scholarly journals Candidate Ideology and Vote Choice in the 2020 US Presidential Election

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
David Broockman ◽  
Joshua Kalla
Keyword(s):  
Young People ◽  
National Survey ◽  
Presidential Election ◽  
General Election ◽  
Vote Choice ◽  
Donald Trump ◽  
Presidential Primary ◽  
General Elections ◽  
Voter Information ◽  
Us Presidential Election

Canonical theories predict that moderate candidates perform better in general elections, but research emphasizing voters’ partisan loyalties challenges these predictions. The 2020 Democratic Presidential primary represented a unique opportunity to speak to these debates due to relatively high voter information about multiple moderate and extreme candidates running in the same election. We conducted a national survey (n = 40,153) that asked how respondents would choose in a general election between one of the Democratic candidates and Republican Donald Trump. Our evidence is consistent with canonical predictions: respondents are more likely to select Trump when he is against an extreme Democrat than against a moderate Democrat. Republican partisans contribute to moderate candidates’ advantage: ≈2% select Trump against a more extreme Democrat but would not against a more moderate Democrat. One of the extreme candidates, Bernie Sanders, ostensibly challenges canonical predictions by receiving as much support as moderate candidates – but only when assuming (1) young people vote at abnormally high rates and (2) young Democrats who claim they will only vote if Sanders is nominated are answering accurately. These patterns are robust to showing attacks against the candidates and in competitive states. Our findings lend further support to canonical predictions about moderate candidates’ electoral advantages.

scholarly journals When and Why Are Campaigns' Persuasive Effects Small? Evidence from the 2020 US Presidential Election

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
David Broockman ◽  
Joshua Kalla
Keyword(s):  
Presidential Election ◽  
Field Experiments ◽  
Vote Choice ◽  
Specific Information ◽  
Additional Information ◽  
New Information ◽  
General Elections ◽  
Us Presidential Election ◽  
New Evidence ◽  
Campaign Advertising

Field experiments document near-zero marginal effects of most campaign advertising on vote choice in US general elections. Some interpret this finding as evidence of "partisan intoxication"---that contemporary American voters remain loyal to their parties even when confronted with new information. We present new evidence consistent with an informational interpretation of this finding: that voters are rarely persuaded by additional information about candidates they know a great deal about, but are more open to persuasion about candidates about whom they know less. The 2020 US Presidential election represents an opportunity to test these competing perspectives due to the presence of one candidate about whom most Americans are very familiar by virtue of his four years in office, Donald Trump, and another about whom Americans know less, Joe Biden. We conducted survey experiments (n=113,742) exposing each individual in a treatment group to two of 291 unique pro- or anti- Trump or Biden messages. Our results are consistent with an informational interpretation of many persuasive effects in campaigns and their absence. We show that vote choice in the 2020 US Presidential election changes in response to both pro- and anti-Biden messages, but that genuine effects of pro- and anti-Trump messages were between much smaller and non-existent. Further consistent with an informational interpretation, we show that vague messages about Biden are significantly less effective than those that offer specific information about him, and that evaluations of Biden are also significantly more malleable than evaluations of Trump. Positive information about Biden also causes Republican voters to cross party lines and say they would support him. These results would likely change if campaigns were to better inform voters about Biden, but raise a puzzle of why nearly all Democratic campaign advertising in the 2020 US Presidential election has focused on Trump instead of Biden.

You’re Fired! Donald Trump and the 2020 Congressional Elections

The Forum ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 18 (4) ◽  
pp. 627-650
Author(s):  
Jamie L. Carson ◽  
Spencer Hardin ◽  
Aaron A. Hitefield
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Presidential Election ◽  
Descriptive Analysis ◽  
Vice President ◽  
The United States ◽  
Congressional Elections ◽  
General Election ◽  
Donald Trump ◽  
Modern Era

Abstract The 2020 elections brought to an end one of the most divisive and historic campaigns in the modern era. Former Vice President Joe Biden was elected the 46th President of the United States with the largest number of votes ever cast in a presidential election, defeating incumbent President Donald Trump in the process. The record turnout was especially remarkable in light of the ongoing pandemic surrounding COVID-19 and the roughly 236,000 Americans who had died of the virus prior to the election. This article examines the electoral context of the 2020 elections focusing on elections in both the House and Senate. More specifically, this article examines the candidates, electoral conditions, trends, and outcomes in the primaries as well as the general election. In doing so, we provide a comprehensive descriptive analysis of the climate and outcome of the 2020 congressional elections. Finally, the article closes with a discussion of the broader implications of the election outcomes on both the incoming 117th Congress as well as the upcoming 2022 midterm election.

Perancangan Infografik sebagai Media Pendukung Sosialisasi KPU ke Daerah Terpencil

2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Edo Pratama Putra
Keyword(s):  
Presidential Election ◽  
Vice President ◽  
General Election ◽  
Main Concern ◽  
Participation Rates ◽  
Remote Areas ◽  
Hilly Area ◽  
General Elections ◽  
The Media

The General Election was held in 2019 with the KPU as the organizer on April 17, 2019. Among the tasks of the KPU was the dissemination of General Elections to remote areas throughout Indonesia. Remote areas are the main concern of the KPU in an effort to increase election participation in 2019, because remote areas are one of the biggest contributors to the Golput number in the 2014 elections. One of the remote areas with very low participation rates is Tegal Rejo Village, Gedang Sari District, Gunung Kidul Regency. This village is located in a hilly area which is one of the disaster prone areas. Tegal Rejo village has not received socialization from the Gunung Kidul Regency KPU and many villagers are still not informed about the 2019 Presidential Election. From the problems that occur, the author finds a solution to the problem by making an "Infographic Design as a Media Supporting the Socialization of KPU to Remote Areas". As for this design contains information on Election 2019, such as the introduction of candidates in the form of profiles of each prospective president and vice president, procedures for voting, time and place of execution until the conditions become a Permanent Voters List (DPT). And the media created will be given to the KPU to be the material for dissemination to remote areas in Indonesia.

Angry, Passionate, and Divided: Undecided Voters and the 2016 Presidential Election

2017 ◽  
Vol 61 (9) ◽  
pp. 1056-1076 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dan Schill ◽  
Rita Kirk
Keyword(s):  
Focus Group ◽  
Presidential Election ◽  
General Election ◽  
Vote Choice ◽  
2016 Election ◽  
Campaign Messages ◽  
Election Coverage ◽  
Civil Discourse ◽  
Voter Choice ◽  
Early Primary

During the primary and general election, researchers Schill and Kirk collected focus group insights on how undecided voters came to make choices in the 2016 election. As consultants for CNN’s election coverage, the team researched voters from across the nation—in the early primary states to the conventions and general election. After a review of factors that influence vote choice, this article focuses on the dominant expressions of attitude (pain, loss, joy, nostalgia, pleasure, belonging, and anger) during 2016 election period and explains how voter attitudes toward those themes affected voter choice. Not only were these themes manifested in (un)civil discourse, they were often fueled by the campaigns. Importantly, these assessments come from the voters themselves and provide insights as to how the campaigns unfolded and how campaign messages attempted to influence voters.

scholarly journals We Have It Totally Under Control? Exploring the Effects of Ideology and Knowing Someone Diagnosed With COVID-19 on Evaluations of President Trump’s Leadership on the Pandemic

2021 ◽  
pp. 1532673X2110413
Author(s):  
Jason S. Byers ◽  
Laine P. Shay
Keyword(s):  
Public Opinion ◽  
Presidential Election ◽  
Vote Choice ◽  
Donald Trump ◽  
The Public ◽  
Mixed Response ◽  
Using Data

President Donald Trump has made various decisions, many controversial, to manage the coronavirus pandemic. The reaction to President Trump’s leadership has been met with a mixed response from the public. This raises an important question; what factors influence a citizen’s evaluation of President Trump’s response to the pandemic? We develop a theory that links a citizen knowing someone diagnosed with COVID-19 with their evaluation of President Trump’s management of the pandemic, with the expectation that this relationship is conditioned by a citizen’s ideology. Using data from two surveys, we find that knowing someone diagnosed with COVID-19 diminishes the effect ideology has on a citizen’s evaluation. Additionally, we find that a citizen’s evaluation of President Trump’s leadership on COVID-19 is associated with their vote choice in the 2020 U.S. Presidential Election. Overall, this article contributes to our understanding of public opinion on COVID-19 and its political ramifications.

Perceptions of democracy and the rise of Donald Trump: A framing analysis of Saudi Arabian media

2019 ◽  
Vol 15 (2) ◽  
pp. 159-175 ◽  
Author(s):  
Benjamin Isakhan ◽  
Zim Nwokora ◽  
Chengxin Pan
Keyword(s):  
Saudi Arabia ◽  
21St Century ◽  
Presidential Election ◽  
Saudi Arabian ◽  
Democracy Promotion ◽  
Framing Analysis ◽  
Donald Trump ◽  
Kingdom Of Saudi Arabia ◽  
The Us ◽  
Us Presidential Election

The 2016 US presidential election, which brought Donald J. Trump to power, raised concerns that his ascendency could undermine US democracy promotion and enable illiberal regimes to resist calls for reform. This article seeks to hold this argument up to empirical scrutiny via a framing analysis of coverage of the US election in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA). To some extent, the analysis supports the claim: throughout the election, the KSA media offered several substantive criticisms of democracy. However, Trump’s campaign also served as a catalyst for a discussion about the merits of democracy, revealing some admiration for its key principles, and an acknowledgement of the challenges it faces in the 21st century.

scholarly journals Analysis of Facebook Meme Groups Used During the 2016 US Presidential Election

2019 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 205630511880879 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mia Moody-Ramirez ◽  
Andrew B Church
Keyword(s):  
Facial Expressions ◽  
Political Party ◽  
Presidential Election ◽  
Hillary Clinton ◽  
Group Setting ◽  
Donald Trump ◽  
Political Ideas ◽  
Us Presidential Election ◽  
And Gender ◽  
Facebook Pages

Using content analysis, this study examines how citizens may use memes to share grassroots political ideas in a social media group setting during elections. Specifically, it offers a glimpse at the types of meme-related Facebook pages that emerged during the 2016 presidential election with an emphasis on representations of the two front-runner candidates—Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump. Generally, Facebook-meme pages and profile photos of both candidates were negative in tone with Trump more likely to be framed in terms of his hairstyle and facial expressions and Clinton in terms of the email scandal and her relationships with people. Political party and gender differences between these two candidates contributed to variations in representations. Study findings are important as they offer a look at grassroots use of memes during a major election and provide a general overview of Facebook user depictions of the two politicians.

Perancangan Infografik sebagai Media Pendukung Sosialisasi KPU ke Daerah Terpencil

2019 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Edo Pratama Putra
Keyword(s):  
Presidential Election ◽  
Vice President ◽  
General Election ◽  
Main Concern ◽  
Participation Rates ◽  
Remote Areas ◽  
Hilly Area ◽  
General Elections ◽  
The Media

<p class="SammaryHeader" align="center"><strong>ABSTRACT</strong></p><p>­­­­­­­­­­­</p><p><em>The General Election was held in 2019 with the KPU as the organizer on April 17, 2019. Among the tasks of the KPU was the dissemination of General Elections to remote areas throughout Indonesia. Remote areas are the main concern of the KPU in an effort to increase election participation in 2019, because remote areas are one of the biggest contributors to the Golput number in the 2014 elections. One of the remote areas with very low participation rates is Tegal Rejo Village, Gedang Sari District, Gunung Kidul Regency. This village is located in a hilly area which is one of the disaster prone areas. Tegal Rejo village has not received socialization from the Gunung Kidul Regency KPU and many villagers are still not informed about the 2019 Presidential Election. From the problems that occur, the author finds a solution to the problem by making an "Infographic Design as a Media Supporting the Socialization of KPU to Remote Areas". As for this design contains information on Election 2019, such as the introduction of candidates in the form of profiles of each prospective president and vice president, procedures for voting, time and place of execution until the conditions become a Permanent Voters List (DPT). And the media created will be given to the KPU to be the material for dissemination to remote areas in Indonesia.</em></p><p><strong><em>Keywords : </em></strong><em>Infographics, Socialization of KPU, Remote Areas</em></p><p class="SammaryHeader" align="center"><strong>ABSTRAK</strong></p><p>­­­­­­­­­­­</p><p><em>Pada tahun 2019 Komisi Pemilihan Umum  mengadakan Pemilihan Umum berupa Pemilihan Presiden dan Wakil Presiden, yang akan dilaksanakan pada 17 April 2019. diantara tugas yang dijalankan KPU adalah berupa sosialisasi Pemilihan Umum ke daerah-daerah terpencil di seluruh Indonesia. </em><em>Daerah terpencil menjadi perhatian utama KPU dalam upaya peningkatan partisipasi Pemilu pada tahun 2019, karena daerah terpencil menjadi salah satu penyumbang angka Golput terbesar di Pemilu tahun 2014. Salah satu penyebab kurangnya angka partisipasi pemilih adalah diantaranya sedikitnya pengetahuan dan informasi masyarakat tentang Pemilu di daerah-daerah terpencil Indonesia. Salah satu daerah terpencil yang tingkat partisipasinya sangat rendah adalah Desa Tegal Rejo Kecamatan Gedang Sari, Kabupaten Gunung Kidul. Desa ini terletak di daerah perbukitan yang menjadi salah satu daerah rawan bencana. Desa Tegal Rejo belum mendapat sosialisasi dari KPU Kabupaten Gunung Kidul dan masyarakat desa masih banyak yang tidak mendapat informasi mengenai Pemilihan Presiden 2019. </em><em>Dari permasalahan yang terjadi, penulis menemukan usulan pemecahan masalah yaitu dengan membuat sebuah “Perancangan Infografik sebagai Media Pendukung Sosialisasi KPU ke Daerah Terpencil”. Adapun pada perancangan ini berisikan tentang Informasi Pemilu 2019, seperti pengenalan calon berupa profil setiap calon peresiden dan wakil presiden, tata cara mencoblos, waktu dan tempat pelaksanaan hingga syarat-syarat menjadi Daftar Pemilih Tetap (DPT). Dan media yang dibuat akan diberikan kepada KPU untuk menjadi bahan sosialisasi ke daerah-daerah terpencil di Indonesia.</em></p><strong><em>Kata kunci : </em></strong><em>Infografik, Sosialisasi KPU, Dearah Terpencil</em>

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