Background: Whole-genome sequencing (WGS) has a high discriminatory power in confirming outbreaks. Outbreak investigation models that categorize the possibility of an outbreak based on the degree of genetic relatedness of isolates are highly dependent on the single-nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) threshold used. Methods: NYU Langone Medical center is a 725-bed academic center that has implemented WGS of methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) isolates since 2016. Patients admitted to a medical or intensive care unit were screened on admission and transfer. The first surveillance and clinical MRSA isolate during each hospitalization was sequenced. We conducted a retrospective analysis to identify strong epidemiologic links among patients involved in genetically related clusters. We used different SNP thresholds to define genetic relatedness to identify the optimal threshold that should prompt an outbreak investigation. We considered strong hospital epidemiologic links sharing the same room or unit or having resided in the same room or unit within 7 days. A pairwise analysis was conducted to compare the epidemiologic links among patients involved in genetically related clusters. Results: Among 1,070 isolates, our analysis focused on 777 belonging to USA100 and USA300 clones. For USA100 isolates, we identified 8, 14, and 20 clusters comprising of 16, 29, and 42 patients when the threshold for genetic relatedness was set at 20, 40, and 60 SNP differences, respectively. Patients identified in a cluster yielded a strong hospital epidemiologic link in 62.5%, 87.5%, and 91.7% of cases (Fig. 1). For USA300 isolates, SNP differences of 10, 20, and 30 were used, identifying 20, 34, and 40 clusters of 43, 79, and 127 patients. The expansion of the threshold from 10 to 30 resulted in a decrease of the percentage of pairwise analyses with a strong hospital epidemiologic link from 57.7% to 13.6% by increasing 13-fold the number of analyses that were conducted to identify only 3 times more cases with strong epidemiologic links (Fig. 2). Conclusions: The results of our study indicate that SNPs thresholds determined by intrapatient variability of MRSA isolates might need to be tailored to the individual setting to guide infection control interventions because optimal thresholds might vary depending on characteristics of the population, MRSA isolates, and screening practices. Establishing conservative thresholds might allow the identification and quantification over time of the locations (eg, rooms or units) where transmission is occurring as well as the investigation of the clusters without strong epidemiologic links that might be valuable in elucidating unrecognized routes of transmission.Funding: NoneDisclosures: None
Different methods to calculate genomic predictions—Comparisons of BLUP at the single nucleotide polymorphism level (SNP-BLUP), BLUP at the individual level (G-BLUP), and the one-step approach (H-BLUP)
