive business environment and unstable economic situations, small businesses in the SMEs sector fold up due to a series of management challenges based emanating both from the internal and external structures of the environment. The life of small businesses in Africa is highly volatile and unpredictable given the level of competition posed by the global business environment. The future is always uncertain and much needed to be done in terms of how to deal with that future today. This paper provides a pedestal and an ontological perspective within which Small businesses self-manage their operations from strategic–orientation perspectives. Significantly, small businesses in Africa are the engines that drive economic development and contribute significantly to the Gross Domestic Products (GDP) of most countries. A resurgent of entrepreneurs starting up companies and the need to place them in their rightful position is undisputable despite continued stereotyping and misconceptions on their contribution. The paper argues that the sustainable survival of small businesses in the SMEs sector will entirely depend among other critical factors, embracing strategic management culture. Strategic management practice is an area worthy of research considering the huge importance of small businesses to nations ‘economic recovery, growth, competitiveness and performance. The paper explores many of the strategic orientations critical to the success of small businesses in Africa. To obtain critical data required to make informed recommendations, the present study reviews existing literature on strategic management adoption and also made use of six empirical studies across the SMEs sector in selected parts of Africa. Sixteen businesses were sampled and studied to understand the strategic model and practice using face-to-face interviews. In addition to literature review, the choice of phenomenology adopted for the empirical study was appropriate for this study in order to understand the lived experiences of the sixteen participants selected to give first hand experiences on strategic management, which in turn supported the theoretical understanding obtained from the secondary data. The study suggests further research on best practices in formalizing strategic management in Africa. Key words: Small Business, Strategy, Strategic Management, ethological practices, Sustainable Growth, Small and Medium Enterprise