Sequence Model based Cloudburst Prediction for the Indian State of Uttarakhand

2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (7) ◽  
pp. 1-9
Author(s):  
M. Sivagami ◽  
P. Radha ◽  
A. Balasundaram

Predicting the phenomenon of cloudburst has been a larger than life challenge to many weather and rain scientists. The very nature of cloudburst occurrence itself complicates the prediction of cloudburst. Since, cloudburst downpour occurs over a short span of time and is confined to very narrow geographic location, it is highly difficult for weather scientists to make any cloudburst predictions. In this work, the authors propose a cloudburst prediction model that leverages deep learning techniques to predict the occurrence of cloudburst in a location. The authors have collected the data pertaining to the cloudburst events that have occurred in the Indian State of Uttarakhand over the past decade and developed the model. Experiments were conducted using time series sequence models namely Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) and Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU). Predictive Power Score (PPS) has been used to extract the essential features that are fed as input to these sequence models. The performance of sequence models has been discussed in terms of loss function and accuracy and the results are promising for GRU based model in comparison with other sequence models.

Author(s):  
Poorna Chandra Vemula* ◽  
◽  
Santhosh Reddy Chilaka ◽  
Mullapudi Raghu Vamsi ◽  
Jonnalagadda Praveen Reddy ◽  
...  

This paper analyzes the impact of continuously changing sentiments on apparently unstable stock exchange. Right when a monetary supporter decides to buy or sell stock, his decision is very much dependent on to rise or fall in price of the stock. In this paper, we look at the possibility of using notion attitudes (good versus negative) and moreover sentiments (delight, feel sorry for, etc) isolated from finance related news or tweets to help predict stock worth turns of events. This examination uses a model-self-ruling approach to manage uncover the mysterious components of stock exchange data using distinctive significant learning techniques like Recurrent Neural Networks (RNN), Long-Short Term Memory (LSTM), and Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU).


2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (2) ◽  
pp. 84-99
Author(s):  
Li-Pang Chen

In this paper, we investigate analysis and prediction of the time-dependent data. We focus our attention on four different stocks are selected from Yahoo Finance historical database. To build up models and predict the future stock price, we consider three different machine learning techniques including Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN) and Support Vector Regression (SVR). By treating close price, open price, daily low, daily high, adjusted close price, and volume of trades as predictors in machine learning methods, it can be shown that the prediction accuracy is improved.


Author(s):  
B. Premjith ◽  
K. P. Soman

Morphological synthesis is one of the main components of Machine Translation (MT) frameworks, especially when any one or both of the source and target languages are morphologically rich. Morphological synthesis is the process of combining two words or two morphemes according to the Sandhi rules of the morphologically rich language. Malayalam and Tamil are two languages in India which are morphologically abundant as well as agglutinative. Morphological synthesis of a word in these two languages is challenging basically because of the following reasons: (1) Abundance in morphology; (2) Complex Sandhi rules; (3) The possibilty in Malayalam to form words by combining words that belong to different syntactic categories (for example, noun and verb); and (4) The construction of a sentence by combining multiple words. We formulated the task of the morphological generation of nouns and verbs of Malayalam and Tamil as a character-to-character sequence tagging problem. In this article, we used deep learning architectures like Recurrent Neural Network (RNN) , Long Short-Term Memory Networks (LSTM) , Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) , and their stacked and bidirectional versions for the implementation of morphological synthesis at the character level. In addition to that, we investigated the performance of the combination of the aforementioned deep learning architectures and the Conditional Random Field (CRF) in the morphological synthesis of nouns and verbs in Malayalam and Tamil. We observed that the addition of CRF to the Bidirectional LSTM/GRU architecture achieved more than 99% accuracy in the morphological synthesis of Malayalam and Tamil nouns and verbs.


2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Andre Lamurias ◽  
Luka A. Clarke ◽  
Francisco M. Couto

AbstractRecent studies have proposed deep learning techniques, namely recurrent neural networks, to improve biomedical text mining tasks. However, these techniques rarely take advantage of existing domain-specific resources, such as ontologies. In Life and Health Sciences there is a vast and valuable set of such resources publicly available, which are continuously being updated. Biomedical ontologies are nowadays a mainstream approach to formalize existing knowledge about entities, such as genes, chemicals, phenotypes, and disorders. These resources contain supplementary information that may not be yet encoded in training data, particularly in domains with limited labeled data.We propose a new model, BO-LSTM, that takes advantage of domain-specific ontologies, by representing each entity as the sequence of its ancestors in the ontology. We implemented BO-LSTM as a recurrent neural network with long short-term memory units and using an open biomedical ontology, which in our case-study was Chemical Entities of Biological Interest (ChEBI). We assessed the performance of BO-LSTM on detecting and classifying drug-drug interactions in a publicly available corpus from an international challenge, composed of 792 drug descriptions and 233 scientific abstracts. By using the domain-specific ontology in addition to word embeddings and WordNet, BO-LSTM improved both the F1-score of the detection and classification of drug-drug interactions, particularly in a document set with a limited number of annotations. Our findings demonstrate that besides the high performance of current deep learning techniques, domain-specific ontologies can still be useful to mitigate the lack of labeled data.Author summaryA high quantity of biomedical information is only available in documents such as scientific articles and patents. Due to the rate at which new documents are produced, we need automatic methods to extract useful information from them. Text mining is a subfield of information retrieval which aims at extracting relevant information from text. Scientific literature is a challenge to text mining because of the complexity and specificity of the topics approached. In recent years, deep learning has obtained promising results in various text mining tasks by exploring large datasets. On the other hand, ontologies provide a detailed and sound representation of a domain and have been developed to diverse biomedical domains. We propose a model that combines deep learning algorithms with biomedical ontologies to identify relations between concepts in text. We demonstrate the potential of this model to extract drug-drug interactions from abstracts and drug descriptions. This model can be applied to other biomedical domains using an annotated corpus of documents and an ontology related to that domain to train a new classifier.


2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-15
Author(s):  
Kazi Nabiul Alam ◽  
Md Shakib Khan ◽  
Abdur Rab Dhruba ◽  
Mohammad Monirujjaman Khan ◽  
Jehad F. Al-Amri ◽  
...  

The COVID-19 pandemic has had a devastating effect on many people, creating severe anxiety, fear, and complicated feelings or emotions. After the initiation of vaccinations against coronavirus, people’s feelings have become more diverse and complex. Our aim is to understand and unravel their sentiments in this research using deep learning techniques. Social media is currently the best way to express feelings and emotions, and with the help of Twitter, one can have a better idea of what is trending and going on in people’s minds. Our motivation for this research was to understand the diverse sentiments of people regarding the vaccination process. In this research, the timeline of the collected tweets was from December 21 to July21. The tweets contained information about the most common vaccines available recently from across the world. The sentiments of people regarding vaccines of all sorts were assessed using the natural language processing (NLP) tool, Valence Aware Dictionary for sEntiment Reasoner (VADER). Initializing the polarities of the obtained sentiments into three groups (positive, negative, and neutral) helped us visualize the overall scenario; our findings included 33.96% positive, 17.55% negative, and 48.49% neutral responses. In addition, we included our analysis of the timeline of the tweets in this research, as sentiments fluctuated over time. A recurrent neural network- (RNN-) oriented architecture, including long short-term memory (LSTM) and bidirectional LSTM (Bi-LSTM), was used to assess the performance of the predictive models, with LSTM achieving an accuracy of 90.59% and Bi-LSTM achieving 90.83%. Other performance metrics such as precision,, F1-score, and a confusion matrix were also used to validate our models and findings more effectively. This study improves understanding of the public’s opinion on COVID-19 vaccines and supports the aim of eradicating coronavirus from the world.


2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (2) ◽  
pp. 133
Author(s):  
Widi Hastomo ◽  
Adhitio Satyo Bayangkari Karno ◽  
Nawang Kalbuana ◽  
Ervina Nisfiani ◽  
Lussiana ETP

Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk meningkatkan akurasi dengan menurunkan tingkat kesalahan prediksi dari 5 data saham blue chip di Indonesia. Dengan cara mengkombinasikan desain 4 hidden layer neural nework menggunakan Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) dan Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU). Dari tiap data saham akan dihasilkan grafik rmse-epoch yang dapat menunjukan kombinasi layer dengan akurasi terbaik, sebagai berikut; (a) BBCA dengan layer LSTM-GRU-LSTM-GRU (RMSE=1120,651, e=15), (b) BBRI dengan layer LSTM-GRU-LSTM-GRU (RMSE =110,331, e=25), (c) INDF dengan layer GRU-GRU-GRU-GRU (RMSE =156,297, e=35 ), (d) ASII dengan layer GRU-GRU-GRU-GRU (RMSE =134,551, e=20 ), (e) TLKM dengan layer GRU-LSTM-GRU-LSTM (RMSE =71,658, e=35 ). Tantangan dalam mengolah data Deep Learning (DL) adalah menentukan nilai parameter epoch untuk menghasilkan prediksi akurasi yang tinggi.


Algorithms ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (8) ◽  
pp. 186 ◽  
Author(s):  
Md. Saiful Islam ◽  
Emam Hossain ◽  
Abdur Rahman ◽  
Mohammad Shahadat Hossain ◽  
Karl Andersson

In recent years, the foreign exchange (FOREX) market has attracted quite a lot of scrutiny from researchers all over the world. Due to its vulnerable characteristics, different types of research have been conducted to accomplish the task of predicting future FOREX currency prices accurately. In this research, we present a comprehensive review of the recent advancements of FOREX currency prediction approaches. Besides, we provide some information about the FOREX market and cryptocurrency market. We wanted to analyze the most recent works in this field and therefore considered only those papers which were published from 2017 to 2019. We used a keyword-based searching technique to filter out popular and relevant research. Moreover, we have applied a selection algorithm to determine which papers to include in this review. Based on our selection criteria, we have reviewed 39 research articles that were published on “Elsevier”, “Springer”, and “IEEE Xplore” that predicted future FOREX prices within the stipulated time. Our research shows that in recent years, researchers have been interested mostly in neural networks models, pattern-based approaches, and optimization techniques. Our review also shows that many deep learning algorithms, such as gated recurrent unit (GRU) and long short term memory (LSTM), have been fully explored and show huge potential in time series prediction.


2018 ◽  
Vol 7 (3.27) ◽  
pp. 258 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yecheng Yao ◽  
Jungho Yi ◽  
Shengjun Zhai ◽  
Yuwen Lin ◽  
Taekseung Kim ◽  
...  

The decentralization of cryptocurrencies has greatly reduced the level of central control over them, impacting international relations and trade. Further, wide fluctuations in cryptocurrency price indicate an urgent need for an accurate way to forecast this price. This paper proposes a novel method to predict cryptocurrency price by considering various factors such as market cap, volume, circulating supply, and maximum supply based on deep learning techniques such as the recurrent neural network (RNN) and the long short-term memory (LSTM),which are effective learning models for training data, with the LSTM being better at recognizing longer-term associations. The proposed approach is implemented in Python and validated for benchmark datasets. The results verify the applicability of the proposed approach for the accurate prediction of cryptocurrency price.


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