scholarly journals How Well Does the Cleveland Fed’s Systemic Risk Indicator Predict Stress?

2020 ◽  
pp. 1-6
Author(s):  
Ben R. Craig
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Systemic Risk ◽  
Financial System ◽  
Financial Stress ◽  
Risk Indicator ◽  
Corrective Response

A number of financial stress measures were developed after the financial crisis of 2007–2009 in the hope that they could provide regulators with advance warning of conditions that might warrant a corrective response. The Cleveland Fed’s systemic risk indicator is one such measure. This Commentary provides a review of the SRI’s performance from 2001 to 2020 and finds that it has performed well, providing a reliable, valid, and timely signal of elevated levels of financial system stress.

CoVaR

2016 ◽  
Vol 106 (7) ◽  
pp. 1705-1741 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tobias Adrian ◽  
Markus K. Brunnermeier
Keyword(s):  
At Risk ◽  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Systemic Risk ◽  
Value At Risk ◽  
Asset Price ◽  
Financial System ◽  
Maturity Mismatch ◽  
Out Of Sample ◽  
Forward Looking

We propose a measure of systemic risk, Δ CoVaR, defined as the change in the value at risk of the financial system conditional on an institution being under distress relative to its median state. Our estimates show that characteristics such as leverage, size, maturity mismatch, and asset price booms significantly predict Δ CoVaR. We also provide out-of-sample forecasts of a countercyclical, forward-looking measure of systemic risk, and show that the 2006:IV value of this measure would have predicted more than one-third of realized Δ CoVaR during the 2007–2009 financial crisis. (JEL C58, E32, G01, G12, G17, G20, G32)

scholarly journals Adaptability of Securitization Model to Conditions of Volatile Financial Structure

ECONOMICS ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 205-219
Author(s):  
Dragana Bašić ◽  
Predrag Ćurić
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Systemic Risk ◽  
Financial Stability ◽  
Financial System ◽  
Financial Structure ◽  
Nonperforming Loans ◽  
Funding Sources ◽  
Additional Funding ◽  
The Republic ◽  
Bank Restructuring

Abstract The Great Financial Crisis of 2008 exposed certain weaknesses in the field of investment banking and the necessity to adapt certain innovative solutions to the newly created economic and financial environment. The process of securitization is a financial innovation, which some financial analysts consider one of the causes of the Great Financial Crisis. Although it is often linked to the emergence of the Great Financial Crisis, the advantages of the securitization model, together with a level of adaptability and enhanced process control throughout all procedural levels, significantly outweigh its perceived shortcomings. The financial system of the Republic of Srpska continues to be characterized by the growth of nonperforming loans in bank assets, mainly caused by increased systemic risk due to the current COVID-19 pandemic and declining economic activity in the country, but also by a well-developed financial system infrastructure, which is necessary in order to allow the application of the securitization model to significantly contribute to increasing financial stability in the conditions of volatile financial structure. The model of securitization of nonperforming loans and its application in the process of bank restructuring can be the mainstay of the stabilization of the financial system. The aim of the research is to demonstrate that the application of the adapted securitization model of nonperforming assets of banks and its application in the process of bank restructuring in the conditions of unstable financial structure may contribute to financial stability and control of increase of a systemic risk. Securitization increases the supply of quality financial instruments, the number of participants in the process of transformation of financial assets and develops a more resilient financial market. The results include emergence of additional funding sources for financial institutions, generation of nonperforming assets’ problems, with additional liquidity and diversification for many of their clients.

scholarly journals Fiinancial Stability and Reform of the Financial System

2012 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 58-69
Author(s):  
Juraj Sipko
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Systemic Risk ◽  
Financial Stability ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Financial System ◽  
Financial Sector ◽  
Regulatory Reform ◽  
Economic Costs ◽  
Literature Study ◽  
Macroprudential Policy

Abstract The paper describes the main features of financial stability and the preparation of the reform of the global financial system. The mortgage crisis in the USA brought about the global financial crisis. This crisis was the result of the failure of financial regulation, including supervision, and the failure of the management of the banking industry. Therefore, the international community, including Group 20, urged the appropriate institutions to introduce a comprehensive reform of the financial sector. To avoid a potential financial crisis, the creation of the framework for financial stability would be needed. In line with this, the paper examines the interaction between both monetary and fiscal policies, including micro-and macroprudential policies and their instruments. Although still is going on discussion on definition of macroprudential policy, there is a generally accepted opinion that macroprudential policy should limit systemic risk. In addition, this policy should focus on interaction between the financial system and the real economy. Furthermore, micro- andmacroprudential policy should use appropriate instruments in dealing with the systemic risk. In this regard, the article undescores that put in a place the frameworkfor financial stability will create favorable conditions for decision-makers how they should to respond to financial imbalances. The paper also pointed out some potential economic costs related to the implementation of the overall international reform of the financial sector. Based on comprehensive literature study, the author came to the conclusion that despite the fact that there will be some economic costs related to implementing the overall regulatory reform of the financial sector, the main benefit from the long-term perspective will be avoiding the potential financial crisis in the future. To fulfill all the requirements for global financial reform, international cooperation will be needed.

scholarly journals Community Structure and Systemic Risk of Bank Correlation Networks Based on the U.S. Financial Crisis in 2008

Algorithms ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (6) ◽  
pp. 162
Author(s):  
Yajing Huang ◽  
Feng Chen
Keyword(s):  
Community Structure ◽  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Systemic Risk ◽  
Balance Sheet ◽  
Banking System ◽  
Financial System ◽  
Point Of View ◽  
Correlation Network ◽  
Power Law Distribution ◽  
Correlation Networks

This paper studies the community structure of the bank correlation network in the financial system and analyzes the systemic risk of the community sub-networks. Based on the balance sheet data of U.S. commercial banks from 2008, we establish a bank correlation network for each state according to the banks’ investment portfolio ratio. First, we analyze the community structure of each bank’s correlation network and verify the effectiveness of the community division from the point of view of the importance of nodes. Then, combining the data of failed banks after the 2008 financial crisis, we find that for small communities, the financial systemic risk will appear to have obvious volatility, and it is quite likely to reach an extremely high level. With the increase in the number of nodes in the community, systemic risk will tend towards a stable and low level. Furthermore, if only communities with failed banks are considered, the regression analysis shows that systemic risk and the size of the community almost follow a power law distribution trend. These results reveal the importance of supervising the banking system at the level of community sub-networks, which has certain guiding significance for the stability of the financial system.

Macroprudential Policy Instruments of Central Banks

2012 ◽  
pp. 32-47
Author(s):  
S. Andryushin ◽  
V. Kuznetsova
Keyword(s):  
Systemic Risk ◽  
Financial Stability ◽  
Financial System ◽  
Policy Instruments ◽  
Central Banks ◽  
Macroprudential Policy ◽  
Policy Studies ◽  
The Future ◽  
Financial Cycles

The paper analyzes central banks macroprudencial policy and its instruments. The issues of their classification, option, design and adjustment are connected with financial stability of overall financial system and its specific institutions. The macroprudencial instruments effectiveness is evaluated from the two points: how they mitigate temporal and intersectoral systemic risk development (market, credit, and operational). The future macroprudentional policy studies directions are noted to identify the instruments, which can be used to limit the financial systemdevelopment procyclicality, mitigate the credit and financial cycles volatility.

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