scholarly journals Factors affecting the interest rate policy of commercial banks

2018 ◽  
Vol 124 (2) ◽  
pp. 165-175
Author(s):  
M. Zholamanova ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Zh. Arzaeva ◽  
◽  
G. I. Supugalieva ◽  
G. R. Kasymbekova ◽  
D. M. Mukhiyaeva ◽  
...  

The subject of the flock is conditioned by the need to consider the influence of internal and external factors on the interest rates of banks. The purpose of the study is a comprehensive, reliable study of the main factors influencing the formation of interest rates on the basis of methods of cognition developed in science, as well as obtaining and implementing recommendations of results and conclusions. The choice of the direction of scientific research is related to the need to compile an idea of the features and methods of forming the interest policy of the bank. The research used the method of analysis, synthesis, observation and collection of factual information that allowed studying economic phenomena both in parts (analysis) and in general (synthesis).The article examines the factors influencing the interest rates of commercial banks, which depend primar-ily on the macroeconomic situation in the country.


2020 ◽  
pp. 230-250
Author(s):  
Einar Lie

This chapter discusses how, in the 1970s and 1980s, Norges Bank began to develop instruments with a view to steering economic policy under freer market conditions. However, governments of changing political hues were unwilling to let go of the low interest rate. The oil price fall in 1986 brought an abrupt change in interest rate and credit policy. The government’s tightening actions included the introduction of a more binding fixed exchange rate policy. The frequent recourse to corrective devaluations was to be a thing of the past. Hence, there was a justification for using the interest rate as an ongoing instrument to stabilize the exchange rate. This task fell to Norges Bank. The transition to an independent, active interest rate policy on the part of the central bank was abrupt and came as a surprise. Barely a year before the collapse of the oil price, the Storting had passed a law that made Norges Bank one of the least autonomous central banks in all of western Europe. Ultimately, it was the external situation, and in no sense an increase in government’s and the public’s recognition of the bank and its institutional legitimacy, that restored greater operative autonomy to Norges Bank.


2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. G. Shelomentsev ◽  
D. B. Berg ◽  
A. A. Detkov ◽  
A. P. Rylova

2019 ◽  
pp. 30-55
Author(s):  
Mikhail E. Mamonov

Despite achieving success in the tight prudential regulation of the banking sector, the Bank of Russia (CB RF) continues to reveal new cases of negative net worth in banks. This paper investigates the influence of banks’ risk-taking and the interest rate policy of the CB RF on the depletion of net worth in Russian credit institutions during 2007—2017. The quartile regression approach is employed to examine the differences in net worth depletion of already failed banks; additionally, the Heckman selection approach is applied to analyze potential negative net worth that has not been revealed by the CB RF yet. The estimation results suggest that banks’ risk-taking matters: its increases are positively associated with the rises of the probability of bank failures and the size of negative net worth, conditional on failure. Ignoring of banks’ risktaking leads to a substantial upward bias in the estimates of the total size of negative net worth in the banking system — from 3.6 to 5.3 trillion rubles, or by 2% of the system’s total assets. Further, the interest rate policy of the CB RF has a risk-shifting effect: an increase of the key rate together with a rise of its volatility are associated with a further depletion of banks’ net worth. Finally, the paper shows that a joint increase in banks’ risk-taking and the key rate has a further negative effect on banks’ net worth.


2016 ◽  
Vol 106 (3) ◽  
pp. 699-738 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anton Korinek ◽  
Alp Simsek

We investigate the role of macroprudential policies in mitigating liquidity traps. When constrained households engage in deleveraging, the interest rate needs to fall to induce unconstrained households to pick up the decline in aggregate demand. If the fall in the interest rate is limited by the zero lower bound, aggregate demand is insufficient and the economy enters a liquidity trap. In this environment, households' ex ante leverage and insurance decisions are associated with aggregate demand externalities. Welfare can be improved with macroprudential policies targeted toward reducing leverage. Interest rate policy is inferior to macroprudential policies in dealing with excessive leverage. (JEL D14, E23, E32, E43, E52, E61, E62)


2019 ◽  
Vol 14 (4) ◽  
pp. 48-75

This section conducts an estimate of the impulse response function of key macroeconomic variables to monetary policy shocks in Russia. The estimates are carried out through a dynamic factor model (DFM) of the Russian economy with structural identification of shocks by imposing various sets of sign restrictions on the behavior of endogenous variables. We restricted first the monetary aggregate M2 only (a decrease in response to an increase of the Key rate), and then—simultaneously—M2, real effective exchange rate (an increase), and GDP (a decrease). We estimated the DFM using a large dataset of 58 macroeconomic and financial variables. The estimation results suggest that there is no decreasing response of consumer prices to an exogenous tightening of the interest rate policy of the Central Bank of Russia. This empirical evidence is supported implicitly by DFM-based predictions that under the imposition of such a decreasing response as an identifying restriction to the model, a positive interest rate shock is not transmitted through the interest rate channel of monetary policy to expected increases of the interest rates on commercial loans and private deposits. However, existing empirical evidence refutes this model-based result. Therefore, this study supports the view according to which a tightening of monetary policy in Russia is inefficient in terms of restraining inflation. In addition, monetary policy shocks negatively affect investments, retail sales, export and import, real wages, and employment. Different economic activities react differently to monetary policy shocks: export-oriented activities are not sensitive to these shocks, whereas domestic pro-cyclical activities (e.g. construction) can be substantially depressed in response to unexpected increases of interest rates. Finally, the expectations of economic agents are also significantly affected by shocks in the interest rate policy of the Bank of Russia.


Author(s):  
Volodymyr Mishchenko ◽  
Svitlana Naumenkova ◽  
Svitlana Mishchenko

Ensuring a high level of monetary regulation of the economy and improving the efficiency of the central bank's monetary policy largely depend on how effective is the mechanisms of transmission of monetary impulses from the decisions of monetary authorities to market participants through the use of monetary transmission. Given that in the current environment, interest rate policy is the main component of the monetary policy of the vast majority of central banks, interest rate channel is important in the process of monetary transmission. This is also due to the fact that in the monetary transmission system, the interest channel is most closely linked to the mechanisms of functioning of monetary, credit and currency channels. Solving this problem requires the identification the role of the interest channel in the mechanism of monetary transmission, the peculiarities of its function in current conditions, revealing clear causal links and the basic principles of the systematic regularity of monetary development. In addition, it is necessary to identify clear criteria and methods for assessing the effectiveness of the channel, as well as systems and indicators, which allow the use of several parameters in the flow of interest to the channel on the basis of monetary and macroeconomic indicators. The conducted research is based on the statistics of the National Bank of Ukraine for 2005-2020, the system of economic-statistical and economic-mathematical methods, as well as on the calculation of indicators, and is characterize the reliability of models. Quantitative assessment of the efficiency and operating conditions of the interest rate channel of the monetary transmission mechanism should be based on the basic principles of monetary theory and a reliable statistical base. This suggests ways to improve the efficiency of the interest rate channel through the central bank's interest rate policy, adequate money market conditions, and prudent government borrowing policies in the domestic market to ensure efficient transmission of monetary impulses from the central bank to the real sector of the economy. The results of the study can be used to substantiate the forecast parameters of monetary indicators of the monetary policy of the National Bank of Ukraine (NBU) and the conditions of effective functioning of the interest rate channel of monetary transmission in Ukraine in the medium term.


2017 ◽  
pp. 79-99 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Mamonov

This paper analyzes how banks react on the interest rate policy of their rivals when the industry-wide price competition is strengthening over different phases of business cycle in both retail and corporate segments of credit market in Russia. Our estimations, based on the models proposed in the literature on New Industrial Empirical Organization (NIEO), show that price wars are taking place from time to time in the retail as well as in the corporate segments of Russian credit market; more often - in periods of macroeconomic crisis, and are started by the banks from the top-30 group (in terms of assets, excluding Sberbank), the most warlike group within the Russian banking system. During the non-crisis periods banks are turning to facilitate collusions. The retail segment of credit market appears to be significantly more competitive as compared to the corporate one.


2016 ◽  
Vol 6 (2) ◽  
pp. 13-25
Author(s):  
Pamela Priess

Abstract The research purpose is to find out if signs of a real estate bubble are shown at the austrian real estate market right now. Lending rates are composed of different factors: the base rate is the price that the customer is willing to pay. The risk premium is given to compensate the lenders risk of full or partial failure of repayment. The inflation adjustment takes into account the impairment of money over the term of a loan. The liquidity premium increases with extension of the term of the loan. The European Central Bank influences the interest rate policy by varying the interest for money saved there by the banks. At the moment there are used negative interest rates, i.e. penalty interest. The methodology used was that recently the ECB lowered the interest rates which might cause real estate bubbles and, subsequently, banks and economic crises may follow, if interest rates were to be increased again sooner or later. Therefor the author studied the amount of sales and the connection to the interest rates and the interest rate policy of the banks right now. Summarizing it can be seen that in Kittsee, an Austrian area with a lot of real estate sales, as an example, 565 real estate properties were sold in the years 2005 to 2015, the median prices increased in relation to the buyers residence in Austria or non- Austrians at about 375% to 490%, this might indicate signs of change on the market.


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