scholarly journals Institutional Dynamics and Economic Resilience in Central and Eastern EU Countries. Relevance for Policies

Author(s):  
Gabriela-Carmen PASCARIU ◽  
◽  
Andreea IACOBUȚĂ-MIHĂIȚĂ ◽  
Carmen PINTILESCU ◽  
Ramona ȚIGĂNAȘU ◽  
...  

In the global context generated by the 2008-2009 economic crisis and by the current COVID-19 pan­demic, the analysis of the way in which territories can resist, return and adapt to shocks has become a priority for resilience-based policies. The paper aims to investigate the role of institutions in economic re­silience, in the particular case of Central and Eastern European countries since, despite the ongoing con­vergence process, the institutional gaps and weak­nesses of these states challenge their possibilities to recover after this health crisis, as well as to im­prove their resilience capacity. The methodological approach involves, firstly, a cross-country time-se­ries panel regression, using the annual data from 1996 until 2019. Secondly, we applied the principal component regression, in order to capture the coun­try specificities. The research focuses on the link­ages between institutional dynamics and economic resilience, an issue less reflected in literature. Our results confirm the influence of institutional factors on economic resilience and, more importantly, it is highlighted that the ‘one size fits all’ principle does not apply in the case of recovery and resilience pro­grams, which is due to the fact that institutions act differently, depending on various socio-economic and political contexts.

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Simon Michel ◽  
Didier Swingedouw ◽  
Marie Chavent ◽  
Pablo Ortega ◽  
Juliette Mignot ◽  
...  

Abstract. Modes of climate variability strongly impact our climate and thus human society. Nevertheless, their statistical properties remain poorly known due to the short time frame of instrumental measurements. Reconstructing these modes further back in time using statistical learning methods applied to proxy records is a useful way to improve our understanding of their behaviours and meteorological impacts. For doing so, several statistical reconstruction methods exist, among which the Principal Component Regression is one of the most widely used. Additional predictive, and then reconstructive, statistical methods have been developed recently, following the advent of big data. Here, we provide to the climate community a multi-statistical toolbox, based on four statistical learning methods and cross validation algorithms, that enables systematic reconstruction of any climate mode of variability as long as there are proxy records that overlap in time with the observed variations of the considered mode. The efficiency of the methods can vary, depending on the statistical properties of the mode and the learning set, thereby allowing to assess sensitivity related to the reconstruction techniques. This toolbox is modular in the sense that it allows different inputs like the proxy database or the chosen variability mode. As an example, the toolbox is here applied to the reconstruction of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) by using Pages 2K database. In order to identify the most reliable reconstruction among those given by the different methods, we also investigate the sensitivity to the methodological setup to other properties such as the number and the nature of the proxy records used as predictors or the reconstruction period targeted. The best reconstruction of the NAO that we thus obtain shows significant correlation with former reconstructions, but exhibits better validation scores.


2013 ◽  
Vol 38 (1) ◽  
pp. 39-45
Author(s):  
Peng Song ◽  
Li Zhao ◽  
Yongqiang Bao

Abstract The Gaussian mixture model (GMM) method is popular and efficient for voice conversion (VC), but it is often subject to overfitting. In this paper, the principal component regression (PCR) method is adopted for the spectral mapping between source speech and target speech, and the numbers of principal components are adjusted properly to prevent the overfitting. Then, in order to better model the nonlinear relationships between the source speech and target speech, the kernel principal component regression (KPCR) method is also proposed. Moreover, a KPCR combined with GMM method is further proposed to improve the accuracy of conversion. In addition, the discontinuity and oversmoothing problems of the traditional GMM method are also addressed. On the one hand, in order to solve the discontinuity problem, the adaptive median filter is adopted to smooth the posterior probabilities. On the other hand, the two mixture components with higher posterior probabilities for each frame are chosen for VC to reduce the oversmoothing problem. Finally, the objective and subjective experiments are carried out, and the results demonstrate that the proposed approach shows greatly better performance than the GMM method. In the objective tests, the proposed method shows lower cepstral distances and higher identification rates than the GMM method. While in the subjective tests, the proposed method obtains higher scores of preference and perceptual quality.


Author(s):  
Rei Arai ◽  
Natsumi Iwasa ◽  
Naoki Nakatani ◽  
Tetsuo Yamazaki

In order to take measures against environmental impacts during the process of mining seafloor massive sulfides (SMS), it is important to measure some of the components of hydrothermal origin with high resolution in time and space on-site as well as to understand the ecosystem in the hydrothermal environments. The adoption of spectrophotometry for measuring concentrations of the components, such as H2S and Fe, is proposed in the study. It is necessary to extract the absorbance spectrum of each component from the one of seawater for the first step. Applying a determination method referred to as principal component regression (PCR), the fundamental solution is obtained.


2006 ◽  
Vol 27 (4) ◽  
pp. 199-207 ◽  
Author(s):  
Peter Hartmann

Spearman's Law of Diminishing Returns (SLODR) with regard to age was tested in two different databases from the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth. The first database consisted of 6,980 boys and girls aged 12–16 from the 1997 cohort ( NLSY 1997 ). The subjects were tested with a computer-administered adaptive format (CAT) of the Armed Services Vocational Aptitude Battery (ASVAB) consisting of 12 subtests. The second database consisted of 11,448 male and female subjects aged 15–24 from the 1979 cohort ( NLSY 1979 ). These subjects were tested with the older 10-subtest version of the ASVAB. The hypothesis was tested by dividing the sample into Young and Old age groups while keeping IQ fairly constant by a method similar to the one developed and employed by Deary et al. (1996) . The different age groups were subsequently factor-analyzed separately. The eigenvalue of the first principal component (PC1) and the first principal axis factor (PAF1), and the average intercorrelation of the subtests were used as estimates of the g saturation and compared across groups. There were no significant differences in the g saturation across age groups for any of the two samples, thereby pointing to no support for this aspect of Spearman's “Law of Diminishing Returns.”


2019 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Khairunnisa Khairunnisa ◽  
Rizka Pitri ◽  
Victor P Butar-Butar ◽  
Agus M Soleh

This research used CFSRv2 data as output data general circulation model. CFSRv2 involves some variables data with high correlation, so in this research is using principal component regression (PCR) and partial least square (PLS) to solve the multicollinearity occurring in CFSRv2 data. This research aims to determine the best model between PCR and PLS to estimate rainfall at Bandung geophysical station, Bogor climatology station, Citeko meteorological station, and Jatiwangi meteorological station by comparing RMSEP value and correlation value. Size used was 3×3, 4×4, 5×5, 6×6, 7×7, 8×8, 9×9, and 11×11 that was located between (-40) N - (-90) S and 1050 E -1100 E with a grid size of 0.5×0.5 The PLS model was the best model used in stastistical downscaling in this research than PCR model because of the PLS model obtained the lower RMSEP value and the higher correlation value. The best domain and RMSEP value for Bandung geophysical station, Bogor climatology station, Citeko meteorological station, and Jatiwangi meteorological station is 9 × 9 with 100.06, 6 × 6 with 194.3, 8 × 8 with 117.6, and 6 × 6 with 108.2, respectively.


2007 ◽  
Vol 90 (2) ◽  
pp. 391-404 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fadia H Metwally ◽  
Yasser S El-Saharty ◽  
Mohamed Refaat ◽  
Sonia Z El-Khateeb

Abstract New selective, precise, and accurate methods are described for the determination of a ternary mixture containing drotaverine hydrochloride (I), caffeine (II), and paracetamol (III). The first method uses the first (D1) and third (D3) derivative spectrophotometry at 331 and 315 nm for the determination of (I) and (III), respectively, without interference from (II). The second method depends on the simultaneous use of the first derivative of the ratio spectra (DD1) with measurement at 312.4 nm for determination of (I) using the spectrum of 40 μg/mL (III) as a divisor or measurement at 286.4 and 304 nm after using the spectrum of 4 μg/mL (I) as a divisor for the determination of (II) and (III), respectively. In the third method, the predictive abilities of the classical least-squares, principal component regression, and partial least-squares were examined for the simultaneous determination of the ternary mixture. The last method depends on thin-layer chromatography-densitometry after separation of the mixture on silica gel plates using ethyl acetatechloroformmethanol (16 + 3 + 1, v/v/v) as the mobile phase. The spots were scanned at 281, 272, and 248 nm for the determination of (I), (II), and (III), respectively. Regression analysis showed good correlation in the selected ranges with excellent percentage recoveries. The chemical variables affecting the analytical performance of the methodology were studied and optimized. The methods showed no significant interferences from excipients. Intraday and interday assay precision and accuracy values were within regulatory limits. The suggested procedures were checked using laboratory-prepared mixtures and were successfully applied for the analysis of their pharmaceutical preparations. The validity of the proposed methods was further assessed by applying a standard addition technique. The results obtained by applying the proposed methods were statistically analyzed and compared with those obtained by the manufacturer's method.


2021 ◽  
pp. 1471082X2110229
Author(s):  
D. Stasinopoulos Mikis ◽  
A. Rigby Robert ◽  
Georgikopoulos Nikolaos ◽  
De Bastiani Fernanda

A solution to the problem of having to deal with a large number of interrelated explanatory variables within a generalized additive model for location, scale and shape (GAMLSS) is given here using as an example the Greek–German government bond yield spreads from 25 April 2005 to 31 March 2010. Those were turbulent financial years, and in order to capture the spreads behaviour, a model has to be able to deal with the complex nature of the financial indicators used to predict the spreads. Fitting a model, using principal components regression of both main and first order interaction terms, for all the parameters of the assumed distribution of the response variable seems to produce promising results.


2021 ◽  
Vol 19 (1) ◽  
pp. 205-213
Author(s):  
Hany W. Darwish ◽  
Abdulrahman A. Al Majed ◽  
Ibrahim A. Al-Suwaidan ◽  
Ibrahim A. Darwish ◽  
Ahmed H. Bakheit ◽  
...  

Abstract Five various chemometric methods were established for the simultaneous determination of azilsartan medoxomil (AZM) and chlorthalidone in the presence of azilsartan which is the core impurity of AZM. The full spectrum-based chemometric techniques, namely partial least squares (PLS), principal component regression, and artificial neural networks (ANN), were among the applied methods. Besides, the ANN and PLS were the other two methods that were extended by genetic algorithm procedure (GA-PLS and GA-ANN) as a wavelength selection procedure. The models were developed by applying a multilevel multifactor experimental design. The predictive power of the suggested models was evaluated through a validation set containing nine mixtures with different ratios of the three analytes. For the analysis of Edarbyclor® tablets, all the proposed procedures were applied and the best results were achieved in the case of ANN, GA-ANN, and GA-PLS methods. The findings of the three methods were revealed as the quantitative tool for the analysis of the three components without any intrusion from the co-formulated excipient and without prior separation procedures. Moreover, the GA impact on strengthening the predictive power of ANN- and PLS-based models was also highlighted.


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