scholarly journals On the nexus between Stock Market Fluctuations and the Demand for Money in Saudi Arabia

2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 142
Author(s):  
Moayad Al Rasasi ◽  
Fares Rawah ◽  
Bander Alghamdi
Keyword(s):  
Saudi Arabia ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Money Demand ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Demand Function ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Demand For Money ◽  
Money Demand Function ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Estimated Error

This research paper estimates the augmented money demand function for Saudi Arabia while incorporating stock prices as one of the key determinants and utilizing quarterly data spanning over the period of 2010-2018. The estimated money demand function coincides with theoretical expectation regarding income and interest rate over long run. In Particular, the demand for money is statistically significant and positively related with income while it’s negatively related with interest rate. On stock prices, the findings suggest that they are statistically significant and have positive impact on money demand over the long run. Moreover, the estimated error correction model indicates that it takes money demand about two quarters to adjust to its equilibrium condition.

scholarly journals Structural Adjustment And The Stability Of The Nigerian Money Demand Function

2011 ◽  
Vol 3 (8) ◽  
Author(s):  
Olugbenga A. Onafowora ◽  
Oluwole Owoye
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Money Demand ◽  
Structural Adjustment ◽  
Demand Function ◽  
Money Demand Function ◽  
The Real ◽  
Long Run ◽  
The Stability ◽  
Domestic Interest Rate

This paper uses cointegration vector error correction analysis to test the stability of the demand for real broad money (M2) in Nigeria over the quarterly period 1986:1 to 2001:4 in order to ascertain whether recent macroeconomic developments such as the implementation of the structural adjustment programme (SAP) in 1986; the liberalization of the exchange rate, domestic interest rate, and capital accounts; financial deepening and innovations; changes in monetary policy regimes; and increased integration of the economy with the rest of the world may have caused the real broad money demand function to become structurally unstable. Our empirical results indicate that there exists a long-run relationship between the real broad money aggregate, real income, inflation rate, domestic interest rate, foreign interest rate, and expected exchange rate. Furthermore, both the CUSUM and CUSUMSQ tests confirm the stability of the short- and long run parameters of the real money demand function. The stability of the parameters of the money demand equation provides the justification for the monetary authority to target the broad money supply in its bid to manage inflation and stimulate economic activity in Nigeria.

Determinants and Stability of Money Demand during Financial Liberalization in Sub-Saharan Africa: The Case of Uganda using an ARDL Approach

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Allan Kayongo ◽  
Ibrahim Mukisa ◽  
Ibrahim Mike Okumu
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Money Demand ◽  
Demand Function ◽  
Financial Liberalization ◽  
Money Demand Function ◽  
Real Money ◽  
Financial Innovations ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Demand Stability

Abstract We analyse the determinants and stability of Uganda’s real money demand function during financial liberalization. The study contributes to literature in 4 ways, i.e.: assessing the determinants and stability of Uganda’s money demand function for the financial liberalization period; this is also done while incorporating the presumably disruptive financial innovations; assessing Uganda’s money demand stability during this episode; and applying the ARDL estimation strategy on Uganda’s Monetary Policy. GDP, exchange rate, inflation, interest rate spread and foreign interest rate explain Uganda’s real money demand. The results confirm the existence of a stable long run money demand function. The error correction term is significant and negative. Fundamentally, the financial innovations have not caused structural divergence in Uganda’s long run money demand function as would have been expected. Income is significant and close to unity and therefore a good money demand indicator in both the short and long run. Most importantly, financial innovation efforts in Uganda’s monetary policy should be intensified since they haven’t had negative effects on monetary stability. Keywords: money demand, stability, financial liberalization, financial innovations JEL Classification: E41; E52; E6; O23

scholarly journals The Demand for Money in Nepal: An Analysis Using Vector Error Correction Model

2019 ◽  
Vol 2 ◽  
pp. 10-17
Author(s):  
Deepak Neupane
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rate ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Money Demand ◽  
Unit Root ◽  
Demand Function ◽  
Unit Root Test ◽  
Demand For Money ◽  
Money Demand Function ◽  
Real Gdp ◽  
Integration Test

This paper examines the demand for money in Nepal. Accordingly, time series techniques such as Unit Root Test, Co-integration test approach were conducted considering the annual data from 1975 to 2019. The results of the unit root test indicate that the variables are stationary at the first order difference. Moreover, the co-integration test state that there is co-integration among the real broad money supply, real GDP at producer price, inflation and the interest rate, after taking the logs of real broad money supply, real GDP and interest rate and taking the first difference of all the considered variables, which makes the series normal and stationary respectively. Besides the results of the CUSUM test indicate the stability of the model. The results of the VECM show that there exists the long-run causality of the determinants on the money demand function whereas, out of the considered variables, none has the short-run causality on the money demand function. Moreover, ordinary least square method was also conducted to compute the coefficient of parameters which showed that though only one, real GDP, out of three, was found to be significant, the model was found to be good fit with the value of R-squared 0.9933 stating that the 99.33 percent variation in the dependent variable is explained by the explanatory variables.

scholarly journals Broad Money Demand in Mauritius with Implications for Monetary Policy

2012 ◽  
Vol 4 (8) ◽  
pp. 436-448
Author(s):  
Indranarain Ramlall
Keyword(s):  
Money Demand ◽  
Demand Function ◽  
Adjustment Coefficient ◽  
Elasticity Coefficient ◽  
Demand For Money ◽  
Money Demand Function ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Monetary Targeting ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Local Stock

This paper employs ECM approach to investigate the long run and short-run components of the broad money demand function in Mauritius for the period spanning from 2000 to 2009. To the author’s best knowledge, no study has been undertaken over broad money in Mauritius since 1992, with an update being long overdue. Results show that M2 is positively elastic with respect to GDP, with the elasticity coefficient revolving around 2.80%, clearly showing that Mauritius is not endowed with a fully developed financial system with monetization moving faster than output. The low adjustment coefficient for VECM furthers substantiates the fact that there is indeed a lack of alternative assets to M2 and above all fully justifies the transition from monetary targeting to interest rate targeting. Evidence is found in favor of foreign asset substitution but only through the exchange rate channel. Findings further show that the local stock market does not act as a substitute to local money holdings. Overall, the study points out a rather stable demand for money function in Mauritius so that the monetary authority can contemplate using it as a complementary tool but chiefly for long-run policy assessments.

scholarly journals The Demand for Money and the Term Structure of Interest Rates in Pakistan

1983 ◽  
Vol 22 (2) ◽  
pp. 97-116 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shaheena Nisar ◽  
Naheed Aslam
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rate ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Term Structure ◽  
Money Demand ◽  
Demand Function ◽  
Demand For Money ◽  
Money Demand Function ◽  
Time Deposit ◽  
Scale Variable ◽  
Simple Average

Using the term structure of interest rates, and treating measured income as a scale variable, the paper analyses the demand for money in Pakistan. It is found that replacement of simple average interest rate by the term structure of time deposit rates improves the estimates of money demand function. Money demand is found to be sensitive to changes in interest rates and income level. Furthermore, diseconomies of scale are observed in money holdings.

scholarly journals The Impact of Financial Innovation on the Money Demand Function: An Empirical Verification in India

2020 ◽  
Vol 14 (1) ◽  
pp. 28-61 ◽  
Author(s):  
Masudul Hasan Adil ◽  
Neeraj Hatekar ◽  
Pravakar Sahoo
Keyword(s):  
Money Demand ◽  
Demand Function ◽  
Financial Innovation ◽  
Jel Classification ◽  
Parameter Estimates ◽  
Correlated Errors ◽  
Bounds Testing ◽  
Money Demand Function ◽  
Long Run ◽  
The Impact

Traditional money demand functions are often criticized for persistent over-prediction, implausible parameter estimates, highly serially correlated errors and unstable money demand. This study argues that some of these problems may have emerged for the lack of factoring financial innovation into the money demand function. This study estimates money demand for India during the post-reform period, from 1996:Q2 to 2016:Q3. The money demand function is estimated with the linear ARDL approach to cointegration developed by Pesaran, Shin, & Smith (2001), Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships, Journal of Applied Econometrics, 16(3), 289–326, after employing various proxies for financial innovation. In conclusion, the study finds that there is a stable long-run relationship among variables, such as real money balances, and the scale and opportunity cost variables. In a nutshell, the study assesses the relative importance of financial innovation variables in the money demand equation, and finds that financial innovation plays a very significant role in the money demand specification and its stability. JEL Classification: E41, E44, E42, E52, O16, O53

scholarly journals Money Demand Function for Nepal: An Empirical View from Expenditure Component

2019 ◽  
pp. 12-25
Author(s):  
Pujan Adhikari
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rate ◽  
Money Demand ◽  
Capital Formation ◽  
Consumption Expenditure ◽  
Demand For Money ◽  
Final Consumption ◽  
On Demand ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Fixed Capital Formation ◽  
Short Run

This paper examines the long run and short-run dynamics relationship between broad money, consumption expenditure, capital stock and interest rate in Nepal over the period of 1975-2017. This paper employs ARDL bound testing approach for co-integration between the broad money demand and its determinants. Result reveals the evidence of cointegration among the variables. The empirical results show that the demand for money is affected by the interest rate and final consumption expenditure both in the long run and short-run. However, the gross fixed capital formation has no impact on demand for money in the long-run and short-run as well. On contrast, interest rate is positively associated with Broad money demand, which is not consistent with theoretically. Positive association of money demand with interest rate shows that demand for money function is instability in Nepal. Thus, this study suggests that policy maker to correct price fluctuation through the control of various expenditure components, particularly, real final consumption expenditure might be an important strategy in the long run. However, the gross fixed capital formation has no impact on demand for money in the long-run.

scholarly journals Demand for Money Function in Case of Philippines: An Empirical Analysis

2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 220
Author(s):  
Chayanan Kerdpitak
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Money Demand ◽  
Demand Function ◽  
Time Window ◽  
Asset Price ◽  
Unit Root Test ◽  
Money Demand Function ◽  
Macroeconomic Indicators

An effective formulation of monetary policy provides an empirical and coherent model of money related with demand. In order for the monetary authorities to understand the demand for the purpose of money function, the steadiness of money demand is important as it leads towards an application of efficient monetary policy. In order to examine the stability of money demand function of Philippines, following study was conducted with broad money, real asset price index, GDP deflator, real GDP, long-term interest rate and short-term interest rate. For empirical investigation, unit root test, cointegration, and Granger-Causality tests were used. However, the findings of the cointegration suggests that cointegration reveals there is presence of linear combinations, and results shows that there are four cointegrating equations present. Therefore, it is evident that there are at least 4 cointegrating relations between the variables. Hence, some of macroeconomic indicators can be used to predict the broad money due to presence of vector. However, the Granger-Causality shows that no macroeconomic variable granger cause broad money (M1). Therefore, the selected macroeconomic indictors RS, LS, CPI, GDP deflator, RGDP and AP/P cannot be used to predict the variation in the broad money (M1) in case of Philippines. This means the money demand function in Philippines is not stable, and for this purpose further investigation is suggested by increasing sample size and time window in quarterly or semi-annually.

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