Abstract
Background: Spinal diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL) was a rare and malignant tumor, while few studies researched the prognostic factors. The prognostic factors which might have impacts on spinal DLBCL was not clear. Although chemotherapy was recognized as an optimal treatment method, but the curative effect of radiotherapy and surgery were controversial.
Methods: The records of patients with spinal DLBCL were selected from the SEER database from 1991 to 2016. The incidence obtained by database was analyzed by Joinpoint Regression Program. The optimal cut-off values of age and year of diagnosis were identified by X-tail program. Univariate and multivariate survival analysis were calculated to identify independent prognostic factors. Prognostic factors were included to predict the survival possibility compared with 5 years of overall (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) via the new nomograms.
Results: A total of 917 patients were enrolled. Age, year of diagnosis and chemotherapy were demonstrated as independent prognostic factors for CSS and OS, and primary site was another independent prognostic factor for CSS. However, radiotherapy and surgery might be ineffective in survival. All factors were included to generate the nomograms for CSS and OS. The concordance indices (C-index) for internal validation of OS and CSS prediction were 0.697 (95%CI: 0.662-0.732) and 0.709 (95%CI: 0.692- 0.727) respectively.
Conclusions: Age and year of diagnosis are closely associated with the prognosis of spinal DLBCL, and chemotherapy is an ideal treatment modality. The new nomogram is a favourable tool to evaluate the survival possibility, and is benefit for the oncologist to make clinical decisions.