scholarly journals ANÁLISE DE SENSIBILIDADE DE PARÂMETROS HIDROLÓGICOS NA BACIA DO RIO DAS PEDRAS - GUARAPUAVA-PR

2019 ◽  
Vol 12 (5) ◽  
pp. 1746
Author(s):  
Rafael Adriano de Castro Adriano de Castro ◽  
Elias Machado

O modelo Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) é amplamente utilizado para predizer o impacto das alterações no uso e no manejo do solo, entre outros, é extremamente sensível à qualidade dos dados de entrada.  Assim, antes da simulação é necessário que se realize uma análise de sensibilidade de tal forma que se possa dar ênfase maior à aquisição e refinamento de determinados dados, diminuir as incertezas e aumentar a confiança nos resultados gerados. Os resultados simulados na bacia do Rio das Pedras – Guarapuava, foram realizadas a análise de sensibilidade e a calibração do modelo SWAT. Após a calibração do modelo os resultados do Índice de Nash & Sutcliffe alterado (COE), do percentual de tendência (PBIAS), e o coeficiente de determinação (R²) foram, respectivamente, 0,69, -0,5 e 0,7, indicando bom ajuste entre a vazão média mensal da bacia Rio das Pedras simulada pelo modelo SWAT em relação aos dados observados.  Sensitivity analysis of hydrological parameters in the Rio das Pedras basin - Guarapuava-PR A B S T R A C TThe SWAT model is widely used to predict the impact of changes in land use and management, among others, is extremely sensitive to the quality of input data. Thus, prior to the simulation, it is necessary to perform a sensitivity analysis in such a way that greater emphasis can be placed on the acquisition and refinement of certain data, decrease uncertainties and increase confidence in the results generated. The simulated results in the Rio das Pedras - Guarapuava basin, were performed the sensitivity analysis and calibration of the SWAT model. After the calibration of the model, the results of the modified Nash & Sutcliffe Index (COE), percentage of trend (PBIAS), and coefficient of determination (R²) were, respectively, 0.69, -0.5 and 0.7, Indicating a good fit between the average monthly flow of the Rio das Pedras basin simulated by the SWAT model in relation to the observed data. 

2013 ◽  
Vol 7 (3) ◽  
pp. 252-257

The subject of this article is the estimation of quantitative (hydrological) and qualitative parameters in the catchment of Ronnea (1800 Km2, located in south western Sweden) through the application of the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT). SWAT is a river basin model that was developed for the U.S.D.A. Agricultural Research Service, by the Blackland Research Center in Texas. The SWAT model is a widely known tool that has been used in several cases world-wide. It has the ability to predict the impact of land management practices on water, sediment and agricultural chemical yield in large complex watersheds. The present work investigates certain capabilities of the SWAT model which have not identified up to now. More in specific, the main targets of the work carried out are the following: • Identification of the existing hydrological and qualitative conditions • Preparation - Processing of data required to be used as input data of the model • Hydrological calibration - validation of the model, in 7 subbasins of the Catchment of Ronnea • Estimation and evaluation of the simulated qualitative parameters of the model All available data were offered by the relevant Institutes of Sweden, in the framework of the European program EUROHARP. The existing conditions in the catchment of Ronnea, are described in detail including topography, land uses, soil types, pollution sources, agricultural management practices, precipitation, temperature, wind speed, humidity, solar radiation as well as observed discharges and Nitrogen and Phosphorus substances concentrations. Most of the above data were used as input data for the application of SWAT model. Adequate methods were also used to complete missing values in time series and estimate additional parameters (such as soil parameters) required by the model. Hydrological calibration and validation took place for each outlet of the 7 subbasins of Ronnea catchment in an annual, monthly and daily step. The calibration was achieved by estimating parameters related to ground water movement and evaluating convergence between simulated and observed discharges by using mainly the Nash & Sutcliffe coefficient (NTD). Through the sensitivity analysis, main parameters of the hydrological simulation, were detected. According to the outputs of the SWAT model, the water balance of Ronnea catchment was also estimated. Hydrological calibration and validation is generally considered sufficient in an annual and monthly step. Hydrological calibration – validation in daily step, generally does not lead to high values of the NTD indicator. However, when compared to results obtained by the use of SWAT in Greece, a relatively high value of NTD is achieved in one subbasin. Finally, a comparison between the simulated and observed concentrations of total Phosphorus and Nitrogen was carried out.


2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (2) ◽  
pp. 619
Author(s):  
Filipe Otávio Passos ◽  
Benedito Cláudio Da Silva ◽  
Fernando Das Graças Braga da Silva

Diversos processos naturais podem causar mudanças nos fluxos hidrológicos dentro de bacias hidrográficas, sendo estas ainda mais afetadas devido a ações antrópicas que mudem as suas características físicas, principalmente, o tipo e o uso do solo. Neste contexto, este trabalho apresenta uma calibração de um modelo de transformação chuva x vazão e posterior simulação para a estimativa das vazões na bacia hidrográfica do ribeirão José Pereira, em Itajubá, sul de Minas Gerais, utilizando o modelo distribuído Soil and Water Assessment Tool (Swat). Foram gerados cinco cenários de uso e ocupação do solo, que foram idealizados a partir de características observadas na bacia ou de tendências futuras de ocupação, a saber, o cenário do estado atual, de manejo do solo, de recuperação das áreas de preservação permanente (APPs) de margens de rios, de substituição total por floresta e de crescimento urbano. Os resultados indicam que o modelo Swat pode ser utilizado na simulação das componentes hidrológicas de bacias hidrográficas de pequeno porte, e ainda que o manejo agrícola e o reflorestamento da bacia são mais eficientes na diminuição do escoamento superficial do que a recuperação das APPs, chegando a uma diminuição de aproximadamente 40% nas vazões máximas simuladas. Impact Assessment of Changes in Land Use and Management on the Losses of the Water Source of the José Pereira Stream, Using the SWAT Model A B S T R A C TSeveral natural processes can cause changes in hydrological flows within hydrographic basins, which are even more affected due to anthropic actions that change their physical characteristics, mainly, the type and use of the soil. In this context, this work carries out an analysis of the impact on the flows of a small-scale hydrographic basin (River José Pereira) due to changes in land use and occupation, using the distributed model Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT). Five land use and occupation scenarios were generated, which were designed based on characteristics observed in the basin or future occupation trends, namely, the current state scenario, soil management, recovery of permanent preservation areas (APPs) of river banks, total replacement by forest and urban growth. The results indicate that the SWAT model can be used in the simulation of the hydrological components of small hydrographic basins, and that agricultural management and reforestation of the basin are more efficient in reducing runoff than the recovery of APPs, reaching a decrease of approximately 40% in the maximum simulated flows.Keywords: hydrological modeling, rainfall, SWAT, land use and occupation.


2016 ◽  
Vol 23 (2) ◽  
pp. 197
Author(s):  
Rahmah Dewi Yustika

A watershed has complex hydrological components and may be difficult to understand comprehensively. Modelling can be used to simplify and predict the processes which will happen. SWAT (Soil and Water Assessment Tool) is a model which can predict hydrology and simulate various processes in watershed.The objective of this research was: to analyse performance of SWAT model which predict discharge flow in upper Ciliwung watershed through calibration. Methods applied included analysis of the input data and calibration. The research was conducted in the period of June 2011 until June 2012. Based on the data of daily discharge flow in February and March 2008 and 2009, the calibration results showed values of R 0,80 and NSE 0,55. These results described that SWAT model can be used to predict hydrological processes in upper Ciliwung watershed.Prediction of hydrology could be used as the base to manage land agriculture towards sustainable agriculture.


The current study analyses the runoff response using Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) during rainfall incidents over the sub-basin of Deo River, Panch Mahal, Gujarat, India. The SWAT model is developed for the Deo river sub-basin having catchment area of 194.36 km2 , with 7 sub-basins comprising of 94 Hydrological Response Units (HRUs). Two rain gauge stations present in the study area (viz., Deo dam and Shivrajpur) werechosen to evaluate the efficiency of the SWAT model. To conduct SWAT model Calibration and Validation, the Soil and Water Assessment Tool-Calibration Uncertainty Program (SWAT-CUP) with Sequential Uncertainty Fitting (SUFI-2) algorithm has been used. The model was run for the period from 2000 to 2017 considering 2 years (2000-2001) warm up period with a calibration period of 2002 to 2012 and a validation period of 2013 to 2017. The sensitivity of the basin parameters was evaluated and found Curve Number as the most sensitive parameter, hence, it can be considered to improve the model's runoff simulation efficiency. The study found that the model performed good with a Coefficient of Determination (R2 ) and Nash–Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE) as 0.89 and 0.87 during calibration and 0.88 and 0.81 during validation respectively giving data at daily scale. The findings of this study revealed that SWAT model is helpful for runoff prediction and flood forecasting for extreme rainfall occurrences in Deo river basin.


2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sri Rahayu Ayuba

Based on SK.328 / Menhut-II / 2009, the Limboto Bone Bolango River Basin (DAS) is designated as a watershed in critical condition and requires priority handling. This study aims to determine the level of vulnerability of Bone watershed to drought. This research was conducted at Bone River Basin (DAS). The method used is SWAT Method (Soil and Water Assessment Tool) by using ArcSwat software. This research is included in non-experimental research by using direct observation in the field. The input data in the SWAT Model is the slope, the type of land cover, climate, and soil type. The parameter that is the output of SWAT Model used in determining the level of vulnerability of the watershed, is the value of SW (Soil Water) for the determination of drought. Research has shown that Bone watershed has a susceptibility to dryness, 21.7% of the watershed area is susceptible to susceptible drought classification, while 78.5% are in the non-vulnerable category. This percentage is spread in 15 and 50 sub watershed/Small watershed. The decrease in productivity of one agricultural commodity shows that the Bone watershed which is administratively located in Bone Bolango Regency is related to the existing drought levels.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Firas Alsilibe ◽  
Katalin Bene

Abstract In watershed modeling research, it is practical to subdivide a watershed into smaller units or sub-watersheds for modeling purposes. The ability of a model to simulate the watershed system depends on how well watershed processes are represented by the model and how well the watershed system is described by model input. This study is conducted to evaluate the impact of watershed subdivision and different weather input datasets on streamflow simulations using the soil and water assessment tool model. For this purpose, Cuhai-Bakonyér watershed was chosen as a study area. Two climate databases and four subdivision variations levels were evaluated. The model streamflow predictions slightly effected by subdivision impact. The climate datasets showed significant differences in streamflow predictions.


Water ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (3) ◽  
pp. 356
Author(s):  
Yuechao Chen ◽  
Makoto Nakatsugawa ◽  
Hiroki Ohashi

Landslides, debris flows, and other secondary disasters caused by earthquakes threaten the safety and stability of river basins. Earthquakes occur frequently in Japan. Therefore, it is necessary to study the impact of earthquakes on sediment transport in river basins. In this study, considering the influence of reservoirs, the Soil and Water Assessment Tool-calibration and uncertainty program (SWAT-CUP) was employed to analyze the runoff parameter sensitivity and to optimize the parameters. We manually corrected the sediment transport parameters after earthquake, using the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model to assess the process of runoff and sediment transport in the Atsuma River basin before and after the 2018 Hokkaido Eastern Iburi Earthquake. The applicability of the SWAT model to runoff simulation in the Atsuma River basin and the changes of sediment transport process after the earthquake were studied. The research results show that the SWAT model can accurately simulate the runoff process in the Atsuma River basin, the Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency coefficient (NSE) is 0.61 in the calibration period, and is 0.74 in the verification period. The sediment transport increased greatly after the earthquake and it is roughly estimated that the amount of sediment transport per unit rainfall increased from 3.5 tons/mm/year before the earthquake to 6.2 tons/mm/year after the earthquake.


2018 ◽  
Vol 49 (3) ◽  
pp. 908-923 ◽  
Author(s):  
Richarde Marques da Silva ◽  
José Carlos Dantas ◽  
Joyce de Araújo Beltrão ◽  
Celso A. G. Santos

Abstract A Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model was used to model streamflow in a tropical humid basin in the Cerrado biome, southeastern Brazil. This study was undertaken in the Upper São Francisco River basin, because this basin requires effective management of water resources in drought and high-flow periods. The SWAT model was calibrated for the period of 1978–1998 and validated for 1999–2007. To assess the model calibration and uncertainty, four indices were used: (a) coefficient of determination (R2); (b) Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency (NS); (c) p-factor, the percentage of data bracketed by the 95% prediction uncertainty (95PPU); and (d) r-factor, the ratio of average thickness of the 95PPU band to the standard deviation of the corresponding measured variable. In this paper, average monthly streamflow from three gauges (Porto das Andorinhas, Pari and Ponte da Taquara) were used. The results indicated that the R2 values were 0.73, 0.80 and 0.76 and that the NS values were 0.68, 0.79 and 0.73, respectively, during the calibration. The validation also indicated an acceptable performance with R2 = 0.80, 0.76, 0.60 and NS = 0.61, 0.64 and 0.58, respectively. This study demonstrates that the SWAT model provides a satisfactory tool to assess basin streamflow and management in Brazil.


Heliyon ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 5 (7) ◽  
pp. e02106 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. Daramola ◽  
T.M. Ekhwan ◽  
J. Mokhtar ◽  
K.C. Lam ◽  
G.A. Adeogun

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document