scholarly journals Modelling the Demand for Money in Pakistan

2005 ◽  
Vol 44 (3) ◽  
pp. 233-252 ◽  
Author(s):  
Abdul Qayyum

The study estimates the dynamic demand for money (M2) function in Pakistan by employing cointegration analysis and error correction mechanism. The parameters of preferred model are found to be super-exogenous for the relevant class of interventions. It is found that the rate of inflation is an important determinant of money demand in Pakistan. The analysis reveals that the rates of interest, market rate, and bond yield are important for the long-run money demand behaviour. Since the preferred model is superexogenous, it can be used for policy analysis in Pakistan.

Author(s):  
Emel Siklar ◽  
Ilyas Siklar

The details of a central bank’s monetary policy are based on assumptions about the money demand. This requires researches that aim to investigate money demand dynamics. Knowing these dynamics will support the identification of risks that may pose a threat to price stability in the long run. This study aims to analyze the changes observed in the demand for money during the last 35 years (1986-2020) in Turkey. When the analyzing period is considered as a whole in the study, it is determined that the demand for money is not stable. However, the nonlinear cointegration analysis used within the framework of soft transition models indicates that the money demand model can be divided into two different regimes with stability. In this case, it is possible to talk about the existence of a transition period in which stability is lost in the demand for money. The analyzing technique used allows the coefficients obtained for money demand to change over time according to the regime in which the economy operates. Nonlinear estimation results indicate that there is a long-term relationship between the demand for money and its macroeconomic determinants such as price level, income, interest rate, and money holding preferences of economic agents.


Author(s):  
Emel Siklar ◽  
Ilyas Siklar

The details of a central bank’s monetary policy are based on assumptions about the money demand. This requires researches that aim to investigate money demand dynamics. Knowing these dynamics will support the identification of risks that may pose a threat to price stability in the long run. This study aims to analyze the changes observed in the demand for money during the last 35 years (1986-2020) in Turkey. When the analyzing period is considered as a whole in the study, it is determined that the demand for money is not stable. However, the nonlinear cointegration analysis used within the framework of soft transition models indicates that the money demand model can be divided into two different regimes with stability. In this case, it is possible to talk about the existence of a transition period in which stability is lost in the demand for money. The analyzing technique used allows the coefficients obtained for money demand to change over time according to the regime in which the economy operates. Nonlinear estimation results indicate that there is a long-term relationship between the demand for money and its macroeconomic determinants such as price level, income, interest rate, and money holding preferences of economic agents.


Author(s):  
Pujan Adhikari

This paper examines the long run and short-run dynamics relationship between broad money, consumption expenditure, capital stock and interest rate in Nepal over the period of 1975-2017. This paper employs ARDL bound testing approach for co-integration between the broad money demand and its determinants. Result reveals the evidence of cointegration among the variables. The empirical results show that the demand for money is affected by the interest rate and final consumption expenditure both in the long run and short-run. However, the gross fixed capital formation has no impact on demand for money in the long-run and short-run as well. On contrast, interest rate is positively associated with Broad money demand, which is not consistent with theoretically. Positive association of money demand with interest rate shows that demand for money function is instability in Nepal. Thus, this study suggests that policy maker to correct price fluctuation through the control of various expenditure components, particularly, real final consumption expenditure might be an important strategy in the long run. However, the gross fixed capital formation has no impact on demand for money in the long-run.


2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (02) ◽  
pp. 2050007
Author(s):  
MOHSEN BAHMANI-OSKOOEE ◽  
AUGUSTINE C. ARIZE

Economic uncertainty and monetary uncertainty are two uncertainty measures that are said to affect the demand for money in any country and our region of interest, Africa, is no exception. In this paper, we take an additional step and argue that changes in any uncertainty measure could have asymmetric effects on the money demand. After applying the linear and nonlinear ARDL approaches to each of the 13 African nations, while we find the short-run effects of both uncertainty measures to be asymmetric, long-run asymmetric effects were discovered in limited number of countries. We also discovered that monetary volatility has more long-run effects than output volatility which implies that a steady and not so erratic money growth will have its predictive impact on the African economies.


2012 ◽  
Vol 15 (1) ◽  
pp. 41-62
Author(s):  
Galih Riyandi

Theory and empirical study about demand for money is the key feature in macroeconomics theory. The study about demand for money in Indonesia has been developing with various techniques. Its result in various analyses can be difficult in understanding behaviour of demand for money in Indonesia. This paper aims to find out the tendency of demand for money in Indonesia by analyzing long run and short run income elasticity and opportunity cost elasticity. We use fixed effects meta-analysis and unweighted average meta-analysis. The result shows that income elasticity and opportunity cost elasticity are consistent with theory of money demand. That result can be used as an empirical foundation to future study about demand for money in Indonesia.  Keywords: demand for money, meta analysis, fixed effects.JEL Classification code: E41, E52


2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 142
Author(s):  
Moayad Al Rasasi ◽  
Fares Rawah ◽  
Bander Alghamdi

This research paper estimates the augmented money demand function for Saudi Arabia while incorporating stock prices as one of the key determinants and utilizing quarterly data spanning over the period of 2010-2018. The estimated money demand function coincides with theoretical expectation regarding income and interest rate over long run. In Particular, the demand for money is statistically significant and positively related with income while it’s negatively related with interest rate. On stock prices, the findings suggest that they are statistically significant and have positive impact on money demand over the long run. Moreover, the estimated error correction model indicates that it takes money demand about two quarters to adjust to its equilibrium condition.


2018 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 1 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee ◽  
Majid Maki-Nayeri

A comprehensive measure of economic uncertainty, known as “Policy Uncertainty”, which was constructed by the Economic Policy Uncertainty Group by searching popular newspapers for uncertain terms associated with economic factors and its impact on macro variables, is gaining momentum. Although some researchers have assessed its impact on the demand for money in a few countries, we considered the U.S.A. demand for money one more time and showed that when a linear money demand was estimated, policy uncertainty had no long-run effects. However, when a nonlinear model was estimated, the results showed that while increased policy uncertainty induces the public to hold less money in the long run, decreased uncertainty has no long-run effects, a clear sign of asymmetric response.


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