Age Structure and Living Arrangements Shape the Vulnerability of Spanish Provinces to Outbreaks of Covid-19
BackgroundPrevious research has documented how age structures and co-residence patterns shape the vulnerability of populations to outbreaks of covid-19, with Spain being among the most vulnerable countries.ObjectiveTo document the role of age-specific co-residence patterns in shaping the vulnerability of Spanish provinces to mortality arising from within-household transmission of covid-19.MethodWe use data from the Spanish Population Registry 2018 on 10% of the population residing in private households in Spain. We combine information on the age and number of household members with infection fatality ratios related to covid-19 to estimate the average number of deaths per infection if a person becomes infected and transmits the virus to other household members. ResultsChildren live in the largest households of all age groups on average. However, the age profile of the persons that children live with reduces, but does not eliminate, the risk of mortality arising due to within-household transmission of the virus.Provinces with aged populations face a double challenge. Not only do they have large numbers of vulnerable persons due to their age, older persons are also more likely to share the same households in aged provinces. Contribution We show how the vulnerability of Spanish provinces to covid-19 varies due to age structure and co-residence patterns and document the role of specific age-based co-residence arrangements in this result.