Co-prescription network reveals social dynamics of opioid doctor shopping
This paper examines network prominence in a co-prescription network as an indicator of doctor shopping (i.e., fraudulent solicitation of prescriptions from multiple healthcare providers) for opioids. Using longitudinal data from a large commercially insured population, we construct a network where a tie between patients was weighted by the number of shared opioid prescribers. Given prior research suggesting that doctor shopping may be a social process, we hypothesize that active doctor shoppers will occupy central structural positions in this network. We show that network prominence, operationalized using PageRank, was associated with more opioid prescriptions, higher predicted risk for dangerous morphine dosage, opioid overdose, and opioid use disorder, controlling for number of prescribers and other variables. Moreover, as a patient’s own prominence increased over time, so did their risk for these outcomes, compared to their own average level of risk. These findings point to structural properties of co-prescription networks as a promising indicator of social or strategic drug-seeking behavior and overdose risk.